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Indiana Pacers vs Miami Heat Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 12 Mar 2017
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 102-98
32-22 28-31 23-22 19-23
Position#15
Record36-35
FormLWLWL
Points / game105.0
Allowed / game105.7
vs
Position#13
Record36-38
FormLWWWW
Points / game102.6
Allowed / game101.4
USANBA· Bankers Life Fieldhouse
NBA2016-17
Meetings · Indiana Pacers v Miami Heat
01 Feb 2027
IND v MIA
upcoming
29 Mar 2026
IND135
MIA118
10 Jan 2026
IND123
MIA99
17 Nov 2024
IND119
MIA110
15 Nov 2024
IND111
MIA124
07 Apr 2024
IND117
MIA115
12 Dec 2022
IND82
MIA87
04 Nov 2022
IND101
MIA99
03 Dec 2021
IND104
MIA113
23 Oct 2021
IND102
MIA91
31 Mar 2021
IND87
MIA92
20 Aug 2020
IND100
MIA109
18 Aug 2020
IND101
MIA113
14 Aug 2020
IND109
MIA92
08 Jan 2020
IND108
MIA122
16 Nov 2018
IND99
MIA91
25 Mar 2018
IND113
MIA107
10 Jan 2018
IND106
MIA114
12 Mar 2017
IND102
MIA98
11 Dec 2015
IND96
MIA83
06 Nov 2015
IND90
MIA87
04 Jul 2015
IND76
MIA92
05 Apr 2015
IND112
MIA89
31 Dec 2014
IND106
MIA95
28 May 2014
IND93
MIA90
20 May 2014
IND83
MIA87
18 May 2014
IND107
MIA96
26 Mar 2014
IND84
MIA83
10 Dec 2013
IND90
MIA84
01 Jun 2013
IND91
MIA77
28 May 2013
IND99
MIA92
26 May 2013
IND96
MIA114
01 Feb 2013
IND102
MIA89
08 Jan 2013
IND87
MIA77
24 May 2012
IND93
MIA105
20 May 2012
IND93
MIA101
17 May 2012
IND94
MIA75
26 Mar 2012
IND105
MIA90
14 Feb 2012
IND90
MIA105
15 Feb 2011
IND103
MIA110
02 Apr 2010
IND96
MIA105
30 Oct 2009
IND83
MIA96
25 Mar 2009
IND90
MIA88
30 Jan 2009
IND114
MIA103
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Indiana Pacers winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Miami Heat winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Indiana PacersUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cleveland Cavaliers
#5
L
104-113
104
113
-9
A16/02
NBA
Washington Wizards
#8
L
98-111
98
111
-13
H17/02
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#12
W
102-92
102
92
+10
H25/02
NBA
Miami Heat
#13
L
95-113
95
113
-18
A26/02
NBA
Houston Rockets
#3
W
117-108
117
108
+9
A28/02
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
99-100
99
100
-1
A02/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#11
W
97-96
97
96
+1
A05/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
L
88-100
88
100
-12
A07/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
W
115-98
115
98
+17
H09/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#14
L
85-99
85
99
-14
A11/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-28
22-29
26-26
24-30
27-34
25-28
25-28
21-21
25-26
36-23
28-19
13-24
23-18
31-35
25-30
16-30
20-31
39-27
29-22
29-28
28-29
21-18
27-26
23-27
19-30
31-20
31-24
16-22
16-27
21-31
29-16
22-26
30-23
28-27
32-23
25-25
27-23
23-22
18-29
17-25
203.0Avg total
100.0Scored
103.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (71)105.0105.7210.7-0.751%
Season at home (34)107.0102.5209.5+4.571%
Season away (37)103.1108.6211.7-5.532%
Last 10 (10)100.0103.0203.0-3.040%
Last 5 (5)96.898.6195.4-1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)110.5104.8215.2+5.850%
vs Similar ◀ (22)104.2106.7211.0-2.550%
vs Weaker (4)105.0100.5205.5+4.575%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#3
W
117-109
117
109
+8
A16/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#11
W
108-90
108
90
+18
A25/02
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#15
W
113-95
113
95
+18
H26/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
L
89-96
89
96
-7
A28/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#27
W
125-98
125
98
+27
H02/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
L
99-110
99
110
-11
A04/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#5
W
120-92
120
92
+28
H05/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#5
W
106-98
106
98
+8
A07/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
W
108-101
108
101
+7
H09/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#7
W
104-89
104
89
+15
H12/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
34-28
24-17
30-28
29-36
25-24
38-25
24-17
21-24
18-23
35-31
30-25
30-16
31-22
23-33
15-23
20-18
37-27
27-17
24-30
37-24
25-33
28-27
20-25
26-25
35-35
32-16
34-24
19-17
29-22
33-30
27-19
17-27
18-22
36-32
27-32
27-15
32-26
27-15
26-22
19-26
206.7Avg total
108.9Scored
97.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (74)102.6101.4204.0+1.249%
Season at home (37)105.8101.0206.8+4.854%
Season away (37)99.4101.8201.1-2.443%
Last 10 (10)108.997.8206.7+11.180%
Last 5 (5)107.498.0205.4+9.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)100.0104.5204.5-4.550%
vs Similar ◀ (16)108.898.3207.1+10.588%
vs Weaker (12)106.8105.3212.1+1.458%
This opponent (Indiana Pacers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: +6.0+6.0Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: -5.2-5.2Q4: +1.7+1.7
Indiana PacersMiami Heat
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Indiana PacersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cleveland Cavaliers
#5
L
54-57
54
57
-3
A16/02
NBA
Washington Wizards
#8
L
52-62
52
62
-10
H17/02
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#12
W
61-49
61
49
+12
H25/02
NBA
Miami Heat
#13
W
54-53
54
53
+1
A26/02
NBA
Houston Rockets
#3
W
59-58
59
58
+1
A28/02
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
49-47
49
47
+2
A02/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#11
D
50-50
50
50
+0
A05/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
L
37-58
37
58
-21
A07/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
W
58-50
58
50
+8
H09/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#14
W
50-45
50
45
+5
A11/03
NBA
105.3Avg total
52.4Scored
52.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.054.0107.9+0.053%-
Last 30 at home (14)55.553.9109.4+1.650%-
Last 30 away (16)52.654.0106.6-1.456%-
Last 10 (10)52.452.9105.3-0.560%-
Last 5 (5)48.850.098.8-1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)53.549.2102.8+4.275%-
vs Similar ◀ (22)53.755.7109.4-2.041%-
vs Weaker (4)56.049.0105.0+7.0100%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#3
W
58-45
58
45
+13
A16/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#11
W
63-49
63
49
+14
A25/02
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#15
L
53-54
53
54
-1
H26/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
L
54-55
54
55
-1
A28/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#27
W
64-44
64
44
+20
H02/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
L
53-60
53
60
-7
A04/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#5
W
67-51
67
51
+16
H05/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#5
W
62-52
62
52
+10
A07/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
D
54-54
54
54
+0
H09/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#7
W
59-41
59
41
+18
H12/03
NBA
109.2Avg total
58.7Scored
50.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.952.9108.8+3.050%-
Last 30 at home (14)56.950.9107.7+6.057%-
Last 30 away (16)55.154.7109.8+0.444%-
Last 10 (10)58.750.5109.2+8.260%-
Last 5 (5)59.051.6110.6+7.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)50.050.5100.5-0.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)57.151.2108.4+5.962%-
vs Weaker (12)55.355.5110.8-0.233%-
This opponent (Indiana Pacers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Indiana Pacerstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Indiana Pacers: 100.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.0 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.629.0
49.5%
50.2%58.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.79.1
38.4%
35.7%27.3
🏀 Free throws18.414.7
79.9%
77.0%14.7
They take 82.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 29% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 108.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.5 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.626.5
49.4%
50.2%53.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.513.5
41.5%
35.7%40.5
🏀 Free throws21.015.4
73.3%
77.0%15.4
They take 86.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Mar 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Indiana Pacers
LWLWLWLWLL
Miami Heat
WWWWLWLWWW
#15
League position
#13
-3.2
Net rating
+11.6
105.7
Offensive rating
113.9
108.9
Defensive rating
102.3
51.8%
Effective FG%
54.3%
51.8%
Opp. effective FG%
47.6%
14.6%
Turnover %
12.0%
23.8%
Off. rebound %
25.5%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.24
38.4%
3-point %
41.5%
63.3%
Assist %
57.8%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence105.7 · 113.9Defence108.9 · 102.3Shooting51.8% · 54.3%3-point %38.4% · 41.5%Ball care14.6% · 12.0%Off. rebounds23.8% · 25.5%Free throws0.22 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)40% · 80%
■ Indiana Pacers   ■ Miami Heat
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Indiana Pacers wins
6
Miami Heat wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/03/17AMilwaukee Bucks85-99
09/03/17HDetroit Pistons115-98
07/03/17ACharlotte Hornets88-100
05/03/17AAtlanta Hawks97-96
02/03/17ASan Antonio Spurs99-100
28/02/17AHouston Rockets117-108
26/02/17AMiami Heat95-113
25/02/17HMemphis Grizzlies102-92
17/02/17HWashington Wizards98-111
16/02/17ACleveland Cavaliers104-113
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/03/17HToronto Raptors104-89
09/03/17HCharlotte Hornets108-101
07/03/17ACleveland Cavaliers106-98
05/03/17HCleveland Cavaliers120-92
04/03/17AOrlando Magic99-110
02/03/17HPhiladelphia 76ers125-98
28/02/17ADallas Mavericks89-96
26/02/17HIndiana Pacers113-95
25/02/17AAtlanta Hawks108-90
16/02/17AHouston Rockets117-109

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Indiana Pacers
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL51%
HomeLLLWW71%
AwayWLWLL32%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games713437
Win %51%71%32%
Points / game105.0107.0103.1
Allowed / game105.7102.5108.6
Point differential-0.7+4.5-5.5
Avg total210.7209.5211.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%44%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won58% (12)80% (5)43% (7)
Overtime %7%9%5%
Miami Heat
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW49%
HomeWWWWW54%
AwayWWLLW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743737
Win %49%54%43%
Points / game102.6105.899.4
Allowed / game101.4101.0101.8
Point differential+1.2+4.8-2.4
Avg total204.0206.8201.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%35%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won41% (17)25% (8)56% (9)
Overtime %3%5%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors73581579%115.9104.9+11.0
2 San Antonio Spurs71551677%105.797.9+7.8
3 Houston Rockets72492368%115.2108.4+6.8
4 Cleveland Cavaliers70452564%109.9106.5+3.5
5 Boston Celtics74472764%107.2104.6+2.7
6 Washington Wizards72452762%108.8105.8+3.0
7 Utah Jazz72442861%100.496.3+4.1
8 Los Angeles Clippers72432960%106.5104.5+2.0
9 Atlanta Hawks73423158%103.4103.2+0.2
10 Toronto Raptors72413157%106.7103.6+3.1
11 Oklahoma City Thunder70393156%106.2105.9+0.2
12 Memphis Grizzlies72403256%101.7100.9+0.8
13 Indiana Pacers71363551%105.0105.7-0.7
14 Detroit Pistons72363650%101.6101.1+0.5
15 Milwaukee Bucks71353649%103.8103.6+0.2
16 Miami Heat74363849%102.6101.4+1.2
17 Denver Nuggets74353947%110.0110.1-0.1
18 Chicago Bulls73343947%102.0103.1-1.1
19 Portland Trail Blazers71323945%107.9109.7-1.9
20 Minnesota Timberwolves72324044%104.3103.8+0.5
21 Charlotte Hornets73324144%103.9103.8+0.1
22 Dallas Mavericks72304242%98.0100.1-2.1
23 New York Knicks72304242%105.7108.5-2.8
24 Sacramento Kings71274438%102.7106.0-3.3
25 New Orleans Pelicans72274538%103.1106.5-3.4
26 Phoenix Suns72264636%107.4111.8-4.5
27 Orlando Magic74264835%99.6106.1-6.5
28 Philadelphia 76ers72254735%101.3107.9-6.7
29 Los Angeles Lakers73225130%104.5110.6-6.1
30 Brooklyn Nets70125817%105.2113.9-8.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Indiana Pacers32282319102
Miami Heat2231222398
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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