PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Houston Rockets vs Orlando Magic Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 11 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 97-84
23-19 28-27 24-16 22-22
Position#4
Record38-24
FormLLLWW
Points / game113.8
Allowed / game109.6
vs
Position#15
Record30-34
FormLLLLW
Points / game104.5
Allowed / game106.1
USANBA· Toyota Center
NBA2024-25
Meetings · Houston Rockets v Orlando Magic
29 Jan 2027
HOU v ORL
upcoming
16 Nov 2025
HOU117
ORL113
10 Mar 2025
HOU97
ORL84
09 Apr 2024
HOU118
ORL106
21 Dec 2022
HOU110
ORL116
03 Dec 2021
HOU118
ORL116
08 Jan 2021
HOU132
ORL90
08 Mar 2020
HOU106
ORL126
27 Jan 2019
HOU103
ORL98
30 Jan 2018
HOU114
ORL107
07 Feb 2017
HOU128
ORL104
04 Nov 2015
HOU119
ORL114
17 Mar 2015
HOU107
ORL94
08 Dec 2013
HOU98
ORL88
01 Apr 2013
HOU111
ORL103
22 Jan 2011
HOU104
ORL118
24 Feb 2010
HOU92
ORL110
07 Apr 2009
HOU93
ORL83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Houston Rockets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Orlando Magic winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Houston RocketsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRockets
Date
Competition
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
98-105
98
105
-7
88avg 105
H14/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
W
121-115
121
115
+6
112avg 105
H22/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#30
L
115-124
115
124
-9
103avg 105
A23/02
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#13
W
100-97
100
97
+3
89avg 105
H26/02
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#23
W
118-106
118
106
+12
110avg 105
H27/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#16
L
103-113
103
113
-10
89avg 105
H02/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
128-137
128
137
-9
114avg 105
A04/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#5
L
102-115
102
115
-13
89avg 105
A05/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#27
W
109-97
109
97
+12
110avg 105
A07/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#27
W
146-117
146
117
+29
144avg 105
H09/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-28
29-34
22-20
28-23
48-38
20-29
30-26
23-22
28-29
34-27
28-31
25-37
30-25
27-34
28-26
15-12
34-20
30-26
37-29
17-31
21-25
38-38
23-26
21-24
31-30
31-33
27-39
39-35
30-30
27-37
26-23
19-25
31-34
25-25
33-15
20-23
39-28
35-30
35-25
37-34
226.6Avg total
114.0Scored
112.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (62)113.8109.6223.4+4.261%
Season at home (30)112.6107.0219.6+5.667%
Season away (32)114.9112.1227.0+2.856%
Last 10 (10)114.0112.6226.6+1.450%
Last 5 (5)117.6115.8233.4+1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)121.5122.0243.5-0.575%
vs Similar (12)112.8113.8226.7-1.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)113.6108.8222.4+4.957%
This opponent (Orlando Magic) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Orlando MagicUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMagic
Date
Competition
Charlotte Hornets
#28
W
102-86
102
86
+16
93avg 97
H13/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#18
W
114-108
114
108
+6
103avg 97
A21/02
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#12
L
104-105
104
105
-1
94avg 97
H22/02
NBA
Washington Wizards
#29
W
110-90
110
90
+20
103avg 97
H23/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#2
L
82-122
82
122
-40
63avg 97
H26/02
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
115-121
115
121
-6
108avg 97
H28/02
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
L
102-104
102
104
-2
94avg 97
H02/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
L
113-114
113
114
-1
106avg 97
H05/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
L
123-125
123
125
-2
110avg 97
H07/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#13
W
111-109
111
109
+2
99avg 97
A09/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-20
16-26
33-19
25-21
21-33
38-25
31-23
24-27
22-29
31-24
30-27
21-25
27-29
22-18
32-17
29-26
16-34
27-23
23-35
16-30
34-23
32-29
21-40
28-29
19-27
28-21
25-33
30-23
22-22
32-27
19-31
40-34
35-33
31-36
35-27
22-29
34-20
26-27
30-29
21-33
216.0Avg total
107.6Scored
108.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (64)104.5106.1210.6-1.647%
Season at home (34)105.6104.3209.9+1.353%
Season away (30)103.3108.1211.4-4.840%
Last 10 (10)107.6108.4216.0-0.840%
Last 5 (5)112.8114.6227.4-1.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)92.2113.0205.2-20.80%
vs Similar (21)106.0111.1217.0-5.133%
vs Weaker (5)101.498.6200.0+2.860%
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: +2.9+2.9Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: -2.1-2.1
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: +2.9+2.9Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: -2.1-2.1
Houston RocketsOrlando Magic
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Houston RocketsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
48-62
48
62
-14
H14/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
W
68-67
68
67
+1
H22/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#30
W
62-56
62
56
+6
A23/02
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#13
L
57-59
57
59
-2
H26/02
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#23
W
64-46
64
46
+18
H27/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#16
L
59-63
59
63
-4
H02/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
62-63
62
63
-1
A04/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#5
L
57-67
57
67
-10
A05/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#27
L
56-59
56
59
-3
A07/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#27
W
74-58
74
58
+16
H09/03
NBA
120.7Avg total
60.7Scored
60.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.756.2113.9+1.553%-
Last 30 at home (13)56.855.8112.6+0.938%-
Last 30 away (17)58.456.5114.9+1.965%-
Last 10 (10)60.760.0120.7+0.740%-
Last 5 (5)61.662.0123.6-0.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)61.255.5116.8+5.875%-
vs Similar (12)61.858.8120.7+3.058%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)53.154.2107.4-1.143%-
This opponent (Orlando Magic) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Orlando MagicLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Charlotte Hornets
#28
L
44-46
44
46
-2
H13/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#18
W
59-58
59
58
+1
A21/02
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#12
D
53-53
53
53
+0
H22/02
NBA
Washington Wizards
#29
W
49-47
49
47
+2
H23/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#2
L
43-57
43
57
-14
H26/02
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
W
66-52
66
52
+14
H28/02
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
L
47-48
47
48
-1
H02/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
W
54-49
54
49
+5
H05/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
L
66-69
66
69
-3
H07/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#13
W
60-47
60
47
+13
A09/03
NBA
106.7Avg total
54.1Scored
52.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)51.953.2105.0-1.347%-
Last 30 at home (17)50.851.6102.4-0.941%-
Last 30 away (13)53.355.2108.5-1.854%-
Last 10 (10)54.152.6106.7+1.550%-
Last 5 (5)58.653.0111.6+5.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)47.257.0104.2-9.80%-
vs Similar (21)54.053.5107.6+0.557%-
vs Weaker (5)46.448.695.0-2.240%-
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Houston Rocketstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Houston Rockets: 114.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.4 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.7 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game
49%
36%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.830.7
52.2%
54.3%61.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.712.9
37.2%
35.9%38.7
🏀 Free throws20.513.9
67.8%
77.8%13.9
They take 93.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Orlando Magictheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Orlando Magic: 107.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game
49%
36%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.228.5
52.6%
54.3%57.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.99.9
32.0%
35.9%29.7
🏀 Free throws26.820.9
78.0%
77.8%20.9
They take 85.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Houston Rockets
WWLLLWWLWL
Orlando Magic
WLLLLLWLWW
#4
League position
#15
+1.4
Net rating
-0.6
111.3
Offensive rating
109.4
109.9
Defensive rating
110.1
53.5%
Effective FG%
50.9%
51.9%
Opp. effective FG%
52.9%
14.5%
Turnover %
12.0%
31.4%
Off. rebound %
23.8%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.31
37.2%
3-point %
32.0%
55.0%
Assist %
57.0%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence111.3 · 109.4Defence109.9 · 110.1Shooting53.5% · 50.9%3-point %37.2% · 32.0%Ball care14.5% · 12.0%Off. rebounds31.4% · 23.8%Free throws0.22 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Houston Rockets   ■ Orlando Magic
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Houston Rockets wins
4
Orlando Magic wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/03/25HNew Orleans Pelicans146-117
07/03/25ANew Orleans Pelicans109-97
05/03/25AIndiana Pacers102-115
04/03/25AOklahoma City Thunder128-137
02/03/25HSacramento Kings103-113
27/02/25HSan Antonio Spurs118-106
26/02/25HMilwaukee Bucks100-97
23/02/25AUtah Jazz115-124
22/02/25HMinnesota Timberwolves121-115
14/02/25HGolden State Warriors98-105
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/03/25AMilwaukee Bucks111-109
07/03/25HChicago Bulls123-125
05/03/25HToronto Raptors113-114
02/03/25HToronto Raptors102-104
28/02/25HGolden State Warriors115-121
26/02/25HCleveland Cavaliers82-122
23/02/25HWashington Wizards110-90
22/02/25HMemphis Grizzlies104-105
21/02/25AAtlanta Hawks114-108
13/02/25HCharlotte Hornets102-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Houston Rockets
NBA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW61%
HomeWWWLW67%
AwayLLLLW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games623032
Win %61%67%56%
Points / game113.8112.6114.9
Allowed / game109.6107.0112.1
Point differential+4.2+5.6+2.8
Avg total223.4219.6227.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%37%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (20)62% (8)58% (12)
Overtime %5%3%6%
Orlando Magic
NBA 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW47%
HomeLLLLL53%
AwayLWLWW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games643430
Win %47%53%40%
Points / game104.5105.6103.3
Allowed / game106.1104.3108.1
Point differential-1.6+1.3-4.8
Avg total210.6209.9211.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%26%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (18)54% (13)60% (5)
Overtime %2%0%3%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Cleveland Cavaliers64541084%122.9111.5+11.4
2 Oklahoma City Thunder62511182%119.7106.8+12.9
3 Boston Celtics65471872%116.9108.2+8.7
4 New York Knicks62402265%117.2112.9+4.3
5 Denver Nuggets64412364%121.2116.5+4.7
6 Los Angeles Lakers63402363%112.9111.1+1.7
7 Memphis Grizzlies64402462%122.7116.7+6.0
8 Houston Rockets62382461%113.8109.6+4.2
9 Golden State Warriors63362757%113.7111.5+2.2
10 Indiana Pacers62352756%116.6115.3+1.3
11 Minnesota Timberwolves66372956%112.8109.2+3.6
12 Milwaukee Bucks61342756%114.7112.7+2.0
13 Detroit Pistons65362955%114.7113.1+1.6
14 Los Angeles Clippers64352955%110.8108.7+2.2
15 Sacramento Kings63333052%116.8114.9+1.9
16 Dallas Mavericks64323250%114.7114.2+0.5
17 Atlanta Hawks63303348%117.7120.2-2.5
18 Orlando Magic64303447%104.5106.1-1.6
19 Phoenix Suns64303447%114.4116.5-2.0
20 Miami Heat64293545%110.0110.5-0.5
21 Portland Trail Blazers65283743%110.5114.4-4.0
22 San Antonio Spurs62263642%113.4115.8-2.4
23 Chicago Bulls64263841%116.6120.6-4.0
24 Philadelphia 76ers64224234%109.5114.4-4.9
25 Brooklyn Nets64224234%105.2111.6-6.3
26 Toronto Raptors65224334%110.7115.8-5.1
27 New Orleans Pelicans65174826%110.8119.1-8.3
28 Charlotte Hornets64164825%105.3112.8-7.5
29 Utah Jazz65155023%112.5119.8-7.2
30 Washington Wizards63135021%108.4120.5-12.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Houston Rockets2328242297
Orlando Magic1927162284
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.