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Houston Rockets vs Dallas Mavericks Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 11 Dec 2016
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 109-87
36-27 24-22 26-20 23-18
Position#3
Record16-7
FormWWWWW
Points / game111.7
Allowed / game106.5
vs
Position#22
Record5-17
FormLWLLW
Points / game93.0
Allowed / game100.5
USANBA· Toyota Center
NBA2016-17
Meetings · Houston Rockets v Dallas Mavericks
01 Jan 2027
HOU v DAL
upcoming
21 Oct 2026
HOU128
DAL110
31 Jan 2026
HOU111
DAL107
03 Nov 2025
HOU110
DAL102
14 Mar 2025
HOU133
DAL96
01 Jan 2025
HOU110
DAL99
31 Mar 2024
HOU107
DAL125
22 Dec 2023
HOU122
DAL96
02 Jan 2023
HOU106
DAL111
23 Dec 2022
HOU106
DAL112
11 Mar 2022
HOU100
DAL113
07 Jan 2022
HOU106
DAL130
07 Apr 2021
HOU102
DAL93
04 Jan 2021
HOU100
DAL113
31 Jan 2020
HOU128
DAL121
24 Nov 2019
HOU123
DAL137
11 Feb 2019
HOU120
DAL104
28 Nov 2018
HOU108
DAL128
11 Feb 2018
HOU104
DAL97
21 Oct 2017
HOU107
DAL91
10 Dec 2016
HOU109
DAL87
30 Oct 2016
HOU93
DAL92
24 Jan 2016
HOU115
DAL104
14 Nov 2015
HOU98
DAL110
28 Apr 2015
HOU103
DAL94
21 Apr 2015
HOU111
DAL99
18 Apr 2015
HOU118
DAL108
28 Jan 2015
HOU99
DAL94
22 Nov 2014
HOU95
DAL92
23 Dec 2013
HOU104
DAL111
01 Nov 2013
HOU113
DAL105
03 Mar 2013
HOU136
DAL103
08 Dec 2012
HOU109
DAL116
24 Mar 2012
HOU99
DAL101
11 Apr 2011
HOU91
DAL98
12 Feb 2011
HOU102
DAL106
31 Dec 2009
HOU97
DAL94
25 Nov 2009
HOU99
DAL130
20 Feb 2009
HOU93
DAL86
19 Nov 2008
HOU86
DAL96
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Houston Rockets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Dallas Mavericks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Houston RocketsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRockets
Date
Competition
Detroit Pistons
#19
W
99-96
99
96
+3
94avg 99
A22/11
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#7
L
102-115
102
115
-13
102avg 99
H24/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
W
117-104
117
104
+13
112avg 99
A26/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
W
130-114
130
114
+16
124avg 99
A28/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#8
L
101-120
101
120
-19
78avg 99
A30/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
W
132-127 OT
132
127
+5
119avg 99
A02/12
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#17
W
128-110
128
110
+18
121avg 99
A03/12
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
W
107-106
107
106
+1
103avg 99
H06/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#28
W
134-95
134
95
+39
138avg 99
H08/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
W
102-99
102
99
+3
92avg 99
A10/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-25
33-21
28-29
20-21
20-24
19-30
35-36
28-25
38-19
30-31
22-24
27-30
35-35
30-27
31-31
34-21
29-38
21-24
23-23
28-35
32-30
32-29
22-23
27-31
42-33
31-30
26-21
29-26
26-17
32-31
19-35
30-23
43-27
24-28
39-22
28-18
25-23
30-26
31-28
16-22
223.8Avg total
115.2Scored
108.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)111.7106.5218.3+5.270%
Season at home (8)111.0101.6212.6+9.475%
Season away (15)112.1109.1221.3+3.067%
Last 10 (10)115.2108.6223.8+6.680%
Last 5 (5)120.6107.4228.0+13.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)98.0112.8210.8-14.833%
vs Similar (10)110.1106.8216.9+3.360%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)113.0102.9215.9+10.179%
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dallas MavericksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMavericks
Date
Competition
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
91-96
91
96
-5
82avg 89
A22/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
L
104-124
104
124
-20
98avg 89
H24/11
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#4
L
90-128
90
128
-38
79avg 89
A26/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#21
W
91-81
91
81
+10
85avg 89
H28/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
87-94
87
94
-7
75avg 89
H01/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
L
87-97
87
97
-10
71avg 89
A02/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#15
W
107-82
107
82
+25
103avg 89
H04/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
L
101-109
101
109
-8
86avg 89
H06/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
L
89-120
89
120
-31
77avg 89
H08/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#16
W
111-103
111
103
+8
101avg 89
H10/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-24
21-24
24-25
18-23
26-32
19-36
25-25
34-31
16-36
22-36
17-24
35-32
26-20
18-22
16-18
31-21
17-21
23-22
26-18
21-33
14-23
27-21
19-24
27-29
29-18
28-27
25-21
25-16
23-23
27-25
28-27
23-34
23-26
29-30
12-29
25-35
25-27
29-25
31-25
26-26
199.2Avg total
95.8Scored
103.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)93.0100.5193.5-7.523%
Season at home (11)93.998.1192.0-4.236%
Season away (11)92.1102.9195.0-10.89%
Last 10 (10)95.8103.4199.2-7.630%
Last 5 (5)99.0102.2201.2-3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)92.0106.1198.1-14.16%
vs Similar (14)94.797.1191.8-2.443%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.7+3.7Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: -2.5-2.5Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: -1.5-1.5
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.7+3.7Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: -2.5-2.5Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: -1.5-1.5
Houston RocketsDallas Mavericks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Houston RocketsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Detroit Pistons
#19
W
51-46
51
46
+5
A22/11
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#7
L
39-54
39
54
-15
H24/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
W
68-50
68
50
+18
A26/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
W
65-62
65
62
+3
A28/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#8
L
50-62
50
62
-12
A30/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
W
64-59
64
59
+5
A02/12
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#17
W
73-63
73
63
+10
A03/12
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
W
58-48
58
48
+10
H06/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#28
W
67-55
67
55
+12
H08/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
W
55-49
55
49
+6
A10/12
NBA
113.8Avg total
59.0Scored
54.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.955.1113.0+2.863%-
Last 30 at home (11)56.751.4108.1+5.464%-
Last 30 away (19)58.657.2115.8+1.463%-
Last 10 (10)59.054.8113.8+4.280%-
Last 5 (5)63.454.8118.2+8.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)50.558.0108.5-7.533%-
vs Similar (10)55.251.8107.0+3.460%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)63.056.1119.1+6.979%-
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dallas MavericksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
49-48
49
48
+1
A22/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
L
45-68
45
68
-23
H24/11
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#4
L
38-72
38
72
-34
A26/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#21
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H28/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H01/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A02/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#15
W
57-45
57
45
+12
H04/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
W
50-48
50
48
+2
H06/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
L
52-56
52
56
-4
H08/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#16
W
54-52
54
52
+2
H10/12
NBA
98.8Avg total
47.0Scored
51.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.050.696.5-4.640%-
Last 30 at home (14)47.748.996.6-1.243%-
Last 30 away (16)44.452.096.4-7.638%-
Last 10 (10)47.051.898.8-4.850%-
Last 5 (5)50.849.099.8+1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)44.353.898.1-9.519%-
vs Similar (14)47.946.994.7+1.064%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Houston Rocketstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Houston Rockets: 115.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.6 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.626.8
55.1%
50.2%53.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.614.2
36.8%
35.7%42.6
🏀 Free throws24.619.0
77.2%
77.0%19.0
They take 87.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 38.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Dallas Maverickstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dallas Mavericks: 95.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.024.8
47.7%
50.2%49.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.310.7
35.3%
35.7%32.1
🏀 Free throws18.214.1
77.5%
77.0%14.1
They take 82.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Dec 2016 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Houston Rockets
WWWWWLWWLW
Dallas Mavericks
WLLWLLWLLL
#3
League position
#22
+6.4
Net rating
-8.1
112.3
Offensive rating
102.6
105.9
Defensive rating
110.7
55.2%
Effective FG%
49.6%
50.5%
Opp. effective FG%
54.2%
15.1%
Turnover %
13.4%
27.2%
Off. rebound %
21.3%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.22
36.8%
3-point %
35.3%
61.0%
Assist %
60.6%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence112.3 · 102.6Defence105.9 · 110.7Shooting55.2% · 49.6%3-point %36.8% · 35.3%Ball care15.1% · 13.4%Off. rebounds27.2% · 21.3%Free throws0.28 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)80% · 30%
■ Houston Rockets   ■ Dallas Mavericks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
10/12/16AOklahoma City Thunder102-99
08/12/16HLos Angeles Lakers134-95
06/12/16HBoston Celtics107-106
03/12/16ADenver Nuggets128-110
02/12/16AGolden State Warriors132-127 OT
30/11/16AUtah Jazz101-120
28/11/16APortland Trail Blazers130-114
26/11/16ASacramento Kings117-104
24/11/16HToronto Raptors102-115
22/11/16ADetroit Pistons99-96
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/12/16HIndiana Pacers111-103
08/12/16HSacramento Kings89-120
06/12/16HCharlotte Hornets101-109
04/12/16HChicago Bulls107-82
02/12/16ACharlotte Hornets87-97
01/12/16HSan Antonio Spurs87-94
28/11/16HNew Orleans Pelicans91-81
26/11/16ACleveland Cavaliers90-128
24/11/16HLos Angeles Clippers104-124
22/11/16ASan Antonio Spurs91-96

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Houston Rockets
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW70%
HomeWWLWW75%
AwayWLWWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games23815
Win %70%75%67%
Points / game111.7111.0112.1
Allowed / game106.5101.6109.1
Point differential+5.2+9.4+3.0
Avg total218.3212.6221.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%38%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won86% (7)100% (2)80% (5)
Overtime %4%0%7%
Dallas Mavericks
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW23%
HomeLWLLW36%
AwayLLLLL9%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %23%36%9%
Points / game93.093.992.1
Allowed / game100.598.1102.9
Point differential-7.5-4.2-10.8
Avg total193.5192.0195.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%27%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %9%9%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors2320387%119.3105.7+13.6
2 San Antonio Spurs2318578%102.397.7+4.6
3 Cleveland Cavaliers2217577%111.5103.6+7.9
4 Los Angeles Clippers2316770%108.399.8+8.4
5 Toronto Raptors2316770%111.0102.7+8.3
6 Houston Rockets2316770%111.7106.5+5.2
7 Memphis Grizzlies2416867%97.597.9-0.4
8 Oklahoma City Thunder2314961%107.0104.7+2.3
9 Utah Jazz24141058%100.396.0+4.4
10 Charlotte Hornets24141058%104.7101.9+2.8
11 Boston Celtics23131057%104.8103.1+1.7
12 New York Knicks23131057%104.2106.9-2.7
13 Chicago Bulls22121055%102.999.9+3.0
14 Detroit Pistons25131252%99.996.0+3.8
15 Milwaukee Bucks22111150%104.2102.7+1.5
16 Atlanta Hawks24121250%100.8102.3-1.5
17 Indiana Pacers24121250%105.0107.6-2.7
18 Portland Trail Blazers25121348%109.2111.7-2.5
19 Washington Wizards2291341%104.0106.0-2.0
20 Orlando Magic25101540%94.8100.1-5.3
21 Los Angeles Lakers25101540%104.9110.7-5.8
22 Denver Nuggets2491538%106.2108.7-2.5
23 Sacramento Kings2281436%103.0104.0-1.0
24 New Orleans Pelicans2371630%101.7105.1-3.5
25 Miami Heat2371630%96.7100.3-3.7
26 Phoenix Suns2371630%106.3113.0-6.7
27 Brooklyn Nets2161529%106.2114.2-8.0
28 Minnesota Timberwolves2361726%103.7106.9-3.1
29 Dallas Mavericks2251723%93.0100.5-7.5
30 Philadelphia 76ers2351822%97.6106.3-8.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Houston Rockets36242623109
Dallas Mavericks2722201887
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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