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Indiana State vs Illinois State Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 14 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 67-80
29-35 38-45
Position#13
Record22-3
FormWWWWW
Points / game85.6
Allowed / game71.9
vs
Position#240
Record11-14
FormLWLLL
Points / game65.4
Allowed / game67.6
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Indiana State v Illinois State
14 Jan 2026
INDI94
ILLI89
15 Feb 2025
INDI85
ILLI76
13 Feb 2024
INDI67
ILLI80
18 Feb 2023
INDI80
ILLI64
12 Feb 2022
INDI60
ILLI57
11 Jan 2020
INDI65
ILLI52
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Indiana State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Illinois State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Indiana StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Drake
#15
L
78-89
78
89
-11
A11/01
NCAA
Belmont
#128
W
94-64
94
64
+30
H13/01
NCAA
Missouri State
#198
W
88-66
88
66
+22
H17/01
NCAA
Murray State
#296
W
72-63
72
63
+9
A21/01
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#303
W
89-83
89
83
+6
A25/01
NCAA
Bradley
#71
W
95-86 OT
95
86
+9
H27/01
NCAA
Belmont
#128
W
78-72
78
72
+6
A01/02
NCAA
Drake
#15
W
75-67
75
67
+8
H03/02
NCAA
Valparaiso
#355
W
101-61
101
61
+40
H08/02
NCAA
Missouri State
#198
W
73-71
73
71
+2
A10/02
NCAA
1H
2H
43-43
35-46
48-32
46-32
44-30
44-36
25-28
47-35
41-39
48-44
33-29
45-49
37-45
41-27
37-36
38-31
50-36
51-25
35-36
38-35
156.5Avg total
84.3Scored
72.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)85.671.9157.5+13.788%
Season at home (12)89.564.8154.2+24.8100%
Season away (13)82.078.5160.5+3.577%
Last 10 (10)84.372.2156.5+12.190%
Last 5 (5)84.471.4155.8+13.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)78.283.6161.8-5.420%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)87.470.4157.8+17.096%
This opponent (Illinois State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Illinois StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Belmont
#128
L
60-67
60
67
-7
A11/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#355
L
50-59
50
59
-9
H14/01
NCAA
Drake
#15
L
56-77
56
77
-21
H18/01
NCAA
Missouri State
#198
W
69-60
69
60
+9
A20/01
NCAA
Belmont
#128
W
77-67
77
67
+10
H24/01
NCAA
Evansville
#225
L
54-58
54
58
-4
A27/01
NCAA
Murray State
#296
W
61-59
61
59
+2
A31/01
NCAA
Bradley
#71
L
60-73
60
73
-13
H03/02
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#303
L
56-61
56
61
-5
H08/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#131
L
66-69
66
69
-3
A11/02
NCAA
1H
2H
34-34
26-33
20-28
30-31
27-43
29-34
42-33
27-27
41-30
36-37
21-27
33-31
24-26
37-33
20-39
40-34
28-33
28-28
25-42
41-27
125.9Avg total
60.9Scored
65.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)65.467.6133.0-2.244%
Season at home (14)66.064.4130.4+1.657%
Season away (11)64.771.7136.5-7.027%
Last 10 (10)60.965.0125.9-4.130%
Last 5 (5)59.464.0123.4-4.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)61.976.9138.8-15.00%
vs Similar (14)66.864.4131.1+2.464%
vs Weaker (3)69.058.7127.7+10.367%
This opponent (Indiana State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-5+0+5+91st half1st half: +3.9+3.91st half: -5.3-5.32nd half2nd half: +7.3+7.32nd half: +1.2+1.2
-9-5+0+5+91st half1st half: +3.9+3.91st half: -5.3-5.32nd half2nd half: +7.3+7.32nd half: +1.2+1.2
Indiana StateIllinois State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Indiana StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Drake
#15
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A11/01
NCAA
Belmont
#128
W
48-32
48
32
+16
H13/01
NCAA
Missouri State
#198
W
44-30
44
30
+14
H17/01
NCAA
Murray State
#296
L
25-28
25
28
-3
A21/01
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#303
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A25/01
NCAA
Bradley
#71
W
33-29
33
29
+4
H27/01
NCAA
Belmont
#128
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A01/02
NCAA
Drake
#15
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H03/02
NCAA
Valparaiso
#355
W
50-36
50
36
+14
H08/02
NCAA
Missouri State
#198
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A10/02
NCAA
74.7Avg total
39.3Scored
35.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.034.376.4+7.773%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.230.373.5+12.9100%-
Last 30 away (16)41.037.978.9+3.150%-
Last 10 (10)39.335.474.7+3.960%-
Last 5 (5)38.436.474.8+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)39.641.080.6-1.440%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)42.833.075.8+9.979%-
This opponent (Illinois State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Illinois StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Belmont
#128
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A11/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#355
L
20-28
20
28
-8
H14/01
NCAA
Drake
#15
L
27-43
27
43
-16
H18/01
NCAA
Missouri State
#198
W
42-33
42
33
+9
A20/01
NCAA
Belmont
#128
W
41-30
41
30
+11
H24/01
NCAA
Evansville
#225
L
21-27
21
27
-6
A27/01
NCAA
Murray State
#296
L
24-26
24
26
-2
A31/01
NCAA
Bradley
#71
L
20-39
20
39
-19
H03/02
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#303
L
28-33
28
33
-5
H08/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#131
L
25-42
25
42
-17
A11/02
NCAA
61.7Avg total
28.2Scored
33.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)29.934.464.3-4.530%-
Last 30 at home (16)30.831.161.9-0.450%-
Last 30 away (14)28.938.267.1-9.37%-
Last 10 (10)28.233.561.7-5.320%-
Last 5 (5)23.633.457.0-9.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)26.539.465.9-12.90%-
vs Similar (14)32.031.963.9+0.143%-
vs Weaker (3)31.028.059.0+3.067%-
This opponent (Indiana State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Indiana State wins
3
Illinois State wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/02/24AMissouri State73-71
08/02/24HValparaiso101-61
03/02/24HDrake75-67
01/02/24ABelmont78-72
27/01/24HBradley95-86 OT
25/01/24AIllinois (Chi.)89-83
21/01/24AMurray State72-63
17/01/24HMissouri State88-66
13/01/24HBelmont94-64
11/01/24ADrake78-89
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/02/24ASouthern Illinois66-69
08/02/24HIllinois (Chi.)56-61
03/02/24HBradley60-73
31/01/24AMurray State61-59
27/01/24AEvansville54-58
24/01/24HBelmont77-67
20/01/24AMissouri State69-60
18/01/24HDrake56-77
14/01/24HValparaiso50-59
11/01/24ABelmont60-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Indiana State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW88%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWWWW77%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251213
Win %88%100%77%
Points / game85.689.582.0
Allowed / game71.964.878.5
Point differential+13.7+24.8+3.5
Avg total157.5154.2160.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+52%83%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)-100% (2)
Overtime %4%8%0%
Illinois State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL44%
HomeLLWLL57%
AwayLWLWL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251411
Win %44%57%27%
Points / game65.466.064.7
Allowed / game67.664.471.7
Point differential-2.2+1.6-7.0
Avg total133.0130.4136.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%29%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)67% (3)40% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Indiana State2522388%85.671.9+13.7
2 Drake2520580%79.468.6+10.9
3 Bradley2517868%75.467.9+7.5
4 Southern Illinois2516964%73.166.4+6.7
5 Evansville25151060%73.072.4+0.5
6 Belmont25141156%77.577.9-0.4
7 Northern Iowa25131252%72.271.1+1.0
8 Illinois State25111444%65.467.6-2.2
9 Murray State25101540%70.367.9+2.4
10 Illinois (Chi.)25101540%69.268.1+1.1
11 Valparaiso2561924%68.074.4-6.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Indiana State293867
Illinois State354580
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