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Illawarra Hawks vs Melbourne United Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 29 Oct 2022
Tip-off: 06:30
Final 100-106 (OT)
20-18 16-17 24-23 25-27 15-21
Position#10
Record1-6
FormLLLLL
Points / game73.1
Allowed / game85.9
vs
Position#5
Record2-4
FormLWLLL
Points / game77.7
Allowed / game85.2
AustraliaNBL
Other2022-23
Meetings · Illawarra Hawks v Melbourne United
20 Dec 2026
ILLA v MELB
upcoming
21 Nov 2025
ILLA102
MELB105
05 Nov 2025
ILLA107
MELB93
23 Mar 2025
ILLA114
MELB104
16 Mar 2025
ILLA77
MELB83
08 Mar 2025
ILLA88
MELB96
18 Jan 2025
ILLA117
MELB95
24 Oct 2024
ILLA87
MELB92
10 Mar 2024
ILLA113
MELB108
20 Oct 2023
ILLA91
MELB101
05 Dec 2022
ILLA93
MELB79
29 Oct 2022
ILLA100
MELB106
07 Mar 2022
ILLA v MELB
upcoming
16 Jan 2022
ILLA84
MELB88
18 May 2021
ILLA87
MELB102
13 Mar 2021
ILLA77
MELB69
10 Feb 2021
ILLA88
MELB91
04 Jan 2020
ILLA91
MELB104
16 Dec 2019
ILLA73
MELB94
08 Nov 2018
ILLA87
MELB81
12 Oct 2018
ILLA122
MELB123
06 Jan 2018
ILLA77
MELB79
16 Dec 2017
ILLA78
MELB84
07 Jan 2017
ILLA106
MELB88
06 Nov 2016
ILLA82
MELB73
04 Feb 2016
ILLA73
MELB80
03 Dec 2015
ILLA102
MELB87
30 Jan 2015
ILLA93
MELB82
19 Dec 2014
ILLA98
MELB103
26 Jan 2014
ILLA78
MELB86
31 Dec 2013
ILLA81
MELB91
08 Feb 2013
ILLA70
MELB77
31 Dec 2012
ILLA72
MELB80
27 Jan 2012
ILLA90
MELB68
30 Oct 2011
ILLA74
MELB82
14 Nov 2010
ILLA93
MELB82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Illawarra Hawks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Melbourne United winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Illawarra HawksAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maitland M.
#2
L
81-106
81
106
-25
A14/08
NBL1 East
Norths Bears
#5
W
94-82
94
82
+12
H20/08
NBL1 East
Canberra
#1
L
75-106
75
106
-31
A27/08
NBL1 East
Sydney
#1
L
97-106
97
106
-9
H01/10
NBL
South East Melbourne
#7
W
85-72
85
72
+13
H06/10
NBL
Perth
#6
L
71-77
71
77
-6
A08/10
NBL
Adelaide
#8
L
80-90
80
90
-10
A15/10
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#2
L
62-88
62
88
-26
H17/10
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#9
L
56-82
56
82
-26
H24/10
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#9
L
61-86
61
86
-25
A27/10
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-32
22-19
13-30
23-25
17-25
24-25
27-17
26-15
25-31
24-20
9-25
17-30
21-24
22-20
29-31
25-31
22-19
20-16
23-13
20-24
25-23
24-18
10-13
12-23
17-25
23-21
20-12
20-32
16-21
10-26
23-13
13-28
13-22
16-22
13-11
14-27
17-29
13-23
16-21
15-13
165.7Avg total
76.2Scored
89.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)73.185.9159.0-12.714%
Season at home (4)75.087.0162.0-12.025%
Season away (3)70.784.3155.0-13.70%
Last 10 (10)76.289.5165.7-13.320%
Last 5 (5)66.084.6150.6-18.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)81.788.0169.7-6.329%
vs Similar (11)79.387.5166.7-8.227%
vs Weaker (12)92.984.8177.7+8.283%
This opponent (Melbourne United) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Melbourne UnitedAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tasmania JackJumpers
#5
L
61-83
61
83
-22
A23/04
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#5
W
74-63
74
63
+11
H28/04
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#5
L
72-79
72
79
-7
A30/04
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#5
L
73-76
73
76
-3
H02/05
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#2
W
101-97 OT
101
97
+4
H02/10
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
71-91
71
91
-20
H09/10
NBL
Perth
#6
W
84-81
84
81
+3
A14/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#4
L
64-74
64
74
-10
H16/10
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#3
L
77-81
77
81
-4
H20/10
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
69-87
69
87
-18
H23/10
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-18
17-15
9-29
15-21
20-15
21-21
21-7
12-20
12-17
22-21
25-21
13-20
25-21
15-19
14-20
19-16
20-22
25-20
24-25
19-21
17-27
6-30
25-17
23-17
24-19
18-21
22-20
20-21
14-22
15-20
22-19
13-13
19-15
24-22
16-26
18-18
25-22
14-18
15-25
15-22
155.8Avg total
74.6Scored
81.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)77.785.2162.8-7.533%
Season at home (5)76.486.0162.4-9.620%
Season away (1)84.081.0165.0+3.0100%
Last 10 (10)74.681.2155.8-6.630%
Last 5 (5)73.082.8155.8-9.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)80.391.7172.0-11.333%
vs Similar (9)82.785.2167.9-2.644%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)87.679.6167.2+7.972%
This opponent (Illawarra Hawks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -5.5-5.5Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: -6.3-6.3Q4: -2.2-2.2
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -5.5-5.5Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: -6.3-6.3Q4: -2.2-2.2
Illawarra HawksMelbourne United
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Illawarra HawksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maitland M.
#2
L
45-51
45
51
-6
A14/08
NBL1 East
Norths Bears
#5
L
41-50
41
50
-9
H20/08
NBL1 East
Canberra
#1
L
49-51
49
51
-2
A27/08
NBL1 East
Sydney
#1
L
43-44
43
44
-1
H01/10
NBL
South East Melbourne
#7
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H06/10
NBL
Perth
#6
W
49-41
49
41
+8
A08/10
NBL
Adelaide
#8
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A15/10
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#2
L
26-47
26
47
-21
H17/10
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#9
L
29-44
29
44
-15
H24/10
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#9
L
30-52
30
52
-22
A27/10
NBL
85.5Avg total
39.4Scored
46.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.043.586.6-0.547%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.643.385.9-0.747%-
Last 30 away (15)43.543.887.3-0.347%-
Last 10 (10)39.446.185.5-6.720%-
Last 5 (5)34.846.080.8-11.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)43.443.987.3-0.443%-
vs Similar (11)41.045.386.3-4.336%-
vs Weaker (12)44.741.886.4+2.958%-
This opponent (Melbourne United) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Melbourne UnitedLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tasmania JackJumpers
#5
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A23/04
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#5
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H28/04
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#5
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A30/04
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#5
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H02/05
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#2
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H02/10
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
23-57
23
57
-34
H09/10
NBL
Perth
#6
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A14/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#4
L
29-42
29
42
-13
H16/10
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#3
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H20/10
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H23/10
NBL
77.8Avg total
37.3Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.642.184.7+0.557%-
Last 30 at home (18)42.643.185.7-0.550%-
Last 30 away (12)42.740.683.2+2.167%-
Last 10 (10)37.340.577.8-3.250%-
Last 5 (5)35.243.278.4-8.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)35.746.382.0-10.733%-
vs Similar (9)43.043.686.6-0.667%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)43.640.784.3+2.956%-
This opponent (Illawarra Hawks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
27/10/22ABrisbane Bullets61-86
24/10/22HBrisbane Bullets56-82
17/10/22HNew Zealand Breakers62-88
15/10/22AAdelaide80-90
08/10/22APerth71-77
06/10/22HSouth East Melbourne85-72
01/10/22HSydney97-106
27/08/22ACanberra75-106
20/08/22HNorths Bears94-82
14/08/22AMaitland M.81-106
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/10/22HSydney69-87
20/10/22HCairns Taipans77-81
16/10/22HTasmania JackJumpers64-74
14/10/22APerth84-81
09/10/22HSydney71-91
02/10/22HNew Zealand Breakers101-97 OT
02/05/22HTasmania JackJumpers73-76
30/04/22ATasmania JackJumpers72-79
28/04/22HTasmania JackJumpers74-63
23/04/22ATasmania JackJumpers61-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Illawarra Hawks
NBL 2022-23
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL14%
HomeLWLL25%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %14%25%0%
Points / game73.175.070.7
Allowed / game85.987.084.3
Point differential-12.7-12.0-13.7
Avg total159.0162.0155.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Melbourne United
NBL 2022-23
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL33%
HomeWLLLL20%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games651
Win %33%20%100%
Points / game77.776.484.0
Allowed / game85.286.081.0
Point differential-7.5-9.6+3.0
Avg total162.8162.4165.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %17%20%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sydney75271%93.183.9+9.3
2 New Zealand Breakers75271%83.676.9+6.7
3 Cairns Taipans64267%82.581.3+1.2
4 Tasmania JackJumpers74357%84.679.3+5.3
5 South East Melbourne74357%84.084.1-0.1
6 Perth63350%85.383.0+2.3
7 Adelaide42250%81.091.0-10.0
8 Melbourne United62433%77.785.2-7.5
9 Brisbane Bullets72529%84.383.6+0.7
10 Illawarra Hawks71614%73.185.9-12.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Illawarra Hawks2016242515100
Melbourne United1817232721106
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