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Illawarra Hawks vs Brisbane Bullets Prediction & Stats

Date: Thu 04 Feb 2027
Tip-off: 08:30
Scheduled
Position#9
Record5-10
FormWWLWL
Points / game97.5
Allowed / game104.7
Illawarra Hawks
Australia
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.4/10
Below normal
6.9/10
Above normal
Brisbane Bullets
Australia
Position#7
Record6-8
FormWWLLL
Points / game94.4
Allowed / game99.2
AustraliaNBLRound 20· WIN Entertainment Centre
Other2026-27
Meetings · Illawarra Hawks v Brisbane Bullets
04 Feb 2027
ILLA v BRIS
upcoming
24 Oct 2026
ILLA81
BRIS98
11 Dec 2025
ILLA100
BRIS85
11 Oct 2025
ILLA116
BRIS89
20 Jan 2025
ILLA121
BRIS87
27 Sep 2024
ILLA113
BRIS101
03 Feb 2024
ILLA89
BRIS76
21 Jan 2023
ILLA86
BRIS103
24 Oct 2022
ILLA56
BRIS82
31 Mar 2022
ILLA87
BRIS70
07 Apr 2021
ILLA82
BRIS88
29 Mar 2021
ILLA96
BRIS72
03 Nov 2019
ILLA69
BRIS83
06 Oct 2019
ILLA81
BRIS90
31 Dec 2018
ILLA74
BRIS100
27 Oct 2018
ILLA86
BRIS78
31 Dec 2017
ILLA104
BRIS82
22 Oct 2017
ILLA105
BRIS96
11 Feb 2017
ILLA106
BRIS79
13 Jan 2017
ILLA85
BRIS80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Illawarra Hawks win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Brisbane Bullets win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Illawarra HawksAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHawks
Date
Competition
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
112-122
112
122
-10
102avg 89
H09/10
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#4
L
100-110
100
110
-10
94avg 89
H11/10
NBL
Melbourne United
#3
W
91-89
91
89
+2
80avg 89
A18/10
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
82-108
82
108
-26
70avg 89
H22/10
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#7
L
81-98
81
98
-17
61avg 89
H24/10
NBL
Perth
#6
W
105-98
105
98
+7
104avg 89
A31/10
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#4
W
107-95
107
95
+12
no box
A05/11
NBL
Adelaide
#5
L
78-106
78
106
-28
no box
A07/11
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
W
120-110
120
110
+10
no box
A11/11
NBL
Perth
#6
L
100-111 OT
100
111
-11
no box
A14/11
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-32
25-35
26-24
39-31
27-28
23-29
27-29
23-24
21-27
35-16
22-22
13-24
19-20
17-28
16-34
30-26
16-25
19-30
27-14
19-29
24-19
27-25
27-25
27-29
32-35
29-27
26-20
20-13
21-22
16-27
23-36
18-21
28-23
43-31
24-27
25-29
30-26
18-24
18-19
26-23
202.3Avg total
97.6Scored
104.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)97.5104.7202.2-7.333%
Season at home (5)97.8106.0203.8-8.220%
Season away (10)97.3104.1201.4-6.840%
Last 10 (10)97.6104.7202.3-7.140%
Last 5 (5)102.0104.0206.0-2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)97.9106.7204.6-8.832%
vs Similar ◀ (9)96.796.0192.7+0.744%
vs Weaker (2)104.576.5181.0+28.0100%
This opponent (Brisbane Bullets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Brisbane BulletsAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBullets
Date
Competition
Cairns Taipans
#4
L
91-97
91
97
-6
80avg 80
A08/10
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
W
115-105
115
105
+10
116avg 80
H15/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
85-106
85
106
-21
68avg 80
A21/10
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#9
W
98-81
98
81
+17
92avg 80
A24/10
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#4
L
85-107
85
107
-22
75avg 80
H29/10
NBL
Adelaide
#5
W
96-89
96
89
+7
95avg 80
A01/11
NBL
Perth
#6
W
109-104
109
104
+5
no box
H04/11
NBL
Melbourne United
#3
L
92-120
92
120
-28
no box
A07/11
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#8
L
90-94 OT
90
94
-4
no box
A13/11
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
92-104
92
104
-12
no box
H15/11
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-23
33-24
22-27
19-23
30-24
26-31
34-29
25-21
15-22
29-34
20-28
21-22
25-16
30-19
14-27
29-19
21-23
21-34
19-21
24-29
30-17
20-26
26-23
20-23
37-22
26-21
18-25
28-36
17-29
31-33
25-21
19-37
24-14
16-26
22-20
17-19
26-21
26-29
14-29
26-25
196.0Avg total
95.3Scored
100.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)94.499.2193.6-4.943%
Season at home (7)98.7101.3200.0-2.657%
Season away (7)90.097.1187.1-7.129%
Last 10 (10)95.3100.7196.0-5.440%
Last 5 (5)95.8102.2198.0-6.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)83.0100.0183.0-17.017%
vs Similar ◀ (7)91.693.3184.9-1.743%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Illawarra Hawks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: +3.1+3.1Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: -3.6-3.6Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: -2.6-2.6
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: +3.1+3.1Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: -3.6-3.6Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: -2.6-2.6
Illawarra HawksBrisbane Bullets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Illawarra HawksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
47-67
47
67
-20
H09/10
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#4
L
50-57
50
57
-7
H11/10
NBL
Melbourne United
#3
W
56-43
56
43
+13
A18/10
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
36-48
36
48
-12
H22/10
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#7
L
35-55
35
55
-20
H24/10
NBL
Perth
#6
W
51-44
51
44
+7
A31/10
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#4
L
61-62
61
62
-1
A05/11
NBL
Adelaide
#5
L
37-49
37
49
-12
A07/11
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
W
71-54
71
54
+17
A11/11
NBL
Perth
#6
L
48-50
48
50
-2
A14/11
NBL
102.1Avg total
49.2Scored
52.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.751.099.7-2.333%-
Last 30 at home (11)46.950.597.5-3.627%-
Last 30 away (19)49.751.2100.9-1.537%-
Last 10 (10)49.252.9102.1-3.730%-
Last 5 (5)53.651.8105.4+1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)48.252.3100.5-4.132%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)49.450.6100.0-1.133%-
vs Weaker (2)50.040.090.0+10.050%-
This opponent (Brisbane Bullets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Brisbane BulletsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cairns Taipans
#4
W
50-47
50
47
+3
A08/10
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
W
56-55
56
55
+1
H15/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
44-56
44
56
-12
A21/10
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#9
W
55-35
55
35
+20
A24/10
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#4
L
42-57
42
57
-15
H29/10
NBL
Adelaide
#5
W
50-43
50
43
+7
A01/11
NBL
Perth
#6
W
63-43
63
43
+20
H04/11
NBL
Melbourne United
#3
L
48-62
48
62
-14
A07/11
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#8
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A13/11
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
W
52-50
52
50
+2
H15/11
NBL
98.8Avg total
50.0Scored
48.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.848.792.5-5.040%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.947.993.8-2.050%-
Last 30 away (14)41.449.791.1-8.429%-
Last 10 (10)50.048.898.8+1.260%-
Last 5 (5)50.647.698.2+3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)42.749.992.6-7.235%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)47.344.992.1+2.457%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Illawarra Hawks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Illawarra Hawkstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Illawarra Hawks: 96.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.6 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.1 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 93.6 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.125.6
56.8%
56.4%51.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.511.2
35.6%
34.2%33.6
🏀 Free throws16.512.1
73.3%
74.0%12.1
They take 76.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Brisbane Bulletstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brisbane Bullets: 93.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.2 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 93.6 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.425.6
56.4%
56.4%51.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.09.7
30.3%
34.2%29.1
🏀 Free throws18.713.1
70.1%
74.0%13.1
They take 77.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Feb 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Illawarra Hawks
LWLWWLLWLL
Brisbane Bullets
LLLWWLWLWL
#9
League position
#7
-8.7
Net rating
-2.4
100.8
Offensive rating
94.9
109.5
Defensive rating
97.4
55.4%
Effective FG%
51.9%
57.4%
Opp. effective FG%
53.8%
12.1%
Turnover %
15.3%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.24
35.6%
3-point %
30.3%
59.5%
Assist %
59.5%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence100.8 · 94.9Defence109.5 · 97.4Shooting55.4% · 51.9%3-point %35.6% · 30.3%Ball care12.1% · 15.3%Free throws0.22 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Illawarra Hawks   ■ Brisbane Bullets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Illawarra Hawks wins
3
Brisbane Bullets wins
DateGameScore
24/10/26Illawarra Hawks v Brisbane Bullets81-98
25/09/26Brisbane Bullets v Illawarra Hawks103-95
26/01/26Brisbane Bullets v Illawarra Hawks75-113
11/12/25Illawarra Hawks v Brisbane Bullets100-85
11/10/25Illawarra Hawks v Brisbane Bullets116-89
20/01/25Illawarra Hawks v Brisbane Bullets121-87
27/12/24Brisbane Bullets v Illawarra Hawks84-102
27/09/24Illawarra Hawks v Brisbane Bullets113-101
03/02/24Illawarra Hawks v Brisbane Bullets89-76
14/01/24Brisbane Bullets v Illawarra Hawks110-103
Illawarra Hawkslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26APerth100-111 OT
11/11/26ASouth East Melbourne120-110
07/11/26AAdelaide78-106
05/11/26ACairns Taipans107-95
31/10/26APerth105-98
24/10/26HBrisbane Bullets81-98
22/10/26HSydney82-108
18/10/26AMelbourne United91-89
11/10/26HCairns Taipans100-110
09/10/26HTasmania JackJumpers112-122
Brisbane Bulletslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26HTasmania JackJumpers92-104
13/11/26ANew Zealand Breakers90-94 OT
07/11/26AMelbourne United92-120
04/11/26HPerth109-104
01/11/26AAdelaide96-89
29/10/26HCairns Taipans85-107
24/10/26AIllawarra Hawks98-81
21/10/26ATasmania JackJumpers85-106
15/10/26HSouth East Melbourne115-105
08/10/26ACairns Taipans91-97

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Illawarra Hawks
NBL 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL33%
HomeWLLLL20%
AwayWWLWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games15510
Win %33%20%40%
Points / game97.597.897.3
Allowed / game104.7106.0104.1
Point differential-7.3-8.2-6.8
Avg total202.2203.8201.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%20%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %7%0%10%
Brisbane Bullets
NBL 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL43%
HomeLWLWL57%
AwayLWWLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %43%57%29%
Points / game94.498.790.0
Allowed / game99.2101.397.1
Point differential-4.9-2.6-7.1
Avg total193.6200.0187.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%14%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %14%14%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sydney139469%98.689.7+8.9
2 Tasmania JackJumpers139469%94.790.4+4.3
3 Melbourne United148657%98.391.9+6.4
4 Cairns Taipans148657%92.495.9-3.6
5 Adelaide137654%92.992.5+0.5
6 Perth137654%95.797.8-2.1
7 Brisbane Bullets146843%94.499.2-4.9
8 New Zealand Breakers145936%90.691.4-0.8
9 Illawarra Hawks1551033%97.5104.7-7.3
10 South East Melbourne134931%97.998.1-0.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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