Illawarra Hawks vs Sydney Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 13 Oct 2016

Tip-off: 08:30

Final 84-88

23-22 27-26 12-23 22-17

Position#3

Record1-0

FormWLWLW

Points / game122.0

Allowed / game88.0

Illawarra Hawks

Sydney 🏆

Position#7

Record0-1

FormLLWLL

Points / game73.0

Allowed / game77.0

NBL

Other2016-17

Meetings · Illawarra Hawks v Sydney

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Illawarra Hawks winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Sydney winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Illawarra Hawks Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Perth

72-95

-23

A21/01

NBL

Adelaide

104-97

104

H28/01

NBL

Adelaide

90-104

104

-14

A30/01

NBL

Melbourne United

73-80

-7

H04/02

NBL

Townsville

104-97 OT

104

H06/02

NBL

Adelaide

106-95

106

+11

H12/02

NBL

Perth

68-80

-12

A19/02

NBL

Perth

104-87

104

+17

H21/02

NBL

Perth

74-89

-15

A26/02

NBL

Adelaide

122-88

122

+34

H07/10

NBL

22-22

22-26

13-24

15-23

26-16

18-27

29-27

31-27

22-26

32-28

21-20

15-30

16-19

20-22

19-17

18-22

25-22

29-31

21-18

14-18

35-27

19-19

23-23

29-26

18-15

18-24

15-21

17-20

24-26

28-24

27-16

25-21

20-22

22-27

14-21

18-19

31-22

24-34

34-10

33-22

182.9Avg total

91.7Scored

91.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (1)	122.0	88.0	210.0	+34.0	100%
Season at home (1)	122.0	88.0	210.0	+34.0	100%
Season away	no games
Last 10 (10)	91.7	91.2	182.9	+0.5	50%
Last 5 (5)	94.8	87.8	182.6	+7.0	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (15)	90.7	88.1	178.9	+2.6	47%
vs Weaker (15)	99.3	89.1	188.3	+10.2	80%

This opponent (Sydney) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Sydney

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Cairns

87-77

+10

H02/01

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

90-114

114

-24

H09/01

NBL

Perth

68-95

-27

A15/01

NBL

Adelaide

89-96

-7

A20/01

NBL

Townsville

88-96

-8

A27/01

NBL

Cairns

76-81

-5

A29/01

NBL

Perth

81-95

-14

A05/02

NBL

Perth

103-77

103

+26

H10/02

NBL

Townsville

123-126 OT

123

126

-3

A13/02

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

73-77

-4

H08/10

NBL

14-20

21-13

21-16

31-28

20-34

25-23

21-32

24-25

20-17

19-26

12-24

17-28

21-19

28-22

16-23

24-32

26-25

22-21

22-26

18-24

16-22

19-17

24-22

17-20

23-22

18-24

18-25

22-24

27-23

32-23

22-18

22-13

22-26

28-24

25-39

34-20

14-17

20-21

16-18

23-21

181.2Avg total

87.8Scored

93.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (1)	73.0	77.0	150.0	-4.0	0%
Season at home (1)	73.0	77.0	150.0	-4.0	0%
Season away	no games
Last 10 (10)	87.8	93.4	181.2	-5.6	20%
Last 5 (5)	91.2	91.2	182.4	+0.0	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)	85.4	93.3	178.8	-7.9	15%
vs Similar ◀ (10)	87.3	87.4	174.7	-0.1	30%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Illawarra Hawks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Illawarra HawksSydney

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	25.7	22.5	48.3	+3.2	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	26.9	22.5	49.4	+4.4	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	24.4	22.6	47.0	+1.9	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.9	21.7	45.6	+2.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.6	22.4	48.0	+3.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (15)	24.1	22.7	46.8	+1.3	53%	-
vs Weaker (15)	27.4	22.3	49.7	+5.1	60%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.3	21.8	44.1	+0.5	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.7	20.5	42.2	+1.1	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	23.0	23.1	46.1	-0.1	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.3	22.5	42.8	-2.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	22.0	42.4	-1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)	22.7	22.1	44.8	+0.6	60%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	21.6	21.2	42.8	+0.4	40%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	24.3	23.4	47.7	+0.8	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	25.1	22.7	47.8	+2.4	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	23.3	24.3	47.6	-1.0	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.2	26.2	49.4	-3.0	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	25.6	47.8	-3.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (15)	24.6	22.7	47.3	+1.9	53%	-
vs Weaker (15)	23.9	24.2	48.1	-0.3	40%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.8	22.3	45.1	+0.5	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.0	21.3	44.3	+1.7	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.7	23.3	46.0	-0.7	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.2	21.4	44.6	+1.8	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.4	21.8	45.2	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)	23.2	23.6	46.8	-0.4	55%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	22.1	19.6	41.7	+2.5	70%	-
vs Weaker	no games

Illawarra HawksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Perth

44-48

-4

A21/01

NBL

Adelaide

44-43

H28/01

NBL

Adelaide

54-54

A30/01

NBL

Melbourne United

36-41

-5

H04/02

NBL

Townsville

54-53

H06/02

NBL

Adelaide

54-46

H12/02

NBL

Perth

36-39

-3

A19/02

NBL

Perth

52-50

H21/02

NBL

Perth

42-49

-7

A26/02

NBL

Adelaide

55-56

-1

H07/10

NBL

95.0Avg total

47.1Scored

47.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	50.0	46.0	96.0	+4.0	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	52.0	45.2	97.2	+6.8	81%	-
Last 30 away (14)	47.7	46.9	94.6	+0.9	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	47.1	47.9	95.0	-0.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	47.8	48.0	95.8	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (15)	48.7	45.4	94.1	+3.3	53%	-
vs Weaker (15)	51.3	46.5	97.9	+4.8	67%	-

This opponent (Sydney) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

SydneyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Cairns

35-33

H02/01

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

45-57

-12

H09/01

NBL

Perth

39-43

-4

A15/01

NBL

Adelaide

49-41

A20/01

NBL

Townsville

48-46

A27/01

NBL

Cairns

35-39

-4

A29/01

NBL

Perth

41-46

-5

A05/02

NBL

Perth

59-46

+13

H10/02

NBL

Townsville

50-50

A13/02

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

34-38

-4

H08/10

NBL

87.4Avg total

43.5Scored

43.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	45.2	44.1	89.3	+1.1	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	44.7	41.8	86.5	+2.9	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	45.7	46.4	92.1	-0.7	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.5	43.9	87.4	-0.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.8	43.8	87.6	+0.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)	45.9	45.8	91.7	+0.1	35%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	43.7	40.8	84.5	+2.9	60%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Illawarra Hawks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.8	20.0	41.8	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	24.7	18.9	43.6	+5.8	81%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.5	21.4	39.9	-2.9	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.6	19.7	41.3	+1.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	18.2	40.8	+4.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (15)	20.8	20.5	41.3	+0.3	60%	-
vs Weaker (15)	22.8	19.5	42.3	+3.3	60%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.1	23.5	42.6	-4.5	23%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.1	23.2	42.3	-4.1	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.0	23.9	42.9	-4.9	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	24.3	44.0	-4.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	24.4	45.4	-3.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)	18.6	24.1	42.8	-5.5	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	19.9	22.4	42.3	-2.5	30%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.2	21.0	42.3	+0.2	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.9	22.5	44.4	-0.6	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.5	19.4	39.9	+1.1	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.5	22.8	44.3	-1.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.4	21.6	46.0	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (15)	19.7	21.1	40.9	-1.4	40%	-
vs Weaker (15)	22.7	20.9	43.7	+1.8	73%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.3	23.2	44.5	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.9	22.5	44.4	-0.5	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.7	23.9	44.6	-3.1	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.2	23.5	46.7	-0.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.6	19.6	43.2	+4.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)	20.9	23.5	44.4	-2.6	35%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	22.3	22.5	44.8	-0.2	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.0	41.1	84.1	+2.0	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	46.6	41.4	87.9	+5.2	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	39.0	40.7	79.7	-1.7	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.1	42.5	85.6	+0.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	47.0	39.8	86.8	+7.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (15)	40.5	41.7	82.2	-1.1	40%	-
vs Weaker (15)	45.5	40.5	86.0	+5.1	73%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.4	46.7	87.1	-6.3	17%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.1	45.7	86.7	-4.6	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.7	47.7	87.5	-8.0	7%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.9	47.8	90.7	-4.9	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.6	44.0	88.6	+0.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)	39.5	47.6	87.1	-8.1	15%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	42.2	44.9	87.1	-2.7	20%	-
vs Weaker	no games

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Illawarra Hawks wins

Sydney wins

Date	Game	Score
09/01/16	Sydney v Illawarra Hawks	90-114
18/12/15	Illawarra Hawks v Sydney	102-83
25/11/15	Illawarra Hawks v Sydney	96-90
17/10/15	Sydney v Illawarra Hawks	86-100
15/02/15	Sydney v Illawarra Hawks	73-75
13/12/14	Illawarra Hawks v Sydney	82-77
07/11/14	Illawarra Hawks v Sydney	53-82
11/10/14	Sydney v Illawarra Hawks	86-83
21/03/14	Illawarra Hawks v Sydney	100-87
15/02/14	Sydney v Illawarra Hawks	84-102

Illawarra Hawkslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
07/10/16	H	Adelaide	122-88
26/02/16	A	Perth	74-89
21/02/16	H	Perth	104-87
19/02/16	A	Perth	68-80
12/02/16	H	Adelaide	106-95
06/02/16	H	Townsville	104-97 OT
04/02/16	H	Melbourne United	73-80
30/01/16	A	Adelaide	90-104
28/01/16	H	Adelaide	104-97
21/01/16	A	Perth	72-95

Sydneylast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
08/10/16	H	Brisbane Bullets	73-77
13/02/16	A	Townsville	123-126 OT
10/02/16	H	Perth	103-77
05/02/16	A	Perth	81-95
29/01/16	A	Cairns	76-81
27/01/16	A	Townsville	88-96
20/01/16	A	Adelaide	89-96
15/01/16	A	Perth	68-95
09/01/16	H	Illawarra Hawks	90-114
02/01/16	H	Cairns	87-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Illawarra Hawks

NBL 2016-17

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	W	100%
Home	W	100%
Away	-	-

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	1	1	-
Win %	100%	100%	-
Points / game	122.0	122.0	-
Allowed / game	88.0	88.0	-
Point differential	+34.0	+34.0	-
Avg total	210.0	210.0	-
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	100%	100%	-
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	-

Sydney

NBL 2016-17

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	L	0%
Home	L	0%
Away	-	-

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	1	1	-
Win %	0%	0%	-
Points / game	73.0	73.0	-
Allowed / game	77.0	77.0	-
Point differential	-4.0	-4.0	-
Avg total	150.0	150.0	-
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	0%	-
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (1)	0% (1)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	-

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Illawarra Hawks	1	1	0	100%	122.0	88.0	+34.0
2	Brisbane Bullets	2	2	0	100%	74.5	69.0	+5.5
3	New Zealand Breakers	1	1	0	100%	76.0	71.0	+5.0
4	Perth	2	1	1	50%	74.5	73.0	+1.5
5	Adelaide	2	1	1	50%	87.5	100.5	-13.0
6	Sydney	1	0	1	0%	73.0	77.0	-4.0
7	Melbourne United	2	0	2	0%	75.0	81.5	-6.5
8	Cairns Taipans	1	0	1	0%	74.0	84.0	-10.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Illawarra Hawks	23	27	12	22	84
Sydney	22	26	23	17	88

← all games of the day

Illawarra Hawks vs Sydney Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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