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Illawarra Hawks vs Brisbane Bullets Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 11 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 08:30
Final 100-85
23-33 26-17 22-18 29-17
Position#8
Record5-10
FormLLLWL
Points / game89.6
Allowed / game97.7
Illawarra Hawks 🏆
Australia
vs
Brisbane Bullets
Australia
Position#10
Record5-11
FormWLLLL
Points / game87.2
Allowed / game95.8
AustraliaNBLRound 12· WIN Entertainment Centre
Other2025-26
Meetings · Illawarra Hawks v Brisbane Bullets
04 Feb 2027
ILLA v BRIS
upcoming
24 Oct 2026
ILLA81
BRIS98
11 Dec 2025
ILLA100
BRIS85
11 Oct 2025
ILLA116
BRIS89
20 Jan 2025
ILLA121
BRIS87
27 Sep 2024
ILLA113
BRIS101
03 Feb 2024
ILLA89
BRIS76
21 Jan 2023
ILLA86
BRIS103
24 Oct 2022
ILLA56
BRIS82
31 Mar 2022
ILLA87
BRIS70
07 Apr 2021
ILLA82
BRIS88
29 Mar 2021
ILLA96
BRIS72
03 Nov 2019
ILLA69
BRIS83
06 Oct 2019
ILLA81
BRIS90
31 Dec 2018
ILLA74
BRIS100
27 Oct 2018
ILLA86
BRIS78
31 Dec 2017
ILLA104
BRIS82
22 Oct 2017
ILLA105
BRIS96
11 Feb 2017
ILLA106
BRIS79
13 Jan 2017
ILLA85
BRIS80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Illawarra Hawks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Brisbane Bullets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Illawarra HawksAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHawks
Date
Competition
Perth
#5
W
85-84
85
84
+1
76avg 89
A25/10
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#7
L
60-102
60
102
-42
46avg 89
H31/10
NBL
Adelaide
#3
L
88-90
88
90
-2
90avg 89
A02/11
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
W
107-93
107
93
+14
107avg 89
H05/11
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#9
W
107-90
107
90
+17
108avg 89
A07/11
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
71-98
71
98
-27
66avg 89
H16/11
NBL
Adelaide
#3
L
85-97
85
97
-12
67avg 89
A19/11
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
L
102-105
102
105
-3
95avg 89
H21/11
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
W
113-109 OT
113
109
+4
118avg 89
H04/12
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#9
L
76-93
76
93
-17
68avg 89
H06/12
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-19
18-15
11-24
33-26
18-31
16-21
10-27
16-23
19-21
22-20
26-31
21-18
32-22
25-21
22-25
28-25
25-22
27-26
29-20
26-22
14-18
18-35
18-18
21-27
22-21
27-23
15-27
21-26
33-38
19-20
31-28
19-19
31-13
23-26
20-22
19-32
20-20
14-29
24-24
18-20
185.5Avg total
89.4Scored
96.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)89.697.7187.3-8.133%
Season at home (8)91.497.5188.9-6.138%
Season away (7)87.698.0185.6-10.429%
Last 10 (10)89.496.1185.5-6.740%
Last 5 (5)89.4100.4189.8-11.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)90.198.2188.3-8.133%
vs Similar (3)78.0103.3181.3-25.30%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)96.589.2185.7+7.361%
This opponent (Brisbane Bullets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Brisbane BulletsAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBullets
Date
Competition
Melbourne United
#4
L
86-95
86
95
-9
77avg 78
H17/10
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#7
W
84-83
84
83
+1
76avg 78
A23/10
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
L
86-109
86
109
-23
76avg 78
H25/10
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#9
W
113-85
113
85
+28
106avg 78
H30/10
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
79-116
79
116
-37
68avg 78
H01/11
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
W
83-81
83
81
+2
76avg 78
A08/11
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#7
L
84-113
84
113
-29
75avg 78
H12/11
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
L
93-99
93
99
-6
79avg 78
A15/11
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
L
76-103
76
103
-27
76avg 78
H20/11
NBL
Adelaide
#3
L
65-90
65
90
-25
50avg 78
A05/12
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-31
21-24
17-15
32-25
11-25
28-32
29-15
16-11
20-23
19-23
22-37
25-26
25-27
32-20
22-20
34-18
17-35
28-22
21-32
13-27
19-23
27-20
23-17
14-21
18-27
18-41
21-24
27-21
24-24
14-23
16-25
39-27
19-27
21-29
21-18
15-29
20-23
13-27
12-27
20-13
182.3Avg total
84.9Scored
97.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)87.295.8183.0-8.531%
Season at home (7)86.6100.7187.3-14.114%
Season away (9)87.891.9179.7-4.144%
Last 10 (10)84.997.4182.3-12.530%
Last 5 (5)80.297.2177.4-17.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)85.8100.5186.3-14.720%
vs Similar (10)93.591.8185.3+1.760%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Illawarra Hawks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: -7.6-7.6Q2Q2: -2.7-2.7Q2: -4.0-4.0Q3Q3: -4.0-4.0Q3: -2.6-2.6Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: +1.7+1.7
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: -7.6-7.6Q2Q2: -2.7-2.7Q2: -4.0-4.0Q3Q3: -4.0-4.0Q3: -2.6-2.6Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: +1.7+1.7
Illawarra HawksBrisbane Bullets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Illawarra HawksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Perth
#5
W
41-34
41
34
+7
A25/10
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#7
L
34-52
34
52
-18
H31/10
NBL
Adelaide
#3
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A02/11
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
W
57-43
57
43
+14
H05/11
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#9
W
52-48
52
48
+4
A07/11
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
32-53
32
53
-21
H16/11
NBL
Adelaide
#3
W
49-44
49
44
+5
A19/11
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
L
52-58
52
58
-6
H21/11
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
W
54-39
54
39
+15
H04/12
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#9
L
34-49
34
49
-15
H06/12
NBL
90.7Avg total
44.6Scored
46.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.145.792.8+1.453%-
Last 30 at home (15)49.146.495.5+2.760%-
Last 30 away (15)45.145.090.1+0.147%-
Last 10 (10)44.646.190.7-1.550%-
Last 5 (5)44.248.692.8-4.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)45.446.992.3-1.444%-
vs Similar (3)42.753.796.3-11.00%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)48.643.892.4+4.867%-
This opponent (Brisbane Bullets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Brisbane BulletsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Melbourne United
#4
L
37-55
37
55
-18
H17/10
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#7
L
39-57
39
57
-18
A23/10
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
L
39-46
39
46
-7
H25/10
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#9
W
57-47
57
47
+10
H30/10
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
45-57
45
57
-12
H01/11
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
W
46-43
46
43
+3
A08/11
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#7
L
36-68
36
68
-32
H12/11
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A15/11
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
L
40-56
40
56
-16
H20/11
NBL
Adelaide
#3
L
33-50
33
50
-17
A05/12
NBL
93.6Avg total
41.0Scored
52.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.650.995.5-6.340%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.152.997.1-8.843%-
Last 30 away (16)44.949.194.1-4.238%-
Last 10 (10)41.052.693.6-11.620%-
Last 5 (5)38.652.891.4-14.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)43.552.596.0-9.135%-
vs Similar (10)46.847.694.4-0.850%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Illawarra Hawks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Illawarra Hawkstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Illawarra Hawks: 90.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.6 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.9 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.726.3
51.9%
54.6%52.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.37.9
32.5%
33.3%23.7
🏀 Free throws18.513.9
75.1%
74.8%13.9
They take 75.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Brisbane Bulletstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brisbane Bullets: 84.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.6 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.9 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.323.8
55.0%
54.6%47.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.27.7
29.4%
33.3%23.1
🏀 Free throws19.513.6
69.7%
74.8%13.6
They take 69.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Illawarra Hawks
LWLLLWWLLW
Brisbane Bullets
LLLLWLWLWL
#8
League position
#10
-8.4
Net rating
-15.2
104.1
Offensive rating
103.2
112.6
Defensive rating
118.4
50.9%
Effective FG%
50.9%
48.7%
Opp. effective FG%
51.8%
17.5%
Turnover %
17.7%
31.6%
Off. rebound %
27.7%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.28
32.5%
3-point %
29.4%
59.4%
Assist %
53.7%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence104.1 · 103.2Defence112.6 · 118.4Shooting50.9% · 50.9%3-point %32.5% · 29.4%Ball care17.5% · 17.7%Off. rebounds31.6% · 27.7%Free throws0.25 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)40% · 30%
■ Illawarra Hawks   ■ Brisbane Bullets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Illawarra Hawks wins
5
Brisbane Bullets wins
DateGameScore
11/10/25Illawarra Hawks v Brisbane Bullets116-89
20/01/25Illawarra Hawks v Brisbane Bullets121-87
27/12/24Brisbane Bullets v Illawarra Hawks84-102
27/09/24Illawarra Hawks v Brisbane Bullets113-101
03/02/24Illawarra Hawks v Brisbane Bullets89-76
14/01/24Brisbane Bullets v Illawarra Hawks110-103
03/12/23Brisbane Bullets v Illawarra Hawks78-77
21/01/23Illawarra Hawks v Brisbane Bullets86-103
27/10/22Brisbane Bullets v Illawarra Hawks86-61
24/10/22Illawarra Hawks v Brisbane Bullets56-82
Illawarra Hawkslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/12/25HCairns Taipans76-93
04/12/25HSouth East Melbourne113-109 OT
21/11/25HMelbourne United102-105
19/11/25AAdelaide85-97
16/11/25HSydney71-98
07/11/25ACairns Taipans107-90
05/11/25HMelbourne United107-93
02/11/25AAdelaide88-90
31/10/25HNew Zealand Breakers60-102
25/10/25APerth85-84
Brisbane Bulletslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/12/25AAdelaide65-90
20/11/25HSouth East Melbourne76-103
15/11/25AMelbourne United93-99
12/11/25HNew Zealand Breakers84-113
08/11/25ATasmania JackJumpers83-81
01/11/25HSydney79-116
30/10/25HCairns Taipans113-85
25/10/25HSouth East Melbourne86-109
23/10/25ANew Zealand Breakers84-83
17/10/25HMelbourne United86-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Illawarra Hawks
NBL 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL33%
HomeWLLWL38%
AwayLWLWL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %33%38%29%
Points / game89.691.487.6
Allowed / game97.797.598.0
Point differential-8.1-6.1-10.4
Avg total187.3188.9185.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%25%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)33% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %7%12%0%
Brisbane Bullets
NBL 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL31%
HomeLWLLL14%
AwayWWWLL44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1679
Win %31%14%44%
Points / game87.286.687.8
Allowed / game95.8100.791.9
Point differential-8.5-14.1-4.1
Avg total183.0187.3179.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%14%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)0% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Adelaide1613381%91.985.1+6.8
2 Melbourne United1713476%95.987.9+7.9
3 South East Melbourne1610662%97.289.8+7.4
4 Perth169756%89.887.1+2.7
5 Sydney147750%91.086.5+4.5
6 New Zealand Breakers1771041%89.388.1+1.2
7 Tasmania JackJumpers1771041%85.987.2-1.3
8 Illawarra Hawks1551033%89.697.7-8.1
9 Brisbane Bullets1651131%87.295.8-8.5
10 Cairns Taipans1641225%82.195.2-13.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Illawarra Hawks23262229100
Brisbane Bullets3317181785
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