PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Palencia vs Murcia Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 11 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 19:45
Final 66-76
20-21 18-19 18-19 10-17
Position#18
Record1-7
FormLLWLL
Points / game74.9
Allowed / game81.5
Palencia
Spain
vs
Murcia 🏆
Spain
Position#6
Record5-3
FormLWLWW
Points / game86.2
Allowed / game81.6
SpainACBRound 9· Pabellon Municipal de Deportes
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Palencia v Murcia
11 Nov 2023
PAL66
MUR76
21 Jan 2011
PAL60
MUR86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Palencia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Murcia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PalenciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPalencia
Date
Competition
Real Valladolid
#4
W
90-60
90
60
+30
no box
H17/06
Primera FEB
San Pablo Burgos
#3
W
95-83
95
83
+12
no box
H18/06
Primera FEB
Obradoiro CAB
#15
L
64-84
64
84
-20
50avg 64
A23/09
ACB
Barcelona
#3
L
83-84 OT
83
84
-1
no box
H29/09
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
L
74-87
74
87
-13
62avg 64
A01/10
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#10
L
69-75
69
75
-6
55avg 64
H07/10
ACB
Manresa
#9
L
91-92
91
92
-1
86avg 64
A15/10
ACB
Breogan
#16
W
74-59
74
59
+15
80avg 64
H21/10
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
68-91
68
91
-23
46avg 64
A29/10
ACB
Basquet Girona
#14
L
76-80
76
80
-4
65avg 64
H04/11
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-8
17-24
31-12
23-16
28-22
22-20
23-19
22-22
20-28
11-19
18-27
15-10
18-19
7-15
23-16
24-22
21-20
19-23
23-21
11-23
17-14
12-21
19-25
21-15
22-16
27-34
22-20
20-22
12-17
24-8
24-20
14-14
11-30
14-22
18-15
25-24
23-23
17-15
21-24
15-18
157.9Avg total
78.4Scored
79.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)74.981.5156.4-6.612%
Season at home (4)75.574.5150.0+1.025%
Season away (4)74.288.5162.8-14.20%
Last 10 (10)78.479.5157.9-1.130%
Last 5 (5)75.679.4155.0-3.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)75.782.8158.5-7.217%
vs Similar (5)78.884.8163.6-6.020%
vs Weaker (19)82.971.2154.1+11.779%
This opponent (Murcia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MurciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMurcia
Date
Competition
Granada
#17
W
104-101 OT
104
101
+3
no box
A23/09
ACB
Baskonia
#8
W
88-76
88
76
+12
79avg 68
H27/09
ACB
Tenerife
#5
W
80-68
80
68
+12
74avg 68
H30/09
ACB
Bilbao
#13
L
68-77
68
77
-9
53avg 68
A08/10
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
92-106
92
106
-14
88avg 68
A15/10
ACB
Tortona
#8
L
74-78
74
78
-4
60avg 68
A18/10
Champions League
Gran Canaria
#7
W
95-69
95
69
+26
70avg 68
H21/10
ACB
Basquet Girona
#14
L
76-82
76
82
-6
63avg 68
A28/10
ACB
Igokea
#49
W
72-47
72
47
+25
70avg 68
H01/11
Champions League
Manresa
#9
W
87-74
87
74
+13
80avg 68
H05/11
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-25
15-15
18-17
19-19
18-13
20-11
23-24
27-28
19-17
10-20
26-20
25-11
10-12
14-28
22-13
22-24
22-15
15-27
25-39
30-25
25-22
17-19
16-14
16-23
20-19
27-19
22-25
26-6
11-15
17-23
28-11
20-33
19-11
16-8
23-19
14-9
23-16
22-22
31-24
11-12
161.4Avg total
83.6Scored
77.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)86.281.6167.9+4.662%
Season at home (4)87.571.8159.2+15.8100%
Season away (4)85.091.5176.5-6.525%
Last 10 (10)83.677.8161.4+5.860%
Last 5 (5)80.870.0150.8+10.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)80.692.0172.6-11.433%
vs Similar (13)83.875.6159.5+8.277%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)77.776.7154.4+1.043%
This opponent (Palencia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: -3.1-3.1Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: +2.0+2.0
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: -3.1-3.1Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: +2.0+2.0
PalenciaMurcia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PalenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Real Valladolid
#4
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H17/06
Primera FEB
San Pablo Burgos
#3
W
50-42
50
42
+8
H18/06
Primera FEB
Obradoiro CAB
#15
L
31-47
31
47
-16
A23/09
ACB
Barcelona
#3
L
25-34
25
34
-9
H29/09
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A01/10
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#10
L
29-35
29
35
-6
H07/10
ACB
Manresa
#9
L
49-50
49
50
-1
A15/10
ACB
Breogan
#16
W
36-25
36
25
+11
H21/10
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
25-52
25
52
-27
A29/10
ACB
Basquet Girona
#14
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H04/11
ACB
75.9Avg total
36.1Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.036.875.8+2.260%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.633.874.4+6.876%-
Last 30 away (13)36.940.677.5-3.738%-
Last 10 (10)36.139.875.9-3.740%-
Last 5 (5)35.840.075.8-4.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)34.341.876.2-7.517%-
vs Similar (5)37.639.877.4-2.260%-
vs Weaker (19)40.834.475.2+6.574%-
This opponent (Murcia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MurciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Granada
#17
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A23/09
ACB
Baskonia
#8
W
38-24
38
24
+14
H27/09
ACB
Tenerife
#5
L
29-37
29
37
-8
H30/09
ACB
Bilbao
#13
L
24-40
24
40
-16
A08/10
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A15/10
ACB
Tortona
#8
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A18/10
Champions League
Gran Canaria
#7
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H21/10
ACB
Basquet Girona
#14
L
28-38
28
38
-10
A28/10
ACB
Igokea
#49
W
35-19
35
19
+16
H01/11
Champions League
Manresa
#9
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H05/11
ACB
72.1Avg total
36.4Scored
35.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.737.474.2-0.750%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.033.972.9+5.171%-
Last 30 away (16)34.840.575.2-5.831%-
Last 10 (10)36.435.772.1+0.750%-
Last 5 (5)39.434.874.2+4.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)37.642.079.6-4.422%-
vs Similar (13)38.334.172.4+4.285%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)32.737.370.0-4.629%-
This opponent (Palencia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Palenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Palencia: 72.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
48%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.017.3
54.0%
53.0%34.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.68.3
30.1%
34.9%24.9
🏀 Free throws18.713.1
70.2%
75.6%13.1
They take 59.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Murciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Murcia: 79.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.0 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
48%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.123.0
53.4%
53.0%46.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.87.2
27.9%
34.9%21.6
🏀 Free throws16.712.2
73.1%
75.6%12.2
They take 68.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 7/10 games with a box score before 11 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Palencia
LLWLLLLLWW
Murcia
WWLWLLLWWW
#18
League position
#6
-10.8
Net rating
+6.8
101.5
Offensive rating
104.6
112.3
Defensive rating
97.8
49.9%
Effective FG%
49.1%
51.4%
Opp. effective FG%
47.8%
20.1%
Turnover %
17.2%
30.4%
Off. rebound %
35.3%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.24
30.1%
3-point %
27.9%
52.0%
Assist %
58.6%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence101.5 · 104.6Defence112.3 · 97.8Shooting49.9% · 49.1%3-point %30.1% · 27.9%Ball care20.1% · 17.2%Off. rebounds30.4% · 35.3%Free throws0.31 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)30% · 60%
■ Palencia   ■ Murcia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Palencia wins
2
Murcia wins
DateGameScore
21/01/11Palencia v Murcia60-86
15/10/10Murcia v Palencia69-61
Palencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/11/23HBasquet Girona76-80
29/10/23AReal Madrid68-91
21/10/23HBreogan74-59
15/10/23AManresa91-92
07/10/23HJoventut Badalona69-75
01/10/23AMoraBanc Andorra74-87
29/09/23HBarcelona83-84 OT
23/09/23AObradoiro CAB64-84
18/06/23HSan Pablo Burgos95-83
17/06/23HReal Valladolid90-60
Murcialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/11/23HManresa87-74
01/11/23HIgokea72-47
28/10/23ABasquet Girona76-82
21/10/23HGran Canaria95-69
18/10/23ATortona74-78
15/10/23AReal Madrid92-106
08/10/23ABilbao68-77
30/09/23HTenerife80-68
27/09/23HBaskonia88-76
23/09/23AGranada104-101 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Palencia
ACB 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL12%
HomeLLWL25%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %12%25%0%
Points / game74.975.574.2
Allowed / game81.574.588.5
Point differential-6.6+1.0-14.2
Avg total156.4150.0162.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %12%25%0%
Murcia
ACB 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW62%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %62%100%25%
Points / game86.287.585.0
Allowed / game81.671.891.5
Point differential+4.6+15.8-6.5
Avg total167.9159.2176.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %12%0%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid880100%92.077.9+14.1
2 Barcelona86275%83.878.0+5.8
3 Valencia86275%79.877.0+2.8
4 Unicaja85362%89.481.5+7.9
5 Murcia85362%86.281.6+4.6
6 Basquet Girona85362%82.581.1+1.4
7 Manresa95456%86.187.0-0.9
8 Baskonia84450%82.483.2-0.9
9 Tenerife84450%79.680.9-1.2
10 Bilbao84450%81.883.1-1.4
11 Gran Canaria84450%78.684.0-5.4
12 MoraBanc Andorra94544%80.081.2-1.2
13 Joventut Badalona94544%82.788.9-6.2
14 Obradoiro CAB83538%81.080.5+0.5
15 Basket Zaragoza83538%82.182.9-0.8
16 Breogan92722%72.278.4-6.2
17 Granada81712%85.589.9-4.4
18 Palencia81712%74.981.5-6.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Palencia2018181066
Murcia2119191776
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.