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Saga vs Utsunomiya Brex Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 05:05
Final 80-98
19-27 26-24 12-30 23-17
Position#18
Record9-17
FormLWWLL
Points / game74.5
Allowed / game76.1
vs
Position#1
Record21-5
FormWLWWW
Points / game83.9
Allowed / game76.2
JapanB League· Saga Arena
Other2024-25
Meetings · Saga v Utsunomiya Brex
31 Mar 2027
SAGA v UTSU
upcoming
24 Jan 2027
SAGA v UTSU
upcoming
08 Mar 2026
SAGA82
UTSU87
07 Mar 2026
SAGA87
UTSU90
05 Jan 2025
SAGA51
UTSU81
04 Jan 2025
SAGA80
UTSU98
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Saga winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Utsunomiya Brex winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SagaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSaga
Date
Competition
Gunma
#6
L
70-84
70
84
-14
58avg 67
A07/12
B League
Gunma
#6
L
74-86
74
86
-12
66avg 67
A08/12
B League
Shimane
#8
L
55-85
55
85
-30
40avg 67
A11/12
B League
Hiroshima D.
#15
L
91-95
91
95
-4
87avg 67
H14/12
B League
Hiroshima D.
#15
L
74-79
74
79
-5
61avg 67
H15/12
B League
Osaka
#13
L
68-77
68
77
-9
60avg 67
A18/12
B League
Sendai
#23
W
85-72
85
72
+13
75avg 67
A21/12
B League
Sendai
#23
W
87-69
87
69
+18
86avg 67
A22/12
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#12
L
61-68
61
68
-7
43avg 67
H28/12
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#12
L
74-79
74
79
-5
70avg 67
H29/12
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-23
14-25
13-21
27-15
18-21
21-18
12-18
23-29
12-18
22-15
12-26
9-26
28-18
18-30
24-15
21-32
26-24
21-23
11-13
16-19
23-21
15-17
13-21
17-18
22-26
17-20
23-17
23-9
15-20
23-21
26-19
23-9
16-20
20-12
9-17
16-19
12-13
21-17
10-32
31-17
153.3Avg total
73.9Scored
79.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)74.576.1150.5-1.635%
Season at home (11)76.077.9153.9-1.918%
Season away (15)73.374.7148.1-1.447%
Last 10 (10)73.979.4153.3-5.520%
Last 5 (5)75.073.0148.0+2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)68.579.2147.8-10.88%
vs Similar (13)76.474.9151.3+1.538%
vs Weaker (5)84.073.2157.2+10.880%
This opponent (Utsunomiya Brex) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Utsunomiya BrexJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrex
Date
Competition
Yokohama
#17
L
72-80
72
80
-8
62avg 79
A07/12
B League
Yokohama
#17
W
101-60
101
60
+41
113avg 79
A08/12
B League
Sendai
#23
W
82-71
82
71
+11
82avg 79
A11/12
B League
Osaka
#13
W
77-76
77
76
+1
70avg 79
H14/12
B League
Osaka
#13
W
95-76
95
76
+19
94avg 79
H15/12
B League
Koshigaya Alphas
#20
W
71-69
71
69
+2
67avg 79
A18/12
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#9
L
83-85
83
85
-2
77avg 79
H21/12
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#9
W
91-90
91
90
+1
81avg 79
H22/12
B League
Hiroshima D.
#15
W
94-79
94
79
+15
94avg 79
A28/12
B League
Hiroshima D.
#15
W
100-94 OT
100
94
+6
93avg 79
A29/12
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-22
19-8
22-21
13-29
23-13
28-13
22-19
28-15
28-16
22-19
19-18
13-18
14-20
25-22
15-20
23-14
25-17
30-18
16-18
24-23
19-15
23-12
19-25
10-17
17-16
18-20
30-30
18-19
21-32
36-17
15-16
19-25
25-27
23-19
21-18
25-15
28-26
17-20
15-24
28-18
164.6Avg total
86.6Scored
78.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)83.976.2160.2+7.781%
Season at home (11)83.976.0159.9+7.982%
Season away (15)83.976.4160.3+7.580%
Last 10 (10)86.678.0164.6+8.680%
Last 5 (5)87.883.4171.2+4.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)72.380.0152.3-7.733%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)84.675.9160.4+8.781%
This opponent (Saga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: +7.3+7.3Q3Q3: -4.6-4.6Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: +0.8+0.8
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: +7.3+7.3Q3Q3: -4.6-4.6Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: +0.8+0.8
SagaUtsunomiya Brex
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SagaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gunma
#6
L
30-48
30
48
-18
A07/12
B League
Gunma
#6
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A08/12
B League
Shimane
#8
W
34-33
34
33
+1
A11/12
B League
Hiroshima D.
#15
L
46-48
46
48
-2
H14/12
B League
Hiroshima D.
#15
D
47-47
47
47
+0
H15/12
B League
Osaka
#13
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A18/12
B League
Sendai
#23
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A21/12
B League
Sendai
#23
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A22/12
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#12
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H28/12
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#12
W
33-30
33
30
+3
H29/12
B League
78.2Avg total
38.0Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.938.675.5-1.737%-
Last 30 at home (13)37.438.575.9-1.238%-
Last 30 away (17)36.538.775.2-2.235%-
Last 10 (10)38.040.278.2-2.230%-
Last 5 (5)36.837.474.2-0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)33.739.873.4-6.125%-
vs Similar (13)39.036.975.9+2.146%-
vs Weaker (5)39.240.479.6-1.240%-
This opponent (Utsunomiya Brex) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Utsunomiya BrexLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Yokohama
#17
W
37-30
37
30
+7
A07/12
B League
Yokohama
#17
W
51-26
51
26
+25
A08/12
B League
Sendai
#23
W
50-35
50
35
+15
A11/12
B League
Osaka
#13
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H14/12
B League
Osaka
#13
W
55-35
55
35
+20
H15/12
B League
Koshigaya Alphas
#20
W
42-27
42
27
+15
A18/12
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#9
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H21/12
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#9
W
57-49
57
49
+8
H22/12
B League
Hiroshima D.
#15
W
48-46
48
46
+2
A28/12
B League
Hiroshima D.
#15
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A29/12
B League
83.1Avg total
45.9Scored
37.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.438.480.8+4.160%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.740.784.4+3.050%-
Last 30 away (16)41.336.377.6+5.069%-
Last 10 (10)45.937.283.1+8.770%-
Last 5 (5)45.440.886.2+4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)33.746.079.7-12.30%-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)43.437.580.9+5.967%-
This opponent (Saga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sagatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Saga: 72.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.1 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.120.3
49.4%
51.2%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.06.7
30.5%
33.4%20.1
🏀 Free throws16.312.2
74.8%
72.7%12.2
They take 63.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Utsunomiya Brextheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Utsunomiya Brex: 85.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.6 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.9 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.117.8
57.2%
51.2%35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.412.3
36.8%
33.4%36.9
🏀 Free throws18.612.9
69.4%
72.7%12.9
They take 64.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 52% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Saga
LLWWLLLLLL
Utsunomiya Brex
WWWLWWWWWL
#18
League position
#1
-7.9
Net rating
+10.9
101.0
Offensive rating
113.4
108.9
Defensive rating
102.6
48.1%
Effective FG%
56.2%
53.8%
Opp. effective FG%
46.7%
16.8%
Turnover %
15.8%
26.6%
Off. rebound %
26.9%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.29
30.5%
3-point %
36.8%
62.6%
Assist %
69.4%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence101.0 · 113.4Defence108.9 · 102.6Shooting48.1% · 56.2%3-point %30.5% · 36.8%Ball care16.8% · 15.8%Off. rebounds26.6% · 26.9%Free throws0.26 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)20% · 80%
■ Saga   ■ Utsunomiya Brex
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Saga wins
2
Utsunomiya Brex wins
DateGameScore
28/01/24Utsunomiya Brex v Saga76-62
27/01/24Utsunomiya Brex v Saga83-70
Sagalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/12/24HNagoya Fighting Eagles74-79
28/12/24HNagoya Fighting Eagles61-68
22/12/24ASendai87-69
21/12/24ASendai85-72
18/12/24AOsaka68-77
15/12/24HHiroshima D.74-79
14/12/24HHiroshima D.91-95
11/12/24AShimane55-85
08/12/24AGunma74-86
07/12/24AGunma70-84
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/12/24AHiroshima D.100-94 OT
28/12/24AHiroshima D.94-79
22/12/24HDiamond Dolphins91-90
21/12/24HDiamond Dolphins83-85
18/12/24AKoshigaya Alphas71-69
15/12/24HOsaka95-76
14/12/24HOsaka77-76
11/12/24ASendai82-71
08/12/24AYokohama101-60
07/12/24AYokohama72-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Saga
B League 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL35%
HomeLLLLL18%
AwayLLLWW47%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261115
Win %35%18%47%
Points / game74.576.073.3
Allowed / game76.177.974.7
Point differential-1.6-1.9-1.4
Avg total150.5153.9148.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%18%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (6)0% (4)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Utsunomiya Brex
B League 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW81%
HomeWWWLW82%
AwayWWWWW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261115
Win %81%82%80%
Points / game83.983.983.9
Allowed / game76.276.076.4
Point differential+7.7+7.9+7.5
Avg total160.2159.9160.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%45%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won78% (9)67% (6)100% (3)
Overtime %12%0%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 NeoPhoenix2622485%90.878.6+12.2
2 Utsunomiya Brex2621581%83.976.2+7.7
3 Alvark2620677%78.170.7+7.4
4 Gunma2619773%78.970.6+8.3
5 Ryukyu2619773%83.375.7+7.5
6 SeaHorses Mikawa2618869%80.574.3+6.1
7 Chiba2617965%81.076.4+4.7
8 Shimane27171063%80.074.3+5.7
9 Sun Rockers Shibuya26151158%76.571.7+4.9
10 Osaka26141254%81.680.5+1.2
11 Diamond Dolphins26141254%82.182.4-0.3
12 Kyoto26131350%81.580.6+0.9
13 Akita26131350%72.372.7-0.3
14 Nagasaki26131350%73.975.0-1.1
15 Nagoya Fighting Eagles27121544%74.279.2-5.0
16 Hiroshima D.26101638%77.783.7-6.0
17 Saga2691735%74.576.1-1.6
18 Yokohama2691735%76.080.6-4.6
19 Hokkaido2691735%74.079.8-5.7
20 Koshigaya Alphas2681831%78.081.6-3.6
21 Ibaraki Robots2671927%75.082.3-7.3
22 Sendai2662023%72.079.8-7.8
23 Brave Thunders2662023%75.986.2-10.2
24 Shiga262248%73.986.9-13.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Saga1926122380
Utsunomiya Brex2724301798
← all games of the day
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