Vaerlose vs Randers Result & Analysis

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (8)	78.9	86.2	165.1	-7.4	50%
Season at home (3)	80.0	77.0	157.0	+3.0	67%
Season away (5)	78.2	91.8	170.0	-13.6	40%
Last 10 (10)	77.9	86.3	164.2	-8.4	40%
Last 5 (5)	74.2	87.4	161.6	-13.2	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	75.2	95.1	170.4	-19.9	12%
vs Similar (10)	76.7	80.7	157.4	-4.0	50%
vs Weaker (11)	85.3	75.5	160.7	+9.8	64%

This opponent (Randers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Randers

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormRanders

Date

Competition

Team FOG Naestved

81-83

-2

no box

H04/05

Basketligaen

Horsens

100-85

100

+15

no box

H11/05

Basketligaen

Holbaek-Stenhus

#10

104-53

104

+51

108avg 95

H17/09

Basketligaen

Horsens

92-98

-6

84avg 95

A26/09

Basketligaen

Copenhagen

95-104 OT

104

-9

no box

A29/09

Basketligaen

Bakken Bears

83-84

-1

81avg 95

H04/10

Basketligaen

Amager

#11

104-57

104

+47

114avg 95

H07/10

Basketligaen

Bears Academy

108-89

108

+19

105avg 95

A13/10

Basketligaen

Team FOG Naestved

82-102

102

-20

73avg 95

H19/10

Basketligaen

Svendborg

105-98

105

102avg 95

A26/10

Basketligaen

20-25

24-24

22-12

15-22

24-28

26-24

21-15

29-18

13-4

28-21

27-15

36-13

28-21

20-27

22-28

22-22

24-28

24-21

16-22

23-16

27-16

27-20

13-21

16-27

26-15

36-16

19-15

23-11

25-28

34-21

27-14

22-26

17-29

19-23

22-26

24-24

21-22

29-28

25-22

30-26

180.7Avg total

95.4Scored

85.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (8)	96.6	85.6	182.2	+11.0	50%
Season at home (4)	93.2	74.0	167.2	+19.2	50%
Season away (4)	100.0	97.2	197.2	+2.8	50%
Last 10 (10)	95.4	85.3	180.7	+10.1	50%
Last 5 (5)	96.4	86.0	182.4	+10.4	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	80.8	86.8	167.5	-6.0	25%
vs Similar (9)	89.2	86.4	175.7	+2.8	44%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	92.0	70.1	162.1	+21.9	100%

This opponent (Vaerlose) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

VaerloseRanders

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.4	20.8	39.1	-2.4	40%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	19.5	20.7	40.2	-1.2	38%	-
Last 30 away (17)	17.5	20.8	38.4	-3.3	41%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.2	21.2	39.4	-3.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.6	21.8	38.4	-5.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	17.4	22.4	39.8	-5.0	25%	-
vs Similar (10)	18.9	20.5	39.4	-1.6	50%	-
vs Weaker (11)	19.3	19.7	39.0	-0.5	45%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	21.1	18.3	39.4	+2.7	59%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.0	16.9	37.9	+4.1	67%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.1	19.9	41.1	+1.2	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.5	21.6	44.1	+0.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.2	22.0	45.2	+1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	21.0	18.1	39.1	+2.9	71%	-
vs Similar (9)	20.8	21.6	42.3	-0.8	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	21.3	16.2	37.5	+5.1	69%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	19.3	39.3	+0.6	53%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	21.6	19.1	40.7	+2.5	46%	-
Last 30 away (17)	18.7	19.5	38.2	-0.8	59%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.7	20.5	41.2	+0.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	19.4	39.8	+1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	22.0	25.1	47.1	-3.1	38%	-
vs Similar (10)	18.1	17.7	35.8	+0.4	30%	-
vs Weaker (11)	21.7	15.7	37.5	+6.0	91%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	23.6	21.0	44.6	+2.7	55%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	24.5	21.7	46.1	+2.8	53%	-
Last 30 away (14)	22.7	20.2	42.9	+2.5	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	26.7	22.5	49.2	+4.2	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	29.0	21.6	50.6	+7.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	19.9	21.9	41.7	-2.0	29%	-
vs Similar (9)	22.9	20.8	43.7	+2.1	44%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	26.2	20.6	46.8	+5.5	77%	-

VaerloseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Amager

#10

37-41

-4

A22/04

Basketligaen

Copenhagen

34-44

-10

A28/04

Basketligaen

Team FOG Naestved

40-52

-12

A14/09

Basketligaen

Copenhagen

44-35

H23/09

Basketligaen

Amager

#11

49-39

+10

A28/09

Basketligaen

Bears Academy

39-38

H07/10

Basketligaen

Herlev Wolfpack

33-33

A14/10

Basketligaen

Svendborg

49-38

+11

H22/10

Basketligaen

Horsens

28-40

-12

A29/10

Basketligaen

Bakken Bears

36-57

-21

A05/11

Basketligaen

80.6Avg total

38.9Scored

41.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.3	40.1	78.4	-1.8	50%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	41.1	39.8	80.8	+1.3	62%	-
Last 30 away (17)	36.2	40.4	76.6	-4.1	41%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.9	41.7	80.6	-2.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.0	41.2	78.2	-4.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	39.4	47.5	86.9	-8.1	38%	-
vs Similar (10)	37.0	38.2	75.2	-1.2	40%	-
vs Weaker (11)	41.0	35.5	76.5	+5.5	73%	-

This opponent (Randers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

RandersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Team FOG Naestved

44-49

-5

H04/05

Basketligaen

Horsens

50-52

-2

H11/05

Basketligaen

Holbaek-Stenhus

#10

41-25

+16

H17/09

Basketligaen

Horsens

48-48

A26/09

Basketligaen

Copenhagen

48-49

-1

A29/09

Basketligaen

Bakken Bears

54-36

+18

H04/10

Basketligaen

Amager

#11

62-31

+31

H07/10

Basketligaen

Bears Academy

59-49

+10

A13/10

Basketligaen

Team FOG Naestved

36-52

-16

H19/10

Basketligaen

Svendborg

50-50

A26/10

Basketligaen

93.3Avg total

49.2Scored

44.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	44.7	39.3	84.0	+5.4	55%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	45.5	38.5	84.0	+6.9	60%	-
Last 30 away (14)	43.9	40.1	84.0	+3.7	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	49.2	44.1	93.3	+5.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	52.2	43.6	95.8	+8.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	40.9	40.0	80.9	+0.9	43%	-
vs Similar (9)	43.7	42.3	86.0	+1.3	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	47.5	36.8	84.3	+10.6	77%	-

This opponent (Vaerlose) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.5	21.8	42.3	-1.3	37%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	20.1	22.4	42.5	-2.3	15%	-
Last 30 away (17)	20.8	21.3	42.1	-0.5	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.3	23.0	42.3	-3.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.4	23.4	40.8	-6.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	17.6	24.6	42.2	-7.0	0%	-
vs Similar (10)	20.2	21.3	41.5	-1.1	40%	-
vs Weaker (11)	22.5	20.5	43.0	+1.9	55%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	22.4	19.1	41.6	+3.3	66%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.9	18.1	38.9	+2.8	67%	-
Last 30 away (14)	24.1	20.2	44.4	+3.9	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.4	19.0	40.4	+2.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	19.6	40.8	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	21.1	23.6	44.7	-2.4	43%	-
vs Similar (9)	22.3	20.4	42.8	+1.9	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	23.2	15.8	39.0	+7.5	77%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.2	21.0	40.2	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	21.0	18.8	39.8	+2.2	46%	-
Last 30 away (17)	17.9	22.6	40.5	-4.8	35%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	21.6	41.3	-1.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	22.8	42.6	-3.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	18.2	23.0	41.2	-4.8	25%	-
vs Similar (10)	18.5	19.9	38.4	-1.4	30%	-
vs Weaker (11)	21.8	19.5	41.3	+2.4	64%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	20.7	20.2	40.9	+0.4	45%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.2	19.3	41.5	+2.9	53%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.0	21.3	40.3	-2.3	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.0	20.5	44.5	+3.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.0	22.8	45.8	+0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	17.3	23.4	40.7	-6.1	0%	-
vs Similar (9)	22.3	21.8	44.1	+0.6	56%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	21.3	17.5	38.8	+3.8	62%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.7	42.8	82.5	-3.0	40%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	41.1	41.2	82.3	-0.2	54%	-
Last 30 away (17)	38.7	43.9	82.6	-5.2	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.0	44.6	83.6	-5.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.2	46.2	83.4	-9.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	35.9	47.6	83.5	-11.8	0%	-
vs Similar (10)	38.7	41.2	79.9	-2.5	40%	-
vs Weaker (11)	44.3	40.0	84.3	+4.3	73%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	43.1	39.3	82.4	+3.8	66%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	43.1	37.3	80.4	+5.7	67%	-
Last 30 away (14)	43.1	41.5	84.6	+1.6	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.4	39.5	84.9	+5.9	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.2	42.4	86.6	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	38.4	47.0	85.4	-8.6	0%	-
vs Similar (9)	44.7	42.2	86.9	+2.4	78%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	44.5	33.2	77.8	+11.3	92%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Vaerlosetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vaerlose: 77.9 points a game scored

🏀🏀56%

🏀🏀🏀23%

🏀21%

🏀🏀 2-pointers43.5 pts a game · 56% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.0 pts a game · 23% of the points

🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 21% of the points

League average for comparison: 84.3 points a game

54%

29%

17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	44.4	21.8	49.0%	51.8%	43.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	22.4	6.0	26.8%	31.7%	18.0
🏀 Free throws	22.5	16.4	72.8%	67.0%	16.4

They take 66.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Randerstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Randers: 96.0 points a game scored

🏀🏀57%

🏀🏀🏀27%

🏀16%

🏀🏀 2-pointers54.9 pts a game · 57% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 27% of the points

🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 16% of the points

League average for comparison: 84.3 points a game

54%

29%

17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	47.0	27.4	58.4%	51.8%	54.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.9	8.7	35.1%	31.7%	26.1
🏀 Free throws	19.4	15.0	77.2%	67.0%	15.0

They take 71.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	42.2	23.4	55.3%	51.8%	46.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.5	7.1	29.1%	31.7%	21.4
🏀 Free throws	25.9	17.4	67.1%	67.0%	17.4

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	49.3	24.0	48.7%	51.8%	48.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.1	7.7	29.5%	31.7%	23.1
🏀 Free throws	19.1	11.3	59.0%	67.0%	11.3

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	42.2	23.4	55.3%	51.8%	46.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.5	7.1	29.1%	31.7%	21.4
🏀 Free throws	25.9	17.4	67.1%	67.0%	17.4

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	49.3	24.0	48.7%	51.8%	48.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.1	7.7	29.5%	31.7%	23.1
🏀 Free throws	19.1	11.3	59.0%	67.0%	11.3

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 8/7 games with a box score before 07 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Vaerlose

LLLWWWWLLL

Randers

WLWWLLLWWL

League position

-9.4

Net rating

+16.0

95.7

Offensive rating

113.2

105.0

Defensive rating

97.2

46.1%

Effective FG%

56.4%

51.0%

Opp. effective FG%

47.2%

20.8%

Turnover %

18.2%

28.5%

Off. rebound %

30.3%

0.34

Free-throw rate

0.27

26.8%

3-point %

35.1%

49.5%

Assist %

64.8%

40%

Form (last 10/10)

50%

Profile

■ Vaerlose ■ Randers

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Vaerlose wins

Randers wins

Date	Game	Score
20/12/22	Vaerlose v Randers	71-85
08/10/22	Randers v Vaerlose	79-63
13/02/22	Randers v Vaerlose	109-92
08/10/21	Vaerlose v Randers	80-109
12/04/21	Randers v Vaerlose	99-91
08/04/21	Vaerlose v Randers	106-115
05/04/21	Randers v Vaerlose	105-88
21/03/21	Randers v Vaerlose	100-94
12/01/21	Randers v Vaerlose	93-79
03/12/20	Vaerlose v Randers	84-103

Vaerloselast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
05/11/23	A	Bakken Bears	72-118
29/10/23	A	Horsens	56-88
22/10/23	H	Svendborg	79-83
14/10/23	A	Herlev Wolfpack	79-70
07/10/23	H	Bears Academy	85-78
28/09/23	A	Amager	102-83
23/09/23	H	Copenhagen	76-70
14/09/23	A	Team FOG Naestved	82-100
28/04/23	A	Copenhagen	69-87
22/04/23	A	Amager	79-86

Randerslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
26/10/23	A	Svendborg	105-98
19/10/23	H	Team FOG Naestved	82-102
13/10/23	A	Bears Academy	108-89
07/10/23	H	Amager	104-57
04/10/23	H	Bakken Bears	83-84
29/09/23	A	Copenhagen	95-104 OT
26/09/23	A	Horsens	92-98
17/09/23	H	Holbaek-Stenhus	104-53
11/05/23	H	Horsens	100-85
04/05/23	H	Team FOG Naestved	81-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Vaerlose

Basketligaen 2023-24

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLLL	50%
Home	WWL	67%
Away	LWWLL	40%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	8	3	5
Win %	50%	67%	40%
Points / game	78.9	80.0	78.2
Allowed / game	86.2	77.0	91.8
Point differential	-7.4	+3.0	-13.6
Avg total	165.1	157.0	170.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	12%	0%	20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (1)	0% (1)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Randers

Basketligaen 2023-24

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWLW	50%
Home	WLWL	50%
Away	LLWW	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	8	4	4
Win %	50%	50%	50%
Points / game	96.6	93.2	100.0
Allowed / game	85.6	74.0	97.2
Point differential	+11.0	+19.2	+2.8
Avg total	182.2	167.2	197.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	38%	50%	25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (1)	0% (1)	-
Overtime %	12%	0%	25%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Bakken Bears	7	7	0	100%	97.9	78.7	+19.1
2	Team FOG Naestved	7	6	1	86%	98.4	75.6	+22.9
3	Horsens	8	6	2	75%	91.1	70.0	+21.1
4	Svendborg	8	6	2	75%	86.2	82.2	+4.0
5	Randers	8	4	4	50%	96.6	85.6	+11.0
6	Vaerlose	8	4	4	50%	78.9	86.2	-7.4
7	Copenhagen	9	4	5	44%	82.2	80.3	+1.9
8	Bears Academy	7	2	5	29%	77.4	83.4	-6.0
9	Herlev Wolfpack	8	2	6	25%	65.5	83.1	-17.6
10	Holbaek-Stenhus	7	1	6	14%	67.4	92.4	-25.0
11	Amager	7	0	7	0%	69.7	95.9	-26.1

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Vaerlose	20	25	17	23	85
Randers	21	21	31	21	94

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Vaerlose vs Randers Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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