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Hiroshima D. vs Saga Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 12 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 07:05
Final 64-81
6-13 20-21 24-22 14-25
Position#15
Record0-2
FormLWWLL
Points / game62.0
Allowed / game80.5
vs
Saga 🏆
Japan
Position#18
Record1-1
FormWLLLW
Points / game62.5
Allowed / game70.5
JapanB League· Hiroshima Sun Plaza
Other2024-25
Meetings · Hiroshima D. v Saga
03 Feb 2027
HIRO v SAGA
upcoming
19 Oct 2025
HIRO91
SAGA79
18 Oct 2025
HIRO114
SAGA92
13 Oct 2024
HIRO81
SAGA90
12 Oct 2024
HIRO64
SAGA81
08 Nov 2023
HIRO80
SAGA61
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hiroshima D. winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Saga winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Hiroshima D.JapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormD.
Date
Competition
NeoPhoenix
#3
W
77-70
77
70
+7
59avg 72
A11/05
B League
NeoPhoenix
#3
W
69-66
69
66
+3
62avg 72
A12/05
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#4
W
79-75
79
75
+4
71avg 72
A18/05
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#4
L
77-84
77
84
-7
63avg 72
A19/05
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#4
W
79-73
79
73
+6
77avg 72
A20/05
B League
Ryukyu
#5
L
62-74
62
74
-12
50avg 72
A25/05
B League
Ryukyu
#5
W
72-63
72
63
+9
67avg 72
A26/05
B League
Ryukyu
#5
W
65-50
65
50
+15
59avg 72
A28/05
B League
Gunma
#6
L
53-82
53
82
-29
no box
A03/10
B League
Gunma
#6
L
71-79
71
79
-8
62avg 72
A05/10
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-23
17-18
16-18
23-11
23-21
20-20
7-14
19-11
13-23
18-22
24-3
24-27
17-27
20-24
20-18
20-15
23-13
15-22
21-25
20-13
16-24
9-19
18-19
19-12
21-14
9-20
18-13
24-16
17-12
18-17
11-11
19-10
14-20
12-16
15-23
12-23
15-19
21-22
16-16
19-22
142.0Avg total
70.4Scored
71.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)62.080.5142.5-18.50%
Season at homeno games
Season away (2)62.080.5142.5-18.50%
Last 10 (10)70.471.6142.0-1.260%
Last 5 (5)64.669.6134.2-5.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)67.574.2141.8-6.850%
vs Similar ◀ (16)75.971.4147.4+4.569%
vs Weaker (10)82.272.0154.2+10.280%
This opponent (Saga) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SagaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSaga
Date
Competition
Nagasaki
#17
L
73-80
73
80
-7
67avg 67
H14/04
B League
Ryukyu
#5
L
97-101 OT
97
101
-4
83avg 67
A17/04
B League
Kyoto
#21
L
87-88
87
88
-1
79avg 67
A20/04
B League
Kyoto
#21
W
73-52
73
52
+21
66avg 67
A21/04
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#8
L
65-73
65
73
-8
56avg 67
A27/04
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#8
W
89-79
89
79
+10
91avg 67
A28/04
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#4
L
77-81
77
81
-4
70avg 67
H05/05
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#4
L
68-80
68
80
-12
54avg 67
H06/05
B League
Kyoto
#10
L
48-70
48
70
-22
33avg 67
A05/10
B League
Kyoto
#10
W
77-71
77
71
+6
57avg 67
A06/10
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-31
21-15
17-18
19-16
13-17
27-24
16-18
22-19
27-33
22-15
17-9
21-31
18-13
18-22
23-13
14-4
9-26
22-17
20-12
14-18
29-22
10-18
21-19
29-20
18-17
18-18
24-25
17-21
7-21
23-17
23-17
15-25
9-22
11-18
13-13
15-17
24-12
27-22
12-14
14-23
152.9Avg total
75.4Scored
77.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)62.570.5133.0-8.050%
Season at homeno games
Season away (2)62.570.5133.0-8.050%
Last 10 (10)75.477.5152.9-2.130%
Last 5 (5)71.876.2148.0-4.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)69.079.9148.9-10.912%
vs Similar ◀ (14)73.179.4152.4-6.329%
vs Weaker (8)79.164.8143.9+14.488%
This opponent (Hiroshima D.) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: -4.4-4.4Q2Q2: -4.1-4.1Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: +3.9+3.9Q4: -1.4-1.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: -4.4-4.4Q2Q2: -4.1-4.1Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: +3.9+3.9Q4: -1.4-1.4
Hiroshima D.Saga
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Hiroshima D.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NeoPhoenix
#3
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A11/05
B League
NeoPhoenix
#3
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A12/05
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#4
L
31-45
31
45
-14
A18/05
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#4
L
37-51
37
51
-14
A19/05
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#4
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A20/05
B League
Ryukyu
#5
L
25-43
25
43
-18
A25/05
B League
Ryukyu
#5
L
30-34
30
34
-4
A26/05
B League
Ryukyu
#5
W
35-29
35
29
+6
A28/05
B League
Gunma
#6
L
26-36
26
36
-10
A03/10
B League
Gunma
#6
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A05/10
B League
73.5Avg total
33.9Scored
39.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.736.576.2+3.260%-
Last 30 at home (12)43.234.477.6+8.883%-
Last 30 away (18)37.437.975.3-0.544%-
Last 10 (10)33.939.673.5-5.730%-
Last 5 (5)30.436.667.0-6.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)35.839.875.5-4.025%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)37.236.273.4+1.156%-
vs Weaker (10)45.235.780.9+9.580%-
This opponent (Saga) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SagaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nagasaki
#17
L
37-46
37
46
-9
H14/04
B League
Ryukyu
#5
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A17/04
B League
Kyoto
#21
W
49-48
49
48
+1
A20/04
B League
Kyoto
#21
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A21/04
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#8
L
31-43
31
43
-12
A27/04
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#8
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A28/04
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#4
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H05/05
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#4
L
30-38
30
38
-8
H06/05
B League
Kyoto
#10
L
20-40
20
40
-20
A05/10
B League
Kyoto
#10
W
51-34
51
34
+17
A06/10
B League
76.9Avg total
36.9Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.138.476.5-0.347%-
Last 30 at home (13)36.339.275.5-2.838%-
Last 30 away (17)39.537.877.4+1.753%-
Last 10 (10)36.940.076.9-3.140%-
Last 5 (5)35.237.472.6-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)36.640.276.9-3.638%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)37.740.478.1-2.729%-
vs Weaker (8)40.433.073.4+7.488%-
This opponent (Hiroshima D.) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Hiroshima D.their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hiroshima D.: 64.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.8 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.514.6
43.6%
51.2%29.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.98.9
38.9%
33.4%26.7
🏀 Free throws12.28.8
72.1%
72.7%8.8
They take 56.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sagatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Saga: 74.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.1 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.416.8
46.2%
51.2%33.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.210.1
34.6%
33.4%30.3
🏀 Free throws17.510.1
57.7%
72.7%10.1
They take 65.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Hiroshima D.
LLWWLWLWWW
Saga
WLLLWLWLLL
#15
League position
#18
-0.3
Net rating
-3.9
105.4
Offensive rating
99.9
105.8
Defensive rating
103.8
49.6%
Effective FG%
48.7%
51.4%
Opp. effective FG%
51.3%
17.5%
Turnover %
15.2%
33.7%
Off. rebound %
25.6%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.27
38.9%
3-point %
34.6%
61.7%
Assist %
70.6%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence105.4 · 99.9Defence105.8 · 103.8Shooting49.6% · 48.7%3-point %38.9% · 34.6%Ball care17.5% · 15.2%Off. rebounds33.7% · 25.6%Free throws0.22 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)60% · 30%
■ Hiroshima D.   ■ Saga
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Hiroshima D. wins
1
Saga wins
DateGameScore
06/03/24Saga v Hiroshima D.66-85
08/11/23Hiroshima D. v Saga80-61
15/10/23Saga v Hiroshima D.72-71 OT
14/10/23Saga v Hiroshima D.69-93
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/10/24AGunma71-79
03/10/24AGunma53-82
28/05/24ARyukyu65-50
26/05/24ARyukyu72-63
25/05/24ARyukyu62-74
20/05/24ADiamond Dolphins79-73
19/05/24ADiamond Dolphins77-84
18/05/24ADiamond Dolphins79-75
12/05/24ANeoPhoenix69-66
11/05/24ANeoPhoenix77-70
Sagalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/10/24AKyoto77-71
05/10/24AKyoto48-70
06/05/24HDiamond Dolphins68-80
05/05/24HDiamond Dolphins77-81
28/04/24ASeaHorses Mikawa89-79
27/04/24ASeaHorses Mikawa65-73
21/04/24AKyoto73-52
20/04/24AKyoto87-88
17/04/24ARyukyu97-101 OT
14/04/24HNagasaki73-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Hiroshima D.
B League 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
Home--
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games2-2
Win %0%-0%
Points / game62.0-62.0
Allowed / game80.5-80.5
Point differential-18.5--18.5
Avg total142.5-142.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Saga
B League 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
Home--
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games2-2
Win %50%-50%
Points / game62.5-62.5
Allowed / game70.5-70.5
Point differential-8.0--8.0
Avg total133.0-133.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Gunma220100%80.562.0+18.5
2 Shimane330100%77.760.3+17.3
3 Chiba330100%87.370.7+16.7
4 Alvark330100%85.069.7+15.3
5 Osaka220100%87.076.0+11.0
6 Ryukyu32167%87.078.3+8.7
7 Nagasaki32167%65.761.7+4.0
8 SeaHorses Mikawa32167%73.769.7+4.0
9 NeoPhoenix32167%85.082.0+3.0
10 Yokohama32167%76.377.3-1.0
11 Kyoto21150%70.562.5+8.0
12 Akita21150%81.074.5+6.5
13 Diamond Dolphins21150%76.070.5+5.5
14 Sun Rockers Shibuya21150%63.064.5-1.5
15 Nagoya Fighting Eagles21150%70.576.0-5.5
16 Brave Thunders21150%74.581.0-6.5
17 Saga21150%62.570.5-8.0
18 Utsunomiya Brex31233%80.383.7-3.3
19 Sendai3030%68.373.3-5.0
20 Shiga3030%77.390.0-12.7
21 Ibaraki Robots3030%63.780.0-16.3
22 Hokkaido3030%59.376.7-17.3
23 Hiroshima D.2020%62.080.5-18.5
24 Koshigaya Alphas3030%64.784.3-19.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Hiroshima D.620241464
Saga1321222581
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