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Houston Rockets vs Milwaukee Bucks Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 26 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 100-97
30-25 27-34 28-26 15-12
Position#4
Record34-21
FormWWLWL
Points / game113.6
Allowed / game109.3
vs
Position#13
Record30-24
FormLWWWW
Points / game114.3
Allowed / game112.9
USANBA· Toyota Center
NBA2024-25
Meetings · Houston Rockets v Milwaukee Bucks
16 Dec 2026
HOU v MIL
upcoming
01 Apr 2026
HOU119
MIL113
25 Feb 2025
HOU100
MIL97
06 Jan 2024
HOU112
MIL108
11 Dec 2022
HOU97
MIL92
10 Dec 2021
HOU114
MIL123
29 Apr 2021
HOU143
MIL136
02 Aug 2020
HOU120
MIL116
24 Oct 2019
HOU111
MIL117
09 Jan 2019
HOU109
MIL116
16 Dec 2017
HOU115
MIL111
18 Jan 2017
HOU111
MIL92
22 Jan 2016
HOU102
MIL98
06 Feb 2015
HOU117
MIL111
18 Jan 2014
HOU114
MIL104
27 Feb 2013
HOU107
MIL110
25 Jan 2012
HOU99
MIL105
17 Jan 2011
HOU93
MIL84
18 Jan 2010
HOU101
MIL98
31 Dec 2008
HOU85
MIL81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Houston Rockets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Milwaukee Bucks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Houston RocketsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRockets
Date
Competition
Brooklyn Nets
#25
L
98-110
98
110
-12
79avg 104
H02/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#6
L
118-124
118
124
-6
108avg 104
A04/02
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#25
L
97-99
97
99
-2
88avg 104
A05/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
L
114-127
114
127
-13
106avg 104
A07/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#17
L
105-116
105
116
-11
88avg 104
A08/02
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
W
94-87
94
87
+7
85avg 104
H09/02
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#22
W
119-111
119
111
+8
111avg 104
H13/02
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
98-105
98
105
-7
88avg 104
H14/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
W
121-115
121
115
+6
112avg 104
H22/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#30
L
115-124
115
124
-9
103avg 104
A23/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-26
15-27
26-30
34-27
27-25
30-27
32-26
29-46
23-22
23-22
21-27
30-28
33-32
38-34
27-26
16-35
20-33
28-32
33-24
24-27
18-22
19-20
21-21
36-24
32-34
19-23
33-35
35-19
19-28
29-34
22-20
28-23
48-38
20-29
30-26
23-22
28-29
34-27
28-31
25-37
219.7Avg total
107.9Scored
111.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (55)113.6109.3222.9+4.362%
Season at home (26)112.0106.8218.7+5.265%
Season away (29)115.1111.6226.7+3.559%
Last 10 (10)107.9111.8219.7-3.930%
Last 5 (5)109.4108.4217.8+1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)111.0115.0226.0-4.075%
vs Similar ◀ (11)114.9115.2230.1-0.345%
vs Weaker (15)112.1107.7219.7+4.460%
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Milwaukee BucksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBucks
Date
Competition
Memphis Grizzlies
#12
L
119-132
119
132
-13
110avg 106
H03/02
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
96-125
96
125
-29
77avg 106
A04/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
W
112-102
112
102
+10
112avg 106
A06/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#18
L
110-115
110
115
-5
100avg 106
A08/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#26
W
135-127
135
127
+8
126avg 106
H09/02
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
111-125
111
125
-14
100avg 106
H11/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
W
103-101
103
101
+2
97avg 106
A13/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
W
116-110
116
110
+6
110avg 106
H21/02
NBA
Washington Wizards
#29
W
104-101
104
101
+3
97avg 106
A22/02
NBA
Miami Heat
#20
W
120-113
120
113
+7
113avg 106
H23/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-31
30-25
41-37
20-39
22-39
22-39
31-38
21-9
38-26
28-30
20-21
26-25
26-36
47-19
17-37
20-23
40-39
25-24
38-28
32-36
27-29
24-29
32-31
28-36
36-24
15-26
19-19
33-32
28-29
29-21
23-39
36-21
19-32
31-24
34-19
20-26
23-37
32-28
30-28
35-20
227.7Avg total
112.6Scored
115.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (54)114.3112.9227.2+1.456%
Season at home (27)117.7111.4229.0+6.367%
Season away (27)111.0114.4225.4-3.444%
Last 10 (10)112.6115.1227.7-2.560%
Last 5 (5)110.8110.0220.8+0.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)96.0125.0221.0-29.00%
vs Similar ◀ (15)115.4112.8228.2+2.660%
vs Weaker (14)116.9112.1229.0+4.964%
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: -3.5-3.5Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: +0.4+0.4
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: -3.5-3.5Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: +0.4+0.4
Houston RocketsMilwaukee Bucks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Houston RocketsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brooklyn Nets
#25
L
38-53
38
53
-15
H02/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#6
W
57-52
57
52
+5
A04/02
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#25
W
46-44
46
44
+2
A05/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
W
71-66
71
66
+5
A07/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#17
L
48-65
48
65
-17
A08/02
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H09/02
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#22
L
51-57
51
57
-6
H13/02
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
48-62
48
62
-14
H14/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
W
68-67
68
67
+1
H22/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#30
W
62-56
62
56
+6
A23/02
NBA
109.0Avg total
52.6Scored
56.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.554.3110.8+2.257%-
Last 30 at home (13)54.155.9110.0-1.831%-
Last 30 away (17)58.453.1111.5+5.276%-
Last 10 (10)52.656.4109.0-3.850%-
Last 5 (5)53.256.8110.0-3.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)59.856.0115.8+3.875%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)61.857.9119.7+3.964%-
vs Weaker (15)51.751.3103.0+0.547%-
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Milwaukee BucksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Memphis Grizzlies
#12
W
58-56
58
56
+2
H03/02
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
44-78
44
78
-34
A04/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
W
66-56
66
56
+10
A06/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#18
W
73-55
73
55
+18
A08/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#26
W
65-63
65
63
+2
H09/02
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
51-58
51
58
-7
H11/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
W
51-50
51
50
+1
A13/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
W
57-50
57
50
+7
H21/02
NBA
Washington Wizards
#29
L
50-56
50
56
-6
A22/02
NBA
Miami Heat
#20
L
55-65
55
65
-10
H23/02
NBA
115.7Avg total
57.0Scored
58.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)60.356.9117.2+3.563%-
Last 30 at home (15)61.154.4115.5+6.773%-
Last 30 away (15)59.559.3118.9+0.253%-
Last 10 (10)57.058.7115.7-1.760%-
Last 5 (5)52.855.8108.6-3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)44.078.0122.0-34.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)59.755.9115.7+3.860%-
vs Weaker (14)62.156.4118.5+5.871%-
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Houston Rocketstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Houston Rockets: 107.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.8 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game
49%
36%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.328.6
49.1%
54.3%57.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.311.6
33.8%
35.9%34.8
🏀 Free throws22.715.9
70.0%
77.8%15.9
They take 92.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Milwaukee Buckstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Milwaukee Bucks: 112.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.8 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers46.8 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game
49%
36%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.024.9
53.0%
54.3%49.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.815.6
38.2%
35.9%46.8
🏀 Free throws20.816.0
76.9%
77.8%16.0
They take 87.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 40.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Feb 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Houston Rockets
LWLWWLLLLL
Milwaukee Bucks
WWWWLWLWLL
#4
League position
#13
-3.9
Net rating
-2.5
107.4
Offensive rating
110.5
111.3
Defensive rating
112.9
49.7%
Effective FG%
55.0%
52.3%
Opp. effective FG%
52.9%
13.0%
Turnover %
13.0%
30.0%
Off. rebound %
18.7%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.24
33.8%
3-point %
38.2%
59.5%
Assist %
62.2%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence107.4 · 110.5Defence111.3 · 112.9Shooting49.7% · 55.0%3-point %33.8% · 38.2%Ball care13.0% · 13.0%Off. rebounds30.0% · 18.7%Free throws0.25 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)30% · 60%
■ Houston Rockets   ■ Milwaukee Bucks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Houston Rockets wins
6
Milwaukee Bucks wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/02/25AUtah Jazz115-124
22/02/25HMinnesota Timberwolves121-115
14/02/25HGolden State Warriors98-105
13/02/25HPhoenix Suns119-111
09/02/25HToronto Raptors94-87
08/02/25ADallas Mavericks105-116
07/02/25AMinnesota Timberwolves114-127
05/02/25ABrooklyn Nets97-99
04/02/25ANew York Knicks118-124
02/02/25HBrooklyn Nets98-110
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/02/25HMiami Heat120-113
22/02/25AWashington Wizards104-101
21/02/25HLos Angeles Clippers116-110
13/02/25AMinnesota Timberwolves103-101
11/02/25HGolden State Warriors111-125
09/02/25HPhiladelphia 76ers135-127
08/02/25AAtlanta Hawks110-115
06/02/25ACharlotte Hornets112-102
04/02/25AOklahoma City Thunder96-125
03/02/25HMemphis Grizzlies119-132

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Houston Rockets
NBA 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL62%
HomeLWWLW65%
AwayLLLLL59%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games552629
Win %62%65%59%
Points / game113.6112.0115.1
Allowed / game109.3106.8111.6
Point differential+4.3+5.2+3.5
Avg total222.9218.7226.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%35%24%
Close games (≤5 pts) won58% (19)57% (7)58% (12)
Overtime %5%4%7%
Milwaukee Bucks
NBA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW56%
HomeLWLWW67%
AwayLWLWW44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games542727
Win %56%67%44%
Points / game114.3117.7111.0
Allowed / game112.9111.4114.4
Point differential+1.4+6.3-3.4
Avg total227.2229.0225.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%44%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won46% (13)25% (4)56% (9)
Overtime %2%4%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Cleveland Cavaliers58481083%122.9111.2+11.7
2 Oklahoma City Thunder55441180%118.6105.9+12.7
3 Boston Celtics58421672%117.2107.9+9.3
4 New York Knicks56371966%118.2113.2+5.0
5 Denver Nuggets58382066%121.3116.0+5.4
6 Memphis Grizzlies57372065%122.8116.0+6.8
7 Houston Rockets55342162%113.6109.3+4.3
8 Los Angeles Lakers55342162%113.1111.8+1.3
9 Indiana Pacers56322457%116.4115.6+0.8
10 Milwaukee Bucks54302456%114.3112.9+1.4
11 Detroit Pistons58322655%114.2113.3+0.9
12 Los Angeles Clippers57312654%110.7108.5+2.2
13 Dallas Mavericks57312654%115.6113.5+2.1
14 Minnesota Timberwolves59322754%112.1109.0+3.1
15 Golden State Warriors56302654%112.9111.8+1.2
16 Sacramento Kings57292851%116.9115.8+1.1
17 Orlando Magic59293049%103.8105.4-1.5
18 Phoenix Suns57273047%113.2115.3-2.1
19 Miami Heat56263046%109.7110.7-1.0
20 Atlanta Hawks56263046%117.1119.5-2.4
21 San Antonio Spurs55243144%112.7114.5-1.8
22 Portland Trail Blazers58253343%109.7114.2-4.5
23 Chicago Bulls58233540%116.4120.4-4.0
24 Brooklyn Nets57213637%104.8110.8-6.0
25 Philadelphia 76ers57203735%108.9113.5-4.6
26 Toronto Raptors58184031%110.7116.3-5.7
27 Charlotte Hornets56144225%105.6112.7-7.0
28 Utah Jazz57144325%112.4119.4-7.0
29 New Orleans Pelicans57144325%110.5118.9-8.4
30 Washington Wizards57104718%108.1121.1-13.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Houston Rockets30272815100
Milwaukee Bucks2534261297
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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