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Real Madrid vs Murcia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 15 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 10:30
Final 106-92
15-22 27-15 39-25 25-30
Position#1
Record4-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game93.5
Allowed / game77.8
vs
Position#6
Record3-1
FormLWWWL
Points / game85.0
Allowed / game80.5
SpainACBRound 5· WiZink Center
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Real Madrid v Murcia
08 Nov 2026
MAD90
MUR71
03 May 2026
MAD131
MUR123
09 Mar 2025
MAD80
MUR75
10 Jun 2024
MAD79
MUR63
08 Jun 2024
MAD84
MUR76
15 Feb 2024
MAD84
MUR79
15 Oct 2023
MAD106
MUR92
20 Nov 2022
MAD93
MUR57
11 May 2022
MAD90
MUR69
02 Feb 2021
MAD98
MUR87
23 Dec 2018
MAD80
MUR74
10 Dec 2017
MAD87
MUR85
16 Oct 2016
MAD93
MUR86
31 May 2016
MAD93
MUR72
27 May 2016
MAD107
MUR103
06 Dec 2015
MAD101
MUR80
16 Nov 2014
MAD90
MUR65
15 Mar 2014
MAD102
MUR65
03 Mar 2013
MAD86
MUR69
29 Apr 2012
MAD80
MUR79
25 Oct 2009
MAD73
MUR66
14 Dec 2008
MAD70
MUR61
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Real Madrid winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Murcia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Real MadridSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#1
L
85-86
85
86
-1
82avg 74
A18/06
ACB
Barcelona
#1
L
82-93
82
93
-11
75avg 74
H20/06
ACB
Barcelona
#4
W
90-80
90
80
+10
85avg 74
A16/09
Supercopa ACB
Unicaja
#2
W
88-81
88
81
+7
78avg 74
A17/09
Supercopa ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#12
W
101-70
101
70
+31
102avg 74
H24/09
ACB
Manresa
#9
W
94-88
94
88
+6
89avg 74
A29/09
ACB
Barcelona
#3
W
86-79
86
79
+7
71avg 74
H01/10
ACB
Baskonia
#9
W
79-77
79
77
+2
70avg 74
A06/10
Euroleague
Basquet Girona
#14
W
93-74
93
74
+19
91avg 74
A08/10
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#10
W
103-80
103
80
+23
105avg 74
A12/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-20
22-25
24-23
20-18
21-20
20-18
25-29
16-26
22-25
20-15
25-19
23-21
21-17
23-14
17-25
27-25
33-18
24-13
26-19
18-20
22-26
21-16
30-25
21-21
14-13
23-20
22-17
27-29
19-23
24-24
19-20
17-10
23-17
22-11
33-24
15-22
26-24
29-17
25-19
23-20
170.9Avg total
90.1Scored
80.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)93.577.8171.2+15.8100%
Season at home (2)93.574.5168.0+19.0100%
Season away (2)93.581.0174.5+12.5100%
Last 10 (10)90.180.8170.9+9.380%
Last 5 (5)91.079.6170.6+11.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (11)86.086.0172.0+0.055%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)89.476.9166.3+12.694%
This opponent (Murcia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MurciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMurcia
Date
Competition
Fuenlabrada
#18
W
83-64
83
64
+19
71avg 69
H29/04
ACB
Tenerife
#5
W
111-109 OT
111
109
+2
no box
A03/05
ACB
Breogan
#10
W
65-60
65
60
+5
57avg 69
A07/05
ACB
Bilbao
#12
W
67-55
67
55
+12
59avg 69
H14/05
ACB
Barcelona
#1
L
57-86
57
86
-29
36avg 69
A24/05
ACB
Unicaja
#2
L
74-79
74
79
-5
67avg 69
H16/09
Supercopa ACB
Granada
#17
W
104-101 OT
104
101
+3
no box
A23/09
ACB
Baskonia
#8
W
88-76
88
76
+12
79avg 69
H27/09
ACB
Tenerife
#5
W
80-68
80
68
+12
74avg 69
H30/09
ACB
Bilbao
#13
L
68-77
68
77
-9
53avg 69
A08/10
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-23
16-11
30-15
25-15
18-24
24-25
29-12
25-35
16-15
18-12
20-8
11-25
18-7
12-17
19-17
18-14
15-23
11-18
18-21
13-24
20-20
17-21
19-19
18-19
24-25
15-15
18-17
19-19
18-13
20-11
23-24
27-28
19-17
10-20
26-20
25-11
10-12
14-28
22-13
22-24
157.2Avg total
79.7Scored
77.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)85.080.5165.5+4.575%
Season at home (2)84.072.0156.0+12.0100%
Season away (2)86.089.0175.0-3.050%
Last 10 (10)79.777.5157.2+2.270%
Last 5 (5)82.880.2163.0+2.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)78.089.3167.3-11.327%
vs Similar (14)83.277.4160.6+5.971%
vs Weaker (4)80.582.5163.0-2.050%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: +5.5+5.5Q2: -2.1-2.1Q3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q3: +5.8+5.8Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: -1.1-1.1
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: +5.5+5.5Q2: -2.1-2.1Q3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q3: +5.8+5.8Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: -1.1-1.1
Real MadridMurcia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#1
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A18/06
ACB
Barcelona
#1
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H20/06
ACB
Barcelona
#4
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A16/09
Supercopa ACB
Unicaja
#2
W
44-31
44
31
+13
A17/09
Supercopa ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#12
W
57-31
57
31
+26
H24/09
ACB
Manresa
#9
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A29/09
ACB
Barcelona
#3
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H01/10
ACB
Baskonia
#9
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A06/10
Euroleague
Basquet Girona
#14
W
45-28
45
28
+17
A08/10
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#10
W
55-41
55
41
+14
A12/10
Euroleague
82.4Avg total
44.8Scored
37.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.340.283.5+3.260%-
Last 30 at home (12)41.940.682.5+1.342%-
Last 30 away (18)44.339.984.2+4.472%-
Last 10 (10)44.837.682.4+7.280%-
Last 5 (5)44.638.282.8+6.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (11)42.946.189.0-3.236%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)43.736.680.2+7.172%-
This opponent (Murcia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MurciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fuenlabrada
#18
L
28-34
28
34
-6
H29/04
ACB
Tenerife
#5
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A03/05
ACB
Breogan
#10
W
34-27
34
27
+7
A07/05
ACB
Bilbao
#12
W
30-24
30
24
+6
H14/05
ACB
Barcelona
#1
L
26-41
26
41
-15
A24/05
ACB
Unicaja
#2
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H16/09
Supercopa ACB
Granada
#17
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A23/09
ACB
Baskonia
#8
W
38-24
38
24
+14
H27/09
ACB
Tenerife
#5
L
29-37
29
37
-8
H30/09
ACB
Bilbao
#13
L
24-40
24
40
-16
A08/10
ACB
68.4Avg total
32.7Scored
35.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.538.575.0-2.040%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.935.974.8+2.953%-
Last 30 away (15)34.141.175.3-7.027%-
Last 10 (10)32.735.768.4-3.030%-
Last 5 (5)33.436.469.8-3.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)36.642.378.9-5.618%-
vs Similar (14)37.934.872.7+3.171%-
vs Weaker (4)31.040.871.8-9.80%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 88.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
48%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.020.3
58.0%
53.0%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.510.0
36.4%
34.9%30.0
🏀 Free throws23.218.1
78.0%
75.6%18.1
They take 62.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Murciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Murcia: 74.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
48%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.219.3
49.2%
53.0%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.58.0
28.1%
34.9%24.0
🏀 Free throws17.012.1
71.2%
75.6%12.1
They take 67.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Real Madrid
WWWWWWWWLL
Murcia
LWWWLLWWWW
#1
League position
#6
+11.3
Net rating
+2.0
117.8
Offensive rating
99.1
106.5
Defensive rating
97.1
56.5%
Effective FG%
46.2%
50.2%
Opp. effective FG%
45.2%
15.7%
Turnover %
15.6%
28.1%
Off. rebound %
28.7%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.25
36.4%
3-point %
28.1%
64.0%
Assist %
54.9%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence117.8 · 99.1Defence106.5 · 97.1Shooting56.5% · 46.2%3-point %36.4% · 28.1%Ball care15.7% · 15.6%Off. rebounds28.1% · 28.7%Free throws0.37 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)80% · 70%
■ Real Madrid   ■ Murcia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
10
Real Madrid wins
0
Murcia wins
DateGameScore
12/02/23Murcia v Real Madrid80-88
20/11/22Real Madrid v Murcia93-57
11/05/22Real Madrid v Murcia90-69
19/12/21Murcia v Real Madrid71-80
07/03/21Murcia v Real Madrid58-74
02/02/21Real Madrid v Murcia98-87
02/05/19Murcia v Real Madrid80-82
23/12/18Real Madrid v Murcia80-74
12/05/18Murcia v Real Madrid61-63
10/12/17Real Madrid v Murcia87-85 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/10/23AAnadolu Efes103-80
08/10/23ABasquet Girona93-74
06/10/23ABaskonia79-77
01/10/23HBarcelona86-79
29/09/23AManresa94-88
24/09/23HBasket Zaragoza101-70
17/09/23AUnicaja88-81
16/09/23ABarcelona90-80
20/06/23HBarcelona82-93
18/06/23ABarcelona85-86
Murcialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/10/23ABilbao68-77
30/09/23HTenerife80-68
27/09/23HBaskonia88-76
23/09/23AGranada104-101 OT
16/09/23HUnicaja74-79
24/05/23ABarcelona57-86
14/05/23HBilbao67-55
07/05/23ABreogan65-60
03/05/23ATenerife111-109 OT
29/04/23HFuenlabrada83-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Real Madrid
ACB 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game93.593.593.5
Allowed / game77.874.581.0
Point differential+15.8+19.0+12.5
Avg total171.2168.0174.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Murcia
ACB 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWL75%
HomeWW100%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %75%100%50%
Points / game85.084.086.0
Allowed / game80.572.089.0
Point differential+4.5+12.0-3.0
Avg total165.5156.0175.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %25%0%50%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid440100%93.577.8+15.8
2 Bilbao54180%83.280.6+2.6
3 Baskonia43175%86.580.0+6.5
4 Murcia43175%85.080.5+4.5
5 Valencia43175%86.582.5+4.0
6 Barcelona43175%87.283.8+3.5
7 Basquet Girona53260%83.882.4+1.4
8 Joventut Badalona53260%84.086.4-2.4
9 Manresa42250%87.587.8-0.2
10 Gran Canaria42250%78.084.5-6.5
11 Unicaja52340%89.684.8+4.8
12 Obradoiro CAB52340%81.878.2+3.6
13 MoraBanc Andorra52340%80.483.6-3.2
14 Tenerife52340%79.283.8-4.6
15 Breogan41325%78.582.0-3.5
16 Basket Zaragoza41325%79.288.5-9.2
17 Granada5050%89.295.2-6.0
18 Palencia4040%72.582.5-10.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Real Madrid15273925106
Murcia2215253092
← all games of the day
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