Melbourne United vs Illawarra Hawks Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 18 Apr 2021

Tip-off: 05:00

Final 87-76

30-21 26-21 20-19 11-15

Position#1

Record17-5

FormWWWWW

Points / game86.0

Allowed / game82.0

Melbourne United 🏆

Illawarra Hawks

Position#3

Record12-12

FormLLWWL

Points / game83.2

Allowed / game83.9

NBL

Other2020-21

Meetings · Melbourne United v Illawarra Hawks

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Melbourne United winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Illawarra Hawks winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Melbourne United Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

South East Melbourne

92-97 OT

-5

A10/03

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

69-77

-8

A13/03

NBL

Sydney

75-103

103

-28

A19/03

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

75-65

+10

H21/03

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

82-79

A25/03

NBL

South East Melbourne

80-60

+20

A27/03

NBL

Taipans

95-85

+10

H02/04

NBL

Taipans

83-73

+10

A04/04

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

84-78

H10/04

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

98-89

H12/04

NBL

24-29

18-21

21-20

21-14

21-20

22-18

17-18

9-21

21-25

18-35

19-27

17-16

19-19

20-16

16-13

20-17

26-26

12-28

21-11

23-14

18-21

23-16

24-13

15-10

26-21

23-24

24-19

22-21

24-22

19-18

19-20

21-13

17-16

22-21

22-13

23-28

31-20

27-20

12-23

28-26

163.9Avg total

83.3Scored

80.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (22)	86.0	82.0	168.0	+4.0	77%
Season at home (10)	86.7	82.4	169.1	+4.3	80%
Season away (12)	85.5	81.7	167.2	+3.8	75%
Last 10 (10)	83.3	80.6	163.9	+2.7	70%
Last 5 (5)	88.0	77.0	165.0	+11.0	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (8)	88.9	81.5	170.4	+7.4	50%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	88.0	82.1	170.1	+6.0	82%

This opponent (Illawarra Hawks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Illawarra Hawks Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Melbourne United

77-69

H13/03

NBL

Melbourne United

65-75

-10

A21/03

NBL

Perth

70-81

-11

A26/03

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

96-72

+24

H29/03

NBL

South East Melbourne

63-95

-32

H01/04

NBL

Adelaide

72-84

-12

A03/04

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

82-88

-6

H07/04

NBL

South East Melbourne

82-80

H09/04

NBL

Taipans

82-80

H11/04

NBL

Perth

69-83

-14

A16/04

NBL

20-21

18-22

18-17

21-9

19-19

16-20

13-16

17-20

26-17

15-22

17-21

12-21

28-20

26-14

18-16

24-22

25-15

13-24

8-30

17-26

17-21

15-25

24-13

16-25

20-9

22-24

18-26

22-29

10-18

20-23

25-20

27-19

25-20

21-15

10-16

26-29

23-26

20-16

9-18

17-23

156.5Avg total

75.8Scored

80.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (24)	83.2	83.9	167.1	-0.8	50%
Season at home (10)	84.0	83.9	167.9	+0.1	60%
Season away (14)	82.6	83.9	166.5	-1.4	43%
Last 10 (10)	75.8	80.7	156.5	-4.9	40%
Last 5 (5)	77.4	83.0	160.4	-5.6	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	73.0	87.6	160.6	-14.6	8%
vs Similar (12)	85.7	85.7	171.3	+0.0	58%
vs Weaker (6)	88.2	83.3	171.5	+4.8	67%

This opponent (Melbourne United) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Melbourne UnitedIllawarra Hawks

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.8	21.5	44.2	+1.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.9	20.2	41.1	+0.7	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	24.4	22.6	46.9	+1.8	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.7	21.9	44.6	+0.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.2	20.0	43.2	+3.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (8)	20.5	18.8	39.2	+1.8	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	23.6	22.5	46.0	+1.1	50%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.2	22.2	43.4	-1.1	30%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	20.7	22.2	42.9	-1.6	33%	-
Last 30 away (18)	21.5	22.2	43.7	-0.7	28%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.3	18.6	39.9	+2.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	18.8	37.8	+0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	21.1	25.1	46.2	-4.0	17%	-
vs Similar (12)	20.9	20.7	41.6	+0.2	33%	-
vs Weaker (6)	21.8	19.7	41.5	+2.2	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.4	20.6	42.0	+0.8	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.1	19.3	41.4	+2.8	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.8	21.8	42.6	-0.9	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.4	21.7	42.1	-1.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	19.8	42.6	+3.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (8)	24.1	20.0	44.1	+4.1	62%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	20.4	20.8	41.2	-0.4	55%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.8	21.4	42.2	-0.7	47%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	21.2	21.0	42.2	+0.2	42%	-
Last 30 away (18)	20.5	21.7	42.2	-1.2	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.6	20.5	39.1	-1.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	20.6	40.2	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	18.5	22.9	41.4	-4.4	17%	-
vs Similar (12)	22.3	20.0	42.3	+2.3	67%	-
vs Weaker (6)	22.2	21.3	43.5	+0.8	67%	-

Melbourne UnitedLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

South East Melbourne

42-50

-8

A10/03

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

43-38

A13/03

NBL

Sydney

39-60

-21

A19/03

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

39-35

H21/03

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

38-54

-16

A25/03

NBL

South East Melbourne

41-37

A27/03

NBL

Taipans

49-45

H02/04

NBL

Taipans

43-40

A04/04

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

39-37

H10/04

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

58-40

+18

H12/04

NBL

86.7Avg total

43.1Scored

43.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.2	42.1	86.2	+2.1	63%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	43.0	39.5	82.5	+3.5	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	45.2	44.3	89.5	+0.9	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.1	43.6	86.7	-0.5	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.0	39.8	85.8	+6.2	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (8)	44.6	38.8	83.4	+5.9	75%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	44.0	43.3	87.3	+0.7	59%	-

This opponent (Illawarra Hawks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Illawarra HawksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Melbourne United

38-43

-5

H13/03

NBL

Melbourne United

35-39

-4

A21/03

NBL

Perth

41-39

A26/03

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

54-34

+20

H29/03

NBL

South East Melbourne

38-39

-1

H01/04

NBL

Adelaide

32-46

-14

A03/04

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

42-33

H07/04

NBL

South East Melbourne

30-41

-11

H09/04

NBL

Taipans

46-35

+11

H11/04

NBL

Perth

43-42

A16/04

NBL

79.0Avg total

39.9Scored

39.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.9	43.7	85.6	-1.7	43%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	41.8	43.2	85.1	-1.4	33%	-
Last 30 away (18)	42.0	43.9	85.9	-1.9	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.9	39.1	79.0	+0.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.6	39.4	78.0	-0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	39.6	48.0	87.6	-8.4	17%	-
vs Similar (12)	43.2	40.7	83.9	+2.6	58%	-
vs Weaker (6)	44.0	41.0	85.0	+3.0	67%	-

This opponent (Melbourne United) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.9	19.3	41.3	+2.6	67%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	23.2	19.1	42.3	+4.1	86%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.8	19.6	40.4	+1.2	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.5	17.7	37.2	+1.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	17.6	37.8	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (8)	24.2	21.5	45.8	+2.8	62%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	21.1	18.5	39.6	+2.5	68%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.7	21.8	40.5	-3.1	33%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	18.6	20.9	39.5	-2.3	58%	-
Last 30 away (18)	18.8	22.4	41.2	-3.6	17%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.0	19.3	35.3	-3.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.2	18.6	35.8	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	16.8	21.5	38.2	-4.8	25%	-
vs Similar (12)	20.0	23.1	43.1	-3.1	42%	-
vs Weaker (6)	20.2	19.8	40.0	+0.3	33%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.9	20.1	42.0	+1.8	63%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	24.0	21.9	45.9	+2.1	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.1	18.6	38.6	+1.5	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.9	18.0	37.9	+1.9	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	19.6	41.4	+2.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (8)	20.0	21.2	41.2	-1.2	38%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	22.6	19.7	42.3	+2.9	73%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	20.5	40.9	-0.1	50%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	20.5	19.7	40.2	+0.8	42%	-
Last 30 away (18)	20.4	21.1	41.4	-0.7	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.9	22.3	42.2	-2.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	25.0	46.6	-3.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	16.7	18.1	34.8	-1.4	33%	-
vs Similar (12)	22.4	21.9	44.3	+0.5	67%	-
vs Weaker (6)	24.0	22.5	46.5	+1.5	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.8	39.4	83.3	+4.4	67%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	47.2	40.9	88.1	+6.3	79%	-
Last 30 away (16)	40.9	38.1	79.0	+2.8	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.4	35.7	75.1	+3.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.0	37.2	79.2	+4.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (8)	44.2	42.8	87.0	+1.5	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	43.7	38.2	81.9	+5.5	73%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.2	42.3	81.5	-3.1	40%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	39.1	40.6	79.7	-1.5	50%	-
Last 30 away (18)	39.2	43.4	82.7	-4.2	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.9	41.6	77.5	-5.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.8	43.6	82.4	-4.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	33.4	39.6	73.0	-6.2	25%	-
vs Similar (12)	42.4	45.0	87.4	-2.6	42%	-
vs Weaker (6)	44.2	42.3	86.5	+1.8	67%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Melbourne United wins

Illawarra Hawks wins

Date	Game	Score
21/03/21	Melbourne United v Illawarra Hawks	75-65
13/03/21	Illawarra Hawks v Melbourne United	77-69
10/02/21	Illawarra Hawks v Melbourne United	88-91
08/02/20	Melbourne United v Illawarra Hawks	95-72
04/01/20	Illawarra Hawks v Melbourne United	91-104
16/12/19	Illawarra Hawks v Melbourne United	73-94
23/01/19	Melbourne United v Illawarra Hawks	113-89
08/11/18	Illawarra Hawks v Melbourne United	87-81
29/10/18	Melbourne United v Illawarra Hawks	99-93
12/10/18	Illawarra Hawks v Melbourne United	122-123 OT

Melbourne Unitedlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
12/04/21	H	Brisbane Bullets	98-89
10/04/21	H	New Zealand Breakers	84-78
04/04/21	A	Taipans	83-73
02/04/21	H	Taipans	95-85
27/03/21	A	South East Melbourne	80-60
25/03/21	A	New Zealand Breakers	82-79
21/03/21	H	Illawarra Hawks	75-65
19/03/21	A	Sydney	75-103
13/03/21	A	Illawarra Hawks	69-77
10/03/21	A	South East Melbourne	92-97 OT

Illawarra Hawkslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
16/04/21	A	Perth	69-83
11/04/21	H	Taipans	82-80
09/04/21	H	South East Melbourne	82-80
07/04/21	H	Brisbane Bullets	82-88
03/04/21	A	Adelaide	72-84
01/04/21	H	South East Melbourne	63-95
29/03/21	H	Brisbane Bullets	96-72
26/03/21	A	Perth	70-81
21/03/21	A	Melbourne United	65-75
13/03/21	H	Melbourne United	77-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Melbourne United

NBL 2020-21

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	77%
Home	LWWWW	80%
Away	LLWWW	75%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	22	10	12
Win %	77%	80%	75%
Points / game	86.0	86.7	85.5
Allowed / game	82.0	82.4	81.7
Point differential	+4.0	+4.3	+3.8
Avg total	168.0	169.1	167.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	27%	20%	33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	75% (8)	67% (3)	80% (5)
Overtime %	5%	0%	8%

Illawarra Hawks

NBL 2020-21

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWWL	50%
Home	WLLWW	60%
Away	WLLLL	43%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	24	10	14
Win %	50%	60%	43%
Points / game	83.2	84.0	82.6
Allowed / game	83.9	83.9	83.9
Point differential	-0.8	+0.1	-1.4
Avg total	167.1	167.9	166.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	21%	20%	21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	75% (4)	67% (3)	100% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Perth	22	17	5	77%	87.7	80.6	+7.1
2	Melbourne United	22	17	5	77%	86.0	82.0	+4.0
3	South East Melbourne	24	13	11	54%	90.1	87.7	+2.4
4	Sydney	24	12	12	50%	88.3	86.0	+2.3
5	Illawarra Hawks	24	12	12	50%	83.2	83.9	-0.8
6	Brisbane Bullets	22	10	12	45%	89.5	92.2	-2.6
7	Adelaide	24	10	14	42%	84.1	88.4	-4.3
8	New Zealand Breakers	20	6	14	30%	82.5	85.3	-2.9
9	Taipans	24	6	18	25%	82.6	87.7	-5.1

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Melbourne United	30	26	20	11	87
Illawarra Hawks	21	21	19	15	76

← all games of the day

Melbourne United vs Illawarra Hawks Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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