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Milwaukee Bucks vs Orlando Magic Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 09 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 109-111
20-34 27-26 29-30 33-21
Position#13
Record34-25
FormLWWWW
Points / game115.0
Allowed / game112.8
vs
Position#15
Record29-34
FormLLLLL
Points / game104.4
Allowed / game106.0
USANBA· Fiserv Forum
NBA2024-25
Meetings · Milwaukee Bucks v Orlando Magic
16 Mar 2027
MIL v ORL
upcoming
08 Feb 2027
MIL v ORL
upcoming
08 Mar 2026
MIL91
ORL130
08 Mar 2025
MIL109
ORL111
15 Jan 2025
MIL122
ORL93
10 Dec 2024
MIL114
ORL109
10 Apr 2024
MIL117
ORL99
21 Dec 2023
MIL118
ORL114
01 Mar 2023
MIL139
ORL117
22 Nov 2021
MIL123
ORL92
20 Nov 2021
MIL117
ORL108
11 May 2021
MIL114
ORL102
29 Aug 2020
MIL118
ORL104
20 Aug 2020
MIL111
ORL96
18 Aug 2020
MIL110
ORL122
28 Dec 2019
MIL111
ORL100
09 Dec 2019
MIL110
ORL101
09 Feb 2019
MIL83
ORL103
27 Oct 2018
MIL113
ORL91
09 Apr 2018
MIL102
ORL86
10 Jan 2018
MIL110
ORL103
21 Nov 2016
MIL93
ORL89
01 Apr 2016
MIL113
ORL110
26 Jan 2016
MIL107
ORL100
04 Apr 2015
MIL90
ORL97
11 Mar 2015
MIL97
ORL91
10 Mar 2014
MIL105
ORL98
18 Feb 2014
MIL104
ORL100
17 Mar 2013
MIL115
ORL109
02 Feb 2013
MIL107
ORL98
20 Feb 2012
MIL90
ORL93
11 Feb 2012
MIL94
ORL99
16 Mar 2011
MIL89
ORL93
04 Dec 2010
MIL96
ORL85
28 Nov 2009
MIL98
ORL100
13 Apr 2009
MIL98
ORL80
18 Mar 2009
MIL80
ORL106
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Milwaukee Bucks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Orlando Magic winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Milwaukee BucksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBucks
Date
Competition
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
111-125
111
125
-14
100avg 107
H11/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
W
103-101
103
101
+2
97avg 107
A13/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
W
116-110
116
110
+6
110avg 107
H21/02
NBA
Washington Wizards
#29
W
104-101
104
101
+3
97avg 107
A22/02
NBA
Miami Heat
#20
W
120-113
120
113
+7
113avg 107
H23/02
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
L
97-100
97
100
-3
80avg 107
A26/02
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#9
W
121-112
121
112
+9
114avg 107
H28/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#17
W
132-117
132
117
+15
136avg 107
A02/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#18
W
127-121
127
121
+6
122avg 107
A05/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#17
W
137-107
137
107
+30
142avg 107
H06/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-29
24-29
32-31
28-36
36-24
15-26
19-19
33-32
28-29
29-21
23-39
36-21
19-32
31-24
34-19
20-26
23-37
32-28
30-28
35-20
25-30
34-27
26-28
12-15
30-30
24-27
30-24
37-31
31-36
40-27
30-16
31-38
37-33
29-33
26-29
35-26
43-30
29-23
34-26
31-28
227.5Avg total
116.8Scored
110.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (59)115.0112.8227.8+2.358%
Season at home (29)118.4111.2229.7+7.269%
Season away (30)111.7114.2226.0-2.547%
Last 10 (10)116.8110.7227.5+6.180%
Last 5 (5)122.8111.4234.2+11.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)96.0125.0221.0-29.00%
vs Similar ◀ (17)117.8113.5231.3+4.265%
vs Weaker (12)118.3113.1231.4+5.267%
This opponent (Orlando Magic) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Orlando MagicUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMagic
Date
Competition
Atlanta Hawks
#18
L
106-112
106
112
-6
98avg 97
H11/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
W
102-86
102
86
+16
93avg 97
H13/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#18
W
114-108
114
108
+6
103avg 97
A21/02
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#12
L
104-105
104
105
-1
94avg 97
H22/02
NBA
Washington Wizards
#29
W
110-90
110
90
+20
103avg 97
H23/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#2
L
82-122
82
122
-40
63avg 97
H26/02
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
115-121
115
121
-6
108avg 97
H28/02
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
L
102-104
102
104
-2
94avg 97
H02/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
L
113-114
113
114
-1
106avg 97
H05/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
L
123-125
123
125
-2
110avg 97
H07/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-25
35-25
25-33
24-29
28-20
16-26
33-19
25-21
21-33
38-25
31-23
24-27
22-29
31-24
30-27
21-25
27-29
22-18
32-17
29-26
16-34
27-23
23-35
16-30
34-23
32-29
21-40
28-29
19-27
28-21
25-33
30-23
22-22
32-27
19-31
40-34
35-33
31-36
35-27
22-29
215.8Avg total
107.1Scored
108.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (63)104.4106.0210.4-1.646%
Season at home (34)105.6104.3209.9+1.353%
Season away (29)103.0108.0211.1-5.038%
Last 10 (10)107.1108.7215.8-1.630%
Last 5 (5)107.0117.2224.2-10.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)92.2113.0205.2-20.80%
vs Similar ◀ (21)105.2110.9216.1-5.729%
vs Weaker (5)101.498.6200.0+2.860%
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: -2.9-2.9Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: +3.8+3.8Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: -1.4-1.4
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: -2.9-2.9Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: +3.8+3.8Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: -1.4-1.4
Milwaukee BucksOrlando Magic
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Milwaukee BucksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
51-58
51
58
-7
H11/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
W
51-50
51
50
+1
A13/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
W
57-50
57
50
+7
H21/02
NBA
Washington Wizards
#29
L
50-56
50
56
-6
A22/02
NBA
Miami Heat
#20
L
55-65
55
65
-10
H23/02
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
W
59-57
59
57
+2
A26/02
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#9
L
54-57
54
57
-3
H28/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#17
W
71-63
71
63
+8
A02/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#18
D
66-66
66
66
+0
A05/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#17
W
72-53
72
53
+19
H06/03
NBA
116.1Avg total
58.6Scored
57.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)61.357.7118.9+3.663%-
Last 30 at home (15)61.455.0116.4+6.467%-
Last 30 away (15)61.160.3121.5+0.860%-
Last 10 (10)58.657.5116.1+1.150%-
Last 5 (5)64.459.2123.6+5.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)44.078.0122.0-34.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)61.556.7118.2+4.865%-
vs Weaker (12)62.357.3119.7+5.067%-
This opponent (Orlando Magic) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Orlando MagicLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atlanta Hawks
#18
W
57-50
57
50
+7
H11/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
L
44-46
44
46
-2
H13/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#18
W
59-58
59
58
+1
A21/02
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#12
D
53-53
53
53
+0
H22/02
NBA
Washington Wizards
#29
W
49-47
49
47
+2
H23/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#2
L
43-57
43
57
-14
H26/02
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
W
66-52
66
52
+14
H28/02
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
L
47-48
47
48
-1
H02/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
W
54-49
54
49
+5
H05/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
L
66-69
66
69
-3
H07/03
NBA
106.7Avg total
53.8Scored
52.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)51.553.8105.3-2.343%-
Last 30 at home (17)50.851.6102.4-0.941%-
Last 30 away (13)52.556.5109.0-4.146%-
Last 10 (10)53.852.9106.7+0.950%-
Last 5 (5)55.255.0110.2+0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)47.257.0104.2-9.80%-
vs Similar ◀ (21)53.554.4107.9-0.952%-
vs Weaker (5)46.448.695.0-2.240%-
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Milwaukee Buckstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Milwaukee Bucks: 116.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.4 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game
49%
36%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.029.1
58.2%
54.3%58.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.912.8
35.7%
35.9%38.4
🏀 Free throws25.320.2
79.8%
77.8%20.2
They take 85.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Orlando Magictheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Orlando Magic: 107.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.4 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game
49%
36%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.028.0
51.9%
54.3%56.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.79.9
32.2%
35.9%29.7
🏀 Free throws27.321.4
78.4%
77.8%21.4
They take 84.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Milwaukee Bucks
WWWWLWWWWL
Orlando Magic
LLLLLWLWWL
#13
League position
#15
+5.9
Net rating
-1.4
112.6
Offensive rating
108.4
106.8
Defensive rating
109.8
56.2%
Effective FG%
50.6%
50.1%
Opp. effective FG%
52.5%
13.7%
Turnover %
12.7%
18.3%
Off. rebound %
24.2%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.32
35.7%
3-point %
32.2%
58.7%
Assist %
58.6%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence112.6 · 108.4Defence106.8 · 109.8Shooting56.2% · 50.6%3-point %35.7% · 32.2%Ball care13.7% · 12.7%Off. rebounds18.3% · 24.2%Free throws0.29 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)80% · 30%
■ Milwaukee Bucks   ■ Orlando Magic
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Milwaukee Bucks wins
2
Orlando Magic wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/03/25HDallas Mavericks137-107
05/03/25AAtlanta Hawks127-121
02/03/25ADallas Mavericks132-117
28/02/25HDenver Nuggets121-112
26/02/25AHouston Rockets97-100
23/02/25HMiami Heat120-113
22/02/25AWashington Wizards104-101
21/02/25HLos Angeles Clippers116-110
13/02/25AMinnesota Timberwolves103-101
11/02/25HGolden State Warriors111-125
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/25HChicago Bulls123-125
05/03/25HToronto Raptors113-114
02/03/25HToronto Raptors102-104
28/02/25HGolden State Warriors115-121
26/02/25HCleveland Cavaliers82-122
23/02/25HWashington Wizards110-90
22/02/25HMemphis Grizzlies104-105
21/02/25AAtlanta Hawks114-108
13/02/25HCharlotte Hornets102-86
11/02/25HAtlanta Hawks106-112

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
NBA 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW58%
HomeLWWWW69%
AwayWWLWW47%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games592930
Win %58%69%47%
Points / game115.0118.4111.7
Allowed / game112.8111.2114.2
Point differential+2.3+7.2-2.5
Avg total227.8229.7226.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+34%45%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (14)25% (4)50% (10)
Overtime %2%3%0%
Orlando Magic
NBA 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL46%
HomeLLLLL53%
AwayLLWLW38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633429
Win %46%53%38%
Points / game104.4105.6103.0
Allowed / game106.0104.3108.0
Point differential-1.6+1.3-5.0
Avg total210.4209.9211.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%26%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won53% (17)54% (13)50% (4)
Overtime %2%0%3%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Cleveland Cavaliers63531084%123.1111.7+11.4
2 Oklahoma City Thunder61501182%119.6106.9+12.8
3 Boston Celtics63451871%117.0108.3+8.7
4 Los Angeles Lakers61402166%113.1111.1+2.0
5 Denver Nuggets63412265%121.5116.3+5.2
6 New York Knicks62402265%117.2112.9+4.3
7 Memphis Grizzlies63392462%122.9116.9+6.0
8 Houston Rockets62382461%113.8109.6+4.2
9 Milwaukee Bucks59342558%115.0112.8+2.3
10 Golden State Warriors62352756%113.6111.5+2.1
11 Indiana Pacers62352756%116.6115.3+1.3
12 Detroit Pistons63352856%114.7113.1+1.6
13 Minnesota Timberwolves65362955%112.4109.0+3.4
14 Los Angeles Clippers63342954%110.8108.6+2.2
15 Sacramento Kings62332953%117.0115.0+2.0
16 Dallas Mavericks63323151%114.7114.0+0.7
17 Miami Heat62293347%110.1110.5-0.4
18 Atlanta Hawks62293347%117.5120.2-2.7
19 Orlando Magic63293446%104.4106.0-1.6
20 Phoenix Suns63293446%114.3116.5-2.2
21 Portland Trail Blazers64283644%110.4114.3-3.9
22 San Antonio Spurs61263543%113.2115.4-2.2
23 Chicago Bulls63253840%116.6120.8-4.2
24 Philadelphia 76ers62214134%109.0114.0-5.0
25 Brooklyn Nets63214233%105.1111.6-6.5
26 Toronto Raptors64214333%110.6116.0-5.4
27 New Orleans Pelicans64174727%110.9119.2-8.4
28 Utah Jazz63154824%112.4119.7-7.3
29 Charlotte Hornets63154824%105.3113.0-7.6
30 Washington Wizards62134921%108.5120.5-12.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Milwaukee Bucks20272933109
Orlando Magic34263021111
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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