Illawarra Hawks vs Melbourne United Result & Analysis

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (8)	85.4	97.6	183.0	-12.2	25%
Season at home (3)	87.3	94.0	181.3	-6.7	33%
Season away (5)	84.2	99.8	184.0	-15.6	20%
Last 10 (10)	87.0	95.0	182.0	-8.0	30%
Last 5 (5)	85.0	96.2	181.2	-11.2	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	83.2	95.5	178.8	-12.2	25%
vs Similar (3)	78.0	103.3	181.3	-25.3	0%
vs Weaker (23)	99.4	91.2	190.6	+8.3	61%

This opponent (Melbourne United) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Melbourne United Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormUnited

Date

Competition

Tasmania JackJumpers

88-84

no box

A18/09

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

114-82

114

+32

no box

H21/09

NBL

South East Melbourne

103-83

103

+20

103avg 90

H25/09

NBL

Sydney

107-93

107

+14

101avg 90

A08/10

NBL

Cairns Taipans

95-60

+35

84avg 90

H12/10

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

#10

95-86

86avg 90

A17/10

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

104-88

104

+16

103avg 90

H19/10

NBL

Cairns Taipans

94-67

+27

88avg 90

A24/10

NBL

Adelaide

81-80

71avg 90

H26/10

NBL

Sydney

92-95

-3

85avg 90

H03/11

NBL

23-22

24-24

17-18

24-20

34-15

21-18

34-22

25-27

29-24

23-22

23-24

28-13

29-25

21-27

31-19

26-22

27-15

21-10

22-16

25-19

31-16

24-21

15-17

25-32

28-17

28-21

19-25

29-25

31-16

17-18

24-17

22-16

14-17

26-20

19-18

22-25

25-30

25-24

19-23

23-18

179.1Avg total

97.3Scored

81.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (10)	97.3	81.8	179.1	+15.5	90%
Season at home (6)	98.2	81.3	179.5	+16.8	83%
Season away (4)	96.0	82.5	178.5	+13.5	100%
Last 10 (10)	97.3	81.8	179.1	+15.5	90%
Last 5 (5)	93.2	83.2	176.4	+10.0	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	93.4	96.9	190.3	-3.4	33%
vs Similar (9)	97.8	94.1	191.9	+3.7	78%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	94.8	83.2	178.1	+11.6	83%

This opponent (Illawarra Hawks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Illawarra HawksMelbourne United

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	24.9	22.6	47.5	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	26.8	23.2	50.0	+3.5	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	22.7	21.9	44.6	+0.8	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.3	21.8	45.1	+1.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.4	23.8	47.2	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	21.2	20.0	41.2	+1.2	50%	-
vs Similar (3)	21.0	27.3	48.3	-6.3	0%	-
vs Weaker (23)	26.0	22.5	48.5	+3.5	70%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	25.8	23.3	49.1	+2.5	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	24.9	24.1	48.9	+0.8	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	26.6	22.6	49.2	+4.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	27.1	19.7	46.8	+7.4	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.8	19.2	45.0	+6.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	23.7	25.8	49.4	-2.1	11%	-
vs Similar (9)	27.4	22.8	50.2	+4.7	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	26.2	21.8	47.9	+4.4	58%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	24.2	23.2	47.4	+1.0	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	26.6	22.4	49.0	+4.2	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.4	24.2	45.6	-2.8	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.5	25.3	47.8	-2.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	24.2	45.6	-2.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	20.0	26.2	46.2	-6.2	50%	-
vs Similar (3)	21.7	26.3	48.0	-4.7	0%	-
vs Weaker (23)	25.3	22.3	47.6	+3.0	61%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.1	22.1	45.2	+1.0	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	23.7	21.4	45.1	+2.4	79%	-
Last 30 away (16)	22.6	22.7	45.2	-0.1	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.0	20.5	43.5	+2.5	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.0	20.8	44.8	+3.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	21.7	23.6	45.2	-1.9	44%	-
vs Similar (9)	23.9	24.4	48.3	-0.6	44%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	23.6	19.2	42.8	+4.4	67%	-

Illawarra HawksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

G League United

45-51

-6

A20/09

Intercontinental Cup

Utsunomiya Brex

52-27

+25

A21/09

Intercontinental Cup

Tasmania JackJumpers

45-49

-4

H27/09

NBL

Perth

43-44

-1

A02/10

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

49-60

-11

A08/10

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

#10

68-47

+21

H11/10

NBL

South East Melbourne

40-66

-26

A18/10

NBL

Perth

41-34

A25/10

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

34-52

-18

H31/10

NBL

Adelaide

41-41

A02/11

NBL

92.9Avg total

45.8Scored

47.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	49.1	45.9	94.9	+3.2	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	53.4	45.6	99.0	+7.8	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	44.1	46.1	90.3	-2.0	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.8	47.1	92.9	-1.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.8	48.0	92.8	-3.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	41.2	46.2	87.5	-5.0	25%	-
vs Similar (3)	42.7	53.7	96.3	-11.0	0%	-
vs Weaker (23)	51.3	44.8	96.0	+6.5	70%	-

This opponent (Melbourne United) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Melbourne UnitedLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Tasmania JackJumpers

47-46

A18/09

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

55-33

+22

H21/09

NBL

South East Melbourne

52-46

H25/09

NBL

Sydney

50-52

-2

A08/10

NBL

Cairns Taipans

48-25

+23

H12/10

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

#10

55-37

+18

A17/10

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

56-38

+18

H19/10

NBL

Cairns Taipans

48-34

+14

A24/10

NBL

Adelaide

40-37

H26/10

NBL

Sydney

50-54

-4

H03/11

NBL

90.3Avg total

50.1Scored

40.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	48.9	45.3	94.2	+3.6	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	48.6	45.4	94.0	+3.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	49.2	45.2	94.4	+3.9	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	50.1	40.2	90.3	+9.9	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	49.8	40.0	89.8	+9.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	45.3	49.3	94.7	-4.0	22%	-
vs Similar (9)	51.3	47.2	98.6	+4.1	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	49.8	40.9	90.7	+8.8	67%	-

This opponent (Illawarra Hawks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.8	21.5	43.3	+0.4	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.8	22.4	44.2	-0.7	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.9	20.4	42.3	+1.6	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.5	23.0	40.5	-5.5	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.0	24.6	40.6	-8.6	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	15.5	23.8	39.2	-8.2	0%	-
vs Similar (3)	16.3	24.7	41.0	-8.3	0%	-
vs Weaker (23)	23.7	20.7	44.3	+3.0	61%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.4	22.1	43.5	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.6	21.9	44.6	+0.7	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.4	22.2	42.6	-1.8	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.3	19.9	42.2	+2.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	20.0	39.2	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	20.6	23.4	44.0	-2.9	22%	-
vs Similar (9)	23.3	23.2	46.6	+0.1	44%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	20.7	20.2	40.8	+0.5	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.9	25.3	49.2	-1.3	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	23.7	24.9	48.6	-1.2	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	24.2	25.7	49.9	-1.5	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.7	24.9	48.6	-1.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.2	23.6	47.8	+0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	26.5	25.5	52.0	+1.0	75%	-
vs Similar (3)	19.0	25.0	44.0	-6.0	33%	-
vs Weaker (23)	24.1	25.3	49.4	-1.1	43%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	25.0	23.2	48.2	+1.8	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	25.9	22.9	48.7	+3.0	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	24.2	23.5	47.7	+0.7	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.9	21.7	46.6	+3.2	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.2	23.2	47.4	+1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	27.6	24.1	51.7	+3.4	56%	-
vs Similar (9)	23.1	23.7	46.8	-0.6	44%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	24.4	22.2	46.6	+2.2	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	45.8	46.7	92.5	-1.0	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	45.4	47.3	92.8	-1.9	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	46.1	46.1	92.2	+0.1	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.2	47.9	89.1	-6.7	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.2	48.2	88.4	-8.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	42.0	49.2	91.2	-7.2	0%	-
vs Similar (3)	35.3	49.7	85.0	-14.3	0%	-
vs Weaker (23)	47.8	45.9	93.7	+1.9	48%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	46.4	45.3	91.7	+1.1	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	48.5	44.8	93.3	+3.7	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	44.6	45.7	90.2	-1.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	47.2	41.6	88.8	+5.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.4	43.2	86.6	+0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	48.1	47.6	95.7	+0.6	44%	-
vs Similar (9)	46.4	46.9	93.3	-0.4	56%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	45.1	42.3	87.4	+2.8	58%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Illawarra Hawkstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Illawarra Hawks: 85.2 points a game scored

🏀🏀56%

🏀🏀🏀26%

🏀18%

🏀🏀 2-pointers47.6 pts a game · 56% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 26% of the points

🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 18% of the points

League average for comparison: 89.9 points a game

51%

32%

17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.6	23.8	60.1%	54.6%	47.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.5	7.4	29.0%	33.3%	22.2
🏀 Free throws	22.2	15.4	69.4%	74.8%	15.4

They take 65.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Melbourne Unitedtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Melbourne United: 84.1 points a game scored

🏀🏀46%

🏀🏀🏀32%

🏀22%

🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 46% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 32% of the points

🏀 Free throws18.2 pts a game · 22% of the points

League average for comparison: 89.9 points a game

51%

32%

17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	34.5	19.3	55.9%	54.6%	38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.2	9.1	33.5%	33.3%	27.3
🏀 Free throws	24.3	18.2	74.9%	74.8%	18.2

They take 61.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	33.9	19.8	58.4%	54.6%	39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	37.7	12.6	33.4%	33.3%	37.8
🏀 Free throws	22.9	16.2	70.7%	74.8%	16.2

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.7	20.7	53.5%	54.6%	41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	22.3	7.8	35.0%	33.3%	23.4
🏀 Free throws	16.8	11.8	70.2%	74.8%	11.8

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	47.1	26.2	55.7%	54.6%	52.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.9	9.1	32.5%	33.3%	27.2
🏀 Free throws	21.1	15.1	71.6%	74.8%	15.1

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.1	22.2	55.5%	54.6%	44.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	31.2	10.7	34.4%	33.3%	32.2
🏀 Free throws	20.9	14.7	70.2%	74.8%	14.7

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.2	20.7	52.9%	54.6%	41.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	32.6	11.0	33.7%	33.3%	33.0
🏀 Free throws	23.3	17.3	74.4%	74.8%	17.3

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	43.5	23.1	53.0%	54.6%	46.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.6	8.8	34.6%	33.3%	26.5
🏀 Free throws	21.4	15.7	73.4%	74.8%	15.7

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Illawarra Hawks

LLWLWLLLWL

Melbourne United

LWWWWWWWWW

League position

-10.7

Net rating

+10.7

108.8

Offensive rating

119.9

119.5

Defensive rating

109.2

53.6%

Effective FG%

53.4%

54.1%

Opp. effective FG%

53.1%

18.7%

Turnover %

13.3%

28.9%

Off. rebound %

29.9%

0.34

Free-throw rate

0.39

29.0%

3-point %

33.5%

53.8%

Assist %

57.7%

30%

Form (last 10/10)

90%

Profile

■ Illawarra Hawks ■ Melbourne United

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Illawarra Hawks wins

Melbourne United wins

Date	Game	Score
23/03/25	Illawarra Hawks v Melbourne United	114-104
19/03/25	Melbourne United v Illawarra Hawks	71-80
16/03/25	Illawarra Hawks v Melbourne United	77-83
12/03/25	Melbourne United v Illawarra Hawks	100-102
08/03/25	Illawarra Hawks v Melbourne United	88-96
18/01/25	Illawarra Hawks v Melbourne United	117-95
13/12/24	Melbourne United v Illawarra Hawks	93-106
24/10/24	Illawarra Hawks v Melbourne United	87-92
13/03/24	Melbourne United v Illawarra Hawks	100-94
10/03/24	Illawarra Hawks v Melbourne United	113-108 OT

Illawarra Hawkslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
02/11/25	A	Adelaide	88-90
31/10/25	H	New Zealand Breakers	60-102
25/10/25	A	Perth	85-84
18/10/25	A	South East Melbourne	76-116
11/10/25	H	Brisbane Bullets	116-89
08/10/25	A	New Zealand Breakers	88-117
02/10/25	A	Perth	84-92
27/09/25	H	Tasmania JackJumpers	86-91
21/09/25	A	Utsunomiya Brex	93-69
20/09/25	A	G League United	94-100

Melbourne Unitedlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
03/11/25	H	Sydney	92-95
26/10/25	H	Adelaide	81-80
24/10/25	A	Cairns Taipans	94-67
19/10/25	H	New Zealand Breakers	104-88
17/10/25	A	Brisbane Bullets	95-86
12/10/25	H	Cairns Taipans	95-60
08/10/25	A	Sydney	107-93
25/09/25	H	South East Melbourne	103-83
21/09/25	H	New Zealand Breakers	114-82
18/09/25	A	Tasmania JackJumpers	88-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Illawarra Hawks

NBL 2025-26

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWLL	25%
Home	LWL	33%
Away	LLLWL	20%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	8	3	5
Win %	25%	33%	20%
Points / game	85.4	87.3	84.2
Allowed / game	97.6	94.0	99.8
Point differential	-12.2	-6.7	-15.6
Avg total	183.0	181.3	184.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	12%	33%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (3)	0% (1)	50% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Melbourne United

NBL 2025-26

Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWL	90%
Home	WWWWL	83%
Away	WWWW	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	10	6	4
Win %	90%	83%	100%
Points / game	97.3	98.2	96.0
Allowed / game	81.8	81.3	82.5
Point differential	+15.5	+16.8	+13.5
Avg total	179.1	179.5	178.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	60%	67%	50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (3)	50% (2)	100% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Melbourne United	10	9	1	90%	97.3	81.8	+15.5
2	South East Melbourne	8	6	2	75%	98.2	86.9	+11.4
3	Adelaide	8	6	2	75%	90.4	84.6	+5.8
4	Sydney	10	5	5	50%	92.6	86.9	+5.7
5	Perth	10	5	5	50%	87.6	85.9	+1.7
6	Tasmania JackJumpers	10	5	5	50%	81.7	83.7	-2.0
7	Brisbane Bullets	11	4	7	36%	90.5	95.1	-4.6
8	New Zealand Breakers	10	3	7	30%	88.3	89.2	-0.9
9	Cairns Taipans	11	3	8	27%	76.7	93.8	-17.1
10	Illawarra Hawks	8	2	6	25%	85.4	97.6	-12.2

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Illawarra Hawks	32	25	22	28	107
Melbourne United	22	21	25	25	93

← all games of the day

Illawarra Hawks vs Melbourne United Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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