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Indiana Pacers vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 04 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 120-135
28-33 20-39 31-30 41-33
Position#29
Record4-17
FormLLWWL
Points / game110.2
Allowed / game119.4
vs
Position#6
Record14-6
FormLWLWL
Points / game124.6
Allowed / game115.8
USANBA· Gainbridge Fieldhouse
NBA2025-26
Meetings · Indiana Pacers v Denver Nuggets
07 Nov 2026
IND v DEN
upcoming
03 Dec 2025
IND120
DEN135
24 Feb 2025
IND116
DEN125
23 Jan 2024
IND109
DEN114
09 Nov 2022
IND119
DEN122
30 Mar 2022
IND118
DEN125
04 Mar 2021
IND103
DEN113
02 Jan 2020
IND116
DEN124
24 Mar 2019
IND124
DEN88
10 Dec 2017
IND126
DEN116
24 Mar 2017
IND117
DEN125
30 Jan 2016
IND109
DEN105
14 Nov 2014
IND87
DEN108
10 Feb 2014
IND119
DEN80
07 Dec 2012
IND89
DEN92
11 Feb 2012
IND109
DEN113
09 Nov 2010
IND144
DEN113
03 Nov 2009
IND93
DEN111
01 Mar 2009
IND100
DEN94
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Indiana Pacers winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Indiana PacersUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPacers
Date
Competition
Phoenix Suns
#16
L
98-133
98
133
-35
83avg 109
A14/11
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#11
L
111-129
111
129
-18
98avg 109
H16/11
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
L
112-127
112
127
-15
97avg 109
A18/11
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#14
W
127-118
127
118
+9
128avg 109
H20/11
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
L
109-120
109
120
-11
100avg 109
A22/11
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
L
117-122
117
122
-5
102avg 109
H25/11
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#11
L
95-97
95
97
-2
86avg 109
A27/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#30
W
119-86
119
86
+33
116avg 109
H29/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
W
103-101
103
101
+2
95avg 109
H30/11
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
L
119-135
119
135
-16
103avg 109
H02/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-31
29-39
32-36
14-27
29-32
24-30
32-39
26-28
21-26
25-36
29-31
37-34
38-33
32-21
34-30
23-34
31-33
24-29
26-38
28-20
32-35
23-36
33-30
29-21
25-21
24-29
21-26
25-21
30-24
34-28
30-21
25-13
26-27
35-27
25-26
17-21
25-37
29-29
36-33
29-36
227.8Avg total
111.0Scored
116.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)110.2119.4229.6-9.219%
Season at home (11)115.5118.0233.5-2.536%
Season away (10)104.3120.9225.2-16.60%
Last 10 (10)111.0116.8227.8-5.830%
Last 5 (5)110.6108.2218.8+2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)108.8117.6226.3-8.824%
vs Similar (9)110.6113.6224.1-3.033%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
W
130-116
130
116
+14
123avg 115
A13/11
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
W
123-112
123
112
+11
122avg 115
A16/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
L
127-130
127
130
-3
117avg 115
H18/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
125-118
125
118
+7
128avg 115
A20/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#8
W
112-109
112
109
+3
111avg 115
A22/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
L
123-128
123
128
-5
114avg 115
H23/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
W
125-115
125
115
+10
124avg 115
A25/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
136-139
136
139
-3
130avg 115
H29/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#16
W
130-112
130
112
+18
139avg 115
A30/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
L
121-131
121
131
-10
119avg 115
H02/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
39-35
24-33
43-22
24-26
29-31
26-29
32-26
36-26
28-30
36-33
29-40
34-27
26-30
36-28
35-25
28-35
25-12
21-37
34-29
32-31
35-30
30-31
27-30
31-37
27-23
35-31
31-31
32-30
33-41
41-18
30-44
32-36
30-25
33-35
33-25
34-27
41-27
27-42
36-33
17-29
246.2Avg total
125.2Scored
121.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)124.6115.8240.4+8.870%
Season at home (10)126.0116.7242.7+9.360%
Season away (10)123.2115.0238.2+8.280%
Last 10 (10)125.2121.0246.2+4.260%
Last 5 (5)127.0125.0252.0+2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)106.3115.4221.7-9.143%
vs Similar (11)124.5113.8238.3+10.682%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)123.2116.0239.2+7.258%
This opponent (Indiana Pacers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: -0.4-0.4
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: -0.4-0.4
Indiana PacersDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Indiana PacersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Phoenix Suns
#16
L
52-70
52
70
-18
A14/11
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#11
L
53-62
53
62
-9
H16/11
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
L
46-62
46
62
-16
A18/11
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#14
W
70-54
70
54
+16
H20/11
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
L
55-62
55
62
-7
A22/11
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
L
55-71
55
71
-16
H25/11
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#11
L
49-50
49
50
-1
A27/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#30
W
64-52
64
52
+12
H29/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
W
61-54
61
54
+7
H30/11
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
L
54-66
54
66
-12
H02/12
NBA
116.2Avg total
55.9Scored
60.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.757.4111.2-3.737%-
Last 30 at home (15)58.357.1115.4+1.153%-
Last 30 away (15)49.257.7106.9-8.520%-
Last 10 (10)55.960.3116.2-4.430%-
Last 5 (5)56.658.6115.2-2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)52.857.9110.6-5.129%-
vs Similar (9)56.056.4112.4-0.456%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
L
63-68
63
68
-5
A13/11
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
L
55-60
55
60
-5
A16/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
W
64-63
64
63
+1
H18/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
62-58
62
58
+4
A20/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#8
L
46-49
46
49
-3
A22/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
65-61
65
61
+4
H23/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
W
62-54
62
54
+8
A25/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
74-59
74
59
+15
H29/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#16
W
63-60
63
60
+3
A30/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
L
68-69
68
69
-1
H02/12
NBA
122.3Avg total
62.2Scored
60.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)59.658.0117.6+1.660%-
Last 30 at home (15)61.855.8117.6+6.073%-
Last 30 away (15)57.360.2117.5-2.947%-
Last 10 (10)62.260.1122.3+2.160%-
Last 5 (5)66.460.6127.0+5.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)50.460.0110.4-9.614%-
vs Similar (11)61.758.1119.8+3.655%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)62.956.8119.7+6.292%-
This opponent (Indiana Pacers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Indiana Pacerstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Indiana Pacers: 111.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.4 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.527.3
53.0%
54.8%54.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.311.8
34.4%
35.8%35.4
🏀 Free throws26.821.0
78.4%
78.1%21.0
They take 85.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 125.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers44.7 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.929.6
57.0%
54.8%59.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.314.9
42.2%
35.8%44.7
🏀 Free throws25.821.3
82.6%
78.1%21.3
They take 87.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Indiana Pacers
LWWLLLWLLL
Denver Nuggets
LWLWLWWLWW
#29
League position
#6
-5.7
Net rating
+4.2
109.0
Offensive rating
124.6
114.7
Defensive rating
120.4
52.4%
Effective FG%
59.6%
53.6%
Opp. effective FG%
55.5%
14.1%
Turnover %
13.1%
23.7%
Off. rebound %
28.8%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.30
34.4%
3-point %
42.2%
58.8%
Assist %
66.3%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence109.0 · 124.6Defence114.7 · 120.4Shooting52.4% · 59.6%3-point %34.4% · 42.2%Ball care14.1% · 13.1%Off. rebounds23.7% · 28.8%Free throws0.31 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)30% · 60%
■ Indiana Pacers   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Indiana Pacers wins
9
Denver Nuggets wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/12/25HCleveland Cavaliers119-135
30/11/25HChicago Bulls103-101
29/11/25HWashington Wizards119-86
27/11/25AToronto Raptors95-97
25/11/25HDetroit Pistons117-122
22/11/25ACleveland Cavaliers109-120
20/11/25HCharlotte Hornets127-118
18/11/25ADetroit Pistons112-127
16/11/25HToronto Raptors111-129
14/11/25APhoenix Suns98-133
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/12/25HDallas Mavericks121-131
30/11/25APhoenix Suns130-112
29/11/25HSan Antonio Spurs136-139
25/11/25AMemphis Grizzlies125-115
23/11/25HSacramento Kings123-128
22/11/25AHouston Rockets112-109
20/11/25ANew Orleans Pelicans125-118
18/11/25HChicago Bulls127-130
16/11/25AMinnesota Timberwolves123-112
13/11/25ALos Angeles Clippers130-116

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Indiana Pacers
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL19%
HomeWLWWL36%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %19%36%0%
Points / game110.2115.5104.3
Allowed / game119.4118.0120.9
Point differential-9.2-2.5-16.6
Avg total229.6233.5225.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+5%9%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)50% (4)0% (3)
Overtime %5%9%0%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL70%
HomeWLLLL60%
AwayWWWWW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %70%60%80%
Points / game124.6126.0123.2
Allowed / game115.8116.7115.0
Point differential+8.8+9.3+8.2
Avg total240.4242.7238.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+55%50%60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)0% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %5%0%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma City Thunder2221195%122.3107.0+15.3
2 Detroit Pistons2117481%118.8113.2+5.6
3 Los Angeles Lakers2015575%119.0115.8+3.2
4 Houston Rockets1813572%121.8111.2+10.6
5 Denver Nuggets2014670%124.6115.8+8.8
6 San Antonio Spurs2014670%119.2113.8+5.3
7 Toronto Raptors2215768%117.7113.1+4.6
8 Miami Heat2114767%124.3118.4+5.9
9 New York Knicks2013765%120.2113.5+6.8
10 Orlando Magic2113862%119.5114.3+5.2
11 Minnesota Timberwolves2113862%120.6115.4+5.1
12 Cleveland Cavaliers2213959%119.5115.8+3.8
13 Phoenix Suns2213959%117.0113.7+3.4
14 Atlanta Hawks2213959%118.0115.8+2.2
15 Boston Celtics2112957%115.3111.2+4.1
16 Philadelphia 76ers2011955%118.3118.0+0.3
17 Golden State Warriors22111150%114.4114.0+0.4
18 Chicago Bulls2091145%120.0123.2-3.2
19 Milwaukee Bucks2291341%116.0118.2-2.2
20 Memphis Grizzlies2291341%113.6117.0-3.3
21 Portland Trail Blazers2181338%118.2121.1-2.9
22 Utah Jazz2071335%118.5125.3-6.9
23 Dallas Mavericks2271532%111.1116.1-5.0
24 Charlotte Hornets2161529%115.2120.0-4.7
25 Los Angeles Clippers2151624%112.3118.8-6.4
26 Sacramento Kings2151624%111.8122.9-11.1
27 Brooklyn Nets2041620%108.8118.5-9.7
28 Indiana Pacers2141719%110.2119.4-9.2
29 Washington Wizards2031715%112.8127.2-14.4
30 New Orleans Pelicans2231914%112.6123.3-10.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Indiana Pacers28203141120
Denver Nuggets33393033135
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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