New Zealand Breakers vs Sydney Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 20 Oct 2016

Tip-off: 06:30

Final 78-92

18-23 24-27 20-22 16-20

Position#5

Record1-1

FormLWLWL

Points / game74.5

Allowed / game73.0

New Zealand Breakers

Sydney 🏆

Position#7

Record2-1

FormWLLWW

Points / game84.3

Allowed / game79.7

NBL

Other2016-17

Meetings · New Zealand Breakers v Sydney

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

New Zealand Breakers winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Sydney winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

New Zealand Breakers Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Cairns

85-74

+11

H07/02

NBL

Melbourne United

100-63

100

+37

H12/02

NBL

Melbourne United

70-68

A14/02

NBL

Melbourne United

91-82

A18/02

NBL

Melbourne United

91-78

+13

H20/02

NBL

Perth

76-82

-6

A02/03

NBL

Perth

72-68

H04/03

NBL

Perth

52-75

-23

A06/03

NBL

Melbourne United

76-71

H07/10

NBL

Perth

73-75

-2

A14/10

NBL

21-28

23-17

16-14

25-15

22-16

31-18

23-13

24-16

17-16

20-18

17-18

16-16

27-16

11-25

24-17

29-24

23-17

18-29

17-11

33-21

14-24

24-21

23-18

15-19

16-17

21-14

19-19

16-18

18-22

12-20

8-15

14-18

17-16

23-15

8-21

28-19

25-22

11-25

23-8

14-20

152.2Avg total

78.6Scored

73.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (2)	74.5	73.0	147.5	+1.5	50%
Season at home (1)	76.0	71.0	147.0	+5.0	100%
Season away (1)	73.0	75.0	148.0	-2.0	0%
Last 10 (10)	78.6	73.6	152.2	+5.0	70%
Last 5 (5)	69.8	74.2	144.0	-4.4	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	73.0	75.0	148.0	-2.0	0%
vs Similar ◀ (19)	83.9	81.2	165.1	+2.7	58%
vs Weaker (10)	83.2	78.3	161.5	+4.9	70%

This opponent (Sydney) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Sydney

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Perth

68-95

-27

A15/01

NBL

Adelaide

89-96

-7

A20/01

NBL

Townsville

88-96

-8

A27/01

NBL

Cairns

76-81

-5

A29/01

NBL

Perth

81-95

-14

A05/02

NBL

Perth

103-77

103

+26

H10/02

NBL

Townsville

123-126 OT

123

126

-3

A13/02

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

73-77

-4

H08/10

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

88-84

A13/10

NBL

Cairns Taipans

92-78

+14

H15/10

NBL

20-17

19-26

12-24

17-28

21-19

28-22

16-23

24-32

26-25

22-21

22-26

18-24

16-22

19-17

24-22

17-20

23-22

18-24

18-25

22-24

27-23

32-23

22-18

22-13

22-26

28-24

25-39

34-20

14-17

20-21

16-18

23-21

22-23

26-27

23-12

17-22

23-24

19-15

23-27

27-12

178.6Avg total

88.1Scored

90.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (3)	84.3	79.7	164.0	+4.7	67%
Season at home (2)	82.5	77.5	160.0	+5.0	50%
Season away (1)	88.0	84.0	172.0	+4.0	100%
Last 10 (10)	88.1	90.5	178.6	-2.4	30%
Last 5 (5)	95.8	88.4	184.2	+7.4	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)	85.4	93.3	178.8	-7.9	15%
vs Similar ◀ (10)	87.4	87.8	175.2	-0.4	40%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (New Zealand Breakers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

New Zealand BreakersSydney

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.1	20.4	41.5	+0.7	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.4	21.7	43.1	-0.3	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.8	19.1	39.9	+1.7	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.0	19.4	39.4	+0.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	20.2	38.2	-2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	25.0	22.0	47.0	+3.0	100%	-
vs Similar ◀ (19)	21.6	20.6	42.2	+0.9	58%	-
vs Weaker (10)	19.8	19.7	39.5	+0.1	40%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.2	22.1	44.3	+0.1	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.3	21.1	42.4	+0.1	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	23.1	23.1	46.3	+0.0	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.4	21.8	43.2	-0.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	22.6	44.2	-1.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)	22.7	22.1	44.8	+0.6	60%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	21.2	22.2	43.4	-1.0	30%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	21.3	40.7	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.8	20.3	42.1	+1.5	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.9	22.3	39.2	-5.5	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.4	20.2	39.6	-0.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	19.0	37.2	-0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	11.0	25.0	36.0	-14.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (19)	20.1	21.7	41.7	-1.6	47%	-
vs Weaker (10)	18.8	20.3	39.1	-1.5	30%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.4	22.3	44.6	+0.1	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.4	21.1	43.5	+1.3	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.3	23.4	45.7	-1.1	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.1	22.0	45.1	+1.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.0	22.0	47.0	+3.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)	23.2	23.6	46.8	-0.4	55%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	20.7	19.5	40.2	+1.2	60%	-
vs Weaker	no games

New Zealand BreakersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Cairns

44-45

-1

H07/02

NBL

Melbourne United

53-34

+19

H12/02

NBL

Melbourne United

37-34

A14/02

NBL

Melbourne United

38-41

-3

A18/02

NBL

Melbourne United

41-46

-5

H20/02

NBL

Perth

38-45

-7

A02/03

NBL

Perth

37-31

H04/03

NBL

Perth

30-42

-12

A06/03

NBL

Melbourne United

40-31

H07/10

NBL

Perth

36-47

-11

A14/10

NBL

79.0Avg total

39.4Scored

39.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.4	41.7	82.1	-1.3	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	43.2	42.0	85.2	+1.2	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.7	41.4	79.1	-3.7	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.4	39.6	79.0	-0.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.2	39.2	75.4	-3.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	36.0	47.0	83.0	-11.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (19)	41.6	42.3	83.9	-0.7	42%	-
vs Weaker (10)	38.6	40.0	78.6	-1.4	40%	-

This opponent (Sydney) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

SydneyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Perth

39-43

-4

A15/01

NBL

Adelaide

49-41

A20/01

NBL

Townsville

48-46

A27/01

NBL

Cairns

35-39

-4

A29/01

NBL

Perth

41-46

-5

A05/02

NBL

Perth

59-46

+13

H10/02

NBL

Townsville

50-50

A13/02

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

34-38

-4

H08/10

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

48-50

-2

A13/10

NBL

Cairns Taipans

42-39

H15/10

NBL

88.3Avg total

44.5Scored

43.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.6	44.4	89.0	+0.2	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	43.7	42.3	85.9	+1.4	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	45.5	46.5	92.0	-1.1	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.5	43.8	88.3	+0.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.6	44.6	91.2	+2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)	45.9	45.8	91.7	+0.1	35%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	41.9	41.7	83.6	+0.2	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (New Zealand Breakers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	17.7	37.2	+1.8	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.7	17.1	35.9	+1.6	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.3	18.2	38.5	+2.1	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.8	15.4	33.2	+2.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.2	16.2	32.4	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	23.0	8.0	31.0	+15.0	100%	-
vs Similar ◀ (19)	19.2	18.5	37.7	+0.7	47%	-
vs Weaker (10)	19.7	17.1	36.8	+2.6	60%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.4	23.4	42.8	-4.0	23%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.5	24.0	43.5	-4.5	20%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.3	22.8	42.1	-3.5	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.1	23.4	43.5	-3.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	22.8	44.6	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)	18.6	24.1	42.8	-5.5	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	20.9	22.0	42.9	-1.1	30%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.8	19.9	42.7	+2.9	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	24.5	18.7	43.2	+5.7	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.2	21.1	42.3	+0.1	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.4	18.6	40.0	+2.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.4	18.8	36.2	-1.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	14.0	20.0	34.0	-6.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (19)	22.2	19.2	41.4	+3.0	47%	-
vs Weaker (10)	24.9	21.2	46.1	+3.7	60%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.6	23.1	44.8	-1.5	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.9	22.2	45.1	+0.7	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.4	24.1	44.5	-3.7	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.1	21.6	43.7	+0.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.6	17.6	42.2	+7.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)	20.9	23.5	44.4	-2.6	35%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	23.2	22.4	45.6	+0.8	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.3	37.6	79.9	+4.8	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	43.2	35.9	79.1	+7.3	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	41.5	39.3	80.7	+2.2	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.2	34.0	73.2	+5.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	33.6	35.0	68.6	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	37.0	28.0	65.0	+9.0	100%	-
vs Similar ◀ (19)	41.4	37.7	79.1	+3.7	58%	-
vs Weaker (10)	44.6	38.3	82.9	+6.3	70%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.0	46.5	87.6	-5.5	23%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.4	46.2	88.6	-3.8	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.7	46.9	86.5	-7.2	13%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.2	45.0	87.2	-2.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.4	40.4	86.8	+6.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)	39.5	47.6	87.1	-8.1	15%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	44.1	44.4	88.5	-0.3	40%	-
vs Weaker	no games

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

New Zealand Breakers wins

Sydney wins

Date	Game	Score
27/12/15	Sydney v New Zealand Breakers	83-93
11/12/15	New Zealand Breakers v Sydney	96-84
19/11/15	Sydney v New Zealand Breakers	74-86
21/10/15	New Zealand Breakers v Sydney	74-62
23/01/15	New Zealand Breakers v Sydney	81-101
26/12/14	Sydney v New Zealand Breakers	85-97
06/12/14	Sydney v New Zealand Breakers	82-69
28/11/14	New Zealand Breakers v Sydney	107-96
13/03/14	New Zealand Breakers v Sydney	106-78
08/02/14	Sydney v New Zealand Breakers	98-96

New Zealand Breakerslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
14/10/16	A	Perth	73-75
07/10/16	H	Melbourne United	76-71
06/03/16	A	Perth	52-75
04/03/16	H	Perth	72-68
02/03/16	A	Perth	76-82
20/02/16	H	Melbourne United	91-78
18/02/16	A	Melbourne United	91-82
14/02/16	A	Melbourne United	70-68
12/02/16	H	Melbourne United	100-63
07/02/16	H	Cairns	85-74

Sydneylast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
15/10/16	H	Cairns Taipans	92-78
13/10/16	A	Illawarra Hawks	88-84
08/10/16	H	Brisbane Bullets	73-77
13/02/16	A	Townsville	123-126 OT
10/02/16	H	Perth	103-77
05/02/16	A	Perth	81-95
29/01/16	A	Cairns	76-81
27/01/16	A	Townsville	88-96
20/01/16	A	Adelaide	89-96
15/01/16	A	Perth	68-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

New Zealand Breakers

NBL 2016-17

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WL	50%
Home	W	100%
Away	L	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	2	1	1
Win %	50%	100%	0%
Points / game	74.5	76.0	73.0
Allowed / game	73.0	71.0	75.0
Point differential	+1.5	+5.0	-2.0
Avg total	147.5	147.0	148.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (2)	100% (1)	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Sydney

NBL 2016-17

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWW	67%
Home	LW	50%
Away	W	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	3	2	1
Win %	67%	50%	100%
Points / game	84.3	82.5	88.0
Allowed / game	79.7	77.5	84.0
Point differential	+4.7	+5.0	+4.0
Avg total	164.0	160.0	172.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	33%	50%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (2)	0% (1)	100% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Sydney	3	2	1	67%	84.3	79.7	+4.7
2	Brisbane Bullets	3	2	1	67%	80.7	78.0	+2.7
3	Perth	3	2	1	67%	74.7	73.0	+1.7
4	Melbourne United	4	2	2	50%	85.8	83.2	+2.5
5	New Zealand Breakers	2	1	1	50%	74.5	73.0	+1.5
6	Adelaide	4	2	2	50%	89.5	98.0	-8.5
7	Illawarra Hawks	3	1	2	33%	96.3	90.3	+6.0
8	Cairns Taipans	2	0	2	0%	76.0	88.0	-12.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
New Zealand Breakers	18	24	20	16	78
Sydney	23	27	22	20	92

← all games of the day

New Zealand Breakers vs Sydney Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

Manage Cookies

Strictly Necessary

Functionality Cookies

Performance Cookies

Third Party Marketing/Targeting

A Pro feature