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Illawarra Hawks vs Brisbane Bullets Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 27 Sep 2024
Tip-off: 09:30
Final 113-101
38-25 21-35 30-20 24-21
Position#1
Record1-0
FormLLLLW
Points / game102.0
Allowed / game75.0
Illawarra Hawks 🏆
Australia
vs
Brisbane Bullets
Australia
Position#8
Record0-1
FormLLWLL
Points / game87.0
Allowed / game91.0
AustraliaNBLRound 2· WIN Entertainment Centre
Other2024-25
Meetings · Illawarra Hawks v Brisbane Bullets
04 Feb 2027
ILLA v BRIS
upcoming
24 Oct 2026
ILLA81
BRIS98
11 Dec 2025
ILLA100
BRIS85
11 Oct 2025
ILLA116
BRIS89
20 Jan 2025
ILLA121
BRIS87
27 Sep 2024
ILLA113
BRIS101
03 Feb 2024
ILLA89
BRIS76
21 Jan 2023
ILLA86
BRIS103
24 Oct 2022
ILLA56
BRIS82
31 Mar 2022
ILLA87
BRIS70
07 Apr 2021
ILLA82
BRIS88
29 Mar 2021
ILLA96
BRIS72
03 Nov 2019
ILLA69
BRIS83
06 Oct 2019
ILLA81
BRIS90
31 Dec 2018
ILLA74
BRIS100
27 Oct 2018
ILLA86
BRIS78
31 Dec 2017
ILLA104
BRIS82
22 Oct 2017
ILLA105
BRIS96
11 Feb 2017
ILLA106
BRIS79
13 Jan 2017
ILLA85
BRIS80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Illawarra Hawks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Brisbane Bullets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Illawarra HawksAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHawks
Date
Competition
BA CoE
#4
L
76-115
76
115
-39
no box
A26/05
NBL1 East
Newcastle Falcons
#12
L
82-95
82
95
-13
no box
H01/06
NBL1 East
Sydney Comets
#7
L
81-120
81
120
-39
no box
A15/06
NBL1 East
BA CoE
#4
L
100-105 OT
100
105
-5
no box
H22/06
NBL1 East
Central Coast Crusaders
#13
L
93-97
93
97
-4
no box
H29/06
NBL1 East
Manly W.
#3
L
79-107
79
107
-28
no box
A06/07
NBL1 East
Maitland M.
#1
L
100-112
100
112
-12
no box
A07/07
NBL1 East
Hills Hornets
#8
L
89-95
89
95
-6
no box
H12/07
NBL1 East
Sutherland Sharks
#11
L
74-93
74
93
-19
no box
A13/07
NBL1 East
Cairns Taipans
#10
W
102-75
102
75
+27
95avg 79
A21/09
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-31
16-24
14-32
26-28
23-29
14-19
19-23
26-24
15-28
27-27
18-30
21-35
21-23
18-21
24-19
22-22
25-19
20-29
14-22
34-27
16-23
15-30
20-26
28-28
23-24
23-34
23-26
31-28
20-23
24-21
17-20
28-31
19-21
14-21
14-26
27-25
26-21
28-24
18-15
30-15
189.0Avg total
87.6Scored
101.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)102.075.0177.0+27.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)102.075.0177.0+27.0100%
Last 10 (10)87.6101.4189.0-13.810%
Last 5 (5)88.896.4185.2-7.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (24)84.6100.8185.4-16.212%
vs Similar (5)95.891.0186.8+4.860%
vs Weaker ◀ (1)102.075.0177.0+27.0100%
This opponent (Brisbane Bullets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Brisbane BulletsAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBullets
Date
Competition
Sydney
#7
W
101-93
101
93
+8
90avg 76
A07/01
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
W
80-77
80
77
+3
65avg 76
H10/01
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#4
W
110-103
110
103
+7
102avg 76
H14/01
NBL
Perth
#3
L
86-118
86
118
-32
68avg 76
A19/01
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#8
W
102-84
102
84
+18
88avg 76
A21/01
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
L
77-93
77
93
-16
62avg 76
H26/01
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#4
L
76-89
76
89
-13
59avg 76
A03/02
NBL
Adelaide
#9
W
102-84
102
84
+18
96avg 76
H09/02
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#5
L
87-103
87
103
-16
77avg 76
A16/02
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
L
87-91
87
91
-4
77avg 76
A21/09
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-24
29-15
28-28
21-26
19-18
24-20
18-21
19-18
30-26
29-30
31-24
20-23
13-31
25-26
23-28
25-33
26-17
35-23
18-22
23-22
13-21
26-29
20-23
18-20
18-22
26-28
22-12
10-27
22-20
30-24
24-23
26-17
21-26
19-29
23-20
24-28
19-24
15-27
18-21
35-19
184.3Avg total
90.8Scored
93.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)87.091.0178.0-4.00%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)87.091.0178.0-4.00%
Last 10 (10)90.893.5184.3-2.750%
Last 5 (5)85.892.0177.8-6.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)84.492.5176.8-8.131%
vs Similar (14)89.188.0177.1+1.150%
vs Weaker (3)92.090.3182.3+1.767%
This opponent (Illawarra Hawks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -3.4-3.4Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: -5.1-5.1Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: -5.8-5.8Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: -1.2-1.2
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -3.4-3.4Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: -5.1-5.1Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: -5.8-5.8Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: -1.2-1.2
Illawarra HawksBrisbane Bullets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Illawarra HawksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BA CoE
#4
L
36-55
36
55
-19
A26/05
NBL1 East
Newcastle Falcons
#12
L
37-48
37
48
-11
H01/06
NBL1 East
Sydney Comets
#7
L
42-55
42
55
-13
A15/06
NBL1 East
BA CoE
#4
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H22/06
NBL1 East
Central Coast Crusaders
#13
L
45-48
45
48
-3
H29/06
NBL1 East
Manly W.
#3
L
31-53
31
53
-22
A06/07
NBL1 East
Maitland M.
#1
L
46-58
46
58
-12
A07/07
NBL1 East
Hills Hornets
#8
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H12/07
NBL1 East
Sutherland Sharks
#11
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A13/07
NBL1 East
Cairns Taipans
#10
W
54-45
54
45
+9
A21/09
NBL
89.9Avg total
40.7Scored
49.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.348.491.6-5.137%-
Last 30 at home (13)43.948.592.4-4.531%-
Last 30 away (17)42.848.391.1-5.541%-
Last 10 (10)40.749.289.9-8.510%-
Last 5 (5)41.648.490.0-6.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (24)41.249.590.7-8.325%-
vs Similar (5)51.243.694.8+7.680%-
vs Weaker ◀ (1)54.045.099.0+9.0100%-
This opponent (Brisbane Bullets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Brisbane BulletsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sydney
#7
W
52-39
52
39
+13
A07/01
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H10/01
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#4
W
59-56
59
56
+3
H14/01
NBL
Perth
#3
L
38-57
38
57
-19
A19/01
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#8
W
61-40
61
40
+21
A21/01
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
L
39-50
39
50
-11
H26/01
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#4
L
44-50
44
50
-6
A03/02
NBL
Adelaide
#9
W
52-44
52
44
+8
H09/02
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#5
L
40-55
40
55
-15
A16/02
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
L
34-51
34
51
-17
A21/09
NBL
94.2Avg total
46.2Scored
48.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.945.289.1-1.357%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.244.189.3+1.167%-
Last 30 away (15)42.546.388.8-3.747%-
Last 10 (10)46.248.094.2-1.850%-
Last 5 (5)41.850.091.8-8.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)41.343.584.8-2.262%-
vs Similar (14)45.047.292.2-2.250%-
vs Weaker (3)49.743.092.7+6.767%-
This opponent (Illawarra Hawks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Illawarra Hawkstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Illawarra Hawks: 91.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.2 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.3 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.023.8
50.6%
52.3%47.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.77.8
31.6%
35.1%23.4
🏀 Free throws28.420.2
71.1%
74.7%20.2
They take 71.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Brisbane Bulletstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brisbane Bullets: 90.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.2 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.3 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.922.1
48.1%
52.3%44.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.58.2
36.4%
35.1%24.6
🏀 Free throws28.421.2
74.6%
74.7%21.2
They take 68.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Sep 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Illawarra Hawks
WLLLLLLLLL
Brisbane Bullets
LLWLLWLWWW
#1
League position
#8
+4.7
Net rating
-3.9
113.3
Offensive rating
112.2
108.6
Defensive rating
116.0
49.5%
Effective FG%
50.3%
51.3%
Opp. effective FG%
55.3%
16.0%
Turnover %
13.7%
38.9%
Off. rebound %
29.4%
0.40
Free-throw rate
0.42
31.6%
3-point %
36.4%
57.0%
Assist %
47.5%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence113.3 · 112.2Defence108.6 · 116.0Shooting49.5% · 50.3%3-point %31.6% · 36.4%Ball care16.0% · 13.7%Off. rebounds38.9% · 29.4%Free throws0.40 · 0.42Form (last 10/10)10% · 50%
■ Illawarra Hawks   ■ Brisbane Bullets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Illawarra Hawks wins
7
Brisbane Bullets wins
DateGameScore
03/02/24Illawarra Hawks v Brisbane Bullets89-76
14/01/24Brisbane Bullets v Illawarra Hawks110-103
03/12/23Brisbane Bullets v Illawarra Hawks78-77
21/01/23Illawarra Hawks v Brisbane Bullets86-103
27/10/22Brisbane Bullets v Illawarra Hawks86-61
24/10/22Illawarra Hawks v Brisbane Bullets56-82
09/04/22Brisbane Bullets v Illawarra Hawks77-108
31/03/22Illawarra Hawks v Brisbane Bullets87-70
19/12/21Brisbane Bullets v Illawarra Hawks96-92
07/04/21Illawarra Hawks v Brisbane Bullets82-88
Illawarra Hawkslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/09/24ACairns Taipans102-75
13/07/24ASutherland Sharks74-93
12/07/24HHills Hornets89-95
07/07/24AMaitland M.100-112
06/07/24AManly W.79-107
29/06/24HCentral Coast Crusaders93-97
22/06/24HBA CoE100-105 OT
15/06/24ASydney Comets81-120
01/06/24HNewcastle Falcons82-95
26/05/24ABA CoE76-115
Brisbane Bulletslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/09/24ANew Zealand Breakers87-91
16/02/24ANew Zealand Breakers87-103
09/02/24HAdelaide102-84
03/02/24AIllawarra Hawks76-89
26/01/24HMelbourne United77-93
21/01/24ACairns Taipans102-84
19/01/24APerth86-118
14/01/24HIllawarra Hawks110-103
10/01/24HTasmania JackJumpers80-77
07/01/24ASydney101-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Illawarra Hawks
NBL 2024-25
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game102.0-102.0
Allowed / game75.0-75.0
Point differential+27.0-+27.0
Avg total177.0-177.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%-100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Brisbane Bullets
NBL 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
Home--
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %0%-0%
Points / game87.0-87.0
Allowed / game91.0-91.0
Point differential-4.0--4.0
Avg total178.0-178.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%-0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Illawarra Hawks110100%102.075.0+27.0
2 Melbourne United220100%92.081.5+10.5
3 Perth110100%106.098.0+8.0
4 Sydney110100%102.094.0+8.0
5 New Zealand Breakers110100%91.087.0+4.0
6 Brisbane Bullets1010%87.091.0-4.0
7 Adelaide1010%94.0102.0-8.0
8 Tasmania JackJumpers1010%79.088.0-9.0
9 South East Melbourne2020%91.0101.0-10.0
10 Cairns Taipans1010%75.0102.0-27.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Illawarra Hawks38213024113
Brisbane Bullets25352021101
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