Illawarra Hawks vs Melbourne United Result & Analysis

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (23)	100.7	92.5	193.2	+8.2	65%
Season at home (11)	102.8	91.9	194.7	+10.9	64%
Season away (12)	98.8	93.1	191.8	+5.7	67%
Last 10 (10)	105.5	97.7	203.2	+7.8	70%
Last 5 (5)	99.0	98.6	197.6	+0.4	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	88.0	104.1	192.1	-16.1	0%
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	100.7	92.5	193.2	+8.2	65%

This opponent (Melbourne United) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Melbourne United Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormUnited

Date

Competition

Sydney

101-98

101

102avg 85

H01/12

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

97-70

+27

90avg 85

A05/12

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

114-122

114

122

-8

102avg 85

H08/12

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

93-106

106

-13

79avg 85

H13/12

NBL

South East Melbourne

97-109

109

-12

88avg 85

A15/12

NBL

Tasmania JackJumpers

91-97

-6

86avg 85

H23/12

NBL

Cairns Taipans

#10

76-66

+10

72avg 85

A26/12

NBL

Adelaide

81-100

100

-19

70avg 85

A04/01

NBL

Sydney

90-88

82avg 85

A09/01

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

91-89

86avg 85

A13/01

NBL

27-28

38-21

14-26

22-23

28-24

18-19

24-7

27-20

28-28

29-29

30-31

27-34

24-27

23-19

15-27

31-33

36-24

23-27

20-32

18-26

26-36

21-15

20-17

24-29

25-13

21-16

13-22

17-15

17-27

25-28

20-22

19-23

32-16

25-25

13-23

20-24

25-26

16-16

21-29

29-18

187.6Avg total

93.1Scored

94.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (24)	94.4	90.4	184.8	+4.0	62%
Season at home (13)	96.6	94.2	190.8	+2.5	54%
Season away (11)	91.7	85.9	177.6	+5.8	73%
Last 10 (10)	93.1	94.5	187.6	-1.4	50%
Last 5 (5)	85.8	88.0	173.8	-2.2	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)	92.5	96.5	189.0	-4.0	50%
vs Similar (13)	92.2	88.1	180.3	+4.2	62%
vs Weaker (15)	94.8	90.0	184.8	+4.8	60%

This opponent (Illawarra Hawks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Illawarra HawksMelbourne United

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	25.3	24.1	49.4	+1.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	27.4	22.1	49.5	+5.4	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	23.4	25.8	49.2	-2.4	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	27.4	27.5	54.9	-0.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.8	25.6	51.4	+0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	19.9	23.0	42.9	-3.1	14%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	27.0	24.4	51.3	+2.6	57%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	24.6	23.1	47.7	+1.5	57%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	25.1	24.1	49.1	+1.0	65%	-
Last 30 away (13)	23.9	21.8	45.8	+2.1	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	26.8	24.9	51.7	+1.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.0	23.6	48.6	+1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)	21.0	24.0	45.0	-3.0	0%	-
vs Similar (13)	26.1	22.8	48.8	+3.3	69%	-
vs Weaker (15)	23.7	23.3	47.0	+0.5	53%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.7	23.9	47.6	-0.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	24.5	22.8	47.3	+1.7	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	22.9	24.9	47.9	-2.0	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	27.2	23.3	50.5	+3.9	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	29.4	24.8	54.2	+4.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	20.1	26.1	46.3	-6.0	14%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	24.7	23.3	48.0	+1.5	61%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	24.1	22.4	46.5	+1.7	53%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	24.9	24.1	49.0	+0.9	53%	-
Last 30 away (13)	23.1	20.2	43.3	+2.8	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.9	21.5	45.4	+2.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	20.0	41.6	+1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)	22.5	17.5	40.0	+5.0	100%	-
vs Similar (13)	24.3	22.2	46.5	+2.1	54%	-
vs Weaker (15)	24.2	23.2	47.4	+1.0	47%	-

Illawarra HawksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Perth

55-53

A06/12

NBL

Melbourne United

46-47

-1

A13/12

NBL

Perth

63-48

+15

H22/12

NBL

Sydney

58-58

A25/12

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

48-50

-2

A27/12

NBL

South East Melbourne

59-60

-1

H31/12

NBL

Cairns Taipans

#10

56-45

+11

H03/01

NBL

Tasmania JackJumpers

49-36

+13

H07/01

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

69-48

+21

H11/01

NBL

Adelaide

43-63

-20

A13/01

NBL

105.4Avg total

54.6Scored

50.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	49.0	48.0	97.0	+1.0	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	51.9	44.9	96.8	+7.1	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	46.4	50.8	97.1	-4.4	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	54.6	50.8	105.4	+3.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	55.2	50.4	105.6	+4.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	40.0	49.1	89.1	-9.1	0%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	51.7	47.7	99.3	+4.0	61%	-

This opponent (Melbourne United) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Melbourne UnitedLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sydney

65-49

+16

H01/12

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

46-43

A05/12

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

57-57

H08/12

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

47-46

H13/12

NBL

South East Melbourne

59-51

A15/12

NBL

Tasmania JackJumpers

47-51

-4

H23/12

NBL

Cairns Taipans

#10

46-29

+17

A26/12

NBL

Adelaide

42-55

-13

A04/01

NBL

Sydney

57-41

+16

A09/01

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

41-42

-1

A13/01

NBL

97.1Avg total

50.7Scored

46.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	48.7	45.5	94.2	+3.2	67%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	50.0	48.1	98.1	+1.9	59%	-
Last 30 away (13)	47.0	42.1	89.1	+4.9	77%	-
Last 10 (10)	50.7	46.4	97.1	+4.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.6	43.6	90.2	+3.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)	43.5	41.5	85.0	+2.0	100%	-
vs Similar (13)	50.4	45.0	95.4	+5.4	77%	-
vs Weaker (15)	47.9	46.5	94.4	+1.5	53%	-

This opponent (Illawarra Hawks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.1	22.8	45.9	+0.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.0	22.2	44.2	-0.2	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	24.0	23.4	47.4	+0.6	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.8	22.9	47.7	+1.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	24.0	43.6	-4.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	18.6	24.1	42.7	-5.6	14%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	24.4	22.4	46.9	+2.0	61%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.6	20.9	42.5	+0.7	47%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	22.6	20.4	43.0	+2.2	59%	-
Last 30 away (13)	20.3	21.5	41.8	-1.2	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.0	23.6	42.6	-4.6	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.4	22.6	40.0	-5.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)	17.0	24.0	41.0	-7.0	0%	-
vs Similar (13)	21.0	20.6	41.6	+0.4	54%	-
vs Weaker (15)	22.7	20.7	43.4	+2.1	47%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	25.2	23.7	48.9	+1.5	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	25.9	24.9	50.9	+1.0	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	24.6	22.7	47.2	+1.9	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	26.1	24.0	50.1	+2.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.2	24.2	48.4	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	27.3	28.0	55.3	-0.7	43%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	24.6	22.4	47.0	+2.1	48%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.2	23.2	46.5	+0.0	47%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	23.4	24.1	47.5	-0.7	35%	-
Last 30 away (13)	23.0	22.1	45.1	+0.9	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.4	24.5	47.9	-1.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	21.8	43.6	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)	32.0	31.0	63.0	+1.0	50%	-
vs Similar (13)	20.8	22.5	43.3	-1.6	38%	-
vs Weaker (15)	24.1	22.9	47.0	+1.3	53%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	48.3	46.6	94.8	+1.7	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	47.9	47.1	95.1	+0.8	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	48.6	46.1	94.6	+2.5	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	50.9	46.9	97.8	+4.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.8	48.2	92.0	-4.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	45.9	52.1	98.0	-6.3	14%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	49.0	44.9	93.9	+4.1	57%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.8	44.1	88.9	+0.7	47%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	46.0	44.5	90.5	+1.5	41%	-
Last 30 away (13)	43.3	43.5	86.8	-0.2	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.4	48.1	90.5	-5.7	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.2	44.4	83.6	-5.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)	49.0	55.0	104.0	-6.0	50%	-
vs Similar (13)	41.8	43.1	84.9	-1.2	38%	-
vs Weaker (15)	46.9	43.5	90.4	+3.3	53%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Illawarra Hawkstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Illawarra Hawks: 104.7 points a game scored

🏀🏀53%

🏀🏀🏀27%

🏀19%

🏀🏀 2-pointers56.0 pts a game · 53% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 27% of the points

🏀 Free throws20.2 pts a game · 19% of the points

League average for comparison: 92.3 points a game

49%

33%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	51.3	28.0	54.6%	52.3%	56.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.6	9.5	33.2%	35.1%	28.5
🏀 Free throws	25.6	20.2	78.9%	74.7%	20.2

They take 79.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Melbourne Unitedtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Melbourne United: 91.9 points a game scored

🏀🏀50%

🏀🏀🏀35%

🏀15%

🏀🏀 2-pointers46.2 pts a game · 50% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 35% of the points

🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 15% of the points

League average for comparison: 92.3 points a game

49%

33%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	43.2	23.1	53.5%	52.3%	46.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	32.8	10.6	32.3%	35.1%	31.8
🏀 Free throws	19.7	13.9	70.6%	74.7%	13.9

They take 76.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	42.5	22.7	53.4%	52.3%	45.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	30.4	11.1	36.5%	35.1%	33.3
🏀 Free throws	23.8	18.0	75.6%	74.7%	18.0

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	43.0	22.4	52.1%	52.3%	44.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.6	10.0	37.6%	35.1%	30.0
🏀 Free throws	25.2	18.9	75.0%	74.7%	18.9

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	48.0	25.6	53.4%	52.3%	51.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.3	9.6	35.1%	35.1%	28.7
🏀 Free throws	23.9	17.6	73.8%	74.7%	17.6

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	43.0	22.4	52.0%	52.3%	44.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	31.0	11.0	35.6%	35.1%	33.1
🏀 Free throws	20.2	14.8	73.2%	74.7%	14.8

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	41.3	21.6	52.3%	52.3%	43.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	30.3	10.6	35.1%	35.1%	31.9
🏀 Free throws	22.3	16.5	74.1%	74.7%	16.5

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	46.5	22.4	48.2%	52.3%	44.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.0	8.9	35.6%	35.1%	26.7
🏀 Free throws	23.3	17.2	73.8%	74.7%	17.2

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Illawarra Hawks

LWWLLWWWWW

Melbourne United

WWLWLLLLWW

League position

+9.6

Net rating

-2.2

125.4

Offensive rating

111.8

115.9

Defensive rating

114.0

52.9%

Effective FG%

51.3%

54.0%

Opp. effective FG%

53.7%

11.0%

Turnover %

14.9%

38.7%

Off. rebound %

34.4%

0.32

Free-throw rate

0.26

33.2%

3-point %

32.3%

50.9%

Assist %

65.3%

70%

Form (last 10/10)

50%

Profile

■ Illawarra Hawks ■ Melbourne United

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Illawarra Hawks wins

Melbourne United wins

Date	Game	Score
13/12/24	Melbourne United v Illawarra Hawks	93-106
24/10/24	Illawarra Hawks v Melbourne United	87-92
13/03/24	Melbourne United v Illawarra Hawks	100-94
10/03/24	Illawarra Hawks v Melbourne United	113-108 OT
07/03/24	Melbourne United v Illawarra Hawks	115-106 OT
18/02/24	Melbourne United v Illawarra Hawks	92-87
29/10/23	Melbourne United v Illawarra Hawks	96-84
20/10/23	Illawarra Hawks v Melbourne United	91-101
18/12/22	Melbourne United v Illawarra Hawks	88-77
05/12/22	Illawarra Hawks v Melbourne United	93-79

Illawarra Hawkslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
13/01/25	A	Adelaide	88-91
11/01/25	H	New Zealand Breakers	108-100
07/01/25	H	Tasmania JackJumpers	89-84
03/01/25	H	Cairns Taipans	105-108
31/12/24	H	South East Melbourne	105-110
27/12/24	A	Brisbane Bullets	102-84
25/12/24	A	Sydney	111-108
22/12/24	H	Perth	120-88
13/12/24	A	Melbourne United	106-93
06/12/24	A	Perth	121-111

Melbourne Unitedlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
13/01/25	A	New Zealand Breakers	91-89
09/01/25	A	Sydney	90-88
04/01/25	A	Adelaide	81-100
26/12/24	A	Cairns Taipans	76-66
23/12/24	H	Tasmania JackJumpers	91-97
15/12/24	A	South East Melbourne	97-109
13/12/24	H	Illawarra Hawks	93-106
08/12/24	H	Brisbane Bullets	114-122
05/12/24	A	New Zealand Breakers	97-70
01/12/24	H	Sydney	101-98

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Illawarra Hawks

NBL 2024-25

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWWL	65%
Home	WLLWW	64%
Away	WWWWL	67%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	23	11	12
Win %	65%	64%	67%
Points / game	100.7	102.8	98.8
Allowed / game	92.5	91.9	93.1
Point differential	+8.2	+10.9	+5.7
Avg total	193.2	194.7	191.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	39%	36%	42%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	25% (8)	20% (5)	33% (3)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Melbourne United

NBL 2024-25

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLWW	62%
Home	WWLLL	54%
Away	LWLWW	73%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	24	13	11
Win %	62%	54%	73%
Points / game	94.4	96.6	91.7
Allowed / game	90.4	94.2	85.9
Point differential	+4.0	+2.5	+5.8
Avg total	184.8	190.8	177.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	33%	23%	45%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (5)	100% (2)	100% (3)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Illawarra Hawks	23	15	8	65%	100.7	92.5	+8.2
2	Melbourne United	24	15	9	62%	94.4	90.4	+4.0
3	Perth	24	15	9	62%	99.1	95.3	+3.8
4	South East Melbourne	24	14	10	58%	95.1	90.5	+4.6
5	Sydney	24	14	10	58%	90.5	86.8	+3.6
6	Tasmania JackJumpers	24	12	12	50%	84.1	86.2	-2.2
7	Adelaide	23	10	13	43%	93.3	97.3	-4.0
8	Brisbane Bullets	24	10	14	42%	92.9	96.9	-4.0
9	New Zealand Breakers	25	9	16	36%	85.6	91.0	-5.4
10	Cairns Taipans	23	5	18	22%	86.3	94.9	-8.6

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Illawarra Hawks	29	29	27	32	117
Melbourne United	25	21	20	29	95

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Illawarra Hawks vs Melbourne United Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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