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Indiana Pacers vs Miami Heat Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 17 May 2012
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 94-75
17-26 26-17 26-12 25-20
Position#5
Record47-28
FormWWWLW
Points / game96.8
Allowed / game93.4
vs
Position#4
Record52-23
FormWLWWL
Points / game98.3
Allowed / game91.6
USANBANBA - Quarter-finals
NBA2011-12
Meetings · Indiana Pacers v Miami Heat
01 Feb 2027
IND v MIA
upcoming
29 Mar 2026
IND135
MIA118
10 Jan 2026
IND123
MIA99
17 Nov 2024
IND119
MIA110
15 Nov 2024
IND111
MIA124
07 Apr 2024
IND117
MIA115
12 Dec 2022
IND82
MIA87
04 Nov 2022
IND101
MIA99
03 Dec 2021
IND104
MIA113
23 Oct 2021
IND102
MIA91
31 Mar 2021
IND87
MIA92
20 Aug 2020
IND100
MIA109
18 Aug 2020
IND101
MIA113
14 Aug 2020
IND109
MIA92
08 Jan 2020
IND108
MIA122
16 Nov 2018
IND99
MIA91
25 Mar 2018
IND113
MIA107
10 Jan 2018
IND106
MIA114
12 Mar 2017
IND102
MIA98
11 Dec 2015
IND96
MIA83
06 Nov 2015
IND90
MIA87
05 Apr 2015
IND112
MIA89
31 Dec 2014
IND106
MIA95
28 May 2014
IND93
MIA90
20 May 2014
IND83
MIA87
18 May 2014
IND107
MIA96
26 Mar 2014
IND84
MIA83
10 Dec 2013
IND90
MIA84
01 Jun 2013
IND91
MIA77
28 May 2013
IND99
MIA92
26 May 2013
IND96
MIA114
01 Feb 2013
IND102
MIA89
08 Jan 2013
IND87
MIA77
24 May 2012
IND93
MIA105
20 May 2012
IND93
MIA101
17 May 2012
IND94
MIA75
26 Mar 2012
IND105
MIA90
14 Feb 2012
IND90
MIA105
15 Feb 2011
IND103
MIA110
02 Apr 2010
IND96
MIA105
30 Oct 2009
IND83
MIA96
25 Mar 2009
IND90
MIA88
30 Jan 2009
IND114
MIA103
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Indiana Pacers winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Miami Heat winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Indiana PacersUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Philadelphia 76ers
#12
L
106-109 OT
106
109
-3
H21/04
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#22
W
103-97
103
97
+6
H23/04
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#2
L
87-92
87
92
-5
H25/04
NBA
Orlando Magic
#14
L
77-81
77
81
-4
H28/04
NBA
Orlando Magic
#14
W
93-78
93
78
+15
H30/04
NBA
Orlando Magic
#14
W
97-74
97
74
+23
A02/05
NBA
Orlando Magic
#14
W
101-99 OT
101
99
+2
A05/05
NBA
Orlando Magic
#14
W
105-87
105
87
+18
H08/05
NBA
Miami Heat
#4
L
86-95
86
95
-9
A13/05
NBA
Miami Heat
#4
W
78-75
78
75
+3
A15/05
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-34
31-19
20-28
24-17
26-26
28-26
22-23
27-22
24-32
12-17
23-18
28-25
22-21
22-30
19-13
14-17
24-21
18-23
30-13
21-21
23-14
21-24
32-17
21-19
22-19
24-25
27-17
16-28
28-19
22-28
19-24
36-16
23-20
25-22
22-28
16-25
17-21
16-17
28-14
17-23
182.0Avg total
93.3Scored
88.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (75)96.893.4190.2+3.363%
Season at home (37)98.692.5191.1+6.268%
Season away (38)94.994.4189.3+0.658%
Last 10 (10)93.388.7182.0+4.660%
Last 5 (5)93.486.0179.4+7.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)87.092.0179.0-5.00%
vs Similar ◀ (20)100.295.0195.3+5.270%
vs Weaker (9)99.392.4191.8+6.989%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#15
W
97-88
97
88
+9
H22/04
NBA
Boston Celtics
#6
L
66-78
66
78
-12
A25/04
NBA
Washington Wizards
#29
L
70-104
70
104
-34
A27/04
NBA
New York Knicks
#13
W
100-67
100
67
+33
H28/04
NBA
New York Knicks
#13
W
104-94
104
94
+10
H30/04
NBA
New York Knicks
#13
W
87-70
87
70
+17
A03/05
NBA
New York Knicks
#13
L
87-89
87
89
-2
A06/05
NBA
New York Knicks
#13
W
106-94
106
94
+12
H09/05
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#5
W
95-86
95
86
+9
H13/05
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#5
L
75-78
75
78
-3
H15/05
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-27
23-17
21-25
31-19
17-10
17-18
16-22
16-28
18-28
14-29
18-23
20-24
24-18
30-13
27-16
19-20
27-24
26-23
25-22
26-25
19-19
17-21
22-16
29-14
18-20
26-18
17-26
26-25
28-24
27-20
26-23
25-27
20-23
22-25
28-22
25-16
21-17
17-16
14-28
23-17
173.5Avg total
88.7Scored
84.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (75)98.391.6189.9+6.769%
Season at home (39)100.388.6188.9+11.685%
Season away (36)96.194.9191.0+1.353%
Last 10 (10)88.784.8173.5+3.960%
Last 5 (5)90.083.4173.4+6.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (8)89.190.8179.9-1.650%
vs Weaker (22)93.387.3180.5+6.068%
This opponent (Indiana Pacers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: +4.7+4.7Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +2.5+2.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: +4.7+4.7Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +2.5+2.5
Indiana PacersMiami Heat
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Indiana PacersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Philadelphia 76ers
#12
W
54-53
54
53
+1
H21/04
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#22
W
54-52
54
52
+2
H23/04
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#2
L
36-49
36
49
-13
H25/04
NBA
Orlando Magic
#14
L
44-51
44
51
-7
H28/04
NBA
Orlando Magic
#14
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H30/04
NBA
Orlando Magic
#14
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A02/05
NBA
Orlando Magic
#14
W
46-44
46
44
+2
A05/05
NBA
Orlando Magic
#14
W
50-47
50
47
+3
H08/05
NBA
Miami Heat
#4
W
48-42
48
42
+6
A13/05
NBA
Miami Heat
#4
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A15/05
NBA
90.9Avg total
45.1Scored
45.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.246.694.8+1.663%-
Last 30 at home (17)49.946.796.6+3.265%-
Last 30 away (13)46.046.492.4-0.462%-
Last 10 (10)45.145.890.9-0.760%-
Last 5 (5)44.241.886.0+2.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)36.049.085.0-13.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (20)48.847.095.8+1.870%-
vs Weaker (9)48.245.393.6+2.956%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#15
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H22/04
NBA
Boston Celtics
#6
W
34-28
34
28
+6
A25/04
NBA
Washington Wizards
#29
L
32-57
32
57
-25
A27/04
NBA
New York Knicks
#13
W
54-31
54
31
+23
H28/04
NBA
New York Knicks
#13
W
53-47
53
47
+6
H30/04
NBA
New York Knicks
#13
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A03/05
NBA
New York Knicks
#13
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A06/05
NBA
New York Knicks
#13
W
55-44
55
44
+11
H09/05
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#5
L
42-48
42
48
-6
H13/05
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#5
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H15/05
NBA
84.3Avg total
43.3Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.245.792.9+1.560%-
Last 30 at home (18)48.646.194.6+2.567%-
Last 30 away (12)45.245.290.4-0.150%-
Last 10 (10)43.341.084.3+2.370%-
Last 5 (5)43.040.683.6+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (8)44.946.191.0-1.250%-
vs Weaker (22)48.045.693.6+2.564%-
This opponent (Indiana Pacers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Indiana Pacers wins
7
Miami Heat wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/05/12AMiami Heat78-75
13/05/12AMiami Heat86-95
08/05/12HOrlando Magic105-87
05/05/12AOrlando Magic101-99 OT
02/05/12AOrlando Magic97-74
30/04/12HOrlando Magic93-78
28/04/12HOrlando Magic77-81
25/04/12HChicago Bulls87-92
23/04/12HDetroit Pistons103-97
21/04/12HPhiladelphia 76ers106-109 OT
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/05/12HIndiana Pacers75-78
13/05/12HIndiana Pacers95-86
09/05/12HNew York Knicks106-94
06/05/12ANew York Knicks87-89
03/05/12ANew York Knicks87-70
30/04/12HNew York Knicks104-94
28/04/12HNew York Knicks100-67
27/04/12AWashington Wizards70-104
25/04/12ABoston Celtics66-78
22/04/12HHouston Rockets97-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Indiana Pacers
NBA 2011-12
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW63%
HomeWLLWW68%
AwayWWWLW58%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games753738
Win %63%68%58%
Points / game96.898.694.9
Allowed / game93.492.594.4
Point differential+3.3+6.2+0.6
Avg total190.2191.1189.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%38%26%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (24)42% (12)83% (12)
Overtime %9%8%11%
Miami Heat
NBA 2011-12
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL69%
HomeWWWWL85%
AwayWLLWL53%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games753936
Win %69%85%53%
Points / game98.3100.396.1
Allowed / game91.688.694.9
Point differential+6.7+11.6+1.3
Avg total189.9188.9191.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%56%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (16)71% (7)44% (9)
Overtime %8%3%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 San Antonio Spurs73561777%103.395.9+7.4
2 Oklahoma City Thunder74551974%102.696.1+6.5
3 Chicago Bulls74542073%95.387.9+7.4
4 Miami Heat75522369%98.391.6+6.7
5 Indiana Pacers75472863%96.893.4+3.3
6 Boston Celtics77473061%91.288.3+2.8
7 Los Angeles Clippers76463061%97.294.9+2.3
8 Memphis Grizzlies75443159%94.492.8+1.6
9 Los Angeles Lakers77453258%96.996.4+0.5
10 Atlanta Hawks74433158%95.192.2+2.9
11 Denver Nuggets75433257%103.8100.7+3.1
12 Philadelphia 76ers77423555%93.089.1+4.0
13 New York Knicks73393453%96.694.5+2.1
14 Orlando Magic73393453%93.593.9-0.4
15 Houston Rockets68353351%98.197.7+0.4
16 Utah Jazz72373551%98.799.2-0.6
17 Dallas Mavericks72363650%95.495.2+0.3
18 Phoenix Suns68333549%98.399.2-0.9
19 Milwaukee Bucks68313746%98.898.8-0.1
20 Portland Trail Blazers68293943%97.397.6-0.4
21 Minnesota Timberwolves68284041%98.099.8-1.8
22 Detroit Pistons68264238%90.895.5-4.7
23 Golden State Warriors68244435%97.8101.0-3.2
24 New Orleans Pelicans68234534%89.893.1-3.3
25 Toronto Raptors68234534%90.293.5-3.3
26 Sacramento Kings68234534%98.7104.3-5.6
27 Brooklyn Nets68224632%92.898.8-6.0
28 Cleveland Cavaliers68224632%92.999.9-6.9
29 Washington Wizards68204829%93.498.5-5.2
30 Charlotte Hornets6886012%86.7100.4-13.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Indiana Pacers1726262594
Miami Heat2617122075
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