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Igokea vs Murcia Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 28 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 63-79
21-17 11-33 17-16 14-13
Position#49
Record0-3
FormLWLWW
Points / game77.7
Allowed / game89.0
vs
Murcia 🏆
Position#2
Record2-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game87.0
Allowed / game71.3
EuropeChampions LeagueRound 4· Sportska dvorana Laktasi
European cup2023
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Igokea winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Murcia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

IgokeaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormIgokea
Date
Competition
Studentski Centar
#9
W
91-82
91
82
+9
81avg 72
H14/10
ABA League
Tofas
#34
L
102-104 OT
102
104
-2
90avg 72
H18/10
Champions League
Cedevita Olimpija
#5
W
83-72
83
72
+11
76avg 72
H22/10
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#10
W
70-64
70
64
+6
65avg 72
A29/10
ABA League
Murcia
#2
L
47-72
47
72
-25
36avg 72
A01/11
Champions League
FMP Beograd
#11
L
73-74
73
74
-1
67avg 72
H06/11
ABA League
Partizan
#3
W
91-89
91
89
+2
92avg 72
A12/11
ABA League
Tortona
#8
L
84-91
84
91
-7
79avg 72
A15/11
Champions League
Buducnost
#2
W
88-74
88
74
+14
89avg 72
H18/11
ABA League
Zadar
#6
W
100-94 OT
100
94
+6
89avg 72
H24/11
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-16
29-24
18-17
24-25
16-28
19-15
22-18
34-30
20-24
22-16
21-12
20-20
15-22
11-18
16-15
28-9
11-19
8-16
19-23
9-14
16-13
20-18
21-20
16-23
18-12
30-22
28-23
15-32
21-30
16-16
16-26
31-19
24-17
22-18
22-17
20-22
19-25
17-27
27-17
20-14
164.5Avg total
82.9Scored
81.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)77.789.0166.7-11.30%
Season at home (1)102.0104.0206.0-2.00%
Season away (2)65.581.5147.0-16.00%
Last 10 (10)82.981.6164.5+1.360%
Last 5 (5)87.284.4171.6+2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)75.985.0160.9-9.133%
vs Similar (8)82.579.6162.1+2.975%
vs Weaker (10)84.771.4156.1+13.3100%
This opponent (Murcia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MurciaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMurcia
Date
Competition
Real Madrid
#1
L
92-106
92
106
-14
88avg 71
A15/10
ACB
Tortona
#8
L
74-78
74
78
-4
60avg 71
A18/10
Champions League
Gran Canaria
#7
W
95-69
95
69
+26
70avg 71
H21/10
ACB
Basquet Girona
#14
L
76-82
76
82
-6
63avg 71
A28/10
ACB
Igokea
#49
W
72-47
72
47
+25
70avg 71
H01/11
Champions League
Manresa
#9
W
87-74
87
74
+13
80avg 71
H05/11
ACB
Palencia
#18
W
76-66
76
66
+10
68avg 71
A11/11
ACB
Tofas
#34
W
115-89
115
89
+26
113avg 71
H14/11
Champions League
Barcelona
#3
W
82-73
82
73
+9
71avg 71
H19/11
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#10
W
105-73
105
73
+32
103avg 71
H25/11
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-15
15-27
25-39
30-25
25-22
17-19
16-14
16-23
20-19
27-19
22-25
26-6
11-15
17-23
28-11
20-33
19-11
16-8
23-19
14-9
23-16
22-22
31-24
11-12
21-20
19-18
19-18
17-10
31-21
23-23
31-22
30-23
23-20
12-18
23-24
24-11
29-20
24-15
30-15
22-23
163.1Avg total
87.4Scored
75.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)87.071.3158.3+15.767%
Season at home (2)93.568.0161.5+25.5100%
Season away (1)74.078.0152.0-4.00%
Last 10 (10)87.475.7163.1+11.770%
Last 5 (5)93.075.0168.0+18.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)81.797.8179.5-16.217%
vs Similar (13)82.273.2155.3+9.085%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)84.076.5160.5+7.560%
This opponent (Igokea) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q1: +4.5+4.5Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: +3.7+3.7Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: +3.5+3.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q1: +4.5+4.5Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: +3.7+3.7Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: +3.5+3.5
IgokeaMurcia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
IgokeaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Studentski Centar
#9
W
49-40
49
40
+9
H14/10
ABA League
Tofas
#34
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H18/10
Champions League
Cedevita Olimpija
#5
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H22/10
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#10
L
26-40
26
40
-14
A29/10
ABA League
Murcia
#2
L
19-35
19
35
-16
A01/11
Champions League
FMP Beograd
#11
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H06/11
ABA League
Partizan
#3
W
48-34
48
34
+14
A12/11
ABA League
Tortona
#8
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A15/11
Champions League
Buducnost
#2
W
46-35
46
35
+11
H18/11
ABA League
Zadar
#6
L
36-52
36
52
-16
H24/11
ABA League
77.0Avg total
37.4Scored
39.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.939.279.1+0.757%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.336.979.2+5.380%-
Last 30 away (15)37.541.578.9-4.033%-
Last 10 (10)37.439.677.0-2.250%-
Last 5 (5)40.639.680.2+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)37.442.079.4-4.633%-
vs Similar (8)40.842.082.8-1.262%-
vs Weaker (10)42.133.675.7+8.580%-
This opponent (Murcia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MurciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Real Madrid
#1
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A15/10
ACB
Tortona
#8
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A18/10
Champions League
Gran Canaria
#7
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H21/10
ACB
Basquet Girona
#14
L
28-38
28
38
-10
A28/10
ACB
Igokea
#49
W
35-19
35
19
+16
H01/11
Champions League
Manresa
#9
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H05/11
ACB
Palencia
#18
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A11/11
ACB
Tofas
#34
W
54-44
54
44
+10
H14/11
Champions League
Barcelona
#3
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H19/11
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#10
W
53-35
53
35
+18
H25/11
ACB
78.7Avg total
41.6Scored
37.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.038.075.0-1.050%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.735.174.8+4.567%-
Last 30 away (15)34.340.975.1-6.633%-
Last 10 (10)41.637.178.7+4.570%-
Last 5 (5)45.438.684.0+6.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)34.845.780.5-10.80%-
vs Similar (13)37.534.471.8+3.177%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)37.637.875.4-0.250%-
This opponent (Igokea) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Igokeatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Igokea: 82.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.818.6
53.4%
51.4%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.39.4
34.4%
34.9%28.2
🏀 Free throws23.716.7
70.5%
74.5%16.7
They take 62.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Murciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Murcia: 86.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.6 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.8 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.125.8
58.5%
51.4%51.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.27.8
31.0%
34.9%23.4
🏀 Free throws15.111.8
78.1%
74.5%11.8
They take 69.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Igokea
WWLWLLWWLW
Murcia
WWWWWWLWLL
#49
League position
#2
+2.3
Net rating
+15.9
108.8
Offensive rating
114.0
106.6
Defensive rating
98.1
52.7%
Effective FG%
54.1%
51.4%
Opp. effective FG%
48.9%
18.2%
Turnover %
15.8%
32.0%
Off. rebound %
34.1%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.22
34.4%
3-point %
31.0%
64.3%
Assist %
55.1%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence108.8 · 114.0Defence106.6 · 98.1Shooting52.7% · 54.1%3-point %34.4% · 31.0%Ball care18.2% · 15.8%Off. rebounds32.0% · 34.1%Free throws0.38 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Igokea   ■ Murcia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Igokea wins
1
Murcia wins
DateGameScore
01/11/23Murcia v Igokea72-47
Igokealast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/11/23HZadar100-94 OT
18/11/23HBuducnost88-74
15/11/23ATortona84-91
12/11/23APartizan91-89
06/11/23HFMP Beograd73-74
01/11/23AMurcia47-72
29/10/23ABorac Mozzart70-64
22/10/23HCedevita Olimpija83-72
18/10/23HTofas102-104 OT
14/10/23HStudentski Centar91-82
Murcialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/11/23HJoventut Badalona105-73
19/11/23HBarcelona82-73
14/11/23HTofas115-89
11/11/23APalencia76-66
05/11/23HManresa87-74
01/11/23HIgokea72-47
28/10/23ABasquet Girona76-82
21/10/23HGran Canaria95-69
18/10/23ATortona74-78
15/10/23AReal Madrid92-106

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Igokea
Champions League 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game77.7102.065.5
Allowed / game89.0104.081.5
Point differential-11.3-2.0-16.0
Avg total166.7206.0147.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %33%100%0%
Murcia
Champions League 2023
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWW67%
HomeWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %67%100%0%
Points / game87.093.574.0
Allowed / game71.368.078.0
Point differential+15.7+25.5-4.0
Avg total158.3161.5152.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Dijon330100%93.076.7+16.3
2 AEK Athens440100%84.874.8+10.0
3 Strasbourg660100%81.774.3+7.3
4 Tortona330100%85.779.3+6.3
5 Tenerife43175%81.870.2+11.5
6 Unicaja43175%82.275.2+7.0
7 Cholet75271%79.378.1+1.1
8 Murcia32167%87.071.3+15.7
9 Promitheas32167%91.076.7+14.3
10 Benfica64267%88.374.7+13.7
11 Obradoiro CAB32167%80.768.0+12.7
12 Hapoel Jerusalem32167%86.780.3+6.3
13 Brindisi32167%74.772.3+2.3
14 Karsiyaka32167%81.380.0+1.3
15 Norrkoping32167%77.776.3+1.3
16 Hapoel Holon32167%77.078.3-1.3
17 PAOK32167%79.782.7-3.0
18 Nes Ziona21150%83.067.5+15.5
19 Bakken Bears21150%85.578.5+7.0
20 Bonn42250%83.277.8+5.5
21 Breogan42250%75.072.5+2.5
22 Le Mans42250%79.577.5+2.0
23 Legia21150%68.066.5+1.5
24 Ludwigsburg42250%84.282.8+1.5
25 Den Bosch21150%79.581.0-1.5
26 Darussafaka42250%78.880.5-1.8
27 Fribourg Olympic21150%58.060.5-2.5
28 Varese21150%80.583.5-3.0
29 Peristeri42250%77.283.5-6.2
30 AEK Larnaca21150%66.576.5-10.0
31 Rytas31233%86.076.0+10.0
32 Galatasaray31233%90.388.3+2.0
33 Oostende31233%77.786.0-8.3
34 Bursaspor31233%71.080.3-9.3
35 Tofas31233%91.0101.7-10.7
36 Szombathely41325%79.081.8-2.8
37 Sassari41325%83.288.0-4.8
38 VEF Riga41325%68.274.2-6.0
39 Szczecin41325%78.084.8-6.8
40 FMP Beograd1010%71.073.0-2.0
41 CSM Oradea1010%74.077.0-3.0
42 Oldenburg3030%83.086.0-3.0
43 Antwerp Giants1010%72.076.0-4.0
44 BC Kalev/Cramo1010%78.082.0-4.0
45 Jonava1010%78.083.0-5.0
46 Caledonia Gladiators1010%51.057.0-6.0
47 Levice1010%66.074.0-8.0
48 Igokea3030%77.789.0-11.3
49 Gottingen1010%84.096.0-12.0
50 Peja1010%79.0103.0-24.0
51 Mornar Bar1010%56.090.0-34.0
52 Karhu Basket1010%56.092.0-36.0
53 Opava3030%65.3106.0-40.7
54 TSU1010%62.0122.0-60.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 54 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Igokea2111171463
Murcia1733161379
← all games of the day
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