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Minnesota Timberwolves vs Houston Rockets Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 18 Dec 2016
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 109-111 (OT)
24-28 33-16 23-23 15-28 14-16
Position#24
Record7-18
FormLLLLW
Points / game103.7
Allowed / game106.7
vs
Position#3
Record20-7
FormWWWWW
Points / game113.1
Allowed / game105.7
USANBA· Target Center
NBA2016-17
Meetings · Minnesota Timberwolves v Houston Rockets
20 Jan 2027
MIN v HOU
upcoming
25 Mar 2026
MIN110
HOU108
06 Feb 2025
MIN127
HOU114
26 Nov 2024
MIN111
HOU117
02 Apr 2024
MIN113
HOU106
04 Feb 2024
MIN111
HOU90
21 Jan 2023
MIN113
HOU104
05 Nov 2022
MIN129
HOU117
20 Oct 2021
MIN124
HOU106
27 Mar 2021
MIN107
HOU129
26 Mar 2021
MIN107
HOU101
24 Jan 2020
MIN124
HOU131
16 Nov 2019
MIN105
HOU125
13 Feb 2019
MIN121
HOU111
03 Dec 2018
MIN103
HOU91
23 Apr 2018
MIN100
HOU119
21 Apr 2018
MIN121
HOU105
18 Mar 2018
MIN120
HOU129
13 Feb 2018
MIN108
HOU126
11 Jan 2017
MIN119
HOU105
17 Dec 2016
MIN109
HOU111
11 Apr 2016
MIN105
HOU129
05 Dec 2014
MIN112
HOU114
12 Nov 2014
MIN101
HOU113
11 Apr 2014
MIN112
HOU110
10 Feb 2014
MIN89
HOU107
19 Jan 2013
MIN92
HOU79
26 Dec 2012
MIN84
HOU87
04 Feb 2012
MIN100
HOU91
23 Jan 2012
MIN92
HOU107
13 Apr 2011
MIN102
HOU121
24 Jan 2011
MIN125
HOU129
06 Mar 2010
MIN98
HOU112
18 Nov 2009
MIN84
HOU97
01 Mar 2009
MIN94
HOU105
20 Dec 2008
MIN102
HOU109
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minnesota Timberwolves winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Houston Rockets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTimberwolves
Date
Competition
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
102-115
102
115
-13
87avg 95
A27/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#8
L
103-112
103
112
-9
98avg 95
H29/11
NBA
New York Knicks
#25
L
104-106
104
106
-2
93avg 95
H01/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#25
L
114-118
114
118
-4
107avg 95
A03/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
W
125-120 OT
125
120
+5
117avg 95
A04/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
91-105
91
105
-14
79avg 95
H07/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#7
L
110-124
110
124
-14
100avg 95
A09/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
L
90-117
90
117
-27
79avg 95
H10/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
108-116
108
116
-8
100avg 95
H12/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#15
W
99-94
99
94
+5
93avg 95
A14/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-30
15-26
25-34
29-25
27-22
18-28
24-24
34-38
31-28
18-30
25-23
30-25
21-30
31-32
36-36
26-20
19-29
30-23
25-32
32-22
22-19
24-24
18-29
27-33
32-22
27-37
30-29
21-36
20-25
23-24
25-33
22-35
27-30
31-30
30-18
20-38
22-38
30-18
26-19
21-19
217.3Avg total
104.6Scored
112.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)103.7106.7210.4-3.028%
Season at home (12)104.3104.7209.0-0.325%
Season away (13)103.2108.6211.8-5.531%
Last 10 (10)104.6112.7217.3-8.120%
Last 5 (5)99.6111.2210.8-11.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)106.1115.4221.6-9.314%
vs Similar (18)103.8106.7210.5-2.933%
vs Weaker (5)113.299.2212.4+14.080%
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Houston RocketsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRockets
Date
Competition
Utah Jazz
#8
L
101-120
101
120
-19
78avg 100
A30/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
W
132-127 OT
132
127
+5
119avg 100
A02/12
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#17
W
128-110
128
110
+18
121avg 100
A03/12
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
W
107-106
107
106
+1
103avg 100
H06/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#28
W
134-95
134
95
+39
138avg 100
H08/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
W
102-99
102
99
+3
92avg 100
A10/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#22
W
109-87
109
87
+22
115avg 100
H11/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#30
W
122-118
122
118
+4
105avg 100
H13/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
W
132-98
132
98
+34
142avg 100
H15/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#21
W
122-100
122
100
+22
118avg 100
H17/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-38
21-24
23-23
28-35
32-30
32-29
22-23
27-31
42-33
31-30
26-21
29-26
26-17
32-31
19-35
30-23
43-27
24-28
39-22
28-18
25-23
30-26
31-28
16-22
36-27
24-22
26-20
23-18
29-24
24-19
37-42
32-33
36-25
28-18
38-24
30-31
35-24
37-26
25-29
25-21
224.9Avg total
118.9Scored
106.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)113.1105.7218.8+7.574%
Season at home (12)114.4101.3215.8+13.183%
Season away (15)112.1109.1221.3+3.067%
Last 10 (10)118.9106.0224.9+12.990%
Last 5 (5)117.4100.4217.8+17.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)101.0114.5215.5-13.550%
vs Similar (8)107.0110.2217.2-3.250%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)114.8102.4217.3+12.483%
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: +6.5+6.5Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: +3.0+3.0Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: -2.9-2.9Q4: +1.0+1.0
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: +6.5+6.5Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: +3.0+3.0Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: -2.9-2.9Q4: +1.0+1.0
Minnesota TimberwolvesHouston Rockets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
48-56
48
56
-8
A27/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#8
L
45-50
45
50
-5
H29/11
NBA
New York Knicks
#25
L
49-58
49
58
-9
H01/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#25
L
52-62
52
62
-10
A03/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
L
49-52
49
52
-3
A04/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H07/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#7
D
59-59
59
59
+0
A09/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
L
43-49
43
49
-6
H10/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
58-60
58
60
-2
H12/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#15
L
52-56
52
56
-4
A14/12
NBA
104.6Avg total
50.1Scored
54.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.852.0106.8+2.843%-
Last 30 at home (14)55.349.7105.0+5.657%-
Last 30 away (16)54.354.0108.3+0.331%-
Last 10 (10)50.154.5104.6-4.410%-
Last 5 (5)51.653.4105.0-1.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)50.454.7105.1-4.314%-
vs Similar (18)54.151.8105.9+2.350%-
vs Weaker (5)63.248.8112.0+14.460%-
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Houston RocketsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah Jazz
#8
L
50-62
50
62
-12
A30/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
W
64-59
64
59
+5
A02/12
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#17
W
73-63
73
63
+10
A03/12
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
W
58-48
58
48
+10
H06/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#28
W
67-55
67
55
+12
H08/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
W
55-49
55
49
+6
A10/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#22
W
60-49
60
49
+11
H11/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#30
W
53-43
53
43
+10
H13/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
W
64-43
64
43
+21
H15/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#21
W
72-50
72
50
+22
H17/12
NBA
113.7Avg total
61.6Scored
52.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.854.0112.8+4.870%-
Last 30 at home (14)57.850.4108.2+7.471%-
Last 30 away (16)59.657.1116.8+2.569%-
Last 10 (10)61.652.1113.7+9.590%-
Last 5 (5)60.846.8107.6+14.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)53.055.5108.5-2.550%-
vs Similar (8)52.553.4105.9-0.950%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)62.853.9116.8+8.983%-
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 104.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀61%
🏀🏀🏀22%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers63.4 pts a game · 61% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 22% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.931.7
51.2%
50.2%63.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.77.5
31.6%
35.7%22.5
🏀 Free throws23.318.7
80.3%
77.0%18.7
They take 85.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 28% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Houston Rocketstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Houston Rockets: 118.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers48.6 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.326.0
53.8%
50.2%52.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers41.016.2
39.5%
35.7%48.6
🏀 Free throws25.218.3
72.6%
77.0%18.3
They take 89.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 41.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Dec 2016 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Minnesota Timberwolves
WLLLLWLLLL
Houston Rockets
WWWWWWWWWL
#24
League position
#3
-8.4
Net rating
+12.5
107.8
Offensive rating
115.0
116.2
Defensive rating
102.5
50.2%
Effective FG%
56.3%
54.5%
Opp. effective FG%
49.2%
13.8%
Turnover %
14.3%
28.0%
Off. rebound %
27.1%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.28
31.6%
3-point %
39.5%
56.1%
Assist %
63.3%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence107.8 · 115.0Defence116.2 · 102.5Shooting50.2% · 56.3%3-point %31.6% · 39.5%Ball care13.8% · 14.3%Off. rebounds28.0% · 27.1%Free throws0.27 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)20% · 90%
■ Minnesota Timberwolves   ■ Houston Rockets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
14/12/16AChicago Bulls99-94
12/12/16HGolden State Warriors108-116
10/12/16HDetroit Pistons90-117
09/12/16AToronto Raptors110-124
07/12/16HSan Antonio Spurs91-105
04/12/16ACharlotte Hornets125-120 OT
03/12/16ANew York Knicks114-118
01/12/16HNew York Knicks104-106
29/11/16HUtah Jazz103-112
27/11/16AGolden State Warriors102-115
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/12/16HNew Orleans Pelicans122-100
15/12/16HSacramento Kings132-98
13/12/16HBrooklyn Nets122-118
11/12/16HDallas Mavericks109-87
10/12/16AOklahoma City Thunder102-99
08/12/16HLos Angeles Lakers134-95
06/12/16HBoston Celtics107-106
03/12/16ADenver Nuggets128-110
02/12/16AGolden State Warriors132-127 OT
30/11/16AUtah Jazz101-120

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW28%
HomeLLLLL25%
AwayLLWLW31%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251213
Win %28%25%31%
Points / game103.7104.3103.2
Allowed / game106.7104.7108.6
Point differential-3.0-0.3-5.5
Avg total210.4209.0211.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%25%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)0% (2)40% (5)
Overtime %4%0%8%
Houston Rockets
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW74%
HomeWWWWW83%
AwayWLWWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271215
Win %74%83%67%
Points / game113.1114.4112.1
Allowed / game105.7101.3109.1
Point differential+7.5+13.1+3.0
Avg total218.8215.8221.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+37%50%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won88% (8)100% (3)80% (5)
Overtime %4%0%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors2723485%117.3105.5+11.7
2 San Antonio Spurs2621581%103.797.7+6.0
3 Cleveland Cavaliers2519676%110.4102.6+7.7
4 Los Angeles Clippers2720774%109.6101.0+8.6
5 Houston Rockets2720774%113.1105.7+7.5
6 Toronto Raptors2618869%112.3103.9+8.4
7 Memphis Grizzlies28181064%97.297.2-0.0
8 Utah Jazz27171063%100.995.4+5.5
9 Oklahoma City Thunder27161159%105.9104.7+1.1
10 Boston Celtics26141254%104.0102.6+1.4
11 New York Knicks26141254%104.5107.2-2.7
12 Charlotte Hornets28151354%103.9102.1+1.8
13 Milwaukee Bucks25131252%103.8101.9+1.9
14 Chicago Bulls26131350%101.1100.0+1.2
15 Indiana Pacers28141450%104.2105.9-1.6
16 Detroit Pistons29141548%98.996.9+2.0
17 Atlanta Hawks27131448%102.4104.2-1.9
18 Portland Trail Blazers28131546%110.1112.2-2.0
19 Washington Wizards25111444%104.8106.3-1.5
20 Orlando Magic28121643%97.4101.6-4.2
21 Sacramento Kings26101638%102.3104.2-1.8
22 Denver Nuggets26101638%106.6109.3-2.7
23 Los Angeles Lakers30111937%104.4110.5-6.1
24 Miami Heat2791833%97.4100.2-2.8
25 New Orleans Pelicans2891932%102.6107.1-4.5
26 Phoenix Suns2781930%106.3113.0-6.7
27 Minnesota Timberwolves2571828%103.7106.7-3.0
28 Brooklyn Nets2571828%106.7114.6-7.9
29 Dallas Mavericks2662023%93.5100.4-6.9
30 Philadelphia 76ers2662023%97.9105.7-7.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Minnesota Timberwolves2433231514109
Houston Rockets2816232816111
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