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Indiana Pacers vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 03 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 00:00
Scheduled
Position#25
Record3-6
FormWWLLL
Points / game119.3
Allowed / game119.0
vs
Position#12
Record6-5
FormWWLLW
Points / game119.2
Allowed / game114.2
USANBA· Gainbridge Fieldhouse
NBA2026-27
Meetings · Indiana Pacers v Minnesota Timberwolves
02 Jan 2027
IND v MIN
upcoming
07 Oct 2026
IND123
MIN112
07 Apr 2026
IND104
MIN124
24 Mar 2025
IND119
MIN103
14 Jul 2024
IND94
MIN105
07 Mar 2024
IND111
MIN113
23 Nov 2022
IND101
MIN115
13 Feb 2022
IND120
MIN129
07 Apr 2021
IND141
MIN137
17 Jan 2020
IND116
MIN114
15 Oct 2019
IND111
MIN119
28 Feb 2019
IND122
MIN115
31 Dec 2017
IND90
MIN107
28 Mar 2017
IND114
MIN115
13 Nov 2015
IND107
MIN103
13 Jan 2015
IND101
MIN110
07 Oct 2014
IND103
MIN90
25 Nov 2013
IND98
MIN84
13 Mar 2013
IND107
MIN91
12 Oct 2012
IND96
MIN91
16 Apr 2012
IND111
MIN88
11 Feb 2011
IND116
MIN105
13 Oct 2010
IND98
MIN86
02 Jan 2010
IND122
MIN111
03 Feb 2009
IND111
MIN116
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Indiana Pacers win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Minnesota Timberwolves win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Indiana PacersUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Detroit Pistons
#3
L
121-133
121
133
-12
H12/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#12
W
123-112
123
112
+11
H07/10
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#7
L
117-119
117
119
-2
H10/10
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#16
L
112-114 OT
112
114
-2
A14/10
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#28
L
127-128 OT
127
128
-1
H16/10
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#19
W
123-120
123
120
+3
A22/10
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#26
W
136-109
136
109
+27
A25/10
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#28
L
102-110
102
110
-8
A27/10
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#9
L
109-114
109
114
-5
H28/10
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
L
125-145
125
145
-20
A31/10
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-41
36-40
26-27
32-25
32-27
29-38
38-26
24-21
32-31
28-31
26-34
31-23
33-25
28-34
23-26
16-15
29-21
42-35
22-34
24-27
38-31
18-35
30-26
37-28
24-26
41-30
37-24
34-29
29-31
32-19
24-34
17-26
25-25
27-37
36-13
21-39
42-36
19-32
27-35
37-42
239.9Avg total
119.5Scored
120.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)119.3119.0238.3+0.333%
Season at home (4)119.0118.2237.2+0.825%
Season away (5)119.6119.6239.2+0.040%
Last 10 (10)119.5120.4239.9-0.930%
Last 5 (5)119.0119.6238.6-0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)113.7123.6237.3-9.917%
vs Similar (10)122.2118.9241.1+3.340%
vs Weaker (2)114.5119.0233.5-4.50%
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana Pacers
#25
L
112-123
112
123
-11
A07/10
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
W
125-124
125
124
+1
A11/10
NBA
New York Knicks
#27
W
122-104
122
104
+18
A12/10
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
L
106-128
106
128
-22
H15/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#24
L
116-133
116
133
-17
A17/10
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
W
131-106
131
106
+25
A21/10
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#18
W
117-94
117
94
+23
H25/10
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#15
L
125-127 OT
125
127
-2
A26/10
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#10
L
114-119
114
119
-5
H29/10
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#23
W
127-101
127
101
+26
H31/10
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-32
38-29
26-38
21-24
24-23
36-33
31-28
34-40
30-25
32-25
28-30
32-24
38-29
20-36
24-32
24-31
28-33
32-34
28-31
28-35
34-32
35-27
30-22
32-25
32-21
23-26
35-15
27-32
31-24
29-26
26-36
27-27
23-30
25-34
33-29
33-26
34-24
35-32
29-25
29-20
235.4Avg total
119.5Scored
115.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)119.2114.2233.4+5.055%
Season at home (4)116.0110.5226.5+5.550%
Season away (7)121.0116.3237.3+4.757%
Last 10 (10)119.5115.9235.4+3.650%
Last 5 (5)122.8109.4232.2+13.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)105.0119.6224.6-14.629%
vs Similar (13)113.5114.4227.9-0.846%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)123.0114.5237.5+8.570%
This opponent (Indiana Pacers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: -3.1-3.1Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: +0.3+0.3
Indiana PacersMinnesota Timberwolves
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Indiana PacersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Detroit Pistons
#3
L
63-81
63
81
-18
H12/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#12
L
61-65
61
65
-4
H07/10
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#7
L
60-62
60
62
-2
H10/10
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#16
W
61-59
61
59
+2
A14/10
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#28
W
71-56
71
56
+15
H16/10
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#19
L
56-66
56
66
-10
A22/10
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#26
W
65-56
65
56
+9
A25/10
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#28
W
61-50
61
50
+11
A27/10
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#9
L
52-62
52
62
-10
H28/10
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
L
61-68
61
68
-7
A31/10
NBA
123.6Avg total
61.1Scored
62.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)59.662.6122.2-2.937%-
Last 30 at home (13)59.865.3125.1-5.523%-
Last 30 away (17)59.560.5120.0-0.947%-
Last 10 (10)61.162.5123.6-1.440%-
Last 5 (5)59.060.4119.4-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)57.366.2123.5-8.817%-
vs Similar (10)62.558.0120.5+4.560%-
vs Weaker (2)66.053.0119.0+13.0100%-
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana Pacers
#25
W
65-61
65
61
+4
A07/10
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
W
60-56
60
56
+4
A11/10
NBA
New York Knicks
#27
W
62-50
62
50
+12
A12/10
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
L
58-65
58
65
-7
H15/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#24
L
60-67
60
67
-7
A17/10
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
W
69-59
69
59
+10
A21/10
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#18
W
55-47
55
47
+8
H25/10
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#15
W
60-50
60
50
+10
A26/10
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#10
L
48-64
48
64
-16
H29/10
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#23
W
69-56
69
56
+13
H31/10
NBA
118.1Avg total
60.6Scored
57.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.656.5114.1+1.250%-
Last 30 at home (12)58.655.8114.4+2.858%-
Last 30 away (18)57.056.9113.9+0.144%-
Last 10 (10)60.657.5118.1+3.170%-
Last 5 (5)60.255.2115.4+5.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)50.456.9107.3-6.414%-
vs Similar (13)56.556.7113.2-0.238%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)64.155.9120.0+8.290%-
This opponent (Indiana Pacers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Indiana Pacerstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Indiana Pacers: 116.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers45.3 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.827.4
57.3%
54.0%54.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.115.1
35.9%
34.9%45.3
🏀 Free throws21.516.3
75.8%
76.4%16.3
They take 89.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 42.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 117.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.6 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws22.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.626.4
51.2%
54.0%52.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.514.2
38.9%
34.9%42.6
🏀 Free throws30.222.5
74.5%
76.4%22.5
They take 88.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Indiana Pacers
LLLWWLLLWL
Minnesota Timberwolves
WLLWWLLWWL
#25
League position
#12
+0.0
Net rating
+0.4
103.1
Offensive rating
104.9
103.1
Defensive rating
104.6
55.7%
Effective FG%
54.1%
52.0%
Opp. effective FG%
54.8%
15.8%
Turnover %
13.9%
24.5%
Off. rebound %
39.4%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.34
35.9%
3-point %
38.9%
72.2%
Assist %
58.6%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence103.1 · 104.9Defence103.1 · 104.6Shooting55.7% · 54.1%3-point %35.9% · 38.9%Ball care15.8% · 13.9%Off. rebounds24.5% · 39.4%Free throws0.24 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ Indiana Pacers   ■ Minnesota Timberwolves
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
31/10/26AMiami Heat125-145
28/10/26HPhiladelphia 76ers109-114
27/10/26AMilwaukee Bucks102-110
25/10/26ABrooklyn Nets136-109
22/10/26ANew Orleans Pelicans123-120
16/10/26HMilwaukee Bucks127-128 OT
14/10/26AOklahoma City Thunder112-114 OT
10/10/26HAtlanta Hawks117-119
07/10/26HMinnesota Timberwolves123-112
12/04/26HDetroit Pistons121-133
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/10/26HLos Angeles Clippers127-101
29/10/26HGolden State Warriors114-119
26/10/26ACleveland Cavaliers125-127 OT
25/10/26HToronto Raptors117-94
21/10/26AMiami Heat131-106
17/10/26AChicago Bulls116-133
15/10/26HDetroit Pistons106-128
12/10/26ANew York Knicks122-104
11/10/26AMiami Heat125-124
07/10/26AIndiana Pacers112-123

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Indiana Pacers
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL33%
HomeWLLL25%
AwayLWWLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %33%25%40%
Points / game119.3119.0119.6
Allowed / game119.0118.2119.6
Point differential+0.3+0.8+0.0
Avg total238.3237.2239.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%25%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)0% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %22%25%20%
Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW55%
HomeLWLW50%
AwayWWLWL57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1147
Win %55%50%57%
Points / game119.2116.0121.0
Allowed / game114.2110.5116.3
Point differential+5.0+5.5+4.7
Avg total233.4226.5237.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%50%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %9%0%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Memphis Grizzlies98189%117.9108.2+9.7
2 Boston Celtics87188%125.5110.9+14.6
3 Detroit Pistons108280%113.3106.3+7.0
4 Houston Rockets97278%121.3110.9+10.4
5 Portland Trail Blazers75271%120.3114.3+6.0
6 Orlando Magic85362%118.9118.1+0.8
7 Atlanta Hawks106460%120.0119.2+0.8
8 Denver Nuggets106460%114.8114.7+0.1
9 Philadelphia 76ers106460%110.6111.0-0.4
10 Golden State Warriors127558%115.2110.8+4.4
11 Washington Wizards95456%112.7111.2+1.4
12 Minnesota Timberwolves116555%119.2114.2+5.0
13 Los Angeles Lakers116555%113.2112.6+0.5
14 San Antonio Spurs105550%115.5109.4+6.1
15 Cleveland Cavaliers84450%117.2118.2-1.0
16 Oklahoma City Thunder105550%109.0110.8-1.8
17 Miami Heat115645%122.7121.9+0.8
18 Toronto Raptors94544%120.4112.6+7.9
19 New Orleans Pelicans94544%115.4116.6-1.1
20 Utah Jazz94544%112.8115.6-2.8
21 Dallas Mavericks94544%113.6116.9-3.3
22 Charlotte Hornets94544%98.8105.8-7.0
23 Los Angeles Clippers83538%107.4110.5-3.1
24 Chicago Bulls114736%117.4122.7-5.4
25 Indiana Pacers93633%119.3119.0+0.3
26 Brooklyn Nets93633%116.4118.9-2.4
27 New York Knicks103730%106.9116.0-9.1
28 Milwaukee Bucks103730%111.4122.0-10.6
29 Phoenix Suns92722%110.3119.0-8.7
30 Sacramento Kings100100%106.5122.2-15.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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