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Illawarra Hawks vs Brisbane Bullets Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 11 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 06:30
Final 116-89
34-18 34-29 21-24 27-18
Position#8
Record0-3
FormLWLLL
Points / game86.0
Allowed / game100.0
Illawarra Hawks 🏆
Australia
vs
Brisbane Bullets
Australia
Position#10
Record1-3
FormLWLLL
Points / game87.0
Allowed / game87.2
AustraliaNBLRound 4· WIN Entertainment Centre
Other2025-26
Meetings · Illawarra Hawks v Brisbane Bullets
04 Feb 2027
ILLA v BRIS
upcoming
24 Oct 2026
ILLA81
BRIS98
11 Dec 2025
ILLA100
BRIS85
11 Oct 2025
ILLA116
BRIS89
20 Jan 2025
ILLA121
BRIS87
27 Sep 2024
ILLA113
BRIS101
03 Feb 2024
ILLA89
BRIS76
21 Jan 2023
ILLA86
BRIS103
24 Oct 2022
ILLA56
BRIS82
31 Mar 2022
ILLA87
BRIS70
07 Apr 2021
ILLA82
BRIS88
29 Mar 2021
ILLA96
BRIS72
03 Nov 2019
ILLA69
BRIS83
06 Oct 2019
ILLA81
BRIS90
31 Dec 2018
ILLA74
BRIS100
27 Oct 2018
ILLA86
BRIS78
31 Dec 2017
ILLA104
BRIS82
22 Oct 2017
ILLA105
BRIS96
11 Feb 2017
ILLA106
BRIS79
13 Jan 2017
ILLA85
BRIS80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Illawarra Hawks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Brisbane Bullets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Illawarra HawksAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHawks
Date
Competition
Melbourne United
#2
W
102-100
102
100
+2
86avg 90
A12/03
NBL
Melbourne United
#2
L
77-83
77
83
-6
67avg 90
H16/03
NBL
Melbourne United
#2
W
80-71
80
71
+9
72avg 90
A19/03
NBL
Melbourne United
#2
W
114-104
114
104
+10
112avg 90
H23/03
NBL
Flamengo
#5
L
82-84 OT
82
84
-2
64avg 90
H19/09
Intercontinental Cup
G League United
#3
L
94-100
94
100
-6
81avg 90
A20/09
Intercontinental Cup
Utsunomiya Brex
#6
W
93-69
93
69
+24
89avg 90
A21/09
Intercontinental Cup
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
L
86-91
86
91
-5
80avg 90
H27/09
NBL
Perth
#5
L
84-92
84
92
-8
73avg 90
A02/10
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#7
L
88-117
88
117
-29
81avg 90
A08/10
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-29
22-20
31-22
20-29
22-17
20-24
25-19
10-23
15-12
13-20
23-16
29-23
26-26
34-24
22-22
32-32
13-20
18-8
19-25
23-20
25-24
20-27
23-22
26-27
26-14
26-13
20-15
21-27
21-21
24-28
16-20
25-22
20-10
23-34
13-23
28-25
24-30
25-30
23-27
16-30
181.1Avg total
90.0Scored
91.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)86.0100.0186.0-14.00%
Season at home (1)86.091.0177.0-5.00%
Season away (2)86.0104.5190.5-18.50%
Last 10 (10)90.091.1181.1-1.140%
Last 5 (5)89.093.8182.8-4.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)84.092.0176.0-8.00%
vs Similar (2)87.0104.0191.0-17.00%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)101.192.3193.4+8.967%
This opponent (Brisbane Bullets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Brisbane BulletsAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBullets
Date
Competition
Cairns Taipans
#10
L
80-111
80
111
-31
69avg 81
H17/01
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#1
L
87-121
87
121
-34
75avg 81
A20/01
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
W
93-87
93
87
+6
86avg 81
A24/01
NBL
Melbourne United
#2
L
88-115
88
115
-27
77avg 81
H26/01
NBL
Adelaide
#6
W
92-89
92
89
+3
82avg 81
A31/01
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#10
L
88-100
88
100
-12
73avg 81
A06/02
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#7
W
104-95
104
95
+9
no box
A19/09
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#9
L
82-83
82
83
-1
70avg 81
A26/09
NBL
Adelaide
#3
L
80-87
80
87
-7
71avg 81
A28/09
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
L
82-84
82
84
-2
73avg 81
H04/10
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-31
21-31
20-20
15-29
20-35
21-21
19-35
27-30
21-19
25-21
20-23
27-24
26-26
14-35
21-26
27-28
22-21
20-24
26-18
24-26
26-32
22-16
23-25
17-27
21-20
25-24
28-22
30-29
17-21
24-24
15-16
26-22
23-27
24-21
20-29
13-10
21-22
24-20
21-16
16-26
184.8Avg total
87.6Scored
97.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)87.087.2174.2-0.225%
Season at home (1)82.084.0166.0-2.00%
Season away (3)88.788.3177.0+0.333%
Last 10 (10)87.697.2184.8-9.630%
Last 5 (5)87.289.8177.0-2.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)92.8102.1194.9-9.231%
vs Similar (14)90.889.9180.7+0.957%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Illawarra Hawks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: -3.3-3.3Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: -2.8-2.8Q4: -2.9-2.9
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: -3.3-3.3Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: -2.8-2.8Q4: -2.9-2.9
Illawarra HawksBrisbane Bullets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Illawarra HawksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Melbourne United
#2
W
51-49
51
49
+2
A12/03
NBL
Melbourne United
#2
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H16/03
NBL
Melbourne United
#2
L
28-32
28
32
-4
A19/03
NBL
Melbourne United
#2
W
60-50
60
50
+10
H23/03
NBL
Flamengo
#5
W
31-28
31
28
+3
H19/09
Intercontinental Cup
G League United
#3
L
45-51
45
51
-6
A20/09
Intercontinental Cup
Utsunomiya Brex
#6
W
52-27
52
27
+25
A21/09
Intercontinental Cup
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
L
45-49
45
49
-4
H27/09
NBL
Perth
#5
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A02/10
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#7
L
49-60
49
60
-11
A08/10
NBL
87.7Avg total
44.6Scored
43.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)50.646.497.0+4.257%-
Last 30 at home (15)54.345.399.6+9.180%-
Last 30 away (15)46.947.594.4-0.733%-
Last 10 (10)44.643.187.7+1.550%-
Last 5 (5)46.846.293.0+0.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)43.044.087.0-1.00%-
vs Similar (2)47.054.5101.5-7.50%-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)51.145.997.0+5.363%-
This opponent (Brisbane Bullets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Brisbane BulletsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cairns Taipans
#10
L
45-62
45
62
-17
H17/01
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#1
L
41-56
41
56
-15
A20/01
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
W
46-40
46
40
+6
A24/01
NBL
Melbourne United
#2
L
40-61
40
61
-21
H26/01
NBL
Adelaide
#6
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A31/01
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#10
D
48-48
48
48
+0
A06/02
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#7
W
46-44
46
44
+2
A19/09
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#9
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A26/09
NBL
Adelaide
#3
L
47-48
47
48
-1
A28/09
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H04/10
NBL
93.2Avg total
44.1Scored
49.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.948.794.6-2.847%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.948.993.7-4.057%-
Last 30 away (16)46.848.695.4-1.838%-
Last 10 (10)44.149.193.2-5.030%-
Last 5 (5)45.445.490.8+0.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)47.251.498.6-4.244%-
vs Similar (14)44.445.690.0-1.150%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Illawarra Hawks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Illawarra Hawkstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Illawarra Hawks: 89.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.0 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.9 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.725.5
59.7%
54.6%51.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.17.9
30.3%
33.3%23.7
🏀 Free throws20.814.3
68.8%
74.8%14.3
They take 68.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Brisbane Bulletstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brisbane Bullets: 84.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.9 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.320.1
53.9%
54.6%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.610.1
35.3%
33.3%30.3
🏀 Free throws19.614.4
73.5%
74.8%14.4
They take 65.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Illawarra Hawks
LLLWLLWWLW
Brisbane Bullets
LLLWLWLWLL
#8
League position
#10
-2.1
Net rating
-19.7
118.1
Offensive rating
110.0
120.2
Defensive rating
129.6
54.3%
Effective FG%
53.5%
55.9%
Opp. effective FG%
62.2%
14.2%
Turnover %
16.8%
31.7%
Off. rebound %
26.2%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.30
30.3%
3-point %
35.3%
47.6%
Assist %
52.0%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence118.1 · 110.0Defence120.2 · 129.6Shooting54.3% · 53.5%3-point %30.3% · 35.3%Ball care14.2% · 16.8%Off. rebounds31.7% · 26.2%Free throws0.30 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)40% · 30%
■ Illawarra Hawks   ■ Brisbane Bullets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Illawarra Hawks wins
5
Brisbane Bullets wins
DateGameScore
20/01/25Illawarra Hawks v Brisbane Bullets121-87
27/12/24Brisbane Bullets v Illawarra Hawks84-102
27/09/24Illawarra Hawks v Brisbane Bullets113-101
03/02/24Illawarra Hawks v Brisbane Bullets89-76
14/01/24Brisbane Bullets v Illawarra Hawks110-103
03/12/23Brisbane Bullets v Illawarra Hawks78-77
21/01/23Illawarra Hawks v Brisbane Bullets86-103
27/10/22Brisbane Bullets v Illawarra Hawks86-61
24/10/22Illawarra Hawks v Brisbane Bullets56-82
09/04/22Brisbane Bullets v Illawarra Hawks77-108
Illawarra Hawkslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/10/25ANew Zealand Breakers88-117
02/10/25APerth84-92
27/09/25HTasmania JackJumpers86-91
21/09/25AUtsunomiya Brex93-69
20/09/25AG League United94-100
19/09/25HFlamengo82-84 OT
23/03/25HMelbourne United114-104
19/03/25AMelbourne United80-71
16/03/25HMelbourne United77-83
12/03/25AMelbourne United102-100
Brisbane Bulletslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/10/25HTasmania JackJumpers82-84
28/09/25AAdelaide80-87
26/09/25ACairns Taipans82-83
19/09/25ANew Zealand Breakers104-95
06/02/25ACairns Taipans88-100
31/01/25AAdelaide92-89
26/01/25HMelbourne United88-115
24/01/25ANew Zealand Breakers93-87
20/01/25AIllawarra Hawks87-121
17/01/25HCairns Taipans80-111

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Illawarra Hawks
NBL 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game86.086.086.0
Allowed / game100.091.0104.5
Point differential-14.0-5.0-18.5
Avg total186.0177.0190.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Brisbane Bullets
NBL 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLL25%
HomeL0%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %25%0%33%
Points / game87.082.088.7
Allowed / game87.284.088.3
Point differential-0.2-2.0+0.3
Avg total174.2166.0177.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Melbourne United440100%103.085.5+17.5
2 Adelaide330100%98.382.7+15.7
3 Perth43175%83.278.5+4.8
4 Tasmania JackJumpers53260%84.685.2-0.6
5 South East Melbourne21150%98.590.0+8.5
6 Cairns Taipans52340%78.692.0-13.4
7 Sydney31233%88.086.3+1.7
8 Brisbane Bullets41325%87.087.2-0.2
9 New Zealand Breakers51420%89.498.4-9.0
10 Illawarra Hawks3030%86.0100.0-14.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Illawarra Hawks34342127116
Brisbane Bullets1829241889
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