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Valur vs Keflavik Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 18 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 19:15
Final 105-82
28-14 24-20 32-28 21-20
Position#1
Record10-3
FormWWWWW
Points / game93.5
Allowed / game83.5
Valur 🏆
Iceland
vs
Position#3
Record9-4
FormWWLWW
Points / game95.6
Allowed / game88.8
IcelandPremier leagueRound 14· Origo-hollin Hlidarenda
Other2023-24
Meetings · Valur v Keflavik
18 Mar 2027
VALU v KEFL
upcoming
19 Apr 2026
VALU90
KEFL76
11 Apr 2026
VALU79
KEFL78
02 Apr 2026
VALU75
KEFL78
12 Jan 2026
VALU93
KEFL94
11 Dec 2025
VALU111
KEFL91
24 Oct 2024
VALU104
KEFL80
18 Jan 2024
VALU105
KEFL82
02 Dec 2022
VALU75
KEFL100
05 Mar 2022
VALU88
KEFL74
12 Feb 2021
VALU85
KEFL72
29 Jan 2020
VALU68
KEFL96
14 Dec 2018
VALU77
KEFL86
04 Jan 2018
VALU84
KEFL87
31 Oct 2013
VALU76
KEFL94
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valur winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Keflavik winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValurIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValur
Date
Competition
Stjarnan
#7
L
77-86
77
86
-9
60avg 85
H02/11
Premier league
Haukar
#10
W
127-124 OT
127
124
+3
no box
A10/11
Premier league
Hottur
#8
W
80-69
80
69
+11
72avg 85
H17/11
Premier league
Alftanes
#6
L
67-73
67
73
-6
63avg 85
A23/11
Premier league
Grindavik
#2
W
96-83
96
83
+13
96avg 85
H30/11
Premier league
Breidablik
#11
W
110-85
110
85
+25
108avg 85
A07/12
Premier league
KV mfl.kk.
#16
W
128-89
128
89
+39
no box
A10/12
Icelandic Cup
Njardvik
#5
W
91-87
91
87
+4
85avg 85
H14/12
Premier league
Thorl
#4
W
90-82
90
82
+8
82avg 85
H04/01
Premier league
Hamar
#12
W
111-89
111
89
+22
100avg 85
A11/01
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-24
23-16
12-21
18-25
26-20
27-23
16-32
28-22
16-28
26-24
17-9
21-8
23-18
19-19
13-20
12-16
27-19
23-23
32-24
14-17
29-19
27-26
25-25
29-15
–
–
–
–
26-22
20-26
22-16
23-23
15-18
19-21
27-24
29-19
26-23
28-20
29-26
28-20
184.4Avg total
97.7Scored
86.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)93.583.5176.9+10.077%
Season at home (6)89.078.5167.5+10.583%
Season away (7)97.387.7185.0+9.671%
Last 10 (10)97.786.7184.4+11.080%
Last 5 (5)106.086.4192.4+19.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (14)88.484.6172.9+3.857%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)92.182.6174.7+9.573%
This opponent (Keflavik) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KeflavikIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKeflavik
Date
Competition
Haukar
#10
W
89-86
89
86
+3
79avg 88
H03/11
Premier league
Hottur
#8
L
75-83
75
83
-8
66avg 88
A09/11
Premier league
Alftanes
#6
W
97-78
97
78
+19
87avg 88
H17/11
Premier league
Grindavik
#2
W
111-82
111
82
+29
113avg 88
A24/11
Premier league
Breidablik
#11
W
100-86
100
86
+14
90avg 88
H30/11
Premier league
Njardvik
#5
W
103-82
103
82
+21
99avg 88
A08/12
Premier league
Selfoss
#13
W
103-87
103
87
+16
94avg 88
A11/12
Icelandic Cup
Thorl
#4
L
102-103
102
103
-1
97avg 88
H15/12
Premier league
Hamar
#12
W
100-88
100
88
+12
85avg 88
H04/01
Premier league
Tindastoll
#9
W
99-86
99
86
+13
92avg 88
H10/01
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-22
28-22
22-16
13-26
23-23
10-17
21-12
21-31
20-17
27-16
24-24
26-21
28-25
29-10
29-29
25-18
25-21
20-27
31-22
24-16
17-19
34-21
27-15
25-27
27-23
30-19
29-18
17-27
17-28
31-32
28-25
26-18
31-17
21-20
29-23
19-28
32-33
21-25
18-16
28-12
184.0Avg total
97.9Scored
86.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)95.688.8184.5+6.869%
Season at home (7)96.387.6183.9+8.786%
Season away (6)94.890.3185.2+4.550%
Last 10 (10)97.986.1184.0+11.880%
Last 5 (5)101.489.2190.6+12.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)88.191.3179.4-3.143%
vs Similar (13)92.290.8183.0+1.346%
vs Weaker (9)95.690.4186.0+5.167%
This opponent (Valur) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: +4.2+4.2Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: +5.8+5.8Q4Q4: +4.1+4.1Q4: +0.0+0.0
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: +4.2+4.2Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: +5.8+5.8Q4Q4: +4.1+4.1Q4: +0.0+0.0
ValurKeflavik
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ValurLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Stjarnan
#7
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H02/11
Premier league
Haukar
#10
W
53-43
53
43
+10
A10/11
Premier league
Hottur
#8
L
42-52
42
52
-10
H17/11
Premier league
Alftanes
#6
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A23/11
Premier league
Grindavik
#2
W
50-42
50
42
+8
H30/11
Premier league
Breidablik
#11
W
56-45
56
45
+11
A07/12
Premier league
Njardvik
#5
L
46-48
46
48
-2
H14/12
Premier league
Thorl
#4
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H04/01
Premier league
Hamar
#12
W
54-43
54
43
+11
A11/01
Premier league
90.3Avg total
47.1Scored
43.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)46.942.489.3+4.666%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.942.887.7+2.153%-
Last 30 away (14)49.141.991.1+7.279%-
Last 10 (9)47.143.290.3+3.967%-
Last 5 (5)48.043.491.4+4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (14)46.844.491.1+2.457%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)47.140.587.6+6.573%-
This opponent (Keflavik) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KeflavikLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Haukar
#10
W
54-44
54
44
+10
H03/11
Premier league
Hottur
#8
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A09/11
Premier league
Alftanes
#6
W
47-33
47
33
+14
H17/11
Premier league
Grindavik
#2
W
57-35
57
35
+22
A24/11
Premier league
Breidablik
#11
L
45-48
45
48
-3
H30/11
Premier league
Njardvik
#5
W
51-40
51
40
+11
A08/12
Premier league
Selfoss
#13
W
57-42
57
42
+15
A11/12
Icelandic Cup
Thorl
#4
L
48-60
48
60
-12
H15/12
Premier league
Hamar
#12
W
52-37
52
37
+15
H04/01
Premier league
Tindastoll
#9
L
53-58
53
58
-5
H10/01
Premier league
93.4Avg total
49.7Scored
43.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.245.392.5+2.050%-
Last 30 at home (14)48.646.094.6+2.650%-
Last 30 away (16)46.144.690.7+1.450%-
Last 10 (10)49.743.793.4+6.060%-
Last 5 (5)52.247.499.6+4.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)43.445.088.4-1.643%-
vs Similar (13)48.044.992.9+3.154%-
vs Weaker (9)48.046.394.3+1.744%-
This opponent (Valur) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Valurtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valur: 88.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.8 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.5 points a game
46%
38%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.519.1
49.6%
51.2%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.611.6
34.5%
34.2%34.8
🏀 Free throws21.015.3
72.9%
74.4%15.3
They take 72.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Keflaviktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Keflavik: 97.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.1 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.5 points a game
46%
38%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.921.5
58.3%
51.2%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.612.7
35.7%
34.2%38.1
🏀 Free throws22.616.4
72.6%
74.4%16.4
They take 72.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Valur
WWWWWWLWWL
Keflavik
WWLWWWWWLW
#1
League position
#3
+9.5
Net rating
+14.2
108.4
Offensive rating
113.8
99.0
Defensive rating
99.6
50.6%
Effective FG%
55.9%
48.4%
Opp. effective FG%
49.5%
14.2%
Turnover %
14.1%
26.7%
Off. rebound %
21.6%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.31
34.5%
3-point %
35.7%
59.9%
Assist %
50.6%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence108.4 · 113.8Defence99.0 · 99.6Shooting50.6% · 55.9%3-point %34.5% · 35.7%Ball care14.2% · 14.1%Off. rebounds26.7% · 21.6%Free throws0.29 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)80% · 80%
■ Valur   ■ Keflavik
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Valur wins
7
Keflavik wins
DateGameScore
19/10/23Keflavik v Valur87-86
10/03/23Keflavik v Valur80-111
02/12/22Valur v Keflavik75-100
05/03/22Valur v Keflavik88-74
19/11/21Keflavik v Valur79-78
07/05/21Keflavik v Valur101-82
12/02/21Valur v Keflavik85-72
29/01/20Valur v Keflavik68-96
31/10/19Keflavik v Valur92-82
10/03/19Keflavik v Valur101-77
Valurlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/01/24AHamar111-89
04/01/24HThorl90-82
14/12/23HNjardvik91-87
10/12/23AKV mfl.kk.128-89
07/12/23ABreidablik110-85
30/11/23HGrindavik96-83
23/11/23AAlftanes67-73
17/11/23HHottur80-69
10/11/23AHaukar127-124 OT
02/11/23HStjarnan77-86
Keflaviklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/01/24HTindastoll99-86
04/01/24HHamar100-88
15/12/23HThorl102-103
11/12/23ASelfoss103-87
08/12/23ANjardvik103-82
30/11/23HBreidablik100-86
24/11/23AGrindavik111-82
17/11/23HAlftanes97-78
09/11/23AHottur75-83
03/11/23HHaukar89-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valur
Premier league 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW77%
HomeLWWWW83%
AwayWWLWW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %77%83%71%
Points / game93.589.097.3
Allowed / game83.578.587.7
Point differential+10.0+10.5+9.6
Avg total176.9167.5185.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+46%50%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %8%0%14%
Keflavik
Premier league 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW69%
HomeWWLWW86%
AwayLLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %69%86%50%
Points / game95.696.394.8
Allowed / game88.887.690.3
Point differential+6.8+8.7+4.5
Avg total184.5183.9185.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+46%57%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)67% (3)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Valur1310377%93.583.5+10.0
2 Keflavik139469%95.688.8+6.8
3 Njardvik139469%93.988.0+5.9
4 Thorl139469%89.889.4+0.5
5 Alftanes138562%81.977.7+4.2
6 Tindastoll137654%86.483.8+2.5
7 Stjarnan137654%86.885.2+1.6
8 Grindavik137654%90.189.5+0.6
9 Hottur137654%83.083.5-0.5
10 Haukar1331023%88.290.4-2.2
11 Breidablik1321115%83.897.8-14.0
12 Hamar130130%83.999.5-15.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Valur28243221105
Keflavik1420282082
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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