PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Illiabum vs Sampaense Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 03 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 83-69
26-8 20-21 19-14 18-26
Position#7
Record9-3
FormLWWWL
Points / game79.2
Allowed / game68.2
vs
Position#10
Record5-7
FormLWLLW
Points / game71.8
Allowed / game79.0
PortugalProligaRound 13· Pavilhão Capitão Adriano Nordeste
Other2025-26
Meetings · Illiabum v Sampaense
13 Feb 2027
ILLI v SAMP
upcoming
03 Jan 2026
ILLI83
SAMP69
04 Jan 2025
ILLI87
SAMP75
06 Jan 2024
ILLI88
SAMP57
26 Nov 2022
ILLI78
SAMP60
15 Nov 2020
ILLI89
SAMP78
10 Feb 2017
ILLI80
SAMP63
14 Mar 2015
ILLI91
SAMP84
22 Jan 2011
ILLI83
SAMP93
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Illiabum winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sampaense winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

IlliabumPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormIlliabum
Date
Competition
Lusitania
#3
W
81-63
81
63
+18
82avg 70
H19/10
Proliga
Sangalhos
#15
W
101-76
101
76
+25
99avg 70
A25/10
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
L
56-76
56
76
-20
43avg 70
H01/11
Proliga
Sampaense
#10
W
87-84 OT
87
84
+3
68avg 70
A08/11
Proliga
Ginasio
#8
W
83-57
83
57
+26
87avg 70
H15/11
Proliga
Maia
#4
L
64-71
64
71
-7
53avg 70
A22/11
Proliga
Academica
#16
W
90-58
90
58
+32
92avg 70
H29/11
Proliga
Lusitania
#3
W
65-64
65
64
+1
58avg 70
A07/12
Proliga
Sangalhos
#15
W
90-66
90
66
+24
100avg 70
H13/12
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
L
70-76
70
76
-6
58avg 70
A20/12
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-18
28-9
22-20
15-16
22-19
28-15
31-20
20-22
12-22
12-12
16-21
16-21
17-21
16-16
23-17
16-18
26-12
15-9
20-18
22-18
16-18
22-14
17-12
9-27
23-18
19-14
27-8
21-18
22-16
8-13
16-18
19-17
22-15
27-21
18-10
23-20
11-11
16-25
25-20
18-20
147.8Avg total
78.7Scored
69.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)79.268.2147.3+11.075%
Season at home (6)81.266.8148.0+14.383%
Season away (6)77.269.5146.7+7.767%
Last 10 (10)78.769.1147.8+9.670%
Last 5 (5)75.867.0142.8+8.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)67.275.2142.5-8.025%
vs Similar (13)71.172.4143.5-1.338%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)83.767.9151.6+15.892%
This opponent (Sampaense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SampaensePortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSampaense
Date
Competition
CD Povoa
#1
L
74-104
74
104
-30
no box
H18/10
Proliga
Maia
#4
L
67-79
67
79
-12
66avg 70
H25/10
Proliga
Ginasio
#8
L
69-76
69
76
-7
57avg 70
A01/11
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
L
84-87 OT
84
87
-3
70avg 70
H08/11
Proliga
Academica
#16
W
75-58
75
58
+17
69avg 70
A15/11
Proliga
Lusitania
#3
L
46-87
46
87
-41
33avg 70
A22/11
Proliga
Sangalhos
#15
W
79-76
79
76
+3
79avg 70
H29/11
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
L
50-73
50
73
-23
37avg 70
A07/12
Proliga
Maia
#4
L
68-79
68
79
-11
54avg 70
A13/12
Proliga
Ginasio
#8
W
85-76 OT
85
76
+9
66avg 70
H20/12
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-30
13-20
18-24
23-30
16-23
20-15
17-22
14-19
17-20
14-14
22-23
16-19
21-17
16-16
17-23
18-16
25-12
16-20
15-14
19-12
8-21
12-23
20-22
6-21
18-22
24-17
19-12
18-25
14-27
13-21
11-17
12-8
19-17
13-12
14-24
22-26
12-18
19-18
24-20
16-15
149.2Avg total
69.7Scored
79.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)71.879.0150.8-7.242%
Season at home (6)78.282.7160.8-4.550%
Season away (6)65.375.3140.7-10.033%
Last 10 (10)69.779.5149.2-9.830%
Last 5 (5)65.678.2143.8-12.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)72.984.6157.5-11.621%
vs Similar (10)87.482.0169.4+5.460%
vs Weaker (6)78.778.3157.0+0.367%
This opponent (Illiabum) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: -3.7-3.7Q2Q2: +4.3+4.3Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: +5.1+5.1Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: -2.7-2.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: -3.7-3.7Q2Q2: +4.3+4.3Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: +5.1+5.1Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: -2.7-2.7
IlliabumSampaense
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
IlliabumLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lusitania
#3
W
44-27
44
27
+17
H19/10
Proliga
Sangalhos
#15
W
50-34
50
34
+16
A25/10
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
L
24-34
24
34
-10
H01/11
Proliga
Sampaense
#10
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A08/11
Proliga
Ginasio
#8
W
41-21
41
21
+20
H15/11
Proliga
Maia
#4
W
38-32
38
32
+6
A22/11
Proliga
Academica
#16
W
42-32
42
32
+10
H29/11
Proliga
Lusitania
#3
W
30-29
30
29
+1
A07/12
Proliga
Sangalhos
#15
W
49-36
49
36
+13
H13/12
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
L
27-36
27
36
-9
A20/12
Proliga
69.6Avg total
37.8Scored
31.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.335.073.3+3.357%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.735.374.9+4.460%-
Last 30 away (15)36.934.771.6+2.353%-
Last 10 (10)37.831.869.6+6.070%-
Last 5 (5)37.233.070.2+4.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)33.236.569.8-3.225%-
vs Similar (13)36.236.572.8-0.346%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)41.932.974.8+9.077%-
This opponent (Sampaense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SampaenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CD Povoa
#1
L
33-50
33
50
-17
H18/10
Proliga
Maia
#4
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H25/10
Proliga
Ginasio
#8
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A01/11
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H08/11
Proliga
Academica
#16
W
41-32
41
32
+9
A15/11
Proliga
Lusitania
#3
L
20-44
20
44
-24
A22/11
Proliga
Sangalhos
#15
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H29/11
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
L
27-48
27
48
-21
A07/12
Proliga
Maia
#4
W
32-29
32
29
+3
A13/12
Proliga
Ginasio
#8
L
31-36
31
36
-5
H20/12
Proliga
71.3Avg total
33.0Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.541.479.9-2.943%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.641.382.9+0.360%-
Last 30 away (15)35.441.576.9-6.127%-
Last 10 (10)33.038.371.3-5.340%-
Last 5 (5)30.439.269.6-8.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)33.741.074.7-7.329%-
vs Similar (10)45.442.988.3+2.570%-
vs Weaker (6)38.239.777.8-1.533%-
This opponent (Illiabum) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Illiabumtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Illiabum: 78.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.0 points a game
52%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.720.8
52.4%
50.0%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.47.2
32.1%
30.3%21.6
🏀 Free throws22.815.1
66.2%
67.4%15.1
They take 62.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sampaensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sampaense: 69.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.0 points a game
52%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.718.0
49.0%
50.0%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.67.1
31.4%
30.3%21.3
🏀 Free throws19.712.4
62.9%
67.4%12.4
They take 59.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Illiabum
LWWWLWWLWW
Sampaense
WLLWLWLLLL
#7
League position
#10
+12.9
Net rating
-9.6
102.8
Offensive rating
94.0
89.9
Defensive rating
103.6
50.9%
Effective FG%
48.3%
45.7%
Opp. effective FG%
51.1%
22.0%
Turnover %
20.3%
34.6%
Off. rebound %
26.2%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.33
32.1%
3-point %
31.4%
62.5%
Assist %
54.6%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence102.8 · 94.0Defence89.9 · 103.6Shooting50.9% · 48.3%3-point %32.1% · 31.4%Ball care22.0% · 20.3%Off. rebounds34.6% · 26.2%Free throws0.37 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)70% · 30%
■ Illiabum   ■ Sampaense
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
10
Illiabum wins
0
Sampaense wins
DateGameScore
08/11/25Sampaense v Illiabum84-87 OT
04/01/25Illiabum v Sampaense87-75
09/11/24Sampaense v Illiabum56-94
06/01/24Illiabum v Sampaense88-57
28/10/23Sampaense v Illiabum63-84
28/01/23Sampaense v Illiabum56-98
26/11/22Illiabum v Sampaense78-60
28/05/21Sampaense v Illiabum53-76
15/11/20Illiabum v Sampaense89-78
10/02/17Illiabum v Sampaense80-63
Illiabumlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/12/25ACD Povoa70-76
13/12/25HSangalhos90-66
07/12/25ALusitania65-64
29/11/25HAcademica90-58
22/11/25AMaia64-71
15/11/25HGinasio83-57
08/11/25ASampaense87-84 OT
01/11/25HCD Povoa56-76
25/10/25ASangalhos101-76
19/10/25HLusitania81-63
Sampaenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/12/25HGinasio85-76 OT
13/12/25AMaia68-79
07/12/25ACD Povoa50-73
29/11/25HSangalhos79-76
22/11/25ALusitania46-87
15/11/25AAcademica75-58
08/11/25HIlliabum84-87 OT
01/11/25AGinasio69-76
25/10/25HMaia67-79
18/10/25HCD Povoa74-104

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Illiabum
Proliga 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL75%
HomeWLWWW83%
AwayWWLWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %75%83%67%
Points / game79.281.277.2
Allowed / game68.266.869.5
Point differential+11.0+14.3+7.7
Avg total147.3148.0146.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%67%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)-100% (2)
Overtime %8%0%17%
Sampaense
Proliga 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW42%
HomeLLLWW50%
AwayLWLLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %42%50%33%
Points / game71.878.265.3
Allowed / game79.082.775.3
Point differential-7.2-4.5-10.0
Avg total150.8160.8140.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%0%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %17%33%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CD Povoa12120100%88.665.1+23.5
2 CAB Madeira1211192%87.772.8+14.8
3 Illiabum129375%79.268.2+11.0
4 Portimonense139469%83.576.0+7.5
5 Ginasio128467%77.975.8+2.1
6 Imortal B128467%81.280.2+1.1
7 Galomar138562%87.083.2+3.8
8 Maia127558%80.674.2+6.3
9 Ginasio Olhanense137654%81.877.4+4.4
10 Lusitania125742%77.072.8+4.2
11 Sampaense125742%71.879.0-7.2
12 Benfica Lisboa B123925%71.274.3-3.2
13 Santo Andre1331023%76.384.8-8.5
14 Sangalhos1221017%68.384.0-15.7
15 CB Queluz121118%69.189.8-20.7
16 Academica120120%59.083.2-24.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Illiabum2620191883
Sampaense821142669
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.