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Melbourne United vs Illawarra Hawks Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 21 Mar 2021
Tip-off: 04:00
Final 75-65
19-19 20-16 16-13 20-17
Position#1
Record10-5
FormWLLLL
Points / game86.4
Allowed / game85.0
vs
Position#3
Record9-6
FormLWLWW
Points / game87.7
Allowed / game85.1
AustraliaNBL
Other2020-21
Meetings · Melbourne United v Illawarra Hawks
13 Feb 2027
MELB v ILLA
upcoming
18 Oct 2026
MELB89
ILLA91
15 Feb 2026
MELB91
ILLA100
18 Dec 2025
MELB97
ILLA75
19 Mar 2025
MELB71
ILLA80
12 Mar 2025
MELB100
ILLA102
13 Dec 2024
MELB93
ILLA106
13 Mar 2024
MELB100
ILLA94
07 Mar 2024
MELB115
ILLA106
18 Feb 2024
MELB92
ILLA87
29 Oct 2023
MELB96
ILLA84
18 Dec 2022
MELB88
ILLA77
02 Apr 2022
MELB90
ILLA96
27 Mar 2022
MELB77
ILLA92
18 Apr 2021
MELB87
ILLA76
21 Mar 2021
MELB75
ILLA65
08 Feb 2020
MELB95
ILLA72
23 Jan 2019
MELB113
ILLA89
29 Oct 2018
MELB99
ILLA93
18 Feb 2018
MELB84
ILLA94
04 Dec 2017
MELB91
ILLA73
06 Feb 2017
MELB78
ILLA72
16 Oct 2016
MELB95
ILLA83
07 Jan 2016
MELB97
ILLA96
11 Oct 2015
MELB93
ILLA81
07 Feb 2015
MELB76
ILLA82
02 Nov 2014
MELB88
ILLA75
27 Dec 2013
MELB74
ILLA67
10 Nov 2013
MELB81
ILLA76
02 Mar 2013
MELB82
ILLA88
25 Nov 2012
MELB66
ILLA74
18 Mar 2012
MELB61
ILLA71
06 Feb 2011
MELB93
ILLA72
07 Nov 2010
MELB82
ILLA86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Melbourne United winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Illawarra Hawks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Melbourne UnitedAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illawarra Hawks
#3
W
91-88
91
88
+3
A10/02
NBL
Perth
#2
L
85-89
85
89
-4
H20/02
NBL
Taipans
#9
W
88-81
88
81
+7
H22/02
NBL
Adelaide
#7
W
82-73
82
73
+9
A25/02
NBL
Sydney
#4
W
83-80
83
80
+3
H27/02
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#8
W
87-84
87
84
+3
A05/03
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
L
88-96
88
96
-8
H07/03
NBL
South East Melbourne
#5
L
92-97 OT
92
97
-5
A10/03
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#3
L
69-77
69
77
-8
A13/03
NBL
Sydney
#4
L
75-103
75
103
-28
A19/03
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
36-31
21-24
16-17
18-16
20-20
17-21
27-24
21-24
17-25
18-17
23-20
30-19
31-8
16-26
17-18
18-21
16-28
18-15
24-17
25-20
23-20
16-19
20-19
28-26
16-25
22-22
29-24
21-25
24-29
18-21
21-20
21-14
21-20
22-18
17-18
9-21
21-25
18-35
19-27
17-16
170.8Avg total
84.0Scored
86.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)86.485.0171.4+1.467%
Season at home (6)85.884.5170.3+1.367%
Season away (9)86.885.3172.1+1.467%
Last 10 (10)84.086.8170.8-2.850%
Last 5 (5)82.291.4173.6-9.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (13)86.584.7171.2+1.838%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)90.086.4176.4+3.671%
This opponent (Illawarra Hawks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Illawarra HawksAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Melbourne United
#1
L
88-91
88
91
-3
H10/02
NBL
Sydney
#4
W
85-82
85
82
+3
A14/02
NBL
Taipans
#9
L
95-101
95
101
-6
A20/02
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#8
W
102-88
102
88
+14
H22/02
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
L
91-97
91
97
-6
A26/02
NBL
South East Melbourne
#5
L
76-93
76
93
-17
A28/02
NBL
Adelaide
#7
W
98-89
98
89
+9
H04/03
NBL
Perth
#2
L
70-87
70
87
-17
H07/03
NBL
Sydney
#4
W
89-69
89
69
+20
A11/03
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
W
77-69
77
69
+8
H13/03
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-36
24-21
17-16
16-18
26-20
24-22
11-17
24-23
18-19
27-21
26-28
24-33
21-21
33-19
27-24
21-24
25-27
26-22
20-28
20-20
13-25
24-20
18-28
21-20
21-27
25-21
26-24
26-17
17-28
14-25
15-21
24-13
24-24
21-20
25-8
19-17
20-21
18-22
18-17
21-9
173.7Avg total
87.1Scored
86.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)87.785.1172.7+2.660%
Season at home (5)87.084.8171.8+2.260%
Season away (10)88.085.2173.2+2.860%
Last 10 (10)87.186.6173.7+0.550%
Last 5 (5)82.081.4163.4+0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)81.192.7173.8-11.617%
vs Similar (8)88.186.6174.8+1.562%
vs Weaker (4)93.884.0177.8+9.875%
This opponent (Melbourne United) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: -3.2-3.2Q2Q2: -3.2-3.2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: +2.2+2.2
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: -3.2-3.2Q2Q2: -3.2-3.2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: +2.2+2.2
Melbourne UnitedIllawarra Hawks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Melbourne UnitedLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illawarra Hawks
#3
W
57-55
57
55
+2
A10/02
NBL
Perth
#2
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H20/02
NBL
Taipans
#9
L
35-42
35
42
-7
H22/02
NBL
Adelaide
#7
W
47-34
47
34
+13
A25/02
NBL
Sydney
#4
L
34-43
34
43
-9
H27/02
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#8
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A05/03
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
L
38-47
38
47
-9
H07/03
NBL
South East Melbourne
#5
L
42-50
42
50
-8
A10/03
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#3
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A13/03
NBL
Sydney
#4
L
39-60
39
60
-21
A19/03
NBL
86.0Avg total
41.1Scored
44.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.343.788.0+0.650%-
Last 30 at home (12)41.541.482.9+0.142%-
Last 30 away (18)46.245.291.4+0.956%-
Last 10 (10)41.144.986.0-3.830%-
Last 5 (5)40.246.887.0-6.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (13)43.541.885.3+1.654%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)44.945.190.1-0.247%-
This opponent (Illawarra Hawks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Illawarra HawksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Melbourne United
#1
L
55-57
55
57
-2
H10/02
NBL
Sydney
#4
W
50-42
50
42
+8
A14/02
NBL
Taipans
#9
W
45-40
45
40
+5
A20/02
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#8
W
54-40
54
40
+14
H22/02
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
W
51-49
51
49
+2
A26/02
NBL
South East Melbourne
#5
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A28/02
NBL
Adelaide
#7
L
46-48
46
48
-2
H04/03
NBL
Perth
#2
L
31-53
31
53
-22
H07/03
NBL
Sydney
#4
W
45-44
45
44
+1
A11/03
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
L
38-43
38
43
-5
H13/03
NBL
91.3Avg total
45.2Scored
46.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.947.191.0-3.237%-
Last 30 at home (13)41.648.590.1-6.815%-
Last 30 away (17)45.646.191.8-0.553%-
Last 10 (10)45.246.191.3-0.950%-
Last 5 (5)39.446.686.0-7.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)43.150.493.6-7.317%-
vs Similar (8)44.442.687.0+1.862%-
vs Weaker (4)46.541.287.8+5.275%-
This opponent (Melbourne United) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
19/03/21ASydney75-103
13/03/21AIllawarra Hawks69-77
10/03/21ASouth East Melbourne92-97 OT
07/03/21HBrisbane Bullets88-96
05/03/21ANew Zealand Breakers87-84
27/02/21HSydney83-80
25/02/21AAdelaide82-73
22/02/21HTaipans88-81
20/02/21HPerth85-89
10/02/21AIllawarra Hawks91-88
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/03/21HMelbourne United77-69
11/03/21ASydney89-69
07/03/21HPerth70-87
04/03/21HAdelaide98-89
28/02/21ASouth East Melbourne76-93
26/02/21ABrisbane Bullets91-97
22/02/21HNew Zealand Breakers102-88
20/02/21ATaipans95-101
14/02/21ASydney85-82
10/02/21HMelbourne United88-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Melbourne United
NBL 2020-21
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL67%
HomeWLWWL67%
AwayWWLLL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1569
Win %67%67%67%
Points / game86.485.886.8
Allowed / game85.084.585.3
Point differential+1.4+1.3+1.4
Avg total171.4170.3172.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%0%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)67% (3)75% (4)
Overtime %7%0%11%
Illawarra Hawks
NBL 2020-21
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW60%
HomeLWWLW60%
AwayWLLLW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games15510
Win %60%60%60%
Points / game87.787.088.0
Allowed / game85.184.885.2
Point differential+2.6+2.2+2.8
Avg total172.7171.8173.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%20%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Perth1410471%90.283.4+6.9
2 Melbourne United1510567%86.485.0+1.4
3 Illawarra Hawks159660%87.785.1+2.6
4 South East Melbourne1710759%92.189.6+2.5
5 Brisbane Bullets169756%93.993.1+0.8
6 Sydney168850%91.486.9+4.4
7 Adelaide1871139%84.891.1-6.2
8 New Zealand Breakers1441029%82.686.9-4.3
9 Taipans1741324%83.489.8-6.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Melbourne United1920162075
Illawarra Hawks1916131765
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