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Saga vs Ibaraki Robots Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 10 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 05:05
Final 81-68
18-22 22-14 16-22 25-10
Position#15
Record9-9
FormLWWLW
Points / game73.9
Allowed / game73.6
Saga 🏆
Japan
vs
Position#22
Record1-17
FormLLLLL
Points / game75.0
Allowed / game86.6
JapanB League· Saga Arena
Other2023-24
Meetings · Saga v Ibaraki Robots
29 Mar 2026
SAGA90
IBAR86
28 Mar 2026
SAGA80
IBAR83
10 Dec 2023
SAGA81
IBAR68
09 Dec 2023
SAGA74
IBAR72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Saga winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ibaraki Robots winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SagaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSaga
Date
Competition
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#7
W
74-68
74
68
+6
70avg 65
A29/10
B League
Akita
#14
L
65-66
65
66
-1
51avg 65
H04/11
B League
Akita
#14
W
70-64
70
64
+6
62avg 65
H05/11
B League
Hiroshima D.
#6
L
61-80
61
80
-19
42avg 65
A08/11
B League
Chiba
#9
W
95-76
95
76
+19
94avg 65
A11/11
B League
Chiba
#9
L
72-78
72
78
-6
50avg 65
A12/11
B League
Osaka
#18
W
84-79
84
79
+5
76avg 65
A02/12
B League
Osaka
#18
W
79-45
79
45
+34
78avg 65
A03/12
B League
Nagasaki
#17
L
81-91
81
91
-10
78avg 65
H06/12
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
W
74-72
74
72
+2
68avg 65
H09/12
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-14
19-18
12-18
24-18
15-24
21-11
11-14
18-17
15-14
17-15
21-23
17-12
13-26
12-18
18-19
18-17
29-16
28-11
21-24
17-25
16-25
21-14
21-17
14-22
22-21
19-18
25-17
18-23
21-9
20-10
25-12
13-14
17-24
21-20
16-20
27-27
19-20
20-19
13-19
22-14
147.4Avg total
75.5Scored
71.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)73.973.6147.4+0.350%
Season at home (9)72.676.8149.3-4.244%
Season away (9)75.270.3145.6+4.956%
Last 10 (10)75.571.9147.4+3.660%
Last 5 (5)78.073.0151.0+5.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)67.381.3148.7-14.033%
vs Similar (11)73.773.6147.4+0.136%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)79.267.5146.8+11.8100%
This opponent (Ibaraki Robots) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ibaraki RobotsJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRobots
Date
Competition
Gunma
#13
L
66-67
66
67
-1
63avg 68
A29/10
B League
Nagasaki
#17
L
81-98
81
98
-17
81avg 68
H04/11
B League
Nagasaki
#17
W
92-88
92
88
+4
94avg 68
H05/11
B League
Alvark
#2
L
60-79
60
79
-19
49avg 68
A08/11
B League
NeoPhoenix
#3
L
64-87
64
87
-23
58avg 68
A11/11
B League
NeoPhoenix
#3
L
62-96
62
96
-34
49avg 68
A12/11
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#4
L
79-89
79
89
-10
63avg 68
H02/12
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#4
L
69-79
69
79
-10
57avg 68
H03/12
B League
Chiba
#9
L
72-94
72
94
-22
64avg 68
A06/12
B League
Saga
#15
L
72-74
72
74
-2
59avg 68
A09/12
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-19
16-10
15-23
17-15
19-18
20-25
20-31
22-24
15-16
31-29
22-21
24-22
15-19
17-19
9-27
19-14
15-17
13-21
17-28
19-21
17-20
15-23
21-29
9-24
20-24
28-20
11-21
20-24
18-23
19-19
24-17
8-20
17-18
19-18
16-32
20-26
20-19
19-20
19-13
14-22
156.8Avg total
71.7Scored
85.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)75.086.6161.6-11.66%
Season at home (8)80.088.9168.9-8.912%
Season away (10)71.084.7155.7-13.70%
Last 10 (10)71.785.1156.8-13.410%
Last 5 (5)70.886.4157.2-15.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)73.785.8159.5-12.16%
vs Similar (11)84.680.0164.6+4.655%
vs Weaker (2)81.581.0162.5+0.550%
This opponent (Saga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: +4.4+4.4Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: -6.8-6.8Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: -4.0-4.0
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: +4.4+4.4Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: -6.8-6.8Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: -4.0-4.0
SagaIbaraki Robots
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SagaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#7
W
38-32
38
32
+6
A29/10
B League
Akita
#14
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H04/11
B League
Akita
#14
W
32-29
32
29
+3
H05/11
B League
Hiroshima D.
#6
L
25-44
25
44
-19
A08/11
B League
Chiba
#9
W
57-27
57
27
+30
A11/11
B League
Chiba
#9
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A12/11
B League
Osaka
#18
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A02/12
B League
Osaka
#18
W
41-19
41
19
+22
A03/12
B League
Nagasaki
#17
L
38-44
38
44
-6
H06/12
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H09/12
B League
73.1Avg total
38.4Scored
34.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (18)37.436.573.9+0.956%-
Last 30 at home (9)36.239.375.6-3.144%-
Last 30 away (9)38.633.772.2+4.967%-
Last 10 (10)38.434.773.1+3.760%-
Last 5 (5)39.236.075.2+3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)30.745.376.0-14.70%-
vs Similar (11)38.135.373.4+2.864%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)40.533.273.8+7.275%-
This opponent (Ibaraki Robots) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ibaraki RobotsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gunma
#13
W
34-29
34
29
+5
A29/10
B League
Nagasaki
#17
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H04/11
B League
Nagasaki
#17
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H05/11
B League
Alvark
#2
L
32-38
32
38
-6
A08/11
B League
NeoPhoenix
#3
L
28-38
28
38
-10
A11/11
B League
NeoPhoenix
#3
L
32-43
32
43
-11
A12/11
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#4
W
48-44
48
44
+4
H02/12
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#4
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H03/12
B League
Chiba
#9
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A06/12
B League
Saga
#15
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A09/12
B League
76.8Avg total
37.1Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.839.877.6-2.047%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.941.982.8-0.957%-
Last 30 away (16)35.137.973.0-2.938%-
Last 10 (10)37.139.776.8-2.630%-
Last 5 (5)38.440.879.2-2.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)37.441.578.8-4.135%-
vs Similar (11)38.238.276.4+0.055%-
vs Weaker (2)39.534.073.5+5.5100%-
This opponent (Saga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sagatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Saga: 74.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.6 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
49%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.415.8
47.3%
50.9%31.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.39.9
35.0%
33.5%29.7
🏀 Free throws19.513.2
67.7%
72.0%13.2
They take 61.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ibaraki Robotstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ibaraki Robots: 70.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
49%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.717.9
47.5%
50.9%35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.57.4
27.9%
33.5%22.2
🏀 Free throws16.112.5
77.6%
72.0%12.5
They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Saga
WLWWLWLWLW
Ibaraki Robots
LLLLLLLWLL
#15
League position
#22
+4.7
Net rating
-18.8
103.2
Offensive rating
94.6
98.5
Defensive rating
113.4
49.7%
Effective FG%
45.2%
45.0%
Opp. effective FG%
53.1%
16.8%
Turnover %
19.5%
26.8%
Off. rebound %
28.5%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.25
35.0%
3-point %
27.9%
62.6%
Assist %
64.0%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence103.2 · 94.6Defence98.5 · 113.4Shooting49.7% · 45.2%3-point %35.0% · 27.9%Ball care16.8% · 19.5%Off. rebounds26.8% · 28.5%Free throws0.32 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)60% · 10%
■ Saga   ■ Ibaraki Robots
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Saga wins
0
Ibaraki Robots wins
DateGameScore
09/12/23Saga v Ibaraki Robots74-72
Sagalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/12/23HIbaraki Robots74-72
06/12/23HNagasaki81-91
03/12/23AOsaka79-45
02/12/23AOsaka84-79
12/11/23AChiba72-78
11/11/23AChiba95-76
08/11/23AHiroshima D.61-80
05/11/23HAkita70-64
04/11/23HAkita65-66
29/10/23ASun Rockers Shibuya74-68
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/12/23ASaga72-74
06/12/23AChiba72-94
03/12/23HDiamond Dolphins69-79
02/12/23HDiamond Dolphins79-89
12/11/23ANeoPhoenix62-96
11/11/23ANeoPhoenix64-87
08/11/23AAlvark60-79
05/11/23HNagasaki92-88
04/11/23HNagasaki81-98
29/10/23AGunma66-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Saga
B League 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW50%
HomeWLWLW44%
AwayLWLWW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %50%44%56%
Points / game73.972.675.2
Allowed / game73.676.870.3
Point differential+0.3-4.2+4.9
Avg total147.4149.3145.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)50% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %11%22%0%
Ibaraki Robots
B League 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL6%
HomeLLWLL12%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18810
Win %6%12%0%
Points / game75.080.071.0
Allowed / game86.688.984.7
Point differential-11.6-8.9-13.7
Avg total161.6168.9155.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)50% (2)0% (3)
Overtime %6%0%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Alvark1815383%80.364.5+15.8
2 NeoPhoenix1815383%88.477.9+10.5
3 Utsunomiya Brex1814478%77.467.6+9.9
4 Brave Thunders1814478%82.275.7+6.5
5 Ryukyu1814478%81.777.7+4.0
6 Diamond Dolphins1813572%82.479.2+3.3
7 Nagasaki1811761%86.184.4+1.7
8 Chiba1811761%84.082.4+1.6
9 Nagoya Fighting Eagles1811761%74.373.9+0.4
10 Hiroshima D.1810856%79.173.7+5.4
11 SeaHorses Mikawa1810856%82.477.7+4.7
12 Shimane1810856%81.678.0+3.6
13 Saga189950%73.973.6+0.3
14 Osaka189950%78.879.7-0.8
15 Sendai1881044%81.680.6+1.1
16 Sun Rockers Shibuya1871139%75.576.5-1.0
17 Akita1871139%71.176.6-5.4
18 Gunma1871139%75.781.2-5.5
19 Yokohama1871139%76.281.9-5.8
20 Kyoto1851328%75.782.4-6.7
21 Shinshu1841422%75.483.3-7.9
22 Hokkaido1831517%73.182.3-9.2
23 Ibaraki Robots181176%75.086.6-11.6
24 Toyama181176%72.887.5-14.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Saga1822162581
Ibaraki Robots2214221068
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