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Illawarra Hawks vs Brisbane Bullets Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 03 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 06:30
Final 89-76
22-18 28-26 12-22 27-10
Position#4
Record11-12
FormLLLWW
Points / game90.1
Allowed / game90.2
vs
Position#6
Record12-13
FormWWLWL
Points / game87.7
Allowed / game90.3
AustraliaNBLRound 18· WIN Entertainment Centre
Other2023-24
Meetings · Illawarra Hawks v Brisbane Bullets
04 Feb 2027
ILLA v BRIS
upcoming
24 Oct 2026
ILLA81
BRIS98
11 Dec 2025
ILLA100
BRIS85
11 Oct 2025
ILLA116
BRIS89
20 Jan 2025
ILLA121
BRIS87
27 Sep 2024
ILLA113
BRIS101
03 Feb 2024
ILLA89
BRIS76
21 Jan 2023
ILLA86
BRIS103
24 Oct 2022
ILLA56
BRIS82
31 Mar 2022
ILLA87
BRIS70
07 Apr 2021
ILLA82
BRIS88
29 Mar 2021
ILLA96
BRIS72
03 Nov 2019
ILLA69
BRIS83
06 Oct 2019
ILLA81
BRIS90
31 Dec 2018
ILLA74
BRIS100
27 Oct 2018
ILLA86
BRIS78
31 Dec 2017
ILLA104
BRIS82
22 Oct 2017
ILLA105
BRIS96
11 Feb 2017
ILLA106
BRIS79
13 Jan 2017
ILLA85
BRIS80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Illawarra Hawks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Brisbane Bullets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Illawarra HawksAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHawks
Date
Competition
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
89-100
89
100
-11
81avg 77
H23/12
NBL
Sydney
#7
W
94-90
94
90
+4
80avg 77
A25/12
NBL
Adelaide
#9
W
91-84
91
84
+7
86avg 77
H31/12
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
W
116-78
116
78
+38
117avg 77
H05/01
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
W
108-107 OT
108
107
+1
no box
A12/01
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
L
103-110
103
110
-7
94avg 77
A14/01
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#8
L
92-93
92
93
-1
86avg 77
H18/01
NBL
Adelaide
#9
L
89-96
89
96
-7
74avg 77
H20/01
NBL
Perth
#3
W
95-77
95
77
+18
91avg 77
A25/01
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#5
W
89-85
89
85
+4
73avg 77
H28/01
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-23
20-28
26-22
33-27
17-29
29-19
31-25
17-17
19-12
21-29
31-12
20-31
24-15
29-21
33-23
30-19
18-20
18-15
20-15
30-36
26-30
30-29
24-31
23-20
23-19
17-25
23-23
29-26
15-21
24-21
23-26
27-28
28-21
27-14
16-20
24-22
22-22
20-26
22-20
25-17
188.6Avg total
96.6Scored
92.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)90.190.2180.3-0.148%
Season at home (12)93.292.2185.4+0.950%
Season away (11)86.788.0174.7-1.345%
Last 10 (10)96.692.0188.6+4.660%
Last 5 (5)93.692.2185.8+1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)83.394.5177.8-11.318%
vs Similar ◀ (16)86.588.4174.9-1.944%
vs Weaker (3)109.785.3195.0+24.3100%
This opponent (Brisbane Bullets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Brisbane BulletsAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBullets
Date
Competition
Cairns Taipans
#8
L
101-102
101
102
-1
85avg 76
H17/12
NBL
Adelaide
#9
L
88-95
88
95
-7
70avg 76
A24/12
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#5
L
71-81
71
81
-10
57avg 76
H27/12
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
W
95-83
95
83
+12
82avg 76
H30/12
NBL
Sydney
#7
W
101-93
101
93
+8
90avg 76
A07/01
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
W
80-77
80
77
+3
65avg 76
H10/01
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#4
W
110-103
110
103
+7
102avg 76
H14/01
NBL
Perth
#3
L
86-118
86
118
-32
68avg 76
A19/01
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#8
W
102-84
102
84
+18
88avg 76
A21/01
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
L
77-93
77
93
-16
62avg 76
H26/01
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-35
26-21
24-23
34-23
23-27
19-25
21-18
25-25
15-15
20-24
18-20
18-22
32-23
25-19
15-25
23-16
23-24
29-15
28-28
21-26
19-18
24-20
18-21
19-18
30-26
29-30
31-24
20-23
13-31
25-26
23-28
25-33
26-17
35-23
18-22
23-22
13-21
26-29
20-23
18-20
184.0Avg total
91.1Scored
92.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)87.790.3178.0-2.648%
Season at home (13)89.288.2177.5+1.054%
Season away (12)86.192.6178.7-6.542%
Last 10 (10)91.192.9184.0-1.850%
Last 5 (5)91.095.0186.0-4.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)85.193.5178.6-8.431%
vs Similar ◀ (11)90.786.5177.2+4.364%
vs Weaker (3)92.090.3182.3+1.767%
This opponent (Illawarra Hawks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: -2.6-2.6Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: -0.2-0.2
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: -2.6-2.6Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: -0.2-0.2
Illawarra HawksBrisbane Bullets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Illawarra HawksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
30-51
30
51
-21
H23/12
NBL
Sydney
#7
L
46-48
46
48
-2
A25/12
NBL
Adelaide
#9
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H31/12
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
W
53-36
53
36
+17
H05/01
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A12/01
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
L
56-59
56
59
-3
A14/01
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#8
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H18/01
NBL
Adelaide
#9
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H20/01
NBL
Perth
#3
W
55-35
55
35
+20
A25/01
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#5
L
42-48
42
48
-6
H28/01
NBL
87.6Avg total
43.7Scored
43.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.244.688.8-0.443%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.746.090.7-1.333%-
Last 30 away (15)43.743.186.8+0.553%-
Last 10 (10)43.743.987.6-0.230%-
Last 5 (5)46.445.692.0+0.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)41.245.486.5-4.236%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)44.544.288.8+0.238%-
vs Weaker (3)53.743.397.0+10.3100%-
This opponent (Brisbane Bullets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Brisbane BulletsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cairns Taipans
#8
L
43-56
43
56
-13
H17/12
NBL
Adelaide
#9
L
42-52
42
52
-10
A24/12
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#5
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H27/12
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
W
57-42
57
42
+15
H30/12
NBL
Sydney
#7
W
52-39
52
39
+13
A07/01
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H10/01
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#4
W
59-56
59
56
+3
H14/01
NBL
Perth
#3
L
38-57
38
57
-19
A19/01
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#8
W
61-40
61
40
+21
A21/01
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
L
39-50
39
50
-11
H26/01
NBL
93.8Avg total
46.9Scored
46.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.444.989.4-0.560%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.644.489.0+0.162%-
Last 30 away (14)44.345.589.8-1.257%-
Last 10 (10)46.946.993.8+0.050%-
Last 5 (5)48.048.296.2-0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)42.144.486.5-2.256%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)46.446.392.6+0.164%-
vs Weaker (3)49.743.092.7+6.767%-
This opponent (Illawarra Hawks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Illawarra Hawkstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Illawarra Hawks: 95.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.8 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.2 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.725.9
54.3%
50.9%51.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.89.1
36.7%
33.9%27.3
🏀 Free throws22.815.9
69.7%
73.8%15.9
They take 72.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Brisbane Bulletstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brisbane Bullets: 90.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀22%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.8 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.1 pts a game · 22% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.8 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.2 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.024.4
47.8%
50.9%48.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.36.7
31.5%
33.9%20.1
🏀 Free throws28.121.8
77.6%
73.8%21.8
They take 72.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 29% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Illawarra Hawks
WWLLLWWWWL
Brisbane Bullets
LWLWWWWLLL
#4
League position
#6
+9.1
Net rating
-1.7
119.0
Offensive rating
110.0
109.8
Defensive rating
111.6
54.6%
Effective FG%
47.6%
49.0%
Opp. effective FG%
54.5%
14.0%
Turnover %
13.0%
33.4%
Off. rebound %
29.1%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.39
36.7%
3-point %
31.5%
50.6%
Assist %
40.8%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence119.0 · 110.0Defence109.8 · 111.6Shooting54.6% · 47.6%3-point %36.7% · 31.5%Ball care14.0% · 13.0%Off. rebounds33.4% · 29.1%Free throws0.31 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Illawarra Hawks   ■ Brisbane Bullets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
28/01/24HNew Zealand Breakers89-85
25/01/24APerth95-77
20/01/24HAdelaide89-96
18/01/24HCairns Taipans92-93
14/01/24ABrisbane Bullets103-110
12/01/24ATasmania JackJumpers108-107 OT
05/01/24HSouth East Melbourne116-78
31/12/23HAdelaide91-84
25/12/23ASydney94-90
23/12/23HTasmania JackJumpers89-100
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/01/24HMelbourne United77-93
21/01/24ACairns Taipans102-84
19/01/24APerth86-118
14/01/24HIllawarra Hawks110-103
10/01/24HTasmania JackJumpers80-77
07/01/24ASydney101-93
30/12/23HSouth East Melbourne95-83
27/12/23HNew Zealand Breakers71-81
24/12/23AAdelaide88-95
17/12/23HCairns Taipans101-102

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Illawarra Hawks
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW48%
HomeWWLLW50%
AwayWWWLW45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %48%50%45%
Points / game90.193.286.7
Allowed / game90.292.288.0
Point differential-0.1+0.9-1.3
Avg total180.3185.4174.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%17%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)67% (3)75% (4)
Overtime %4%0%9%
Brisbane Bullets
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL48%
HomeLWWWL54%
AwayLLWLW42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251312
Win %48%54%42%
Points / game87.789.286.1
Allowed / game90.388.292.6
Point differential-2.6+1.0-6.5
Avg total178.0177.5178.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%23%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (10)50% (6)75% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Melbourne United2417771%93.487.8+5.7
2 Perth2416867%94.691.3+3.3
3 Tasmania JackJumpers25131252%91.086.1+4.9
4 Brisbane Bullets25121348%87.790.3-2.6
5 Illawarra Hawks23111248%90.190.2-0.1
6 Sydney26121446%94.493.4+1.0
7 Adelaide25111444%88.491.3-2.8
8 New Zealand Breakers23101343%89.989.6+0.3
9 Cairns Taipans26111542%89.391.7-2.4
10 South East Melbourne25101540%88.395.0-6.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Illawarra Hawks2228122789
Brisbane Bullets1826221076
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