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Ibaraki Robots vs Saga Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 12 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 06:05
Final 72-73
16-16 22-20 17-19 17-18
Position#22
Record7-22
FormLLLLL
Points / game73.7
Allowed / game82.6
vs
Saga 🏆
Japan
Position#18
Record10-19
FormLLLLW
Points / game74.1
Allowed / game76.2
JapanB League· Adastria Mito Arena
Other2024-25
Meetings · Ibaraki Robots v Saga
20 Apr 2027
IBAR v SAGA
upcoming
12 Jan 2025
IBAR72
SAGA73
11 Jan 2025
IBAR54
SAGA82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ibaraki Robots winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Saga winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Ibaraki RobotsJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRobots
Date
Competition
Sendai
#23
W
84-67
84
67
+17
83avg 68
H14/12
B League
Sendai
#23
W
78-69
78
69
+9
76avg 68
H15/12
B League
Hokkaido
#19
L
60-78
60
78
-18
50avg 68
A18/12
B League
Nagasaki
#16
L
75-91
75
91
-16
65avg 68
H21/12
B League
Nagasaki
#16
L
85-97 OT
85
97
-12
81avg 68
H22/12
B League
Brave Thunders
#21
L
74-82
74
82
-8
69avg 68
A28/12
B League
Brave Thunders
#21
L
78-89
78
89
-11
72avg 68
A29/12
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
67-82
67
82
-15
64avg 68
A04/01
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
66-91
66
91
-25
58avg 68
A05/01
B League
Saga
#18
L
54-82
54
82
-28
45avg 68
H11/01
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-18
15-14
25-18
24-17
25-8
16-30
16-14
21-17
17-15
19-25
12-19
12-19
20-23
25-25
15-13
15-30
18-15
31-16
15-25
16-24
17-19
20-21
21-14
16-28
16-17
12-22
27-26
23-24
14-23
16-19
21-27
16-13
21-29
10-19
21-18
14-25
12-25
18-24
10-13
14-20
154.9Avg total
72.1Scored
82.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)73.782.6156.3-8.924%
Season at home (16)73.983.2157.1-9.425%
Season away (13)73.581.8155.3-8.423%
Last 10 (10)72.182.8154.9-10.720%
Last 5 (5)67.885.2153.0-17.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)71.384.9156.2-13.513%
vs Similar (5)74.877.0151.8-2.240%
vs Weaker (2)93.073.5166.5+19.5100%
This opponent (Saga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SagaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSaga
Date
Competition
Hiroshima D.
#15
L
91-95
91
95
-4
87avg 67
H14/12
B League
Hiroshima D.
#15
L
74-79
74
79
-5
61avg 67
H15/12
B League
Osaka
#13
L
68-77
68
77
-9
60avg 67
A18/12
B League
Sendai
#23
W
85-72
85
72
+13
75avg 67
A21/12
B League
Sendai
#23
W
87-69
87
69
+18
86avg 67
A22/12
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#12
L
61-68
61
68
-7
43avg 67
H28/12
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#12
L
74-79
74
79
-5
70avg 67
H29/12
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
80-98
80
98
-18
71avg 67
H04/01
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
51-81
51
81
-30
42avg 67
H05/01
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
W
82-54
82
54
+28
66avg 67
A11/01
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-18
18-30
24-15
21-32
26-24
21-23
11-13
16-19
23-21
15-17
13-21
17-18
22-26
17-20
23-17
23-9
15-20
23-21
26-19
23-9
16-20
20-12
9-17
16-19
12-13
21-17
10-32
31-17
19-27
26-24
12-30
23-17
19-25
11-15
14-15
7-26
25-12
24-18
13-10
20-14
152.5Avg total
75.3Scored
77.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)74.176.2150.3-2.134%
Season at home (13)74.479.7154.1-5.315%
Season away (16)73.973.4147.3+0.450%
Last 10 (10)75.377.2152.5-1.930%
Last 5 (5)69.676.0145.6-6.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)67.480.7148.1-13.38%
vs Similar (11)76.374.7151.0+1.536%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)83.770.0153.7+13.783%
This opponent (Ibaraki Robots) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: -3.3-3.3Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: -3.4-3.4Q4Q4: -4.6-4.6Q4: +1.7+1.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: -3.3-3.3Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: -3.4-3.4Q4Q4: -4.6-4.6Q4: +1.7+1.7
Ibaraki RobotsSaga
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Ibaraki RobotsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sendai
#23
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H14/12
B League
Sendai
#23
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H15/12
B League
Hokkaido
#19
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A18/12
B League
Nagasaki
#16
L
45-48
45
48
-3
H21/12
B League
Nagasaki
#16
W
49-31
49
31
+18
H22/12
B League
Brave Thunders
#21
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A28/12
B League
Brave Thunders
#21
L
28-39
28
39
-11
A29/12
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
30-42
30
42
-12
A04/01
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
31-48
31
48
-17
A05/01
B League
Saga
#18
L
30-49
30
49
-19
H11/01
B League
76.9Avg total
36.2Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.341.378.6-4.040%-
Last 30 at home (17)37.842.380.1-4.541%-
Last 30 away (13)36.639.976.5-3.338%-
Last 10 (10)36.240.776.9-4.530%-
Last 5 (5)31.243.674.8-12.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)37.142.379.3-5.235%-
vs Similar (5)35.437.873.2-2.440%-
vs Weaker (2)44.538.583.0+6.0100%-
This opponent (Saga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SagaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hiroshima D.
#15
L
46-48
46
48
-2
H14/12
B League
Hiroshima D.
#15
D
47-47
47
47
+0
H15/12
B League
Osaka
#13
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A18/12
B League
Sendai
#23
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A21/12
B League
Sendai
#23
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A22/12
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#12
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H28/12
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#12
W
33-30
33
30
+3
H29/12
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
45-51
45
51
-6
H04/01
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
30-40
30
40
-10
H05/01
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
W
49-30
49
30
+19
A11/01
B League
80.4Avg total
40.1Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.538.776.2-1.237%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.539.877.3-2.329%-
Last 30 away (16)37.537.875.3-0.344%-
Last 10 (10)40.140.380.4-0.230%-
Last 5 (5)38.636.675.2+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)34.141.075.1-6.915%-
vs Similar (11)39.736.175.8+3.655%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)40.838.779.5+2.250%-
This opponent (Ibaraki Robots) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ibaraki Robotstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ibaraki Robots: 71.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀11%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.1 pts a game · 11% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.518.7
54.2%
51.2%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.98.6
30.8%
33.4%25.8
🏀 Free throws11.18.1
73.0%
72.7%8.1
They take 62.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sagatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Saga: 74.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.7 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.520.9
50.4%
51.2%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.06.9
30.0%
33.4%20.7
🏀 Free throws15.712.4
79.0%
72.7%12.4
They take 64.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ibaraki Robots
LLLLLLLLWW
Saga
WLLLLWWLLL
#22
League position
#18
-14.9
Net rating
-2.1
97.3
Offensive rating
103.1
112.2
Defensive rating
105.1
50.6%
Effective FG%
48.4%
51.0%
Opp. effective FG%
53.6%
19.9%
Turnover %
18.2%
24.6%
Off. rebound %
30.1%
0.18
Free-throw rate
0.24
30.8%
3-point %
30.0%
70.7%
Assist %
61.9%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence97.3 · 103.1Defence112.2 · 105.1Shooting50.6% · 48.4%3-point %30.8% · 30.0%Ball care19.9% · 18.2%Off. rebounds24.6% · 30.1%Free throws0.18 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)20% · 30%
■ Ibaraki Robots   ■ Saga
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Ibaraki Robots wins
3
Saga wins
DateGameScore
11/01/25Ibaraki Robots v Saga54-82
10/12/23Saga v Ibaraki Robots81-68
09/12/23Saga v Ibaraki Robots74-72
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/01/25HSaga54-82
05/01/25ARyukyu66-91
04/01/25ARyukyu67-82
29/12/24ABrave Thunders78-89
28/12/24ABrave Thunders74-82
22/12/24HNagasaki85-97 OT
21/12/24HNagasaki75-91
18/12/24AHokkaido60-78
15/12/24HSendai78-69
14/12/24HSendai84-67
Sagalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/01/25AIbaraki Robots82-54
05/01/25HUtsunomiya Brex51-81
04/01/25HUtsunomiya Brex80-98
29/12/24HNagoya Fighting Eagles74-79
28/12/24HNagoya Fighting Eagles61-68
22/12/24ASendai87-69
21/12/24ASendai85-72
18/12/24AOsaka68-77
15/12/24HHiroshima D.74-79
14/12/24HHiroshima D.91-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ibaraki Robots
B League 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL24%
HomeWWLLL25%
AwayLLLLL23%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291613
Win %24%25%23%
Points / game73.773.973.5
Allowed / game82.683.281.8
Point differential-8.9-9.4-8.4
Avg total156.3157.1155.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%6%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (3)-
Overtime %3%6%0%
Saga
B League 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW34%
HomeLLLLL15%
AwayLLWWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291316
Win %34%15%50%
Points / game74.174.473.9
Allowed / game76.279.773.4
Point differential-2.1-5.3+0.4
Avg total150.3154.1147.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%15%31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (6)0% (4)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 NeoPhoenix2824486%92.079.4+12.5
2 Utsunomiya Brex2924583%84.975.0+9.9
3 Ryukyu3023777%83.975.0+8.9
4 Gunma3022873%78.771.2+7.5
5 SeaHorses Mikawa3021970%80.573.9+6.6
6 Alvark2920969%76.270.7+5.6
7 Chiba29191066%79.975.6+4.3
8 Shimane30191163%80.774.2+6.5
9 Sun Rockers Shibuya30181260%75.971.2+4.7
10 Diamond Dolphins29161355%81.981.4+0.5
11 Kyoto30161453%81.980.3+1.6
12 Osaka30151550%81.080.1+0.8
13 Akita29141548%71.973.2-1.4
14 Nagoya Fighting Eagles29141548%75.679.5-3.9
15 Nagasaki30131743%73.576.0-2.5
16 Hiroshima D.30131743%77.281.9-4.8
17 Yokohama30111937%76.580.6-4.1
18 Saga29101934%74.176.2-2.1
19 Hokkaido30102033%73.579.6-6.1
20 Koshigaya Alphas2982128%76.881.4-4.6
21 Sendai2972224%73.080.0-6.9
22 Ibaraki Robots2972224%73.782.6-8.9
23 Brave Thunders2972224%75.685.8-10.2
24 Shiga292277%73.787.7-14.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ibaraki Robots1622171772
Saga1620191873
← all games of the day
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