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Illawarra Hawks vs Brisbane Bullets Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 20 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 08:30
Final 121-87
35-20 21-21 35-19 30-27
Position#1
Record16-8
FormLWWLW
Points / game101.4
Allowed / game92.6
Illawarra Hawks 🏆
Australia
vs
Brisbane Bullets
Australia
Position#8
Record10-14
FormLWLLL
Points / game92.9
Allowed / game96.9
AustraliaNBLRound 17· WIN Entertainment Centre
Other2024-25
Meetings · Illawarra Hawks v Brisbane Bullets
04 Feb 2027
ILLA v BRIS
upcoming
24 Oct 2026
ILLA81
BRIS98
11 Dec 2025
ILLA100
BRIS85
11 Oct 2025
ILLA116
BRIS89
20 Jan 2025
ILLA121
BRIS87
27 Sep 2024
ILLA113
BRIS101
03 Feb 2024
ILLA89
BRIS76
21 Jan 2023
ILLA86
BRIS103
24 Oct 2022
ILLA56
BRIS82
31 Mar 2022
ILLA87
BRIS70
07 Apr 2021
ILLA82
BRIS88
29 Mar 2021
ILLA96
BRIS72
03 Nov 2019
ILLA69
BRIS83
06 Oct 2019
ILLA81
BRIS90
31 Dec 2018
ILLA74
BRIS100
27 Oct 2018
ILLA86
BRIS78
31 Dec 2017
ILLA104
BRIS82
22 Oct 2017
ILLA105
BRIS96
11 Feb 2017
ILLA106
BRIS79
13 Jan 2017
ILLA85
BRIS80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Illawarra Hawks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Brisbane Bullets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Illawarra HawksAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHawks
Date
Competition
Melbourne United
#2
W
106-93
106
93
+13
100avg 90
A13/12
NBL
Perth
#3
W
120-88
120
88
+32
113avg 90
H22/12
NBL
Sydney
#4
W
111-108
111
108
+3
99avg 90
A25/12
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#8
W
102-84
102
84
+18
93avg 90
A27/12
NBL
South East Melbourne
#5
L
105-110
105
110
-5
89avg 90
H31/12
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#10
L
105-108
105
108
-3
100avg 90
H03/01
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#7
W
89-84
89
84
+5
86avg 90
H07/01
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
W
108-100
108
100
+8
93avg 90
H11/01
NBL
Adelaide
#6
L
88-91
88
91
-3
74avg 90
A13/01
NBL
Melbourne United
#2
W
117-95
117
95
+22
108avg 90
H18/01
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-24
19-23
27-15
33-31
37-28
26-20
26-15
31-25
23-31
35-27
30-23
23-27
29-34
19-16
34-18
20-16
25-30
34-30
25-24
21-26
24-19
32-26
21-40
28-23
20-18
29-18
14-22
26-26
35-28
34-20
19-22
20-30
25-33
18-30
19-12
26-16
29-25
29-21
27-20
32-29
201.2Avg total
105.1Scored
96.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)101.492.6194.0+8.867%
Season at home (12)104.092.2196.2+11.867%
Season away (12)98.893.1191.8+5.767%
Last 10 (10)105.196.1201.2+9.070%
Last 5 (5)101.495.6197.0+5.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)89.2101.5190.7-12.30%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (24)101.492.6194.0+8.867%
This opponent (Brisbane Bullets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Brisbane BulletsAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBullets
Date
Competition
Sydney
#4
L
81-93
81
93
-12
74avg 81
A15/12
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#10
W
107-104
107
104
+3
94avg 81
H20/12
NBL
Adelaide
#6
W
111-90
111
90
+21
104avg 81
A24/12
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#1
L
84-102
84
102
-18
71avg 81
H27/12
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#7
L
86-95
86
95
-9
75avg 81
A29/12
NBL
Sydney
#4
L
86-91
86
91
-5
70avg 81
H04/01
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
W
83-74
83
74
+9
61avg 81
H08/01
NBL
South East Melbourne
#5
L
86-105
86
105
-19
66avg 81
A11/01
NBL
Perth
#3
L
85-112
85
112
-27
80avg 81
H15/01
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#10
L
80-111
80
111
-31
69avg 81
H17/01
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-25
29-23
19-18
8-27
29-30
27-24
25-26
26-24
24-23
27-25
27-22
33-20
34-29
16-19
18-34
16-20
21-22
23-30
14-18
28-25
29-28
19-17
23-24
15-22
15-17
23-18
20-15
25-24
21-17
33-30
14-22
18-36
27-27
15-38
24-20
19-27
24-31
21-31
20-20
15-29
186.6Avg total
88.9Scored
97.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)92.996.9189.8-4.042%
Season at home (13)92.095.4187.4-3.446%
Season away (11)94.098.7192.7-4.736%
Last 10 (10)88.997.7186.6-8.830%
Last 5 (5)84.098.6182.6-14.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)92.7103.1195.7-10.427%
vs Similar (15)91.390.1181.4+1.353%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Illawarra Hawks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +4.4+4.4Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: +3.1+3.1Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: -5.1-5.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +4.4+4.4Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: +3.1+3.1Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: -5.1-5.1
Illawarra HawksBrisbane Bullets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Illawarra HawksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Melbourne United
#2
L
46-47
46
47
-1
A13/12
NBL
Perth
#3
W
63-48
63
48
+15
H22/12
NBL
Sydney
#4
D
58-58
58
58
+0
A25/12
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#8
L
48-50
48
50
-2
A27/12
NBL
South East Melbourne
#5
L
59-60
59
60
-1
H31/12
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#10
W
56-45
56
45
+11
H03/01
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#7
W
49-36
49
36
+13
H07/01
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
W
69-48
69
48
+21
H11/01
NBL
Adelaide
#6
L
43-63
43
63
-20
A13/01
NBL
Melbourne United
#2
W
58-46
58
46
+12
H18/01
NBL
105.0Avg total
54.9Scored
50.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)49.547.797.2+1.850%-
Last 30 at home (15)52.344.997.3+7.460%-
Last 30 away (15)46.750.597.1-3.840%-
Last 10 (10)54.950.1105.0+4.850%-
Last 5 (5)55.047.6102.6+7.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)39.748.287.8-8.50%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (24)52.047.699.5+4.462%-
This opponent (Brisbane Bullets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Brisbane BulletsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sydney
#4
W
54-48
54
48
+6
A15/12
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#10
W
56-54
56
54
+2
H20/12
NBL
Adelaide
#6
W
51-48
51
48
+3
A24/12
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#1
W
50-48
50
48
+2
H27/12
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#7
L
44-52
44
52
-8
A29/12
NBL
Sydney
#4
W
48-45
48
45
+3
H04/01
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H08/01
NBL
South East Melbourne
#5
W
54-47
54
47
+7
A11/01
NBL
Perth
#3
L
42-65
42
65
-23
H15/01
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#10
L
45-62
45
62
-17
H17/01
NBL
98.6Avg total
48.2Scored
50.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.949.595.4-3.647%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.148.192.2-4.153%-
Last 30 away (15)47.750.998.5-3.240%-
Last 10 (10)48.250.498.6-2.270%-
Last 5 (5)45.450.896.2-5.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)46.752.399.0-5.740%-
vs Similar (15)45.146.791.7-1.653%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Illawarra Hawks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Illawarra Hawkstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Illawarra Hawks: 104.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.3 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.328.1
54.8%
52.3%56.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.59.7
32.9%
35.1%29.1
🏀 Free throws25.419.2
75.6%
74.7%19.2
They take 80.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Brisbane Bulletstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brisbane Bullets: 88.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.3 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.721.7
48.5%
52.3%43.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.39.5
36.1%
35.1%28.5
🏀 Free throws22.516.6
73.8%
74.7%16.6
They take 71.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Illawarra Hawks
WLWWLLWWWW
Brisbane Bullets
LLLWLLLWWL
#1
League position
#8
+11.5
Net rating
-10.3
124.7
Offensive rating
111.3
113.3
Defensive rating
121.6
52.8%
Effective FG%
50.6%
51.9%
Opp. effective FG%
56.9%
11.0%
Turnover %
16.4%
38.9%
Off. rebound %
34.6%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.32
32.9%
3-point %
36.1%
48.7%
Assist %
44.2%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence124.7 · 111.3Defence113.3 · 121.6Shooting52.8% · 50.6%3-point %32.9% · 36.1%Ball care11.0% · 16.4%Off. rebounds38.9% · 34.6%Free throws0.31 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)70% · 30%
■ Illawarra Hawks   ■ Brisbane Bullets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Illawarra Hawks wins
5
Brisbane Bullets wins
DateGameScore
27/12/24Brisbane Bullets v Illawarra Hawks84-102
27/09/24Illawarra Hawks v Brisbane Bullets113-101
03/02/24Illawarra Hawks v Brisbane Bullets89-76
14/01/24Brisbane Bullets v Illawarra Hawks110-103
03/12/23Brisbane Bullets v Illawarra Hawks78-77
21/01/23Illawarra Hawks v Brisbane Bullets86-103
27/10/22Brisbane Bullets v Illawarra Hawks86-61
24/10/22Illawarra Hawks v Brisbane Bullets56-82
09/04/22Brisbane Bullets v Illawarra Hawks77-108
31/03/22Illawarra Hawks v Brisbane Bullets87-70
Illawarra Hawkslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/01/25HMelbourne United117-95
13/01/25AAdelaide88-91
11/01/25HNew Zealand Breakers108-100
07/01/25HTasmania JackJumpers89-84
03/01/25HCairns Taipans105-108
31/12/24HSouth East Melbourne105-110
27/12/24ABrisbane Bullets102-84
25/12/24ASydney111-108
22/12/24HPerth120-88
13/12/24AMelbourne United106-93
Brisbane Bulletslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/01/25HCairns Taipans80-111
15/01/25HPerth85-112
11/01/25ASouth East Melbourne86-105
08/01/25HNew Zealand Breakers83-74
04/01/25HSydney86-91
29/12/24ATasmania JackJumpers86-95
27/12/24HIllawarra Hawks84-102
24/12/24AAdelaide111-90
20/12/24HCairns Taipans107-104
15/12/24ASydney81-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Illawarra Hawks
NBL 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW67%
HomeLLWWW67%
AwayWWWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %67%67%67%
Points / game101.4104.098.8
Allowed / game92.692.293.1
Point differential+8.8+11.8+5.7
Avg total194.0196.2191.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%42%42%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (8)20% (5)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Brisbane Bullets
NBL 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL42%
HomeLLWLL46%
AwayWLWLL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241311
Win %42%46%36%
Points / game92.992.094.0
Allowed / game96.995.498.7
Point differential-4.0-3.4-4.7
Avg total189.8187.4192.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%23%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)50% (2)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Illawarra Hawks2416867%101.492.6+8.8
2 Perth2415962%99.195.3+3.8
3 Sydney25151060%90.486.4+3.9
4 Melbourne United25151060%94.491.4+3.0
5 South East Melbourne24141058%95.190.5+4.6
6 Tasmania JackJumpers25121348%83.886.3-2.5
7 Adelaide24111346%93.596.4-2.8
8 Brisbane Bullets24101442%92.996.9-4.0
9 New Zealand Breakers2591636%85.691.0-5.4
10 Cairns Taipans2451921%85.995.1-9.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Illawarra Hawks35213530121
Brisbane Bullets2021192787
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