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Indiana Pacers vs Miami Heat Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 26 Mar 2012
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 105-90
24-24 25-22 29-19 27-25
Position#5
Record28-21
FormLWWLW
Points / game95.8
Allowed / game93.3
vs
Position#4
Record36-13
FormWWWWL
Points / game101.5
Allowed / game93.4
USANBA
NBA2011-12
Meetings · Indiana Pacers v Miami Heat
01 Feb 2027
IND v MIA
upcoming
29 Mar 2026
IND135
MIA118
10 Jan 2026
IND123
MIA99
17 Nov 2024
IND119
MIA110
15 Nov 2024
IND111
MIA124
07 Apr 2024
IND117
MIA115
12 Dec 2022
IND82
MIA87
04 Nov 2022
IND101
MIA99
03 Dec 2021
IND104
MIA113
23 Oct 2021
IND102
MIA91
31 Mar 2021
IND87
MIA92
20 Aug 2020
IND100
MIA109
18 Aug 2020
IND101
MIA113
14 Aug 2020
IND109
MIA92
08 Jan 2020
IND108
MIA122
16 Nov 2018
IND99
MIA91
25 Mar 2018
IND113
MIA107
10 Jan 2018
IND106
MIA114
12 Mar 2017
IND102
MIA98
11 Dec 2015
IND96
MIA83
06 Nov 2015
IND90
MIA87
04 Jul 2015
IND76
MIA92
05 Apr 2015
IND112
MIA89
31 Dec 2014
IND106
MIA95
28 May 2014
IND93
MIA90
20 May 2014
IND83
MIA87
18 May 2014
IND107
MIA96
26 Mar 2014
IND84
MIA83
10 Dec 2013
IND90
MIA84
01 Jun 2013
IND91
MIA77
28 May 2013
IND99
MIA92
26 May 2013
IND96
MIA114
01 Feb 2013
IND102
MIA89
08 Jan 2013
IND87
MIA77
24 May 2012
IND93
MIA105
20 May 2012
IND93
MIA101
17 May 2012
IND94
MIA75
26 Mar 2012
IND105
MIA90
14 Feb 2012
IND90
MIA105
15 Feb 2011
IND103
MIA110
02 Apr 2010
IND96
MIA105
30 Oct 2009
IND83
MIA96
25 Mar 2009
IND90
MIA88
30 Jan 2009
IND114
MIA103
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Indiana Pacers winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Miami Heat winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Indiana PacersUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miami Heat
#4
L
91-93 OT
91
93
-2
A11/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#14
L
94-107
94
107
-13
A11/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#20
W
92-75
92
75
+17
H13/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#12
W
111-94
111
94
+17
H14/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#13
L
100-115
100
115
-15
A16/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#13
L
88-102
88
102
-14
H17/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
W
102-89
102
89
+13
H20/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#29
W
85-83
85
83
+2
A22/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#18
L
111-113
111
113
-2
H23/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#19
W
125-104
125
104
+21
A25/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-17
17-22
18-21
24-25
22-36
23-20
21-35
28-16
19-15
29-23
27-14
17-23
24-29
30-22
29-24
28-19
14-24
17-26
27-38
42-27
35-33
16-27
23-17
14-25
31-31
23-15
24-20
24-23
18-34
13-17
26-15
28-17
31-28
30-26
18-32
32-27
29-26
28-22
35-28
33-28
197.4Avg total
99.9Scored
97.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (49)95.893.3189.1+2.557%
Season at home (22)98.292.4190.6+5.864%
Season away (27)93.994.0187.9-0.252%
Last 10 (10)99.997.5197.4+2.450%
Last 5 (5)102.298.2200.4+4.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)72.092.0164.0-20.00%
vs Similar ◀ (19)98.197.7195.8+0.437%
vs Weaker (10)101.189.8190.9+11.390%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brooklyn Nets
#27
W
108-78
108
78
+30
H07/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#9
W
89-86
89
86
+3
H08/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#5
W
93-91 OT
93
91
+2
H11/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#14
L
98-104 OT
98
104
-6
A13/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#2
L
102-106
102
106
-4
A15/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#12
W
84-78
84
78
+6
A16/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#14
W
91-81
91
81
+10
H18/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#18
W
99-95
99
95
+4
H20/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#22
W
88-73
88
73
+15
A23/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#3
L
87-103
87
103
-16
A26/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-17
34-20
24-19
20-22
25-22
18-23
25-23
21-18
17-26
22-17
21-18
25-24
27-30
29-15
17-27
21-22
23-19
19-34
28-28
32-25
31-18
26-12
12-26
15-22
31-22
19-25
17-16
24-18
28-22
21-31
23-22
27-20
27-20
32-16
13-21
16-16
24-25
25-35
20-20
18-23
183.4Avg total
93.9Scored
89.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (49)101.593.4194.9+8.073%
Season at home (23)103.390.4193.7+12.991%
Season away (26)99.896.1195.9+3.858%
Last 10 (10)93.989.5183.4+4.470%
Last 5 (5)89.886.0175.8+3.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (9)95.990.3186.2+5.678%
vs Weaker (21)100.692.0192.5+8.676%
This opponent (Indiana Pacers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q1: +4.2+4.2Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: +4.0+4.0Q4: +0.9+0.9
Indiana PacersMiami Heat
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Indiana PacersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miami Heat
#4
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A11/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#14
L
45-56
45
56
-11
A11/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#20
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H13/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#12
W
54-51
54
51
+3
H14/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#13
L
31-50
31
50
-19
A16/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#13
L
51-60
51
60
-9
H17/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
W
54-46
54
46
+8
H20/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#29
L
31-51
31
51
-20
A22/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#18
W
61-54
61
54
+7
H23/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#19
W
57-48
57
48
+9
A25/03
NBA
96.8Avg total
47.5Scored
49.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.048.896.8-0.847%-
Last 30 at home (15)52.050.0102.0+2.053%-
Last 30 away (15)43.947.691.5-3.740%-
Last 10 (10)47.549.396.8-1.860%-
Last 5 (5)50.851.8102.6-1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)43.042.085.0+1.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)48.250.898.9-2.637%-
vs Weaker (10)48.145.793.8+2.460%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brooklyn Nets
#27
W
64-37
64
37
+27
H07/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#9
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H08/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#5
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H11/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#14
W
56-45
56
45
+11
A13/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#2
L
42-53
42
53
-11
A15/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#12
W
57-30
57
30
+27
A16/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#14
W
50-47
50
47
+3
H18/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#18
L
49-53
49
53
-4
H20/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#22
W
59-36
59
36
+23
A23/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#3
L
49-60
49
60
-11
A26/03
NBA
95.7Avg total
50.8Scored
44.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)52.846.098.8+6.873%-
Last 30 at home (13)50.946.297.1+4.877%-
Last 30 away (17)54.345.9100.2+8.471%-
Last 10 (10)50.844.995.7+5.950%-
Last 5 (5)52.845.298.0+7.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (9)52.045.497.4+6.656%-
vs Weaker (21)53.246.299.4+7.081%-
This opponent (Indiana Pacers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Indiana Pacers wins
9
Miami Heat wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/03/12AMilwaukee Bucks125-104
23/03/12HPhoenix Suns111-113
22/03/12AWashington Wizards85-83
20/03/12HLos Angeles Clippers102-89
17/03/12HNew York Knicks88-102
16/03/12ANew York Knicks100-115
14/03/12HPhiladelphia 76ers111-94
13/03/12HPortland Trail Blazers92-75
11/03/12AOrlando Magic94-107
11/03/12AMiami Heat91-93 OT
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/03/12AOklahoma City Thunder87-103
23/03/12ADetroit Pistons88-73
20/03/12HPhoenix Suns99-95
18/03/12HOrlando Magic91-81
16/03/12APhiladelphia 76ers84-78
15/03/12AChicago Bulls102-106
13/03/12AOrlando Magic98-104 OT
11/03/12HIndiana Pacers93-91 OT
08/03/12HAtlanta Hawks89-86
07/03/12HBrooklyn Nets108-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Indiana Pacers
NBA 2011-12
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW57%
HomeWWLWL64%
AwayLLLWW52%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games492227
Win %57%64%52%
Points / game95.898.293.9
Allowed / game93.392.494.0
Point differential+2.5+5.8-0.2
Avg total189.1190.6187.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%41%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (14)33% (6)75% (8)
Overtime %6%9%4%
Miami Heat
NBA 2011-12
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL73%
HomeWWWWW91%
AwayLLWWL58%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games492326
Win %73%91%58%
Points / game101.5103.399.8
Allowed / game93.490.496.1
Point differential+8.0+12.9+3.8
Avg total194.9193.7195.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+49%61%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won64% (11)100% (4)43% (7)
Overtime %10%4%15%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Chicago Bulls52421081%97.588.6+8.9
2 Oklahoma City Thunder51391276%103.496.8+6.5
3 Miami Heat49361373%101.593.4+8.0
4 San Antonio Spurs49341569%100.496.0+4.4
5 Orlando Magic51321963%93.892.4+1.5
6 Atlanta Hawks52312160%94.492.1+2.3
7 Los Angeles Lakers51302159%96.094.1+1.9
8 Los Angeles Clippers50292158%97.595.6+1.8
9 Indiana Pacers49282157%95.893.3+2.5
10 Philadelphia 76ers51292257%94.187.5+6.5
11 Boston Celtics50282256%90.689.8+0.8
12 Denver Nuggets51282355%104.2102.3+1.9
13 Dallas Mavericks52282454%94.793.5+1.2
14 Memphis Grizzlies49262353%94.994.1+0.8
15 Houston Rockets51272453%98.197.4+0.7
16 Utah Jazz51272453%98.799.2-0.5
17 New York Knicks51262551%97.094.7+2.3
18 Minnesota Timberwolves52262650%99.598.8+0.7
19 Phoenix Suns51252649%96.998.2-1.3
20 Portland Trail Blazers51242747%96.895.6+1.3
21 Milwaukee Bucks50222844%97.998.9-1.0
22 Golden State Warriors49212843%97.999.7-1.7
23 Cleveland Cavaliers48183038%94.398.7-4.4
24 Sacramento Kings50183236%97.8103.2-5.4
25 Detroit Pistons50173334%90.196.0-5.9
26 Toronto Raptors51163531%90.394.2-3.8
27 Brooklyn Nets52163631%92.398.5-6.2
28 New Orleans Pelicans50143628%89.393.4-4.2
29 Washington Wizards50113922%93.1100.9-7.8
30 Charlotte Hornets4884017%87.0100.0-13.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Indiana Pacers24252927105
Miami Heat2422192590
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