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Illinois State vs Northern Iowa Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 12 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 84-85
43-36 41-49
Position#141
Record10-6
FormWLWWL
Points / game77.4
Allowed / game70.7
vs
Position#107
Record9-7
FormLWWLL
Points / game76.9
Allowed / game67.8
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Illinois State v Northern Iowa
06 Mar 2026
ILLI52
NORT74
21 Jan 2026
ILLI59
NORT54
11 Jan 2025
ILLI84
NORT85
21 Feb 2024
ILLI81
NORT73
31 Dec 2022
ILLI60
NORT66
15 Feb 2022
ILLI70
NORT72
27 Feb 2021
ILLI87
NORT94
26 Feb 2021
ILLI56
NORT70
31 Dec 2019
ILLI76
NORT70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Illinois State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Northern Iowa winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Illinois StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
George Washington
#96
L
64-72
64
72
-8
A25/11
NCAA
Belmont
#79
L
97-99 OT
97
99
-2
A05/12
NCAA
Pacific
#336
W
72-61
72
61
+11
H08/12
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#140
W
81-77
81
77
+4
H15/12
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#352
W
81-60
81
60
+21
H19/12
NCAA
Cornell
#113
W
80-77
80
77
+3
A22/12
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#154
L
67-73
67
73
-6
H29/12
NCAA
Murray State
#214
W
74-68
74
68
+6
A03/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#270
W
85-54
85
54
+31
H05/01
NCAA
Evansville
#319
L
51-69
51
69
-18
A09/01
NCAA
1H
2H
29-27
35-45
45-54
43-34
33-29
39-32
43-31
38-46
36-28
45-32
43-45
37-32
35-33
32-40
33-25
41-43
44-23
41-31
30-34
21-35
146.2Avg total
75.2Scored
71.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)77.470.7148.1+6.762%
Season at home (9)80.866.9147.7+13.978%
Season away (7)73.075.6148.6-2.643%
Last 10 (10)75.271.0146.2+4.260%
Last 5 (5)71.468.2139.6+3.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)63.866.6130.4-2.820%
vs Similar ◀ (19)72.971.0143.9+1.963%
vs Weaker (6)78.061.8139.8+16.267%
This opponent (Northern Iowa) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Northern IowaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
St. Bonaventure
#77
L
56-68
56
68
-12
H30/11
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#154
W
83-56
83
56
+27
A05/12
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#352
W
101-57
101
57
+44
H07/12
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#101
W
78-58
78
58
+20
H14/12
NCAA
Montana
#53
W
104-76
104
76
+28
H17/12
NCAA
Washington State
#148
L
68-76
68
76
-8
H21/12
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#270
W
78-67
78
67
+11
H29/12
NCAA
Belmont
#79
W
76-70
76
70
+6
H02/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#248
L
73-80
73
80
-7
A04/01
NCAA
Murray State
#214
L
68-71
68
71
-3
H09/01
NCAA
1H
2H
32-38
24-30
46-32
37-24
56-28
45-29
34-23
44-35
48-34
56-42
26-49
42-27
38-34
40-33
39-34
37-36
36-43
37-37
27-33
41-38
146.4Avg total
78.5Scored
67.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)76.967.8144.7+9.256%
Season at home (13)77.166.8143.9+10.262%
Season away (3)76.371.7148.0+4.733%
Last 10 (10)78.567.9146.4+10.660%
Last 5 (5)72.672.8145.4-0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)73.879.2153.0-5.440%
vs Similar ◀ (14)70.369.8140.1+0.550%
vs Weaker (10)77.765.7143.4+12.070%
This opponent (Illinois State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +4.2+4.21st half: +3.4+3.42nd half2nd half: +0.2+0.22nd half: +7.2+7.2
-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +4.2+4.21st half: +3.4+3.42nd half2nd half: +0.2+0.22nd half: +7.2+7.2
Illinois StateNorthern Iowa
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Illinois StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
George Washington
#96
W
29-27
29
27
+2
A25/11
NCAA
Belmont
#79
L
45-54
45
54
-9
A05/12
NCAA
Pacific
#336
W
33-29
33
29
+4
H08/12
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#140
W
43-31
43
31
+12
H15/12
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#352
W
36-28
36
28
+8
H19/12
NCAA
Cornell
#113
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A22/12
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#154
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H29/12
NCAA
Murray State
#214
W
33-25
33
25
+8
A03/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#270
W
44-23
44
23
+21
H05/01
NCAA
Evansville
#319
L
30-34
30
34
-4
A09/01
NCAA
70.0Avg total
37.1Scored
32.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.233.067.2+1.253%-
Last 30 at home (16)35.631.867.4+3.869%-
Last 30 away (14)32.634.467.0-1.736%-
Last 10 (10)37.132.970.0+4.270%-
Last 5 (5)37.032.069.0+5.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)27.434.862.2-7.420%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)35.333.468.7+1.958%-
vs Weaker (6)36.330.266.5+6.267%-
This opponent (Northern Iowa) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Northern IowaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
St. Bonaventure
#77
L
32-38
32
38
-6
H30/11
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#154
W
46-32
46
32
+14
A05/12
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#352
W
56-28
56
28
+28
H07/12
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#101
W
34-23
34
23
+11
H14/12
NCAA
Montana
#53
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H17/12
NCAA
Washington State
#148
L
26-49
26
49
-23
H21/12
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#270
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H29/12
NCAA
Belmont
#79
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H02/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#248
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A04/01
NCAA
Murray State
#214
L
27-33
27
33
-6
H09/01
NCAA
73.0Avg total
38.2Scored
34.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.034.170.1+2.050%-
Last 30 at home (20)36.432.568.9+3.960%-
Last 30 away (10)35.337.272.5-1.930%-
Last 10 (10)38.234.873.0+3.460%-
Last 5 (5)33.238.671.8-5.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)37.638.275.8-0.660%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)34.435.369.6-0.936%-
vs Weaker (10)36.831.368.1+5.560%-
This opponent (Illinois State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Illinois State wins
9
Northern Iowa wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/01/25AEvansville51-69
05/01/25HSouthern Illinois85-54
03/01/25AMurray State74-68
29/12/24HIllinois (Chi.)67-73
22/12/24ACornell80-77
19/12/24HNorthern Illinois81-60
15/12/24HSt. Louis Billikens81-77
08/12/24HPacific72-61
05/12/24ABelmont97-99 OT
25/11/24AGeorge Washington64-72
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/01/25HMurray State68-71
04/01/25AValparaiso73-80
02/01/25HBelmont76-70
29/12/24HSouthern Illinois78-67
21/12/24HWashington State68-76
17/12/24HMontana104-76
14/12/24HNebraska O.78-58
07/12/24HNorthern Illinois101-57
05/12/24AIllinois (Chi.)83-56
30/11/24HSt. Bonaventure56-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Illinois State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL62%
HomeWWWLW78%
AwayLLWWL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1697
Win %62%78%43%
Points / game77.480.873.0
Allowed / game70.766.975.6
Point differential+6.7+13.9-2.6
Avg total148.1147.7148.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%56%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)67% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %6%0%14%
Northern Iowa
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL56%
HomeWLWWL62%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games16133
Win %56%62%33%
Points / game76.977.176.3
Allowed / game67.866.871.7
Point differential+9.2+10.2+4.7
Avg total144.7143.9148.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%54%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Drake1614288%71.357.0+14.3
2 Bradley1714382%78.967.6+11.3
3 Belmont1712571%81.878.8+3.0
4 Illinois (Chi.)1711665%79.572.6+6.8
5 Illinois State1610662%77.470.7+6.7
6 Murray State1710759%74.267.4+6.8
7 Valparaiso1710759%78.772.9+5.8
8 Northern Iowa169756%76.967.8+9.2
9 Indiana State179853%83.878.4+5.5
10 Evansville1761135%63.768.5-4.8
11 Southern Illinois1651131%72.076.2-4.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Illinois State434184
Northern Iowa364985
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