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Houston Rockets vs Minnesota Timberwolves Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 22 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 02:30
Final 121-115
48-38 20-29 30-26 23-22
Position#4
Record33-20
FormLLWWL
Points / game113.5
Allowed / game108.9
vs
Position#7
Record31-25
FormWWLLW
Points / game111.5
Allowed / game108.1
USANBA· Toyota Center
NBA2024-25
Meetings · Houston Rockets v Minnesota Timberwolves
05 Jan 2027
HOU v MIN
upcoming
04 Nov 2026
HOU v MIN
upcoming
10 Apr 2026
HOU132
MIN136
16 Jan 2026
HOU110
MIN105
21 Feb 2025
HOU121
MIN115
27 Dec 2024
HOU112
MIN113
05 Jan 2024
HOU95
MIN122
23 Jan 2023
HOU119
MIN114
08 Jan 2023
HOU96
MIN104
03 Apr 2022
HOU132
MIN139
09 Jan 2022
HOU123
MIN141
27 Apr 2021
HOU107
MIN114
10 Mar 2020
HOU117
MIN111
11 Jan 2020
HOU139
MIN109
17 Mar 2019
HOU117
MIN102
25 Apr 2018
HOU122
MIN104
18 Apr 2018
HOU102
MIN82
15 Apr 2018
HOU104
MIN101
23 Feb 2018
HOU120
MIN102
18 Jan 2018
HOU116
MIN98
12 Apr 2017
HOU123
MIN118
25 Feb 2017
HOU142
MIN130
18 Mar 2016
HOU116
MIN111
13 Jan 2016
HOU107
MIN104
27 Mar 2015
HOU120
MIN110
23 Feb 2015
HOU113
MIN102
20 Mar 2014
HOU129
MIN106
23 Nov 2013
HOU112
MIN101
15 Mar 2013
HOU108
MIN100
17 Feb 2012
HOU98
MIN111
30 Jan 2012
HOU108
MIN120
08 Feb 2011
HOU108
MIN112
07 Nov 2010
HOU120
MIN94
13 Jan 2010
HOU120
MIN114
20 Mar 2009
HOU107
MIN88
07 Feb 2009
HOU107
MIN90
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Houston Rockets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Minnesota Timberwolves winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Houston RocketsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRockets
Date
Competition
Atlanta Hawks
#18
W
100-96
100
96
+4
94avg 104
A29/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#12
L
119-120
119
120
-1
103avg 104
A31/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#25
L
98-110
98
110
-12
79avg 104
H02/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#6
L
118-124
118
124
-6
108avg 104
A04/02
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#25
L
97-99
97
99
-2
88avg 104
A05/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
L
114-127
114
127
-13
106avg 104
A07/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#17
L
105-116
105
116
-11
88avg 104
A08/02
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
W
94-87
94
87
+7
85avg 104
H09/02
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#22
W
119-111
119
111
+8
111avg 104
H13/02
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
98-105
98
105
-7
88avg 104
H14/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-27
27-23
33-23
18-23
38-33
28-23
30-36
23-28
23-26
15-27
26-30
34-27
27-25
30-27
32-26
29-46
23-22
23-22
21-27
30-28
33-32
38-34
27-26
16-35
20-33
28-32
33-24
24-27
18-22
19-20
21-21
36-24
32-34
19-23
33-35
35-19
19-28
29-34
22-20
28-23
215.7Avg total
106.2Scored
109.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (53)113.5108.9222.4+4.562%
Season at home (25)111.6106.4218.0+5.264%
Season away (28)115.1111.2226.3+3.961%
Last 10 (10)106.2109.5215.7-3.330%
Last 5 (5)106.0109.2215.2-3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)108.0114.2222.2-6.260%
vs Similar ◀ (10)114.3115.2229.5-0.940%
vs Weaker (15)113.3106.9220.2+6.367%
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTimberwolves
Date
Competition
Phoenix Suns
#22
W
121-113
121
113
+8
119avg 105
A30/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#30
W
138-113
138
113
+25
144avg 105
A31/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#29
L
103-105
103
105
-2
96avg 105
H02/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#16
L
114-116
114
116
-2
103avg 105
H04/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
127-108
127
108
+19
122avg 105
H06/02
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
W
127-114
127
114
+13
118avg 105
H07/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#21
W
114-98
114
98
+16
107avg 105
H09/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#2
L
107-128
107
128
-21
88avg 105
A11/02
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#13
L
101-103
101
103
-2
92avg 105
H13/02
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
W
116-101
116
101
+15
109avg 105
H14/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-29
33-30
26-18
40-36
27-31
30-22
44-22
37-38
26-27
31-31
20-25
26-22
34-38
25-29
27-21
28-28
39-30
23-30
32-30
33-18
32-33
34-38
26-27
35-16
24-22
23-38
29-24
38-14
12-30
32-36
34-38
29-24
24-36
26-15
19-19
32-33
37-24
27-32
33-31
19-14
226.7Avg total
116.8Scored
109.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (56)111.5108.1219.6+3.455%
Season at home (29)112.1107.7219.8+4.455%
Season away (27)110.9108.6219.4+2.356%
Last 10 (10)116.8109.9226.7+6.960%
Last 5 (5)113.0108.8221.8+4.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)112.0116.8228.8-4.820%
vs Similar ◀ (11)113.8111.0224.8+2.845%
vs Weaker (14)112.9105.5218.4+7.479%
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: +3.5+3.5Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: +7.4+7.4
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: +3.5+3.5Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: +7.4+7.4
Houston RocketsMinnesota Timberwolves
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Houston RocketsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atlanta Hawks
#18
L
49-50
49
50
-1
A29/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#12
W
66-56
66
56
+10
A31/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#25
L
38-53
38
53
-15
H02/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#6
W
57-52
57
52
+5
A04/02
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#25
W
46-44
46
44
+2
A05/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
W
71-66
71
66
+5
A07/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#17
L
48-65
48
65
-17
A08/02
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H09/02
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#22
L
51-57
51
57
-6
H13/02
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
48-62
48
62
-14
H14/02
NBA
105.8Avg total
51.1Scored
54.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.853.3109.1+2.457%-
Last 30 at home (13)53.954.8108.7-0.831%-
Last 30 away (17)57.252.2109.4+4.976%-
Last 10 (10)51.154.7105.8-3.640%-
Last 5 (5)51.058.4109.4-7.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)56.253.0109.2+3.280%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)61.257.0118.2+4.260%-
vs Weaker (15)52.051.0103.0+1.047%-
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Phoenix Suns
#22
L
55-59
55
59
-4
A30/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#30
W
57-53
57
53
+4
A31/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#29
L
57-58
57
58
-1
H02/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#16
L
59-67
59
67
-8
H04/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
62-60
62
60
+2
H06/02
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
L
66-71
66
71
-5
H07/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#21
L
47-60
47
60
-13
H09/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#2
L
44-66
44
66
-22
A11/02
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#13
L
50-51
50
51
-1
H13/02
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
W
64-56
64
56
+8
H14/02
NBA
116.2Avg total
56.1Scored
60.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.854.4109.2+0.353%-
Last 30 at home (16)55.957.2113.1-1.338%-
Last 30 away (14)53.551.3104.8+2.271%-
Last 10 (10)56.160.1116.2-4.030%-
Last 5 (5)54.260.8115.0-6.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)54.258.0112.2-3.840%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)54.055.7109.7-1.745%-
vs Weaker (14)55.652.1107.7+3.464%-
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Houston Rocketstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Houston Rockets: 106.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.8 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game
49%
36%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.228.9
49.7%
54.3%57.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.610.6
31.5%
35.9%31.8
🏀 Free throws22.516.6
73.8%
77.8%16.6
They take 91.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 116.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers41.4 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game
49%
36%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.028.1
54.0%
54.3%56.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.013.8
35.4%
35.9%41.4
🏀 Free throws23.219.2
82.8%
77.8%19.2
They take 91.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 39.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Feb 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Houston Rockets
LWWLLLLLLW
Minnesota Timberwolves
WLLWWWLLWW
#4
League position
#7
-3.3
Net rating
+6.9
106.3
Offensive rating
117.2
109.6
Defensive rating
110.3
48.8%
Effective FG%
53.6%
51.9%
Opp. effective FG%
53.8%
13.7%
Turnover %
12.3%
32.0%
Off. rebound %
29.7%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.25
31.5%
3-point %
35.4%
58.0%
Assist %
63.5%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence106.3 · 117.2Defence109.6 · 110.3Shooting48.8% · 53.6%3-point %31.5% · 35.4%Ball care13.7% · 12.3%Off. rebounds32.0% · 29.7%Free throws0.25 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)30% · 60%
■ Houston Rockets   ■ Minnesota Timberwolves
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
14/02/25HGolden State Warriors98-105
13/02/25HPhoenix Suns119-111
09/02/25HToronto Raptors94-87
08/02/25ADallas Mavericks105-116
07/02/25AMinnesota Timberwolves114-127
05/02/25ABrooklyn Nets97-99
04/02/25ANew York Knicks118-124
02/02/25HBrooklyn Nets98-110
31/01/25AMemphis Grizzlies119-120
29/01/25AAtlanta Hawks100-96
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/02/25HOklahoma City Thunder116-101
13/02/25HMilwaukee Bucks101-103
11/02/25ACleveland Cavaliers107-128
09/02/25HPortland Trail Blazers114-98
07/02/25HHouston Rockets127-114
06/02/25HChicago Bulls127-108
04/02/25HSacramento Kings114-116
02/02/25HWashington Wizards103-105
31/01/25AUtah Jazz138-113
30/01/25APhoenix Suns121-113

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Houston Rockets
NBA 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL62%
HomeWLWWL64%
AwayLLLLL61%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532528
Win %62%64%61%
Points / game113.5111.6115.1
Allowed / game108.9106.4111.2
Point differential+4.5+5.2+3.9
Avg total222.4218.0226.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%36%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won58% (19)57% (7)58% (12)
Overtime %6%4%7%
Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW55%
HomeWWWLW55%
AwayLWWWL56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games562927
Win %55%55%56%
Points / game111.5112.1110.9
Allowed / game108.1107.7108.6
Point differential+3.4+4.4+2.3
Avg total219.6219.8219.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%34%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won47% (19)42% (12)57% (7)
Overtime %4%3%4%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Cleveland Cavaliers56461082%122.8111.5+11.3
2 Oklahoma City Thunder52421081%118.0105.1+12.9
3 Boston Celtics56401671%117.3108.1+9.3
4 New York Knicks55371867%118.4113.1+5.3
5 Memphis Grizzlies56371966%122.8115.8+7.0
6 Denver Nuggets56371966%121.7115.8+5.8
7 Houston Rockets53332062%113.5108.9+4.5
8 Los Angeles Lakers54332161%112.9112.1+0.9
9 Indiana Pacers54312357%116.2115.6+0.7
10 Los Angeles Clippers55312456%110.9108.2+2.8
11 Minnesota Timberwolves56312555%111.5108.1+3.4
12 Dallas Mavericks56312555%115.8113.2+2.6
13 Milwaukee Bucks53292455%114.2112.9+1.3
14 Detroit Pistons56302654%113.8113.0+0.7
15 Golden State Warriors54282652%112.3112.0+0.3
16 Sacramento Kings55282751%116.8116.0+0.8
17 Orlando Magic57282949%104.1105.3-1.2
18 Miami Heat54262848%110.0110.7-0.7
19 Phoenix Suns55262947%113.1115.1-1.9
20 Atlanta Hawks54252946%117.0119.6-2.6
21 San Antonio Spurs54243044%113.0114.5-1.5
22 Portland Trail Blazers56233341%109.1114.7-5.7
23 Chicago Bulls56223439%115.9120.6-4.6
24 Philadelphia 76ers55203536%109.0113.1-4.1
25 Brooklyn Nets55203536%104.9111.0-6.1
26 Toronto Raptors56173930%110.6116.6-6.0
27 Charlotte Hornets54144026%106.3111.8-5.5
28 Utah Jazz54134124%112.3119.4-7.1
29 New Orleans Pelicans56134323%110.4119.3-8.8
30 Washington Wizards5594616%108.4121.7-13.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Houston Rockets48203023121
Minnesota Timberwolves38292622115
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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