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Houston Rockets vs San Antonio Spurs Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 29 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 02:30
Final 99-111
36-26 26-28 24-30 13-27
Position#8
Record28-16
FormWWLWW
Points / game116.7
Allowed / game110.5
vs
Position#2
Record29-15
FormWWLWL
Points / game117.2
Allowed / game112.3
USANBA· Toyota Center
NBA2025-26
Meetings · Houston Rockets v San Antonio Spurs
16 Mar 2027
HOU v SAS
upcoming
05 Mar 2027
HOU v SAS
upcoming
28 Jan 2026
HOU99
SAS111
20 Jan 2026
HOU111
SAS106
26 Feb 2025
HOU118
SAS106
06 Nov 2024
HOU127
SAS100
05 Mar 2024
HOU114
SAS101
11 Dec 2023
HOU93
SAS82
05 Mar 2023
HOU142
SAS110
19 Dec 2022
HOU105
SAS124
28 Mar 2022
HOU120
SAS123
25 Jan 2022
HOU104
SAS134
06 Feb 2021
HOU106
SAS111
17 Dec 2020
HOU128
SAS106
15 Dec 2020
HOU112
SAS98
08 Apr 2020
HOU v SAS
upcoming
16 Dec 2019
HOU109
SAS107
22 Mar 2019
HOU111
SAS105
22 Dec 2018
HOU108
SAS101
12 Mar 2018
HOU109
SAS93
15 Dec 2017
HOU124
SAS109
11 May 2017
HOU75
SAS114
07 May 2017
HOU125
SAS104
05 May 2017
HOU92
SAS103
20 Dec 2016
HOU100
SAS102
12 Nov 2016
HOU100
SAS106
27 Feb 2016
HOU94
SAS104
25 Dec 2015
HOU88
SAS84
10 Apr 2015
HOU103
SAS104
06 Nov 2014
HOU98
SAS81
14 Apr 2014
HOU104
SAS98
28 Jan 2014
HOU97
SAS90
24 Mar 2013
HOU96
SAS95
10 Dec 2012
HOU126
SAS134
21 Jan 2012
HOU105
SAS102
29 Dec 2011
HOU105
SAS85
17 Dec 2011
HOU101
SAS87
01 Apr 2011
HOU119
SAS114
12 Mar 2011
HOU107
SAS115
26 Feb 2010
HOU109
SAS104
27 Nov 2009
HOU84
SAS92
14 Mar 2009
HOU85
SAS88
29 Nov 2008
HOU103
SAS84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Houston Rockets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
San Antonio Spurs winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Houston RocketsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRockets
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
L
105-111
105
111
-6
93avg 107
A10/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
L
98-111
98
111
-13
88avg 107
A12/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
W
119-113
119
113
+6
114avg 107
H14/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
91-111
91
111
-20
73avg 107
H16/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
W
110-105
110
105
+5
96avg 107
H17/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
119-110
119
110
+9
110avg 107
H19/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
111-106
111
106
+5
109avg 107
H21/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#15
L
122-128 OT
122
128
-6
112avg 107
A23/01
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
W
111-104
111
104
+7
105avg 107
A24/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
W
108-99
108
99
+9
107avg 107
H27/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-28
27-27
32-22
17-34
23-22
25-29
28-27
22-33
29-24
28-36
33-28
29-25
19-21
29-34
27-22
16-34
29-34
24-21
28-27
29-23
32-30
32-24
23-26
32-30
28-39
32-31
22-22
29-14
34-32
27-36
27-22
27-25
28-20
24-32
34-20
25-32
23-24
28-30
25-23
32-22
219.2Avg total
109.4Scored
109.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (44)116.7110.5227.2+6.264%
Season at home (19)116.5107.6224.1+8.884%
Season away (25)116.9112.7229.6+4.248%
Last 10 (10)109.4109.8219.2-0.460%
Last 5 (5)114.2109.4223.6+4.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)91.0111.0202.0-20.00%
vs Similar ◀ (12)113.5105.7219.2+7.883%
vs Weaker (17)115.5112.3227.8+3.247%
This opponent (San Antonio Spurs) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
San Antonio SpursUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSpurs
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
W
107-91
107
91
+16
105avg 109
H08/01
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
W
100-95
100
95
+5
88avg 109
A11/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
L
103-104
103
104
-1
92avg 109
A12/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
98-119
98
119
-21
85avg 109
A14/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
W
119-101
119
101
+18
123avg 109
H16/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
W
126-123
126
123
+3
121avg 109
H18/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#26
W
123-110
123
110
+13
124avg 109
H19/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#8
L
106-111
106
111
-5
88avg 109
A21/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#26
W
126-109
126
109
+17
123avg 109
A23/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
L
95-104
95
104
-9
84avg 109
H26/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-23
22-20
31-25
28-23
21-26
29-29
23-20
27-20
31-24
24-18
30-29
18-33
26-32
26-23
24-40
22-24
31-27
35-26
40-16
13-32
21-22
48-22
27-40
30-39
34-26
27-31
35-23
27-30
39-28
31-32
22-22
14-29
31-31
34-22
32-39
29-17
28-25
19-31
21-26
27-22
217.0Avg total
110.3Scored
106.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (44)117.2112.3229.5+4.966%
Season at home (22)117.9111.4229.3+6.573%
Season away (22)116.5113.2229.7+3.259%
Last 10 (10)110.3106.7217.0+3.660%
Last 5 (5)115.2111.4226.6+3.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (7)117.7115.0232.7+2.771%
vs Weaker (23)116.4112.1228.5+4.361%
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q2: +4.1+4.1Q3Q3: +4.0+4.0Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: -3.4-3.4
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q2: +4.1+4.1Q3Q3: +4.0+4.0Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: -3.4-3.4
Houston RocketsSan Antonio Spurs
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Houston RocketsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
W
56-55
56
55
+1
A10/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
L
48-51
48
51
-3
A12/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
L
57-60
57
60
-3
H14/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
48-55
48
55
-7
H16/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
L
53-55
53
55
-2
H17/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
64-54
64
54
+10
H19/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
60-70
60
70
-10
H21/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#15
L
61-68
61
68
-7
A23/01
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
D
52-52
52
52
+0
A24/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
L
51-54
51
54
-3
H27/01
NBA
112.4Avg total
55.0Scored
57.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.655.0111.6+1.540%-
Last 30 at home (12)56.955.5112.4+1.433%-
Last 30 away (18)56.354.7111.1+1.644%-
Last 10 (10)55.057.4112.4-2.420%-
Last 5 (5)57.659.6117.2-2.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)48.055.0103.0-7.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)56.855.3112.2+1.542%-
vs Weaker (17)56.954.8111.7+2.141%-
This opponent (San Antonio Spurs) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
San Antonio SpursLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
W
48-43
48
43
+5
H08/01
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
50-55
50
55
-5
A11/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
W
55-42
55
42
+13
A12/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
52-55
52
55
-3
A14/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
W
66-53
66
53
+13
H16/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
W
69-44
69
44
+25
H18/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#26
W
61-57
61
57
+4
H19/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#8
W
70-60
70
60
+10
A21/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#26
W
65-53
65
53
+12
A23/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
L
47-56
47
56
-9
H26/01
NBA
110.1Avg total
58.3Scored
51.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)61.255.4116.6+5.873%-
Last 30 at home (13)59.456.3115.7+3.162%-
Last 30 away (17)62.554.7117.2+7.882%-
Last 10 (10)58.351.8110.1+6.570%-
Last 5 (5)62.454.0116.4+8.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (7)60.162.4122.6-2.329%-
vs Weaker (23)61.553.3114.7+8.287%-
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Houston Rocketstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Houston Rockets: 109.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.0 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.330.5
52.3%
54.8%61.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.610.4
32.9%
35.8%31.2
🏀 Free throws25.117.2
68.5%
78.1%17.2
They take 89.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
San Antonio Spurstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

San Antonio Spurs: 110.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.3 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.126.3
54.7%
54.8%52.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.413.1
33.2%
35.8%39.3
🏀 Free throws24.318.4
75.7%
78.1%18.4
They take 87.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 39.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Houston Rockets
WWLWWWLWLL
San Antonio Spurs
LWLWWWLLWW
#8
League position
#2
-0.4
Net rating
+3.6
110.0
Offensive rating
110.4
110.5
Defensive rating
106.8
51.3%
Effective FG%
52.5%
51.3%
Opp. effective FG%
50.8%
13.6%
Turnover %
11.7%
33.2%
Off. rebound %
22.6%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.28
32.9%
3-point %
33.2%
58.2%
Assist %
65.2%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence110.0 · 110.4Defence110.5 · 106.8Shooting51.3% · 52.5%3-point %32.9% · 33.2%Ball care13.6% · 11.7%Off. rebounds33.2% · 22.6%Free throws0.28 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Houston Rockets   ■ San Antonio Spurs
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
27/01/26HMemphis Grizzlies108-99
24/01/26ADetroit Pistons111-104
23/01/26APhiladelphia 76ers122-128 OT
21/01/26HSan Antonio Spurs111-106
19/01/26HNew Orleans Pelicans119-110
17/01/26HMinnesota Timberwolves110-105
16/01/26HOklahoma City Thunder91-111
14/01/26HChicago Bulls119-113
12/01/26ASacramento Kings98-111
10/01/26APortland Trail Blazers105-111
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/01/26HNew Orleans Pelicans95-104
23/01/26AUtah Jazz126-109
21/01/26AHouston Rockets106-111
19/01/26HUtah Jazz123-110
18/01/26HMinnesota Timberwolves126-123
16/01/26HMilwaukee Bucks119-101
14/01/26AOklahoma City Thunder98-119
12/01/26AMinnesota Timberwolves103-104
11/01/26ABoston Celtics100-95
08/01/26HLos Angeles Lakers107-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Houston Rockets
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW64%
HomeLWWWW84%
AwayLLLLW48%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games441925
Win %64%84%48%
Points / game116.7116.5116.9
Allowed / game110.5107.6112.7
Point differential+6.2+8.8+4.2
Avg total227.2224.1229.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+34%32%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won46% (13)71% (7)17% (6)
Overtime %14%5%20%
San Antonio Spurs
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL66%
HomeWWWWL73%
AwayWLLLW59%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games442222
Win %66%73%59%
Points / game117.2117.9116.5
Allowed / game112.3111.4113.2
Point differential+4.9+6.5+3.2
Avg total229.5229.3229.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%45%32%
Close games (≤5 pts) won53% (15)40% (5)60% (10)
Overtime %2%0%5%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma City Thunder4637980%120.3108.0+12.4
2 Detroit Pistons45341176%117.2110.0+7.2
3 Denver Nuggets47311666%120.4116.0+4.3
4 San Antonio Spurs44291566%117.2112.3+4.9
5 Houston Rockets44281664%116.7110.5+6.2
6 Los Angeles Lakers45281762%115.8116.2-0.4
7 Boston Celtics47291862%116.4110.1+6.3
8 Phoenix Suns46281861%114.5111.0+3.5
9 Minnesota Timberwolves48291960%119.0114.1+4.8
10 Toronto Raptors48291960%113.8112.0+1.9
11 New York Knicks45271860%117.2112.7+4.5
12 Cleveland Cavaliers49292059%119.2116.1+3.1
13 Golden State Warriors49272255%116.5113.6+2.9
14 Philadelphia 76ers46252154%116.6115.9+0.7
15 Miami Heat47252253%120.1118.4+1.7
16 Orlando Magic44232152%115.3115.4-0.1
17 Atlanta Hawks49242549%117.7118.4-0.7
18 Chicago Bulls47232449%117.7119.8-2.1
19 Portland Trail Blazers48232548%115.5117.4-1.9
20 Los Angeles Clippers46222448%112.7112.8-0.1
21 Charlotte Hornets48202842%116.2114.6+1.6
22 Dallas Mavericks47192840%114.1116.6-2.5
23 Memphis Grizzlies45182740%114.8116.3-1.6
24 Milwaukee Bucks45182740%112.1116.0-3.9
25 Utah Jazz48153331%118.8127.8-9.0
26 Brooklyn Nets45123327%107.8114.9-7.1
27 Indiana Pacers48123625%110.3118.3-8.0
28 Sacramento Kings48123625%110.5120.8-10.3
29 New Orleans Pelicans49123724%114.4121.2-6.8
30 Washington Wizards45113424%112.3122.8-10.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Houston Rockets3626241399
San Antonio Spurs26283027111
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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