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Illawarra Hawks vs Brisbane Bullets Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 24 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 06:30
Final 81-98
16-25 19-30 27-14 19-29
Position#10
Record2-7
FormLLLWL
Points / game96.8
Allowed / game105.9
vs
Position#8
Record3-4
FormLLLWL
Points / game94.1
Allowed / game98.6
AustraliaNBLRound 6· WIN Entertainment Centre
Other2026-27
Meetings · Illawarra Hawks v Brisbane Bullets
04 Feb 2027
ILLA v BRIS
upcoming
24 Oct 2026
ILLA81
BRIS98
11 Dec 2025
ILLA100
BRIS85
11 Oct 2025
ILLA116
BRIS89
20 Jan 2025
ILLA121
BRIS87
27 Sep 2024
ILLA113
BRIS101
03 Feb 2024
ILLA89
BRIS76
21 Jan 2023
ILLA86
BRIS103
24 Oct 2022
ILLA56
BRIS82
31 Mar 2022
ILLA87
BRIS70
07 Apr 2021
ILLA82
BRIS88
29 Mar 2021
ILLA96
BRIS72
03 Nov 2019
ILLA69
BRIS83
06 Oct 2019
ILLA81
BRIS90
31 Dec 2018
ILLA74
BRIS100
27 Oct 2018
ILLA86
BRIS78
31 Dec 2017
ILLA104
BRIS82
22 Oct 2017
ILLA105
BRIS96
11 Feb 2017
ILLA106
BRIS79
13 Jan 2017
ILLA85
BRIS80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Illawarra Hawks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Brisbane Bullets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Illawarra HawksAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
W
103-70
103
70
+33
A18/02
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
L
81-95
81
95
-14
A20/09
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#8
L
95-103
95
103
-8
A25/09
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
100-121
100
121
-21
A27/09
NBL
Adelaide
#5
W
114-92
114
92
+22
H02/10
NBL
South East Melbourne
#6
L
96-113
96
113
-17
A04/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
112-122
112
122
-10
H09/10
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#4
L
100-110
100
110
-10
H11/10
NBL
Melbourne United
#7
W
91-89
91
89
+2
A18/10
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
82-108
82
108
-26
H22/10
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-18
28-16
27-17
22-19
24-28
23-26
14-22
20-19
18-25
24-25
24-23
29-30
27-31
18-34
26-33
29-23
35-21
30-14
27-32
22-25
23-23
18-36
32-26
23-28
22-32
25-35
26-24
39-31
27-28
23-29
27-29
23-24
21-27
35-16
22-22
13-24
19-20
17-28
16-34
30-26
199.7Avg total
97.4Scored
102.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)96.8105.9202.7-9.122%
Season at home (4)102.0108.0210.0-6.025%
Season away (5)92.6104.2196.8-11.620%
Last 10 (10)97.4102.3199.7-4.930%
Last 5 (5)96.2108.4204.6-12.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)96.2105.2201.4-9.024%
vs Similar (5)97.491.6189.0+5.860%
vs Weaker (4)96.282.8179.0+13.575%
This opponent (Brisbane Bullets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Brisbane BulletsAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cairns Taipans
#9
L
72-81
72
81
-9
H08/02
NBL
Perth
#5
L
75-94
75
94
-19
A13/02
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
77-117
77
117
-40
H20/02
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
W
88-85
88
85
+3
H22/09
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#10
W
103-95
103
95
+8
H25/09
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
78-93
78
93
-15
A30/09
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
99-109 OT
99
109
-10
H03/10
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#4
L
91-97
91
97
-6
A08/10
NBL
South East Melbourne
#6
W
115-105
115
105
+10
H15/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
85-106
85
106
-21
A21/10
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-24
23-19
21-18
15-20
19-29
18-22
18-25
20-18
33-26
17-32
10-32
17-27
19-26
18-18
28-19
23-22
25-18
25-24
23-24
30-29
34-23
10-20
14-29
20-21
23-17
24-23
18-34
26-17
17-23
33-24
22-27
19-23
30-24
26-31
34-29
25-21
15-22
29-34
20-28
21-22
186.5Avg total
88.3Scored
98.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)94.198.6192.7-4.443%
Season at home (4)101.298.5199.8+2.875%
Season away (3)84.798.7183.3-14.00%
Last 10 (10)88.398.2186.5-9.930%
Last 5 (5)93.6102.0195.6-8.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (26)80.999.8180.7-18.915%
vs Similar (3)82.088.7170.7-6.70%
vs Weaker ◀ (1)103.095.0198.0+8.0100%
This opponent (Illawarra Hawks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q3: -5.7-5.7Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: -0.4-0.4
Illawarra HawksBrisbane Bullets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Illawarra HawksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
W
54-34
54
34
+20
A18/02
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
L
47-54
47
54
-7
A20/09
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#8
L
42-50
42
50
-8
A25/09
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
45-65
45
65
-20
A27/09
NBL
Adelaide
#5
W
65-35
65
35
+30
H02/10
NBL
South East Melbourne
#6
L
41-59
41
59
-18
A04/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
47-67
47
67
-20
H09/10
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#4
L
50-57
50
57
-7
H11/10
NBL
Melbourne United
#7
W
56-43
56
43
+13
A18/10
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
36-48
36
48
-12
H22/10
NBL
99.5Avg total
48.3Scored
51.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.650.097.5-2.430%-
Last 30 at home (15)47.349.296.5-1.927%-
Last 30 away (15)47.950.798.6-2.933%-
Last 10 (10)48.351.299.5-2.930%-
Last 5 (5)46.054.8100.8-8.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)47.051.998.9-4.924%-
vs Similar (5)51.446.297.6+5.260%-
vs Weaker (4)45.844.890.5+1.025%-
This opponent (Brisbane Bullets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Brisbane BulletsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cairns Taipans
#9
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H08/02
NBL
Perth
#5
L
37-51
37
51
-14
A13/02
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
50-58
50
58
-8
H20/02
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H22/09
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#10
W
50-42
50
42
+8
H25/09
NBL
Sydney
#1
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A30/09
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H03/10
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#4
W
50-47
50
47
+3
A08/10
NBL
South East Melbourne
#6
W
56-55
56
55
+1
H15/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
44-56
44
56
-12
A21/10
NBL
93.0Avg total
45.1Scored
47.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.750.191.8-8.433%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.649.893.4-6.238%-
Last 30 away (14)39.550.489.9-10.929%-
Last 10 (10)45.147.993.0-2.850%-
Last 5 (5)48.248.296.4+0.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (26)41.550.992.4-9.331%-
vs Similar (3)40.345.786.0-5.333%-
vs Weaker ◀ (1)50.042.092.0+8.0100%-
This opponent (Illawarra Hawks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Illawarra Hawkstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Illawarra Hawks: 97.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 93.4 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.825.8
55.1%
56.0%51.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.611.0
35.9%
34.4%33.0
🏀 Free throws17.612.8
72.7%
73.7%12.8
They take 77.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Brisbane Bulletstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brisbane Bullets: 86.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.6 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.1 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 93.4 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.723.3
53.3%
56.0%46.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.79.6
30.3%
34.4%28.8
🏀 Free throws17.211.1
64.5%
73.7%11.1
They take 75.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 24 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Illawarra Hawks
LWLLLWLLLW
Brisbane Bullets
LWLLLWWLLL
#10
League position
#8
-5.2
Net rating
-10.9
102.5
Offensive rating
92.3
107.7
Defensive rating
103.2
54.7%
Effective FG%
50.0%
56.1%
Opp. effective FG%
56.3%
10.9%
Turnover %
13.7%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.23
35.9%
3-point %
30.3%
58.7%
Assist %
63.8%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence102.5 · 92.3Defence107.7 · 103.2Shooting54.7% · 50.0%3-point %35.9% · 30.3%Ball care10.9% · 13.7%Free throws0.23 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)30% · 30%
■ Illawarra Hawks   ■ Brisbane Bullets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
22/10/26HSydney82-108
18/10/26AMelbourne United91-89
11/10/26HCairns Taipans100-110
09/10/26HTasmania JackJumpers112-122
04/10/26ASouth East Melbourne96-113
02/10/26HAdelaide114-92
27/09/26ASydney100-121
25/09/26ABrisbane Bullets95-103
20/09/26ANew Zealand Breakers81-95
18/02/26ATasmania JackJumpers103-70
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/10/26ATasmania JackJumpers85-106
15/10/26HSouth East Melbourne115-105
08/10/26ACairns Taipans91-97
03/10/26HTasmania JackJumpers99-109 OT
30/09/26ASydney78-93
25/09/26HIllawarra Hawks103-95
22/09/26HNew Zealand Breakers88-85
20/02/26HSydney77-117
13/02/26APerth75-94
08/02/26HCairns Taipans72-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Illawarra Hawks
NBL 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL22%
HomeWLLL25%
AwayLLLLW20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %22%25%20%
Points / game96.8102.092.6
Allowed / game105.9108.0104.2
Point differential-9.1-6.0-11.6
Avg total202.7210.0196.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Brisbane Bullets
NBL 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL43%
HomeWWLW75%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %43%75%0%
Points / game94.1101.284.7
Allowed / game98.698.598.7
Point differential-4.4+2.8-14.0
Avg total192.7199.8183.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %14%25%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tasmania JackJumpers86275%98.893.5+5.2
2 Sydney75271%102.088.1+13.9
3 Perth75271%92.995.1-2.3
4 New Zealand Breakers84450%92.189.0+3.1
5 Adelaide84450%88.890.8-2.0
6 Cairns Taipans84450%90.597.5-7.0
7 Brisbane Bullets73443%94.198.6-4.4
8 South East Melbourne83538%96.593.9+2.6
9 Melbourne United83538%93.691.6+2.0
10 Illawarra Hawks92722%96.8105.9-9.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Illawarra Hawks1619271981
Brisbane Bullets2530142998
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