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Miami Heat vs Indiana Pacers Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 11 Mar 2012
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 93-91 (OT)
17-26 22-17 21-18 25-24 8-6
Position#4
Record31-10
FormWLLWW
Points / game103.2
Allowed / game93.8
vs
Position#5
Record23-16
FormWWWLL
Points / game94.7
Allowed / game92.2
USANBA
NBA2011-12
Meetings · Miami Heat v Indiana Pacers
06 Mar 2027
MIA v IND
upcoming
30 Oct 2026
MIA145
IND125
27 Dec 2025
MIA142
IND116
28 Feb 2025
MIA125
IND120
02 Jan 2025
MIA115
IND128
02 Dec 2023
MIA129
IND144
30 Nov 2023
MIA142
IND132
08 Feb 2023
MIA116
IND111
23 Dec 2022
MIA108
IND111
21 Dec 2021
MIA125
IND96
21 Mar 2021
MIA106
IND109
19 Mar 2021
MIA110
IND137
24 Aug 2020
MIA99
IND87
22 Aug 2020
MIA124
IND115
10 Aug 2020
MIA114
IND92
27 Dec 2019
MIA113
IND112
02 Feb 2019
MIA88
IND95
09 Nov 2018
MIA102
IND110
19 Nov 2017
MIA95
IND120
21 Oct 2017
MIA112
IND108
25 Feb 2017
MIA113
IND95
14 Dec 2016
MIA95
IND89
22 Feb 2016
MIA101
IND93
04 Jan 2016
MIA103
IND100
23 Jan 2015
MIA89
IND87
12 Nov 2014
MIA75
IND81
30 May 2014
MIA117
IND92
26 May 2014
MIA102
IND90
24 May 2014
MIA99
IND87
11 Apr 2014
MIA98
IND86
18 Dec 2013
MIA97
IND94
03 Jun 2013
MIA99
IND76
30 May 2013
MIA90
IND79
24 May 2013
MIA93
IND97
22 May 2013
MIA103
IND102
10 Mar 2013
MIA105
IND91
22 May 2012
MIA115
IND83
15 May 2012
MIA75
IND78
13 May 2012
MIA95
IND86
10 Mar 2012
MIA93
IND91
04 Jan 2012
MIA118
IND83
08 Feb 2011
MIA117
IND112
22 Nov 2010
MIA77
IND93
19 Jan 2010
MIA113
IND83
27 Dec 2009
MIA114
IND80
22 Nov 2008
MIA109
IND100
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Miami Heat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Indiana Pacers winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana Pacers
#5
W
105-90
105
90
+15
A15/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#28
W
111-87
111
87
+24
A18/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#14
W
90-78
90
78
+12
H19/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#26
W
120-108
120
108
+12
H22/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#13
W
102-88
102
88
+14
H24/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#20
W
107-93
107
93
+14
A02/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#16
L
98-99
98
99
-1
A03/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
L
83-93
83
93
-10
A04/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#27
W
108-78
108
78
+30
H07/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#9
W
89-86
89
86
+3
H08/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-16
35-23
22-19
15-32
35-14
28-24
27-29
21-20
22-19
21-12
27-23
20-24
26-32
31-21
36-35
27-20
24-20
27-27
29-19
22-22
32-24
28-18
27-27
20-24
26-27
18-30
27-21
27-21
20-28
18-22
24-21
21-22
30-17
34-20
24-19
20-22
25-22
18-23
25-23
21-18
191.3Avg total
101.3Scored
90.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (41)103.293.8197.0+9.376%
Season at home (20)104.790.7195.3+14.090%
Season away (21)101.896.9198.6+4.962%
Last 10 (10)101.390.0191.3+11.380%
Last 5 (5)97.089.8186.8+7.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (8)104.292.8197.0+11.588%
vs Weaker (22)100.193.0193.2+7.168%
This opponent (Indiana Pacers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Indiana PacersUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miami Heat
#4
L
90-105
90
105
-15
H15/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#28
L
87-98
87
98
-11
A16/02
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#27
W
93-88
93
88
+5
H17/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#30
W
108-73
108
73
+35
H19/02
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#24
W
117-108 OT
117
108
+9
H22/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#30
W
102-88
102
88
+14
A23/02
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#23
W
102-78
102
78
+24
H29/02
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#24
W
102-84
102
84
+18
A04/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#2
L
72-92
72
92
-20
A06/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#9
L
96-101
96
101
-5
H07/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-33
23-35
19-22
32-15
20-32
18-24
23-23
26-19
21-29
29-21
14-15
29-23
24-12
29-21
35-15
20-25
24-31
29-25
27-20
20-24
23-28
27-14
28-26
24-20
24-19
28-19
33-16
17-24
25-23
29-14
25-17
23-30
20-22
23-20
13-33
16-17
22-29
32-29
17-18
25-25
188.4Avg total
96.9Scored
91.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (39)94.792.2187.0+2.559%
Season at home (17)97.491.8189.2+5.665%
Season away (22)92.792.6185.3+0.155%
Last 10 (10)96.991.5188.4+5.460%
Last 5 (5)94.888.6183.4+6.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)83.591.0174.5-7.550%
vs Similar ◀ (15)94.095.0189.0-1.040%
vs Weaker (13)100.289.6189.8+10.585%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +5.4+5.4Q1: -3.9-3.9Q2Q2: +3.8+3.8Q2: +4.5+4.5Q3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q3: +2.9+2.9Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: +1.0+1.0
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +5.4+5.4Q1: -3.9-3.9Q2Q2: +3.8+3.8Q2: +4.5+4.5Q3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q3: +2.9+2.9Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: +1.0+1.0
Miami HeatIndiana Pacers
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana Pacers
#5
W
68-39
68
39
+29
A15/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#28
W
63-38
63
38
+25
A18/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#14
W
43-31
43
31
+12
H19/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#26
W
57-53
57
53
+4
H22/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#13
W
51-47
51
47
+4
H24/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#20
W
60-42
60
42
+18
A02/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#16
L
44-57
44
57
-13
A03/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
L
38-50
38
50
-12
A04/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#27
W
64-37
64
37
+27
H07/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#9
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H08/03
NBA
97.0Avg total
53.1Scored
43.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)52.646.599.1+6.073%-
Last 30 at home (15)50.645.996.5+4.773%-
Last 30 away (15)54.547.1101.7+7.473%-
Last 10 (10)53.143.997.0+9.270%-
Last 5 (5)49.846.296.0+3.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (8)54.948.8103.6+6.162%-
vs Weaker (22)51.745.797.5+6.077%-
This opponent (Indiana Pacers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Indiana PacersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miami Heat
#4
L
39-68
39
68
-29
H15/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#28
L
38-56
38
56
-18
A16/02
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#27
D
50-50
50
50
+0
H17/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#30
W
53-33
53
33
+20
H19/02
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#24
L
53-56
53
56
-3
H22/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#30
W
50-42
50
42
+8
A23/02
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#23
W
52-38
52
38
+14
H29/02
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#24
W
54-37
54
37
+17
A04/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#2
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A06/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#9
L
54-58
54
58
-4
H07/03
NBA
96.6Avg total
48.6Scored
48.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.648.295.8-0.737%-
Last 30 at home (14)50.649.5100.1+1.143%-
Last 30 away (16)44.947.192.0-2.231%-
Last 10 (10)48.648.096.6+0.650%-
Last 5 (5)50.643.494.0+7.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)43.548.091.5-4.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)47.650.998.5-3.320%-
vs Weaker (13)48.245.293.4+2.954%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Miami Heat wins
2
Indiana Pacers wins
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/03/12HAtlanta Hawks89-86
07/03/12HBrooklyn Nets108-78
04/03/12ALos Angeles Lakers83-93
03/03/12AUtah Jazz98-99
02/03/12APortland Trail Blazers107-93
24/02/12HNew York Knicks102-88
22/02/12HSacramento Kings120-108
19/02/12HOrlando Magic90-78
18/02/12ACleveland Cavaliers111-87
15/02/12AIndiana Pacers105-90
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/12HAtlanta Hawks96-101
06/03/12AChicago Bulls72-92
04/03/12ANew Orleans Pelicans102-84
29/02/12HGolden State Warriors102-78
23/02/12ACharlotte Hornets102-88
22/02/12HNew Orleans Pelicans117-108 OT
19/02/12HCharlotte Hornets108-73
17/02/12HBrooklyn Nets93-88
16/02/12ACleveland Cavaliers87-98
15/02/12HMiami Heat90-105

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Miami Heat
NBA 2011-12
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW76%
HomeWWWWW90%
AwayWWWLL62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games412021
Win %76%90%62%
Points / game103.2104.7101.8
Allowed / game93.890.796.9
Point differential+9.3+14.0+4.9
Avg total197.0195.3198.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+54%65%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)100% (2)50% (6)
Overtime %7%0%14%
Indiana Pacers
NBA 2011-12
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL59%
HomeWWWWL65%
AwayLLWWL55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games391722
Win %59%65%55%
Points / game94.797.492.7
Allowed / game92.291.892.6
Point differential+2.5+5.6+0.1
Avg total187.0189.2185.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%35%32%
Close games (≤5 pts) won64% (11)40% (5)83% (6)
Overtime %5%12%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Chicago Bulls4435980%97.588.4+9.1
2 Oklahoma City Thunder4233979%101.795.8+5.9
3 Miami Heat41311076%103.293.8+9.3
4 San Antonio Spurs41271466%99.396.0+3.2
5 Orlando Magic43271663%94.092.5+1.5
6 Los Angeles Clippers40251562%99.096.2+2.8
7 Philadelphia 76ers43261760%94.987.1+7.8
8 Indiana Pacers39231659%94.792.2+2.5
9 Denver Nuggets43251858%104.8101.1+3.7
10 Memphis Grizzlies40231757%93.992.1+1.8
11 Atlanta Hawks42241857%92.790.7+2.0
12 Los Angeles Lakers42241857%94.592.9+1.6
13 Boston Celtics41231856%90.288.9+1.3
14 Minnesota Timberwolves43232053%97.896.3+1.6
15 Houston Rockets42222052%97.296.9+0.3
16 Dallas Mavericks44232152%93.992.0+1.9
17 Portland Trail Blazers43212249%98.194.5+3.7
18 Utah Jazz41202149%96.497.7-1.3
19 New York Knicks42202248%96.495.5+0.9
20 Phoenix Suns41182344%95.097.8-2.8
21 Golden State Warriors38162242%97.699.8-2.3
22 Cleveland Cavaliers40162440%93.997.8-3.9
23 Milwaukee Bucks42162638%95.998.6-2.7
24 Detroit Pistons42152736%88.995.1-6.2
25 Sacramento Kings42152736%95.8102.3-6.5
26 Brooklyn Nets43142933%92.098.5-6.5
27 Toronto Raptors41132832%89.292.9-3.6
28 New Orleans Pelicans42113126%88.893.5-4.7
29 Washington Wizards4193222%93.2102.0-8.8
30 Charlotte Hornets4063415%86.499.4-13.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Miami Heat17222125893
Indiana Pacers26171824691
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