Melbourne United vs Illawarra Hawks Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 02 Apr 2022

Tip-off: 06:30

Final 90-96

30-32 20-15 25-24 15-25

Position#2

Record15-6

FormWLWWL

Points / game88.5

Allowed / game80.0

Melbourne United

Illawarra Hawks 🏆

Position#3

Record15-8

FormLWWWW

Points / game88.0

Allowed / game83.0

NBL

Other2021-22

Meetings · Melbourne United v Illawarra Hawks

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Melbourne United winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Illawarra Hawks winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Melbourne United Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Tasmania JackJumpers

85-94

-9

H06/02

NBL

Perth

93-87

H12/02

NBL

South East Melbourne

94-87

H17/02

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

#10

108-73

108

+35

H20/02

NBL

Cairns Taipans

89-73

+16

A27/02

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

95-83

+12

H05/03

NBL

Perth

87-97

-10

H10/03

NBL

South East Melbourne

98-90

A13/03

NBL

Adelaide

101-74

101

+27

H20/03

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

77-92

-15

H27/03

NBL

23-36

22-21

21-16

19-21

16-29

37-19

26-13

14-26

30-17

11-25

23-26

30-19

30-20

30-13

24-11

24-29

23-13

25-22

13-22

28-16

20-20

16-17

26-18

33-28

25-26

23-20

16-23

23-28

29-30

25-19

12-24

32-17

18-20

28-21

23-15

32-18

19-25

16-21

23-24

19-22

177.7Avg total

92.7Scored

85.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (21)	88.5	80.0	168.5	+8.5	71%
Season at home (11)	90.7	80.7	171.5	+10.0	64%
Season away (10)	86.0	79.2	165.2	+6.8	80%
Last 10 (10)	92.7	85.0	177.7	+7.7	70%
Last 5 (5)	91.6	87.2	178.8	+4.4	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (11)	82.3	76.2	158.5	+6.1	73%
vs Weaker (19)	91.1	80.2	171.3	+10.8	79%

This opponent (Illawarra Hawks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Illawarra Hawks Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Cairns Taipans

79-54

+25

H18/02

NBL

Tasmania JackJumpers

86-96

-10

H20/02

NBL

Adelaide

87-71

+16

H25/02

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

#10

102-87

102

+15

A01/03

NBL

South East Melbourne

83-77

A06/03

NBL

Tasmania JackJumpers

77-81

-4

A13/03

NBL

South East Melbourne

103-97

103

H17/03

NBL

Tasmania JackJumpers

91-65

+26

A19/03

NBL

Melbourne United

92-77

+15

A27/03

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

87-70

+17

H31/03

NBL

17-21

24-16

16-9

22-8

22-20

21-26

20-27

23-23

26-20

24-17

12-20

25-14

20-22

29-25

30-20

23-20

18-18

15-15

24-22

26-22

15-16

17-31

20-15

25-19

30-20

23-28

31-18

19-31

17-26

32-15

22-12

20-12

25-19

21-16

24-23

22-19

29-15

24-24

15-17

19-14

166.2Avg total

88.7Scored

77.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (23)	88.0	83.0	171.0	+4.9	65%
Season at home (13)	88.6	85.2	173.8	+3.5	62%
Season away (10)	87.1	80.3	167.4	+6.8	70%
Last 10 (10)	88.7	77.5	166.2	+11.2	80%
Last 5 (5)	90.0	78.0	168.0	+12.0	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	74.2	77.2	151.5	-3.0	50%
vs Similar ◀ (11)	86.6	85.5	172.1	+1.2	55%
vs Weaker (15)	88.3	80.3	168.6	+7.9	73%

This opponent (Melbourne United) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Melbourne UnitedIllawarra Hawks

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.9	21.5	44.4	+1.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	23.1	21.5	44.6	+1.6	47%	-
Last 30 away (13)	22.5	21.6	44.2	+0.9	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.3	23.6	46.9	-0.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	24.2	46.4	-2.0	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (11)	22.7	20.7	43.5	+2.0	45%	-
vs Weaker (19)	22.9	22.0	44.9	+0.9	53%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.6	21.1	41.7	-0.5	43%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	22.4	20.8	43.2	+1.5	65%	-
Last 30 away (13)	18.2	21.5	39.7	-3.2	15%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.9	19.7	41.6	+2.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.2	19.2	42.4	+4.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	16.0	19.2	35.2	-3.2	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	21.3	20.5	41.7	+0.8	45%	-
vs Weaker (15)	21.3	22.1	43.3	-0.8	47%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.3	19.0	40.2	+2.3	63%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	22.8	19.5	42.2	+3.3	65%	-
Last 30 away (13)	19.3	18.3	37.6	+1.0	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.3	19.8	43.1	+3.5	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	19.6	41.2	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (11)	19.4	18.1	37.5	+1.3	55%	-
vs Weaker (19)	22.4	19.5	41.8	+2.9	68%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.0	21.0	43.0	+0.9	53%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	22.2	21.1	43.4	+1.1	53%	-
Last 30 away (13)	21.6	20.9	42.5	+0.7	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.0	21.3	44.3	+1.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.4	22.8	46.2	+0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	18.5	18.0	36.5	+0.5	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	21.2	22.0	43.2	-0.8	36%	-
vs Weaker (15)	23.5	21.1	44.6	+2.3	67%	-

Melbourne UnitedLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Tasmania JackJumpers

45-57

-12

H06/02

NBL

Perth

53-48

H12/02

NBL

South East Melbourne

41-42

-1

H17/02

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

#10

60-33

+27

H20/02

NBL

Cairns Taipans

48-35

+13

A27/02

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

36-37

-1

H05/03

NBL

Perth

48-46

H10/03

NBL

South East Melbourne

54-49

A13/03

NBL

Adelaide

46-41

H20/03

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

35-46

-11

H27/03

NBL

90.0Avg total

46.6Scored

43.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.1	40.5	84.6	+3.6	63%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	45.9	40.9	86.8	+4.9	59%	-
Last 30 away (13)	41.8	39.9	81.8	+1.9	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	46.6	43.4	90.0	+3.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.8	43.8	87.6	+0.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (11)	42.1	38.8	80.9	+3.3	64%	-
vs Weaker (19)	45.3	41.5	86.8	+3.8	63%	-

This opponent (Illawarra Hawks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Illawarra HawksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Cairns Taipans

41-37

H18/02

NBL

Tasmania JackJumpers

43-46

-3

H20/02

NBL

Adelaide

50-37

+13

H25/02

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

#10

49-47

A01/03

NBL

South East Melbourne

33-33

A06/03

NBL

Tasmania JackJumpers

32-47

-15

A13/03

NBL

South East Melbourne

53-48

H17/03

NBL

Tasmania JackJumpers

49-41

A19/03

NBL

Melbourne United

46-35

+11

A27/03

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

53-39

+14

H31/03

NBL

85.9Avg total

44.9Scored

41.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.5	42.1	84.7	+0.4	57%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	44.6	41.9	86.5	+2.6	65%	-
Last 30 away (13)	39.8	42.4	82.2	-2.5	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.9	41.0	85.9	+3.9	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.6	42.0	88.6	+4.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	34.5	37.2	71.8	-2.8	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	42.5	42.5	84.9	+0.0	45%	-
vs Weaker (15)	44.7	43.2	87.9	+1.5	67%	-

This opponent (Melbourne United) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.4	18.8	40.2	+2.6	63%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	22.2	16.8	38.9	+5.4	82%	-
Last 30 away (13)	20.4	21.5	41.8	-1.1	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.7	19.2	39.9	+1.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	20.8	40.8	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (11)	21.2	18.9	40.1	+2.3	64%	-
vs Weaker (19)	21.5	18.7	40.3	+2.8	63%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.1	19.3	41.5	+2.8	70%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	21.5	21.1	42.5	+0.4	47%	-
Last 30 away (13)	23.0	17.1	40.1	+5.9	100%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.4	18.3	39.7	+3.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	17.0	39.4	+5.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	19.8	19.5	39.2	+0.2	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	23.5	21.7	45.3	+1.8	73%	-
vs Weaker (15)	21.7	17.5	39.3	+4.2	73%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.0	19.0	41.0	+3.0	67%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	22.8	21.5	44.3	+1.4	53%	-
Last 30 away (13)	20.9	15.7	36.6	+5.2	85%	-
Last 10 (10)	25.4	22.4	47.8	+3.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	27.8	22.6	50.4	+5.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (11)	19.0	18.5	37.5	+0.5	55%	-
vs Weaker (19)	23.7	19.3	43.0	+4.5	74%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.5	19.7	40.2	+0.8	53%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	19.5	19.8	39.3	-0.4	35%	-
Last 30 away (13)	21.8	19.5	41.3	+2.2	77%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.4	18.2	40.6	+4.2	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	19.0	40.0	+2.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	20.0	20.5	40.5	-0.5	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	20.6	21.3	41.9	-0.6	55%	-
vs Weaker (15)	20.5	18.3	38.8	+2.1	60%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.4	37.8	81.2	+5.6	83%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	45.0	38.2	83.2	+6.8	82%	-
Last 30 away (13)	41.3	37.2	78.5	+4.2	85%	-
Last 10 (10)	46.1	41.6	87.7	+4.5	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	47.8	43.4	91.2	+4.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (11)	40.2	37.4	77.5	+2.8	73%	-
vs Weaker (19)	45.3	38.0	83.3	+7.3	89%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.6	39.0	81.6	+3.6	77%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	40.9	40.9	81.8	+0.1	65%	-
Last 30 away (13)	44.8	36.6	81.4	+8.2	92%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.8	36.5	80.3	+7.3	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.4	36.0	79.4	+7.4	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	39.8	40.0	79.8	-0.2	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	44.2	43.0	87.2	+1.2	82%	-
vs Weaker (15)	42.2	35.9	78.1	+6.3	80%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Melbourne United wins

Illawarra Hawks wins

Date	Game	Score
27/03/22	Melbourne United v Illawarra Hawks	77-92
16/01/22	Illawarra Hawks v Melbourne United	84-88
18/05/21	Illawarra Hawks v Melbourne United	87-102
18/04/21	Melbourne United v Illawarra Hawks	87-76
21/03/21	Melbourne United v Illawarra Hawks	75-65
13/03/21	Illawarra Hawks v Melbourne United	77-69
10/02/21	Illawarra Hawks v Melbourne United	88-91
08/02/20	Melbourne United v Illawarra Hawks	95-72
04/01/20	Illawarra Hawks v Melbourne United	91-104
16/12/19	Illawarra Hawks v Melbourne United	73-94

Melbourne Unitedlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
27/03/22	H	Illawarra Hawks	77-92
20/03/22	H	Adelaide	101-74
13/03/22	A	South East Melbourne	98-90
10/03/22	H	Perth	87-97
05/03/22	H	Brisbane Bullets	95-83
27/02/22	A	Cairns Taipans	89-73
20/02/22	H	New Zealand Breakers	108-73
17/02/22	H	South East Melbourne	94-87
12/02/22	H	Perth	93-87
06/02/22	H	Tasmania JackJumpers	85-94

Illawarra Hawkslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
31/03/22	H	Brisbane Bullets	87-70
27/03/22	A	Melbourne United	92-77
19/03/22	A	Tasmania JackJumpers	91-65
17/03/22	H	South East Melbourne	103-97
13/03/22	A	Tasmania JackJumpers	77-81
06/03/22	A	South East Melbourne	83-77
01/03/22	A	New Zealand Breakers	102-87
25/02/22	H	Adelaide	87-71
20/02/22	H	Tasmania JackJumpers	86-96
18/02/22	H	Cairns Taipans	79-54

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Melbourne United

NBL 2021-22

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWL	71%
Home	WWLWL	64%
Away	WWLWW	80%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	21	11	10
Win %	71%	64%	80%
Points / game	88.5	90.7	86.0
Allowed / game	80.0	80.7	79.2
Point differential	+8.5	+10.0	+6.8
Avg total	168.5	171.5	165.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	43%	45%	40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	60% (5)	-	60% (5)
Overtime %	5%	0%	10%

Illawarra Hawks

NBL 2021-22

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWW	65%
Home	WLWWW	62%
Away	WWLWW	70%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	23	13	10
Win %	65%	62%	70%
Points / game	88.0	88.6	87.1
Allowed / game	83.0	85.2	80.3
Point differential	+4.9	+3.5	+6.8
Avg total	171.0	173.8	167.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	39%	31%	50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	20% (5)	33% (3)	0% (2)
Overtime %	4%	8%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Melbourne United	21	15	6	71%	88.5	80.0	+8.5
2	Sydney	21	14	7	67%	84.5	82.2	+2.2
3	Illawarra Hawks	23	15	8	65%	88.0	83.0	+4.9
4	Perth	22	14	8	64%	89.9	84.5	+5.4
5	Tasmania JackJumpers	23	13	10	57%	78.5	78.7	-0.2
6	South East Melbourne	22	12	10	55%	86.7	85.5	+1.3
7	Brisbane Bullets	23	8	15	35%	84.3	87.7	-3.3
8	Adelaide	21	7	14	33%	79.7	84.3	-4.6
9	Cairns Taipans	20	6	14	30%	77.6	84.2	-6.6
10	New Zealand Breakers	22	5	17	23%	80.5	88.5	-7.9

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Melbourne United	30	20	25	15	90
Illawarra Hawks	32	15	24	25	96

← all games of the day

Melbourne United vs Illawarra Hawks Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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