PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Minnesota Timberwolves vs San Antonio Spurs Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 28 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 114-105
29-21 29-22 27-24 29-38
Position#4
Record40-17
FormWWWLW
Points / game113.6
Allowed / game106.4
vs
Position#26
Record11-47
FormWLLLL
Points / game112.1
Allowed / game120.7
USANBA· Target Center (Minneapolis)
NBA2023-24
Meetings · Minnesota Timberwolves v San Antonio Spurs
18 Feb 2027
MIN v SAS
upcoming
03 Jan 2027
MIN v SAS
upcoming
15 May 2026
MIN109
SAS139
10 May 2026
MIN114
SAS109
08 May 2026
MIN108
SAS115
11 Jan 2026
MIN104
SAS103
30 Nov 2025
MIN125
SAS112
09 Mar 2025
MIN141
SAS124
29 Dec 2024
MIN112
SAS110
27 Feb 2024
MIN114
SAS105
06 Dec 2023
MIN102
SAS94
26 Oct 2022
MIN134
SAS122
24 Oct 2022
MIN106
SAS115
07 Apr 2022
MIN127
SAS121
18 Nov 2021
MIN115
SAS90
10 Jan 2021
MIN96
SAS88
09 Jan 2021
MIN122
SAS125
26 Mar 2020
MIN v SAS
upcoming
13 Nov 2019
MIN129
SAS114
18 Jan 2019
MIN113
SAS116
28 Nov 2018
MIN128
SAS89
15 Nov 2017
MIN98
SAS86
21 Mar 2017
MIN93
SAS100
06 Dec 2016
MIN91
SAS105
08 Mar 2016
MIN91
SAS116
23 Dec 2015
MIN83
SAS108
10 Jan 2015
MIN93
SAS108
21 Nov 2014
MIN92
SAS121
08 Apr 2014
MIN110
SAS91
12 Mar 2013
MIN107
SAS83
06 Feb 2013
MIN94
SAS104
27 Jan 2012
MIN87
SAS79
02 Jan 2012
MIN106
SAS96
11 Jan 2011
MIN96
SAS107
24 Nov 2010
MIN109
SAS113
12 Mar 2010
MIN85
SAS103
12 Dec 2008
MIN86
SAS98
05 Nov 2008
MIN125
SAS129
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minnesota Timberwolves winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
San Antonio Spurs winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTimberwolves
Date
Competition
Dallas Mavericks
#6
W
121-87
121
87
+34
122avg 109
H01/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#14
L
106-108
106
108
-2
99avg 109
H03/02
NBA
Houston Rockets
#19
W
111-90
111
90
+21
105avg 109
H05/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#20
L
123-129 OT
123
129
-6
113avg 109
A07/02
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#8
W
129-105
129
105
+24
131avg 109
A09/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
W
121-100
121
100
+21
123avg 109
A13/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#27
W
121-109
121
109
+12
114avg 109
A14/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#27
W
128-91
128
91
+37
126avg 109
A16/02
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#8
L
107-112
107
112
-5
96avg 109
H24/02
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#22
W
101-86
101
86
+15
95avg 109
H25/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-21
28-27
31-22
38-17
38-26
21-28
29-26
18-28
31-23
17-21
32-20
31-26
33-22
36-25
23-36
23-32
30-26
33-27
39-22
27-30
28-24
21-29
40-19
32-28
37-25
22-26
25-32
37-26
44-14
22-37
33-25
29-15
27-31
30-20
13-36
37-25
23-22
19-23
28-21
31-20
218.5Avg total
116.8Scored
101.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (57)113.6106.4220.1+7.270%
Season at home (26)112.0102.3214.3+9.777%
Season away (31)115.0109.9224.8+5.165%
Last 10 (10)116.8101.7218.5+15.170%
Last 5 (5)115.699.6215.2+16.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)120.0127.0247.0-7.00%
vs Similar (14)111.0106.8217.8+4.250%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)115.5103.9219.5+11.680%
This opponent (San Antonio Spurs) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
San Antonio SpursUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSpurs
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#10
L
113-114
113
114
-1
113avg 106
H03/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#12
L
101-117
101
117
-16
88avg 106
H04/02
NBA
Miami Heat
#18
L
104-116
104
116
-12
99avg 106
A08/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#14
L
111-127
111
127
-16
104avg 106
A09/02
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#22
L
103-123
103
123
-20
88avg 106
A10/02
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#25
W
122-99
122
99
+23
127avg 106
A13/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#6
L
93-116
93
116
-23
78avg 106
A15/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#11
L
122-127
122
127
-5
118avg 106
A23/02
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
L
118-123
118
123
-5
113avg 106
A24/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#23
L
109-128
109
128
-19
106avg 106
A26/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-24
32-34
23-30
25-26
25-30
20-37
26-25
30-25
31-32
20-21
26-25
27-38
20-23
24-38
41-37
26-29
30-33
18-27
27-33
28-30
34-28
33-22
36-25
19-24
32-25
19-31
14-32
28-28
32-30
25-35
30-28
35-34
26-30
33-36
31-31
28-26
18-32
21-31
35-30
35-35
228.6Avg total
109.6Scored
119.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (58)112.1120.7232.8-8.719%
Season at home (26)114.5121.1235.6-6.619%
Season away (32)110.1120.4230.5-10.419%
Last 10 (10)109.6119.0228.6-9.410%
Last 5 (5)112.8118.6231.4-5.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)109.4121.0230.4-11.66%
vs Similar (13)118.5115.5234.0+3.146%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +8.1+8.1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: -6.7-6.7Q3Q3: +3.4+3.4Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: +5.6+5.6Q4: -1.4-1.4
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +8.1+8.1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: -6.7-6.7Q3Q3: +3.4+3.4Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: +5.6+5.6Q4: -1.4-1.4
Minnesota TimberwolvesSan Antonio Spurs
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dallas Mavericks
#6
W
52-48
52
48
+4
H01/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#14
W
59-54
59
54
+5
H03/02
NBA
Houston Rockets
#19
W
48-44
48
44
+4
H05/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#20
W
69-47
69
47
+22
A07/02
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#8
W
63-53
63
53
+10
A09/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
L
49-53
49
53
-4
A13/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#27
W
59-51
59
51
+8
A14/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#27
W
66-51
66
51
+15
A16/02
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#8
W
57-51
57
51
+6
H24/02
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#22
L
42-45
42
45
-3
H25/02
NBA
106.1Avg total
56.4Scored
49.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.152.4109.5+4.867%-
Last 30 at home (13)54.552.1106.5+2.469%-
Last 30 away (17)59.252.6111.8+6.665%-
Last 10 (10)56.449.7106.1+6.780%-
Last 5 (5)54.650.2104.8+4.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)53.054.0107.0-1.00%-
vs Similar (14)54.953.4108.2+1.557%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)59.551.3110.9+8.280%-
This opponent (San Antonio Spurs) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
San Antonio SpursLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#10
W
65-58
65
58
+7
H03/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#12
L
45-67
45
67
-22
H04/02
NBA
Miami Heat
#18
L
51-53
51
53
-2
A08/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#14
L
44-61
44
61
-17
A09/02
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#22
L
48-60
48
60
-12
A10/02
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#25
W
67-50
67
50
+17
A13/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#6
L
51-56
51
56
-5
A15/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#11
L
57-65
57
65
-8
A23/02
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
L
59-66
59
66
-7
A24/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#23
L
39-63
39
63
-24
A26/02
NBA
112.5Avg total
52.6Scored
59.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.560.1114.6-5.627%-
Last 30 at home (12)56.560.1116.6-3.633%-
Last 30 away (18)53.260.2113.3-7.022%-
Last 10 (10)52.659.9112.5-7.320%-
Last 5 (5)54.660.0114.6-5.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)52.262.6114.8-10.56%-
vs Similar (13)57.556.8114.4+0.754%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 116.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers41.1 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.728.6
55.3%
54.4%57.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.413.7
38.7%
36.3%41.1
🏀 Free throws23.518.5
78.7%
78.2%18.5
They take 87.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
San Antonio Spurstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

San Antonio Spurs: 109.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.2 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.8 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.930.1
52.0%
54.4%60.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.911.6
33.2%
36.3%34.8
🏀 Free throws19.014.6
76.8%
78.2%14.6
They take 92.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Minnesota Timberwolves
WLWWWWLWLW
San Antonio Spurs
LLLLWLLLLL
#4
League position
#26
+15.1
Net rating
-9.1
117.1
Offensive rating
106.0
102.0
Defensive rating
115.1
56.4%
Effective FG%
51.2%
47.8%
Opp. effective FG%
57.9%
12.4%
Turnover %
13.5%
24.9%
Off. rebound %
24.1%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.20
38.7%
3-point %
33.2%
62.4%
Assist %
73.6%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence117.1 · 106.0Defence102.0 · 115.1Shooting56.4% · 51.2%3-point %38.7% · 33.2%Ball care12.4% · 13.5%Off. rebounds24.9% · 24.1%Free throws0.27 · 0.20Form (last 10/10)70% · 10%
■ Minnesota Timberwolves   ■ San Antonio Spurs
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
25/02/24HBrooklyn Nets101-86
24/02/24HMilwaukee Bucks107-112
16/02/24APortland Trail Blazers128-91
14/02/24APortland Trail Blazers121-109
13/02/24ALos Angeles Clippers121-100
09/02/24AMilwaukee Bucks129-105
07/02/24AChicago Bulls123-129 OT
05/02/24HHouston Rockets111-90
03/02/24HOrlando Magic106-108
01/02/24HDallas Mavericks121-87
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/02/24AUtah Jazz109-128
24/02/24ALos Angeles Lakers118-123
23/02/24ASacramento Kings122-127
15/02/24ADallas Mavericks93-116
13/02/24AToronto Raptors122-99
10/02/24ABrooklyn Nets103-123
09/02/24AOrlando Magic111-127
08/02/24AMiami Heat104-116
04/02/24HCleveland Cavaliers101-117
03/02/24HNew Orleans Pelicans113-114

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW70%
HomeWLWLW77%
AwayLWWWW65%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games572631
Win %70%77%65%
Points / game113.6112.0115.0
Allowed / game106.4102.3109.9
Point differential+7.2+9.7+5.1
Avg total220.1214.3224.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%50%35%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (14)50% (8)67% (6)
Overtime %5%4%6%
San Antonio Spurs
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL19%
HomeWLLLL19%
AwayWLLLL19%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games582632
Win %19%19%19%
Points / game112.1114.5110.1
Allowed / game120.7121.1120.4
Point differential-8.7-6.6-10.4
Avg total232.8235.6230.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%12%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (14)25% (8)33% (6)
Overtime %3%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston Celtics57461181%120.8110.0+10.8
2 Oklahoma City Thunder57401770%121.5113.3+8.1
3 Minnesota Timberwolves57401770%113.6106.4+7.2
4 Denver Nuggets58391967%114.5110.7+3.8
5 Cleveland Cavaliers57381967%114.6109.3+5.2
6 Los Angeles Clippers56371966%117.6112.9+4.7
7 Milwaukee Bucks56362064%121.4118.0+3.4
8 New York Knicks58352360%113.7109.3+4.4
9 New Orleans Pelicans57342360%116.4111.2+5.1
10 Phoenix Suns57342360%117.7114.6+3.1
11 Sacramento Kings56332359%118.5117.7+0.8
12 Philadelphia 76ers58332557%117.0113.7+3.3
13 Dallas Mavericks58332557%118.6117.5+1.1
14 Miami Heat57322556%110.7110.1+0.6
15 Orlando Magic59332656%111.4110.3+1.2
16 Indiana Pacers57312654%123.9122.3+1.6
17 Golden State Warriors57302753%119.2117.4+1.9
18 Los Angeles Lakers57292851%116.8118.2-1.4
19 Chicago Bulls57273047%111.8113.1-1.3
20 Utah Jazz59273246%117.7120.5-2.8
21 Atlanta Hawks58263245%121.2122.9-1.7
22 Houston Rockets57253244%113.1113.1+0.0
23 Brooklyn Nets58223638%111.9114.8-2.9
24 Toronto Raptors58223638%114.4117.5-3.0
25 Memphis Grizzlies58203834%106.5112.8-6.3
26 Portland Trail Blazers56154127%107.4116.5-9.0
27 Charlotte Hornets57154226%108.1118.1-10.0
28 San Antonio Spurs58114719%112.1120.7-8.7
29 Washington Wizards5894916%114.3124.2-9.9
30 Detroit Pistons5784914%112.8121.8-9.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Minnesota Timberwolves29292729114
San Antonio Spurs21222438105
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.