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Denver Nuggets vs Houston Rockets Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 03 Dec 2016
Tip-off: 03:30
Final 110-128
33-42 30-31 21-26 26-29
Position#17
Record7-11
FormWLLWL
Points / game106.5
Allowed / game108.7
vs
Position#3
Record12-7
FormLWWLW
Points / game110.5
Allowed / game107.4
USANBA· Pepsi Center
NBA2016-17
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Houston Rockets
20 Nov 2026
DEN v HOU
upcoming
11 Mar 2026
DEN129
HOU93
20 Dec 2025
DEN101
HOU115
15 Dec 2025
DEN128
HOU125
15 Jan 2025
DEN108
HOU128
08 Dec 2023
DEN106
HOU114
29 Nov 2023
DEN134
HOU124
30 Nov 2022
DEN120
HOU100
28 Nov 2022
DEN129
HOU113
04 Mar 2022
DEN116
HOU101
06 Nov 2021
DEN95
HOU94
24 Apr 2021
DEN129
HOU116
28 Dec 2020
DEN124
HOU111
26 Jan 2020
DEN117
HOU110
20 Nov 2019
DEN105
HOU95
01 Feb 2019
DEN136
HOU122
13 Nov 2018
DEN99
HOU109
25 Feb 2018
DEN114
HOU119
18 Mar 2017
DEN105
HOU109
02 Dec 2016
DEN110
HOU128
14 Dec 2015
DEN114
HOU108
13 Nov 2015
DEN107
HOU98
07 Mar 2015
DEN100
HOU114
17 Dec 2014
DEN111
HOU115
09 Apr 2014
DEN123
HOU116
06 Apr 2013
DEN132
HOU114
30 Jan 2013
DEN118
HOU110
15 Apr 2012
DEN101
HOU86
06 Feb 2012
DEN90
HOU99
07 Feb 2011
DEN103
HOU108
03 Jan 2011
DEN113
HOU106
16 Dec 2009
DEN111
HOU101
09 Mar 2009
DEN95
HOU97
30 Nov 2008
DEN104
HOU94
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Houston Rockets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Detroit Pistons
#19
L
95-106
95
106
-11
80avg 96
H13/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
L
105-112
105
112
-7
90avg 96
A14/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#29
W
120-104
120
104
+16
113avg 96
H17/11
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#7
L
111-113 OT
111
113
-2
114avg 96
H19/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#8
W
105-91
105
91
+14
101avg 96
H21/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#15
W
110-107
110
107
+3
102avg 96
H23/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#8
L
83-108
83
108
-25
62avg 96
A24/11
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
L
129-132 OT
129
132
-3
125avg 96
H26/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#29
W
120-114
120
114
+6
111avg 96
A27/11
NBA
Miami Heat
#13
L
98-106
98
106
-8
93avg 96
H01/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-36
28-21
22-23
24-26
28-20
29-30
15-36
33-26
28-17
33-26
28-33
31-28
19-29
38-23
25-25
20-25
24-14
29-27
23-22
29-28
19-31
41-29
31-28
19-19
27-36
20-17
14-31
22-24
30-31
33-31
26-22
33-38
29-28
34-15
23-36
34-35
30-28
17-24
33-23
18-31
216.9Avg total
107.6Scored
109.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)106.5108.7215.2-2.239%
Season at home (9)109.1111.0220.1-1.933%
Season away (9)103.9106.4210.3-2.644%
Last 10 (10)107.6109.3216.9-1.740%
Last 5 (5)108.0113.4221.4-5.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)95.0112.7207.7-17.717%
vs Similar (20)103.7107.0210.6-3.330%
vs Weaker (4)115.0106.5221.5+8.5100%
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Houston RocketsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRockets
Date
Competition
Philadelphia 76ers
#27
W
115-88
115
88
+27
108avg 99
H15/11
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
L
103-105
103
105
-2
94avg 99
A17/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
W
126-109
126
109
+17
121avg 99
H18/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#8
W
111-102
111
102
+9
99avg 99
H19/11
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
W
99-96
99
96
+3
94avg 99
A22/11
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#7
L
102-115
102
115
-13
102avg 99
H24/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
W
117-104
117
104
+13
112avg 99
A26/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
W
130-114
130
114
+16
124avg 99
A28/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#8
L
101-120
101
120
-19
78avg 99
A30/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
W
132-127 OT
132
127
+5
119avg 99
A02/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
38-26
27-26
28-16
22-20
32-38
31-27
27-20
13-20
41-29
21-33
38-21
26-26
28-22
27-22
26-26
30-32
18-25
33-21
28-29
20-21
20-24
19-30
35-36
28-25
38-19
30-31
22-24
27-30
35-35
30-27
31-31
34-21
29-38
21-24
23-23
28-35
32-30
32-29
22-23
27-31
221.6Avg total
113.6Scored
108.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)110.5107.4217.8+3.163%
Season at home (6)107.8102.0209.8+5.867%
Season away (13)111.7109.8221.5+1.862%
Last 10 (10)113.6108.0221.6+5.670%
Last 5 (5)116.4116.0232.4+0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)100.9112.4213.3-11.643%
vs Similar (10)108.0105.0213.0+3.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)112.5105.5218.0+7.169%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: +5.9+5.9Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: -3.9-3.9Q3: +3.1+3.1Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: -0.6-0.6
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: +5.9+5.9Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: -3.9-3.9Q3: +3.1+3.1Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: -0.6-0.6
Denver NuggetsHouston Rockets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Detroit Pistons
#19
L
49-57
49
57
-8
H13/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
W
57-50
57
50
+7
A14/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#29
W
61-43
61
43
+18
H17/11
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#7
W
57-52
57
52
+5
H19/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#8
W
53-41
53
41
+12
H21/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#15
D
60-60
60
60
+0
H23/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#8
L
47-53
47
53
-6
A24/11
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
W
63-62
63
62
+1
H26/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#29
W
63-43
63
43
+20
A27/11
NBA
Miami Heat
#13
L
47-52
47
52
-5
H01/12
NBA
107.0Avg total
55.7Scored
51.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.553.5108.0+1.140%-
Last 30 at home (15)53.754.2107.9-0.540%-
Last 30 away (15)55.452.7108.1+2.740%-
Last 10 (10)55.751.3107.0+4.460%-
Last 5 (5)56.054.0110.0+2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)49.357.0106.3-7.70%-
vs Similar (20)55.254.2109.5+1.040%-
vs Weaker (4)58.844.2103.0+14.5100%-
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Houston RocketsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Philadelphia 76ers
#27
W
65-52
65
52
+13
H15/11
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
L
63-65
63
65
-2
A17/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
D
62-62
62
62
+0
H18/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#8
W
55-44
55
44
+11
H19/11
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
W
51-46
51
46
+5
A22/11
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#7
L
39-54
39
54
-15
H24/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
W
68-50
68
50
+18
A26/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
W
65-62
65
62
+3
A28/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#8
L
50-62
50
62
-12
A30/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
W
64-59
64
59
+5
A02/12
NBA
113.8Avg total
58.2Scored
55.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.555.1111.6+1.457%-
Last 30 at home (12)55.552.1107.6+3.458%-
Last 30 away (18)57.257.1114.2+0.156%-
Last 10 (10)58.255.6113.8+2.660%-
Last 5 (5)57.257.4114.6-0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)50.757.3108.0-6.629%-
vs Similar (10)53.852.2106.0+1.650%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)61.756.1117.8+5.677%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 107.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.6 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers65.430.3
46.3%
50.2%60.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.29.1
36.1%
35.7%27.3
🏀 Free throws27.219.7
72.4%
77.0%19.7
They take 90.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 28% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Houston Rocketstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Houston Rockets: 113.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers43.2 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.727.2
52.6%
50.2%54.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.714.4
38.2%
35.7%43.2
🏀 Free throws21.516.0
74.4%
77.0%16.0
They take 89.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 37.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Dec 2016 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
LWLLWWLWLL
Houston Rockets
WLWWLWWWLW
#17
League position
#3
-1.7
Net rating
+5.6
104.5
Offensive rating
113.0
106.1
Defensive rating
107.5
48.5%
Effective FG%
54.6%
49.8%
Opp. effective FG%
52.5%
13.6%
Turnover %
14.1%
27.6%
Off. rebound %
27.6%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.24
36.1%
3-point %
38.2%
58.9%
Assist %
58.4%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence104.5 · 113.0Defence106.1 · 107.5Shooting48.5% · 54.6%3-point %36.1% · 38.2%Ball care13.6% · 14.1%Off. rebounds27.6% · 27.6%Free throws0.30 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Houston Rockets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Denver Nuggets wins
6
Houston Rockets wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/12/16HMiami Heat98-106
27/11/16APhoenix Suns120-114
26/11/16HOklahoma City Thunder129-132 OT
24/11/16AUtah Jazz83-108
23/11/16HChicago Bulls110-107
21/11/16HUtah Jazz105-91
19/11/16HToronto Raptors111-113 OT
17/11/16HPhoenix Suns120-104
14/11/16APortland Trail Blazers105-112
13/11/16HDetroit Pistons95-106
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/12/16AGolden State Warriors132-127 OT
30/11/16AUtah Jazz101-120
28/11/16APortland Trail Blazers130-114
26/11/16ASacramento Kings117-104
24/11/16HToronto Raptors102-115
22/11/16ADetroit Pistons99-96
19/11/16HUtah Jazz111-102
18/11/16HPortland Trail Blazers126-109
17/11/16AOklahoma City Thunder103-105
15/11/16HPhiladelphia 76ers115-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL39%
HomeLWWLL33%
AwayWLLLW44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %39%33%44%
Points / game106.5109.1103.9
Allowed / game108.7111.0106.4
Point differential-2.2-1.9-2.6
Avg total215.2220.1210.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%22%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)25% (4)50% (4)
Overtime %17%33%0%
Houston Rockets
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW63%
HomeLWWWL67%
AwayWWWLW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19613
Win %63%67%62%
Points / game110.5107.8111.7
Allowed / game107.4102.0109.8
Point differential+3.1+5.8+1.8
Avg total217.8209.8221.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%33%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (1)75% (4)
Overtime %5%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors1916384%118.1106.3+11.8
2 San Antonio Spurs2016480%103.098.2+4.8
3 Los Angeles Clippers2116576%109.098.6+10.5
4 Cleveland Cavaliers1813572%110.0104.7+5.3
5 Toronto Raptors1913668%109.9103.1+6.8
6 Houston Rockets1912763%110.5107.4+3.1
7 Chicago Bulls1811761%104.899.2+5.6
8 Oklahoma City Thunder2012860%108.0105.8+2.2
9 Memphis Grizzlies2012860%97.298.2-1.1
10 Charlotte Hornets1911858%104.4102.0+2.4
11 Boston Celtics1911858%104.6103.7+0.8
12 Utah Jazz2011955%99.294.7+4.6
13 Milwaukee Bucks179853%103.2101.7+1.5
14 New York Knicks1910953%104.2106.9-2.7
15 Detroit Pistons21111052%100.496.9+3.5
16 Atlanta Hawks20101050%101.0101.0+0.0
17 Portland Trail Blazers20101050%110.8113.5-2.8
18 Los Angeles Lakers21101148%105.3109.7-4.4
19 Indiana Pacers1991047%103.8106.5-2.7
20 Orlando Magic2081240%93.097.3-4.3
21 Denver Nuggets1871139%106.5108.7-2.2
22 Miami Heat1971237%97.498.8-1.5
23 Sacramento Kings1971237%102.6104.8-2.2
24 New Orleans Pelicans2071335%102.5105.4-2.9
25 Washington Wizards1861233%102.9105.8-2.9
26 Phoenix Suns1961332%106.2111.9-5.7
27 Brooklyn Nets1851328%105.4114.3-8.8
28 Minnesota Timberwolves1951426%103.7104.8-1.2
29 Philadelphia 76ers1941521%97.4107.8-10.4
30 Dallas Mavericks1831517%91.099.8-8.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets33302126110
Houston Rockets42312629128
← all games of the day
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