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Indiana Pacers vs Minnesota Timberwolves Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 08 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 111-113
23-33 26-27 34-23 28-30
Position#17
Record33-28
FormLWLLW
Points / game123.4
Allowed / game122.2
vs
Position#4
Record43-19
FormWWLLW
Points / game113.3
Allowed / game106.5
USANBA· Gainbridge Fieldhouse (Indianapolis)
NBA2023-24
Meetings · Indiana Pacers v Minnesota Timberwolves
02 Jan 2027
IND v MIN
upcoming
07 Apr 2026
IND104
MIN124
24 Mar 2025
IND119
MIN103
07 Mar 2024
IND111
MIN113
23 Nov 2022
IND101
MIN115
13 Feb 2022
IND120
MIN129
07 Apr 2021
IND141
MIN137
17 Jan 2020
IND116
MIN114
28 Feb 2019
IND122
MIN115
31 Dec 2017
IND90
MIN107
28 Mar 2017
IND114
MIN115
13 Nov 2015
IND107
MIN103
13 Jan 2015
IND101
MIN110
25 Nov 2013
IND98
MIN84
13 Mar 2013
IND107
MIN91
16 Apr 2012
IND111
MIN88
11 Feb 2011
IND116
MIN105
02 Jan 2010
IND122
MIN111
03 Feb 2009
IND111
MIN116
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Indiana Pacers winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Minnesota Timberwolves winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Indiana PacersUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPacers
Date
Competition
New York Knicks
#5
W
125-111
125
111
+14
126avg 116
A11/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
L
102-111
102
111
-9
96avg 116
A13/02
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#25
W
127-125
127
125
+2
117avg 116
A15/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
W
129-115
129
115
+14
128avg 116
H23/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#6
W
133-111
133
111
+22
138avg 116
H25/02
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#25
L
122-130
122
130
-8
108avg 116
H27/02
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#10
W
123-114
123
114
+9
120avg 116
H29/02
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#10
L
102-129
102
129
-27
89avg 116
A02/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#26
L
105-117
105
117
-12
90avg 116
A04/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#6
W
137-120
137
120
+17
135avg 116
A06/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-27
35-31
30-24
34-29
24-25
25-23
31-33
22-30
31-35
34-36
36-32
26-22
42-25
30-18
30-45
27-27
32-32
35-28
33-31
33-20
28-30
28-31
31-29
35-40
40-24
24-29
32-33
27-28
26-48
30-29
16-31
30-21
16-26
32-26
29-34
28-31
35-32
39-38
32-18
31-32
238.8Avg total
120.5Scored
118.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (61)123.4122.2245.6+1.254%
Season at home (31)126.4121.3247.7+5.261%
Season away (30)120.3123.1243.5-2.847%
Last 10 (10)120.5118.3238.8+2.260%
Last 5 (5)117.8122.0239.8-4.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)119.3126.0245.3-6.733%
vs Similar ◀ (15)120.6120.6241.2+0.053%
vs Weaker (12)118.7115.4234.1+3.258%
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTimberwolves
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
W
121-100
121
100
+21
123avg 109
A13/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#27
W
121-109
121
109
+12
114avg 109
A14/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#27
W
128-91
128
91
+37
126avg 109
A16/02
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#8
L
107-112
107
112
-5
96avg 109
H24/02
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#22
W
101-86
101
86
+15
95avg 109
H25/02
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#26
W
114-105
114
105
+9
107avg 109
H28/02
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
W
110-101
110
101
+9
108avg 109
H29/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#11
L
120-124 OT
120
124
-4
116avg 109
H02/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
L
88-89
88
89
-1
88avg 109
H03/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#27
W
119-114
119
114
+5
116avg 109
H05/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-24
21-29
40-19
32-28
37-25
22-26
25-32
37-26
44-14
22-37
33-25
29-15
27-31
30-20
13-36
37-25
23-22
19-23
28-21
31-20
29-21
29-22
27-24
29-38
24-26
26-27
38-32
22-16
22-30
37-30
23-31
33-24
30-18
16-31
22-18
20-22
28-26
27-22
33-34
31-32
216.0Avg total
112.9Scored
103.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (62)113.3106.5219.8+6.969%
Season at home (31)111.7103.0214.7+8.774%
Season away (31)115.0109.9224.8+5.165%
Last 10 (10)112.9103.1216.0+9.870%
Last 5 (5)110.2106.6216.8+3.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)120.0127.0247.0-7.00%
vs Similar ◀ (12)109.3102.8212.1+6.650%
vs Weaker (17)116.4105.8222.2+10.576%
This opponent (Indiana Pacers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: +5.5+5.5Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: +5.5+5.5
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: +5.5+5.5Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: +5.5+5.5
Indiana PacersMinnesota Timberwolves
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Indiana PacersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New York Knicks
#5
W
61-58
61
58
+3
A11/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
W
49-48
49
48
+1
A13/02
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#25
L
65-71
65
71
-6
A15/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
W
72-43
72
43
+29
H23/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#6
W
67-60
67
60
+7
H25/02
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#25
L
56-61
56
61
-5
H27/02
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#10
W
64-53
64
53
+11
H29/02
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#10
L
56-77
56
77
-21
A02/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#26
L
48-52
48
52
-4
A04/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#6
W
74-70
74
70
+4
A06/03
NBA
120.5Avg total
61.2Scored
59.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)61.261.3122.5-0.143%-
Last 30 at home (15)63.061.1124.1+1.940%-
Last 30 away (15)59.461.6121.0-2.247%-
Last 10 (10)61.259.3120.5+1.960%-
Last 5 (5)59.662.6122.2-3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)58.069.0127.0-11.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)64.264.1128.3+0.153%-
vs Weaker (12)58.255.9114.2+2.342%-
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
L
49-53
49
53
-4
A13/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#27
W
59-51
59
51
+8
A14/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#27
W
66-51
66
51
+15
A16/02
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#8
W
57-51
57
51
+6
H24/02
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#22
L
42-45
42
45
-3
H25/02
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#26
W
58-43
58
43
+15
H28/02
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
L
50-53
50
53
-3
H29/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#11
L
59-60
59
60
-1
H02/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
L
46-49
46
49
-3
H03/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#27
W
55-48
55
48
+7
H05/03
NBA
104.5Avg total
54.1Scored
50.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.451.2107.6+5.263%-
Last 30 at home (16)53.451.1104.4+2.356%-
Last 30 away (14)59.951.4111.3+8.471%-
Last 10 (10)54.150.4104.5+3.750%-
Last 5 (5)53.650.6104.2+3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)53.054.0107.0-1.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)53.751.1104.8+2.658%-
vs Weaker (17)58.551.2109.7+7.471%-
This opponent (Indiana Pacers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Indiana Pacerstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Indiana Pacers: 120.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers68.2 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.1 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.534.1
58.3%
54.4%68.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.712.7
36.6%
36.3%38.1
🏀 Free throws18.914.2
75.1%
78.2%14.2
They take 93.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 112.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.7 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.828.6
54.2%
54.4%57.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.811.9
36.3%
36.3%35.7
🏀 Free throws24.220.0
82.6%
78.2%20.0
They take 85.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Indiana Pacers
WLLWLWWWLW
Minnesota Timberwolves
WLLWWWLWWW
#17
League position
#4
+2.1
Net rating
+9.9
117.3
Offensive rating
113.5
115.2
Defensive rating
103.7
57.0%
Effective FG%
54.3%
57.6%
Opp. effective FG%
48.8%
10.8%
Turnover %
12.8%
22.0%
Off. rebound %
24.0%
0.20
Free-throw rate
0.28
36.6%
3-point %
36.3%
65.6%
Assist %
65.2%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence117.3 · 113.5Defence115.2 · 103.7Shooting57.0% · 54.3%3-point %36.6% · 36.3%Ball care10.8% · 12.8%Off. rebounds22.0% · 24.0%Free throws0.20 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Indiana Pacers   ■ Minnesota Timberwolves
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
06/03/24ADallas Mavericks137-120
04/03/24ASan Antonio Spurs105-117
02/03/24ANew Orleans Pelicans102-129
29/02/24HNew Orleans Pelicans123-114
27/02/24HToronto Raptors122-130
25/02/24HDallas Mavericks133-111
23/02/24HDetroit Pistons129-115
15/02/24AToronto Raptors127-125
13/02/24ACharlotte Hornets102-111
11/02/24ANew York Knicks125-111
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/03/24HPortland Trail Blazers119-114
03/03/24HLos Angeles Clippers88-89
02/03/24HSacramento Kings120-124 OT
29/02/24HMemphis Grizzlies110-101
28/02/24HSan Antonio Spurs114-105
25/02/24HBrooklyn Nets101-86
24/02/24HMilwaukee Bucks107-112
16/02/24APortland Trail Blazers128-91
14/02/24APortland Trail Blazers121-109
13/02/24ALos Angeles Clippers121-100

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Indiana Pacers
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW54%
HomeLWWLW61%
AwayLWLLW47%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games613130
Win %54%61%47%
Points / game123.4126.4120.3
Allowed / game122.2121.3123.1
Point differential+1.2+5.2-2.8
Avg total245.6247.7243.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%35%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won53% (15)56% (9)50% (6)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW69%
HomeWWLLW74%
AwayLWWWW65%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games623131
Win %69%74%65%
Points / game113.3111.7115.0
Allowed / game106.5103.0109.9
Point differential+6.9+8.7+5.1
Avg total219.8214.7224.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%42%35%
Close games (≤5 pts) won53% (17)45% (11)67% (6)
Overtime %6%6%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston Celtics60481280%121.2109.6+11.6
2 Oklahoma City Thunder62431969%121.0113.4+7.6
3 Minnesota Timberwolves62431969%113.3106.5+6.9
4 Denver Nuggets62422068%114.4110.4+4.0
5 Los Angeles Clippers61402166%117.2112.6+4.7
6 Milwaukee Bucks61402166%120.5116.8+3.7
7 Cleveland Cavaliers62402265%114.0109.5+4.5
8 New Orleans Pelicans60362460%116.9111.0+5.9
9 New York Knicks61362559%113.1109.2+3.9
10 Phoenix Suns61362559%117.3114.4+2.9
11 Orlando Magic63372659%111.4109.5+1.9
12 Sacramento Kings60352558%118.3117.7+0.6
13 Miami Heat61352657%110.8109.9+0.8
14 Philadelphia 76ers62352756%116.8113.8+3.1
15 Dallas Mavericks62342855%118.7118.3+0.4
16 Golden State Warriors61332854%118.7116.8+1.9
17 Indiana Pacers61332854%123.4122.2+1.2
18 Los Angeles Lakers62323052%117.1118.3-1.3
19 Chicago Bulls62303248%111.8113.1-1.3
20 Atlanta Hawks62283445%120.2122.0-1.8
21 Utah Jazz63283544%117.7120.4-2.7
22 Houston Rockets62273544%112.9112.9-0.1
23 Brooklyn Nets62253740%112.0114.1-2.1
24 Toronto Raptors62233937%114.1118.0-3.8
25 Memphis Grizzlies63224135%106.2112.5-6.3
26 Portland Trail Blazers61174428%107.8115.9-8.0
27 Charlotte Hornets62154724%107.3117.7-10.4
28 San Antonio Spurs62134921%112.2120.2-8.0
29 Detroit Pistons6195215%112.1121.0-8.9
30 Washington Wizards6295315%114.5124.6-10.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Indiana Pacers23263428111
Minnesota Timberwolves33272330113
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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