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Atlanta Hawks vs Houston Rockets Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 30 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 86-104
23-23 19-20 24-35 20-26
Position#12
Record24-25
FormLWWWW
Points / game117.7
Allowed / game118.4
vs
Position#8
Record28-17
FormWLWWL
Points / game116.3
Allowed / game110.5
USANBA· State Farm Arena
NBA2025-26
Meetings · Atlanta Hawks v Houston Rockets
24 Oct 2026
ATL114
HOU121
29 Jan 2026
ATL86
HOU104
28 Jan 2025
ATL96
HOU100
10 Feb 2024
ATL122
HOU113
19 Oct 2022
ATL117
HOU107
13 Dec 2021
ATL126
HOU132
16 May 2021
ATL124
HOU95
08 Jan 2020
ATL115
HOU122
19 Mar 2019
ATL105
HOU121
03 Nov 2017
ATL104
HOU119
05 Nov 2016
ATL112
HOU97
19 Mar 2016
ATL109
HOU97
03 Mar 2015
ATL104
HOU96
10 Jan 2014
ATL83
HOU80
02 Nov 2012
ATL102
HOU109
15 Jan 2011
ATL106
HOU112
20 Nov 2009
ATL105
HOU103
03 Jan 2009
ATL103
HOU100
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Atlanta Hawks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Houston Rockets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Atlanta HawksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHawks
Date
Competition
Denver Nuggets
#6
W
110-87
110
87
+23
104avg 113
A10/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#20
W
124-111
124
111
+13
120avg 113
A12/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
L
116-141
116
141
-25
99avg 113
A14/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
L
101-117
101
117
-16
92avg 113
A16/01
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
106-132
106
132
-26
93avg 113
H18/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
L
110-112
110
112
-2
105avg 113
H19/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
W
124-122
124
122
+2
119avg 113
A22/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#16
W
110-103
110
103
+7
112avg 113
H24/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#29
W
132-116
132
116
+16
130avg 113
H26/01
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
W
117-106
117
106
+11
108avg 113
A29/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-28
28-22
16-25
36-12
27-28
32-25
35-25
30-33
30-37
30-44
26-21
30-39
25-33
31-21
31-34
14-29
23-30
28-52
23-35
32-15
19-20
19-34
34-26
38-32
31-32
35-27
28-36
30-27
27-31
37-28
20-32
26-12
34-38
26-26
35-28
37-24
38-18
22-28
27-30
30-30
229.7Avg total
115.0Scored
114.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (49)117.7118.4236.1-0.749%
Season at home (22)116.9119.1236.0-2.241%
Season away (27)118.4117.9236.3+0.656%
Last 10 (10)115.0114.7229.7+0.360%
Last 5 (5)118.6111.8230.4+6.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)112.4121.5233.9-9.125%
vs Similar ◀ (15)117.2119.7236.9-2.547%
vs Weaker (7)126.7120.6247.3+6.157%
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Houston RocketsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRockets
Date
Competition
Sacramento Kings
#27
L
98-111
98
111
-13
88avg 107
A12/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
W
119-113
119
113
+6
114avg 107
H14/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
91-111
91
111
-20
73avg 107
H16/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
W
110-105
110
105
+5
96avg 107
H17/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
119-110
119
110
+9
110avg 107
H19/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
111-106
111
106
+5
109avg 107
H21/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#15
L
122-128 OT
122
128
-6
112avg 107
A23/01
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
W
111-104
111
104
+7
105avg 107
A24/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
W
108-99
108
99
+9
107avg 107
H27/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
99-111
99
111
-12
82avg 107
H29/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-22
25-29
28-27
22-33
29-24
28-36
33-28
29-25
19-21
29-34
27-22
16-34
29-34
24-21
28-27
29-23
32-30
32-24
23-26
32-30
28-39
32-31
22-22
29-14
34-32
27-36
27-22
27-25
28-20
24-32
34-20
25-32
23-24
28-30
25-23
32-22
36-26
26-28
24-30
13-27
218.6Avg total
108.8Scored
109.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (45)116.3110.5226.9+5.862%
Season at home (20)115.6107.8223.4+7.880%
Season away (25)116.9112.7229.6+4.248%
Last 10 (10)108.8109.8218.6-1.060%
Last 5 (5)110.2109.6219.8+0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)91.0111.0202.0-20.00%
vs Similar ◀ (12)112.2107.2219.5+5.075%
vs Weaker (17)115.5112.3227.8+3.247%
This opponent (Atlanta Hawks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: +5.0+5.0Q4: -1.1-1.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: +5.0+5.0Q4: -1.1-1.1
Atlanta HawksHouston Rockets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Atlanta HawksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Denver Nuggets
#6
W
58-50
58
50
+8
A10/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#20
W
59-53
59
53
+6
A12/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
L
60-81
60
81
-21
A14/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
W
56-54
56
54
+2
A16/01
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
51-82
51
82
-31
H18/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
L
38-54
38
54
-16
H19/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
W
66-59
66
59
+7
A22/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#16
W
64-59
64
59
+5
H24/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#29
L
60-64
60
64
-4
H26/01
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
W
60-46
60
46
+14
A29/01
NBA
117.4Avg total
57.2Scored
60.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)59.661.1120.8-1.547%-
Last 30 at home (15)58.161.6119.7-3.540%-
Last 30 away (15)61.160.7121.8+0.553%-
Last 10 (10)57.260.2117.4-3.060%-
Last 5 (5)57.656.4114.0+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)56.662.5119.1-5.938%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)59.760.7120.5-1.047%-
vs Weaker (7)62.960.4123.3+2.457%-
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Houston RocketsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sacramento Kings
#27
L
48-51
48
51
-3
A12/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
L
57-60
57
60
-3
H14/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
48-55
48
55
-7
H16/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
L
53-55
53
55
-2
H17/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
64-54
64
54
+10
H19/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
60-70
60
70
-10
H21/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#15
L
61-68
61
68
-7
A23/01
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
D
52-52
52
52
+0
A24/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
L
51-54
51
54
-3
H27/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
62-54
62
54
+8
H29/01
NBA
112.9Avg total
55.6Scored
57.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.755.2111.8+1.540%-
Last 30 at home (13)57.355.4112.7+1.938%-
Last 30 away (17)56.255.0111.2+1.241%-
Last 10 (10)55.657.3112.9-1.720%-
Last 5 (5)57.259.6116.8-2.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)48.055.0103.0-7.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)57.155.7112.8+1.442%-
vs Weaker (17)56.954.8111.7+2.141%-
This opponent (Atlanta Hawks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Atlanta Hawkstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Atlanta Hawks: 115.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers46.2 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.527.5
53.4%
54.8%55.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers41.615.4
37.0%
35.8%46.2
🏀 Free throws18.013.8
76.7%
78.1%13.8
They take 93.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 41.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Houston Rocketstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Houston Rockets: 108.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.2 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.730.6
50.4%
54.8%61.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.510.2
34.6%
35.8%30.6
🏀 Free throws24.517.0
69.4%
78.1%17.0
They take 90.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Atlanta Hawks
WWWWLLLLWW
Houston Rockets
LWWLWWWLWL
#12
League position
#8
+0.3
Net rating
-1.0
111.9
Offensive rating
109.2
111.7
Defensive rating
110.2
54.4%
Effective FG%
50.9%
55.1%
Opp. effective FG%
51.9%
11.5%
Turnover %
13.4%
21.2%
Off. rebound %
31.8%
0.19
Free-throw rate
0.27
37.0%
3-point %
34.6%
71.1%
Assist %
58.8%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence111.9 · 109.2Defence111.7 · 110.2Shooting54.4% · 50.9%3-point %37.0% · 34.6%Ball care11.5% · 13.4%Off. rebounds21.2% · 31.8%Free throws0.19 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Atlanta Hawks   ■ Houston Rockets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Atlanta Hawks wins
4
Houston Rockets wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/01/26ABoston Celtics117-106
26/01/26HIndiana Pacers132-116
24/01/26HPhoenix Suns110-103
22/01/26AMemphis Grizzlies124-122
19/01/26HMilwaukee Bucks110-112
18/01/26HBoston Celtics106-132
16/01/26APortland Trail Blazers101-117
14/01/26ALos Angeles Lakers116-141
12/01/26AGolden State Warriors124-111
10/01/26ADenver Nuggets110-87
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/01/26HSan Antonio Spurs99-111
27/01/26HMemphis Grizzlies108-99
24/01/26ADetroit Pistons111-104
23/01/26APhiladelphia 76ers122-128 OT
21/01/26HSan Antonio Spurs111-106
19/01/26HNew Orleans Pelicans119-110
17/01/26HMinnesota Timberwolves110-105
16/01/26HOklahoma City Thunder91-111
14/01/26HChicago Bulls119-113
12/01/26ASacramento Kings98-111

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW49%
HomeWLLWW41%
AwayWLLWW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games492227
Win %49%41%56%
Points / game117.7116.9118.4
Allowed / game118.4119.1117.9
Point differential-0.7-2.2+0.6
Avg total236.1236.0236.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%23%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (14)29% (7)71% (7)
Overtime %2%0%4%
Houston Rockets
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL62%
HomeWWWWL80%
AwayLLLLW48%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games452025
Win %62%80%48%
Points / game116.3115.6116.9
Allowed / game110.5107.8112.7
Point differential+5.8+7.8+4.2
Avg total226.9223.4229.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%30%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won46% (13)71% (7)17% (6)
Overtime %13%5%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma City Thunder4637980%120.3108.0+12.4
2 Detroit Pistons45341176%117.2110.0+7.2
3 San Antonio Spurs45301567%117.0112.0+5.0
4 Denver Nuggets47311666%120.4116.0+4.3
5 Houston Rockets45281762%116.3110.5+5.8
6 Los Angeles Lakers45281762%115.8116.2-0.4
7 Boston Celtics47291862%116.4110.1+6.3
8 Phoenix Suns46281861%114.5111.0+3.5
9 Minnesota Timberwolves48291960%119.0114.1+4.8
10 Toronto Raptors48291960%113.8112.0+1.9
11 New York Knicks45271860%117.2112.7+4.5
12 Cleveland Cavaliers49292059%119.2116.1+3.1
13 Philadelphia 76ers47262155%116.5115.8+0.7
14 Golden State Warriors49272255%116.5113.6+2.9
15 Miami Heat47252253%120.1118.4+1.7
16 Orlando Magic44232152%115.3115.4-0.1
17 Atlanta Hawks49242549%117.7118.4-0.7
18 Chicago Bulls47232449%117.7119.8-2.1
19 Portland Trail Blazers48232548%115.5117.4-1.9
20 Los Angeles Clippers46222448%112.7112.8-0.1
21 Charlotte Hornets48202842%116.2114.6+1.6
22 Dallas Mavericks47192840%114.1116.6-2.5
23 Memphis Grizzlies45182740%114.8116.3-1.6
24 Milwaukee Bucks46182839%111.8115.8-4.0
25 Utah Jazz48153331%118.8127.8-9.0
26 Brooklyn Nets45123327%107.8114.9-7.1
27 Washington Wizards46123426%112.2122.3-10.1
28 Indiana Pacers48123625%110.3118.3-8.0
29 New Orleans Pelicans49123724%114.4121.2-6.8
30 Sacramento Kings49123724%110.5120.6-10.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Atlanta Hawks2319242086
Houston Rockets23203526104
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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