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Illiabum vs Sampaense Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 13 Feb 2027
Tip-off: 18:00
Scheduled
Position#7
Record4-3
FormWLLWW
Points / game74.1
Allowed / game74.4
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.6/10
Above normal
6.2/10
Above normal
Position#8
Record4-3
FormLWWWL
Points / game82.1
Allowed / game82.4
PortugalProligaRound 19· Pavilhão Capitão Adriano Nordeste
Other2026-27
Meetings · Illiabum v Sampaense
13 Feb 2027
ILLI v SAMP
upcoming
03 Jan 2026
ILLI83
SAMP69
04 Jan 2025
ILLI87
SAMP75
06 Jan 2024
ILLI88
SAMP57
26 Nov 2022
ILLI78
SAMP60
15 Nov 2020
ILLI89
SAMP78
10 Feb 2017
ILLI80
SAMP63
14 Mar 2015
ILLI91
SAMP84
22 Jan 2011
ILLI83
SAMP93
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Illiabum win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Sampaense win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

IlliabumPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormIlliabum
Date
Competition
Ginasio
#8
W
76-69
76
69
+7
77avg 61
H01/05
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#2
L
74-88
74
88
-14
74avg 61
H09/05
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#2
L
60-76
60
76
-16
51avg 61
A16/05
Proliga
Academica
#16
W
85-75
85
75
+10
52avg 61
H03/10
Proliga
CB Queluz
#9
L
57-61
57
61
-4
48avg 61
A10/10
Proliga
Galitos Barreiro
#2
W
75-70
75
70
+5
71avg 61
H17/10
Proliga
Sampaense
#8
L
70-99
70
99
-29
53avg 61
A24/10
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#3
L
63-68
63
68
-5
53avg 61
H31/10
Proliga
Barcelos
#14
W
82-63
82
63
+19
no box
A07/11
Proliga
Ginasio Olhanense
#12
W
87-85
87
85
+2
no box
H14/11
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-18
17-20
20-15
15-16
21-27
23-27
16-17
14-17
15-13
8-21
17-13
20-29
18-22
21-16
20-21
26-16
19-24
10-14
19-11
9-12
14-16
22-18
21-25
18-11
18-26
12-21
20-26
20-26
14-12
8-18
18-14
23-24
20-23
24-15
18-12
20-13
23-26
23-19
23-18
18-22
148.3Avg total
72.9Scored
75.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)74.174.4148.6-0.357%
Season at home (4)77.574.5152.0+3.075%
Season away (3)69.774.3144.0-4.733%
Last 10 (10)72.975.4148.3-2.550%
Last 5 (5)75.477.0152.4-1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)64.872.8137.6-8.020%
vs Similar ◀ (14)69.673.4142.9-3.843%
vs Weaker (11)82.568.1150.6+14.582%
This opponent (Sampaense) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SampaensePortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSampaense
Date
Competition
Santo Andre
#13
W
87-80
87
80
+7
80avg 65
H19/04
Proliga
Galomar
#5
L
78-88
78
88
-10
69avg 65
A25/04
Proliga
Academica
#16
W
85-81
85
81
+4
76avg 65
H02/05
Proliga
Vasco Da Gama
#11
L
82-90
82
90
-8
54avg 65
A03/10
Proliga
Sangalhos
#1
W
85-80
85
80
+5
82avg 65
H10/10
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#15
L
67-69
67
69
-2
56avg 65
A18/10
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
W
99-70
99
70
+29
98avg 65
H24/10
Proliga
Academica
#16
W
105-99
105
99
+6
104avg 65
H30/10
Proliga
CB Queluz
#9
W
76-67
76
67
+9
no box
H08/11
Proliga
Galitos Barreiro
#2
L
61-102
61
102
-41
no box
A14/11
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-20
22-20
26-22
18-18
14-24
21-13
20-25
23-26
22-24
16-18
29-15
18-24
20-24
19-23
21-22
22-21
21-21
18-18
22-21
24-20
15-15
18-15
16-24
18-15
26-18
21-12
26-20
26-20
33-20
21-32
24-28
27-19
22-21
21-20
14-14
19-12
12-22
17-21
19-40
13-19
165.1Avg total
82.5Scored
82.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)82.182.4164.6-0.357%
Season at home (4)91.279.0170.2+12.2100%
Season away (3)70.087.0157.0-17.00%
Last 10 (10)82.582.6165.1-0.160%
Last 5 (5)81.681.4163.0+0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)67.482.2149.6-14.825%
vs Similar ◀ (6)83.279.8163.0+3.367%
vs Weaker (8)74.168.6142.8+5.575%
This opponent (Illiabum) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -2.1-2.1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: +1.4+1.4
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -2.1-2.1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: +1.4+1.4
IlliabumSampaense
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
IlliabumLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ginasio
#8
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H01/05
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#2
L
44-54
44
54
-10
H09/05
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#2
L
23-34
23
34
-11
A16/05
Proliga
Academica
#16
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H03/10
Proliga
CB Queluz
#9
L
29-38
29
38
-9
A10/10
Proliga
Galitos Barreiro
#2
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H17/10
Proliga
Sampaense
#8
L
30-47
30
47
-17
A24/10
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#3
L
22-30
22
30
-8
H31/10
Proliga
Barcelos
#14
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A07/11
Proliga
Ginasio Olhanense
#12
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H14/11
Proliga
75.0Avg total
35.4Scored
39.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.235.873.0+1.457%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.336.576.8+3.773%-
Last 30 away (15)34.135.169.2-0.940%-
Last 10 (10)35.439.675.0-4.250%-
Last 5 (5)35.638.874.4-3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)29.033.062.0-4.040%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)35.038.273.2-3.236%-
vs Weaker (11)43.734.077.7+9.791%-
This opponent (Sampaense) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SampaenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Santo Andre
#13
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H19/04
Proliga
Galomar
#5
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A25/04
Proliga
Academica
#16
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H02/05
Proliga
Vasco Da Gama
#11
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A03/10
Proliga
Sangalhos
#1
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H10/10
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#15
W
33-30
33
30
+3
A18/10
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
W
47-30
47
30
+17
H24/10
Proliga
Academica
#16
W
54-52
54
52
+2
H30/10
Proliga
CB Queluz
#9
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H08/11
Proliga
Galitos Barreiro
#2
L
29-43
29
43
-14
A14/11
Proliga
80.1Avg total
40.0Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.138.074.1-1.950%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.238.579.7+2.767%-
Last 30 away (15)31.137.568.5-6.433%-
Last 10 (10)40.040.180.1-0.150%-
Last 5 (5)41.239.280.4+2.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)32.540.272.8-7.825%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)42.740.783.3+2.067%-
vs Weaker (8)38.531.570.0+7.088%-
This opponent (Illiabum) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Illiabumtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Illiabum: 65.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.1 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.2 points a game
50%
30%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.017.4
48.3%
52.5%34.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.35.7
29.5%
30.6%17.1
🏀 Free throws20.513.9
67.8%
67.3%13.9
They take 55.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sampaensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sampaense: 80.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.2 points a game
50%
30%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.821.2
57.6%
52.5%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.47.8
36.4%
30.6%23.4
🏀 Free throws22.614.6
64.6%
67.3%14.6
They take 58.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Feb 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Illiabum
WWLLWLWLLW
Sampaense
LWWWLWLWLW
#7
League position
#8
-3.7
Net rating
+6.6
83.3
Offensive rating
99.4
87.0
Defensive rating
92.8
46.9%
Effective FG%
56.5%
49.7%
Opp. effective FG%
51.9%
18.4%
Turnover %
15.7%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.39
29.5%
3-point %
36.4%
64.5%
Assist %
52.1%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence83.3 · 99.4Defence87.0 · 92.8Shooting46.9% · 56.5%3-point %29.5% · 36.4%Ball care18.4% · 15.7%Free throws0.37 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Illiabum   ■ Sampaense
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Illiabum wins
1
Sampaense wins
DateGameScore
24/10/26Sampaense v Illiabum99-70
03/01/26Illiabum v Sampaense83-69
08/11/25Sampaense v Illiabum84-87 OT
04/01/25Illiabum v Sampaense87-75
09/11/24Sampaense v Illiabum56-94
06/01/24Illiabum v Sampaense88-57
28/10/23Sampaense v Illiabum63-84
28/01/23Sampaense v Illiabum56-98
26/11/22Illiabum v Sampaense78-60
28/05/21Sampaense v Illiabum53-76
Illiabumlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HGinasio Olhanense87-85
07/11/26ABarcelos82-63
31/10/26HGalitos Aveiro63-68
24/10/26ASampaense70-99
17/10/26HGalitos Barreiro75-70
10/10/26ACB Queluz57-61
03/10/26HAcademica85-75
16/05/26ACAB Madeira60-76
09/05/26HCAB Madeira74-88
01/05/26HGinasio76-69
Sampaenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AGalitos Barreiro61-102
08/11/26HCB Queluz76-67
30/10/26HAcademica105-99
24/10/26HIlliabum99-70
18/10/26ABenfica Lisboa B67-69
10/10/26HSangalhos85-80
03/10/26AVasco Da Gama82-90
02/05/26HAcademica85-81
25/04/26AGalomar78-88
19/04/26HSanto Andre87-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Illiabum
Proliga 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW57%
HomeWWLW75%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %57%75%33%
Points / game74.177.569.7
Allowed / game74.474.574.3
Point differential-0.3+3.0-4.7
Avg total148.6152.0144.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%25%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)67% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Sampaense
Proliga 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL57%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %57%100%0%
Points / game82.191.270.0
Allowed / game82.479.087.0
Point differential-0.3+12.2-17.0
Avg total164.6170.2157.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sangalhos76186%76.661.1+15.4
2 Galitos Barreiro75271%78.371.3+7.0
3 Galitos Aveiro75271%78.973.6+5.3
4 Santo Andre75271%78.174.4+3.7
5 Lusitania64267%81.372.3+9.0
6 Galomar53260%77.269.0+8.2
7 Illiabum74357%74.174.4-0.3
8 Sampaense74357%82.182.4-0.3
9 CB Queluz74357%72.172.6-0.4
10 Maia63350%83.287.8-4.7
11 Vasco Da Gama62433%85.888.8-3.0
12 Ginasio Olhanense72529%84.788.4-3.7
13 Barreirense72529%75.083.9-8.9
14 Barcelos72529%66.677.4-10.9
15 Benfica Lisboa B61517%67.780.7-13.0
16 Academica71614%80.483.3-2.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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