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Houston Rockets vs Charlotte Hornets Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 06 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 99-109
26-29 23-32 26-30 24-18
Position#8
Record31-18
FormLWWWL
Points / game115.5
Allowed / game110.1
vs
Position#14
Record23-28
FormWWWWW
Points / game116.0
Allowed / game114.2
USANBA· Toyota Center
NBA2025-26
Meetings · Houston Rockets v Charlotte Hornets
26 Feb 2027
HOU v CHA
upcoming
05 Feb 2026
HOU99
CHA109
23 Oct 2024
HOU105
CHA110
01 Nov 2023
HOU128
CHA119
18 Jan 2023
HOU117
CHA122
27 Nov 2021
HOU146
CHA143
24 Mar 2021
HOU97
CHA122
04 Feb 2020
HOU125
CHA110
11 Mar 2019
HOU118
CHA106
13 Dec 2017
HOU108
CHA96
10 Jan 2017
HOU121
CHA114
21 Dec 2015
HOU102
CHA95
31 Dec 2014
HOU102
CHA83
30 Oct 2013
HOU96
CHA83
02 Feb 2013
HOU109
CHA95
14 Mar 2012
HOU107
CHA87
16 Mar 2011
HOU94
CHA78
09 Apr 2010
HOU97
CHA90
22 Feb 2009
HOU99
CHA78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Houston Rockets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Charlotte Hornets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Houston RocketsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRockets
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
119-110
119
110
+9
110avg 107
H19/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
111-106
111
106
+5
109avg 107
H21/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#15
L
122-128 OT
122
128
-6
112avg 107
A23/01
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
W
111-104
111
104
+7
105avg 107
A24/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
W
108-99
108
99
+9
107avg 107
H27/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
99-111
99
111
-12
82avg 107
H29/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
W
104-86
104
86
+18
98avg 107
A30/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
W
111-107
111
107
+4
101avg 107
H01/02
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#29
W
118-114
118
114
+4
113avg 107
A03/02
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
93-114
93
114
-21
76avg 107
H05/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-30
32-24
23-26
32-30
28-39
32-31
22-22
29-14
34-32
27-36
27-22
27-25
28-20
24-32
34-20
25-32
23-24
28-30
25-23
32-22
36-26
26-28
24-30
13-27
23-23
20-19
35-24
26-20
31-28
28-23
28-31
24-25
24-28
39-28
24-31
31-27
17-18
25-31
21-36
30-29
217.5Avg total
109.6Scored
107.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (49)115.5110.1225.6+5.463%
Season at home (22)114.4108.0222.4+6.377%
Season away (27)116.5111.8228.3+4.752%
Last 10 (10)109.6107.9217.5+1.770%
Last 5 (5)105.0106.4211.4-1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)91.0111.0202.0-20.00%
vs Similar ◀ (14)110.3106.2216.5+4.171%
vs Weaker (15)114.2113.4227.6+0.847%
This opponent (Charlotte Hornets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Charlotte HornetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHornets
Date
Competition
Golden State Warriors
#20
L
116-136
116
136
-20
107avg 104
A18/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
W
110-87
110
87
+23
112avg 104
A19/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
L
87-94
87
94
-7
67avg 104
H22/01
NBA
Orlando Magic
#13
W
124-97
124
97
+27
126avg 104
A23/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#30
W
119-115
119
115
+4
121avg 104
H24/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#15
W
130-93
130
93
+37
138avg 104
H26/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
W
112-97
112
97
+15
105avg 104
A29/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
W
123-121
123
121
+2
118avg 104
A30/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
111-106
111
106
+5
111avg 104
H31/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
102-95
102
95
+7
95avg 104
H02/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-39
29-30
37-43
22-24
33-18
27-16
27-23
23-30
20-33
12-23
32-20
23-18
35-20
27-21
35-26
27-30
35-34
31-24
27-23
26-34
28-22
41-22
40-15
21-34
36-28
26-27
28-20
22-22
33-20
26-38
34-35
30-28
26-30
35-17
24-28
26-31
23-30
26-34
29-18
24-13
217.5Avg total
113.4Scored
104.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (51)116.0114.2230.2+1.845%
Season at home (24)114.0113.8227.8+0.246%
Season away (27)117.7114.6232.3+3.144%
Last 10 (10)113.4104.1217.5+9.380%
Last 5 (5)115.6102.4218.0+13.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)124.097.0221.0+27.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (15)112.2108.5220.7+3.753%
vs Weaker (14)120.5112.9233.4+7.657%
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: +6.2+6.2Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: -2.0-2.0
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: +6.2+6.2Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: -2.0-2.0
Houston RocketsCharlotte Hornets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Houston RocketsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
64-54
64
54
+10
H19/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
60-70
60
70
-10
H21/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#15
L
61-68
61
68
-7
A23/01
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
D
52-52
52
52
+0
A24/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
L
51-54
51
54
-3
H27/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
62-54
62
54
+8
H29/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A30/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
W
59-51
59
51
+8
H01/02
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#29
W
63-56
63
56
+7
A03/02
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
42-49
42
49
-7
H05/02
NBA
110.7Avg total
55.7Scored
55.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.254.2110.4+2.047%-
Last 30 at home (14)56.854.9111.6+1.943%-
Last 30 away (16)55.653.6109.2+2.050%-
Last 10 (10)55.755.0110.7+0.750%-
Last 5 (5)53.850.4104.2+3.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)48.055.0103.0-7.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)55.054.2109.2+0.843%-
vs Weaker (15)57.854.1111.9+3.753%-
This opponent (Charlotte Hornets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Charlotte HornetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Golden State Warriors
#20
L
57-69
57
69
-12
A18/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
W
60-34
60
34
+26
A19/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
L
32-56
32
56
-24
H22/01
NBA
Orlando Magic
#13
W
62-41
62
41
+21
A23/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#30
W
66-58
66
58
+8
H24/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#15
W
69-44
69
44
+25
H26/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
W
62-55
62
55
+7
A29/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
W
59-58
59
58
+1
A30/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
61-47
61
47
+14
H31/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
L
49-64
49
64
-15
H02/02
NBA
110.3Avg total
57.7Scored
52.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.654.0112.7+4.663%-
Last 30 at home (13)59.757.8117.5+1.862%-
Last 30 away (17)57.851.1108.9+6.765%-
Last 10 (10)57.752.6110.3+5.170%-
Last 5 (5)60.053.6113.6+6.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)67.050.0117.0+17.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)55.550.9106.4+4.567%-
vs Weaker (14)61.457.6119.1+3.857%-
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Houston Rocketstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Houston Rockets: 109.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.4 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.330.2
49.3%
54.8%60.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.810.9
36.6%
35.8%32.7
🏀 Free throws23.016.5
71.7%
78.1%16.5
They take 91.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Charlotte Hornetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Charlotte Hornets: 113.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers43.5 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.026.6
56.6%
54.8%53.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.614.5
35.7%
35.8%43.5
🏀 Free throws20.516.7
81.5%
78.1%16.7
They take 87.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 40.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Feb 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Houston Rockets
LWWWLWWLWW
Charlotte Hornets
WWWWWWWLWL
#8
League position
#14
+1.7
Net rating
+9.5
110.4
Offensive rating
115.5
108.7
Defensive rating
106.1
51.1%
Effective FG%
55.2%
51.1%
Opp. effective FG%
51.7%
12.9%
Turnover %
15.5%
32.2%
Off. rebound %
31.3%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.23
36.6%
3-point %
35.7%
60.6%
Assist %
64.7%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence110.4 · 115.5Defence108.7 · 106.1Shooting51.1% · 55.2%3-point %36.6% · 35.7%Ball care12.9% · 15.5%Off. rebounds32.2% · 31.3%Free throws0.25 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)70% · 80%
■ Houston Rockets   ■ Charlotte Hornets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
05/02/26HBoston Celtics93-114
03/02/26AIndiana Pacers118-114
01/02/26HDallas Mavericks111-107
30/01/26AAtlanta Hawks104-86
29/01/26HSan Antonio Spurs99-111
27/01/26HMemphis Grizzlies108-99
24/01/26ADetroit Pistons111-104
23/01/26APhiladelphia 76ers122-128 OT
21/01/26HSan Antonio Spurs111-106
19/01/26HNew Orleans Pelicans119-110
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/02/26HNew Orleans Pelicans102-95
31/01/26HSan Antonio Spurs111-106
30/01/26ADallas Mavericks123-121
29/01/26AMemphis Grizzlies112-97
26/01/26HPhiladelphia 76ers130-93
24/01/26HWashington Wizards119-115
23/01/26AOrlando Magic124-97
22/01/26HCleveland Cavaliers87-94
19/01/26ADenver Nuggets110-87
18/01/26AGolden State Warriors116-136

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Houston Rockets
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL63%
HomeWWLWL77%
AwayLLWWW52%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games492227
Win %63%77%52%
Points / game115.5114.4116.5
Allowed / game110.1108.0111.8
Point differential+5.4+6.3+4.7
Avg total225.6222.4228.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%27%37%
Close games (≤5 pts) won53% (15)75% (8)29% (7)
Overtime %12%5%19%
Charlotte Hornets
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW45%
HomeLWWWW46%
AwayLWWWW44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games512427
Win %45%46%44%
Points / game116.0114.0117.7
Allowed / game114.2113.8114.6
Point differential+1.8+0.2+3.1
Avg total230.2227.8232.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%21%37%
Close games (≤5 pts) won27% (11)40% (5)17% (6)
Overtime %6%4%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma City Thunder50391178%120.0108.2+11.9
2 Detroit Pistons50371374%117.5110.3+7.2
3 San Antonio Spurs48321667%116.7111.7+5.0
4 Boston Celtics51331865%115.9108.6+7.3
5 Denver Nuggets52331963%120.1116.2+3.9
6 New York Knicks49311863%117.9112.2+5.7
7 Houston Rockets49311863%115.5110.1+5.4
8 Los Angeles Lakers48301862%116.2115.9+0.4
9 Phoenix Suns50311962%114.6111.1+3.5
10 Minnesota Timberwolves52322062%119.6114.8+4.9
11 Cleveland Cavaliers52312160%119.4115.8+3.7
12 Toronto Raptors52312160%114.2112.3+1.9
13 Philadelphia 76ers50292158%116.8115.3+1.6
14 Golden State Warriors51272453%116.2114.0+2.3
15 Miami Heat51272453%120.1118.0+2.1
16 Orlando Magic48252352%114.9115.3-0.4
17 Atlanta Hawks53262749%117.5118.3-0.8
18 Chicago Bulls52242846%117.0120.2-3.2
19 Los Angeles Clippers50232746%112.3113.1-0.8
20 Charlotte Hornets51232845%116.0114.2+1.8
21 Portland Trail Blazers51232845%115.3118.1-2.9
22 Memphis Grizzlies49202941%115.3117.0-1.7
23 Milwaukee Bucks49202941%112.1116.1-3.9
24 Dallas Mavericks50193138%113.8116.5-2.7
25 Utah Jazz52163631%118.3126.8-8.5
26 Washington Wizards50143628%112.3122.6-10.2
27 Brooklyn Nets50133726%106.9115.0-8.0
28 Indiana Pacers51133825%110.9118.7-7.7
29 New Orleans Pelicans53134025%114.5121.0-6.5
30 Sacramento Kings52124023%110.5120.5-10.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Houston Rockets2623262499
Charlotte Hornets29323018109
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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