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Indiana State vs Valparaiso Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 29 Feb 2020
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 71-58
37-27 34-31
Position#57
Record17-7
FormLLWWW
Points / game69.2
Allowed / game64.5
vs
Position#173
Record13-13
FormWWLWW
Points / game72.0
Allowed / game70.7
USANCAA
Other2019-20
Meetings · Indiana State v Valparaiso
31 Jan 2026
INDI72
VALP76
05 Feb 2025
INDI80
VALP62
07 Feb 2024
INDI101
VALP61
08 Feb 2023
INDI84
VALP62
22 Jan 2022
INDI73
VALP75
29 Feb 2020
INDI71
VALP58
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Indiana State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Valparaiso winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Indiana StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bradley
#76
W
61-53
61
53
+8
H25/01
NCAA
Drake
#138
W
58-56
58
56
+2
H30/01
NCAA
Missouri State
#196
W
78-68
78
68
+10
A01/02
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#66
W
68-39
68
39
+29
H05/02
NCAA
Illinois State
#312
L
67-74
67
74
-7
A09/02
NCAA
Bradley
#76
L
61-72
61
72
-11
A13/02
NCAA
Missouri State
#196
L
58-71
58
71
-13
H16/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#29
W
67-64
67
64
+3
H21/02
NCAA
Evansville
#338
W
64-62
64
62
+2
A23/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#162
W
77-68
77
68
+9
A27/02
NCAA
1H
2H
30-33
31-20
32-33
26-23
46-38
32-30
43-23
25-16
23-32
44-42
29-33
32-39
31-38
27-33
40-23
27-41
20-26
44-36
45-37
32-31
128.6Avg total
65.9Scored
62.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)69.264.5133.7+4.771%
Season at home (13)68.558.3126.8+10.292%
Season away (11)70.171.8141.9-1.745%
Last 10 (10)65.962.7128.6+3.270%
Last 5 (5)65.467.4132.8-2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)70.567.2137.8+3.275%
vs Similar ◀ (9)67.065.3132.3+1.756%
vs Weaker (10)71.463.6135.0+7.880%
This opponent (Valparaiso) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValparaisoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Evansville
#338
W
67-65
67
65
+2
H26/01
NCAA
Bradley
#76
L
69-80
69
80
-11
A30/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#312
W
80-70
80
70
+10
H02/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#29
L
51-63
51
63
-12
H06/02
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#66
L
68-70
68
70
-2
A09/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#162
W
55-38
55
38
+17
H13/02
NCAA
Illinois State
#312
W
65-62
65
62
+3
A16/02
NCAA
Drake
#138
L
75-77 OT
75
77
-2
A20/02
NCAA
Bradley
#76
W
90-78
90
78
+12
H23/02
NCAA
Missouri State
#196
W
89-74
89
74
+15
H26/02
NCAA
1H
2H
36-23
31-42
26-37
43-43
34-28
46-42
19-34
32-29
35-39
33-31
28-16
27-22
26-43
39-19
22-40
47-29
36-42
54-36
41-39
48-35
138.6Avg total
70.9Scored
67.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)72.070.7142.8+1.350%
Season at home (12)74.265.8140.0+8.375%
Season away (14)70.274.9145.1-4.729%
Last 10 (10)70.967.7138.6+3.260%
Last 5 (5)74.865.8140.6+9.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)63.274.5137.7-11.30%
vs Similar ◀ (14)70.969.9140.8+0.950%
vs Weaker (9)77.167.0144.1+10.189%
This opponent (Indiana State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +2.3+2.31st half: -3.8-3.82nd half2nd half: +0.9+0.92nd half: +7.2+7.2
-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +2.3+2.31st half: -3.8-3.82nd half2nd half: +0.9+0.92nd half: +7.2+7.2
Indiana StateValparaiso
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Indiana StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bradley
#76
L
30-33
30
33
-3
H25/01
NCAA
Drake
#138
L
32-33
32
33
-1
H30/01
NCAA
Missouri State
#196
W
46-38
46
38
+8
A01/02
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#66
W
43-23
43
23
+20
H05/02
NCAA
Illinois State
#312
L
23-32
23
32
-9
A09/02
NCAA
Bradley
#76
L
29-33
29
33
-4
A13/02
NCAA
Missouri State
#196
L
31-38
31
38
-7
H16/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#29
W
40-23
40
23
+17
H21/02
NCAA
Evansville
#338
L
20-26
20
26
-6
A23/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#162
W
45-37
45
37
+8
A27/02
NCAA
65.5Avg total
33.9Scored
31.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (27)33.430.764.1+2.859%-
Last 30 at home (14)34.626.961.6+7.779%-
Last 30 away (13)32.234.766.8-2.538%-
Last 10 (10)33.931.665.5+2.340%-
Last 5 (5)33.031.464.4+1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)33.226.559.8+6.875%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)35.333.668.9+1.856%-
vs Weaker (10)33.030.263.2+2.860%-
This opponent (Valparaiso) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValparaisoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Evansville
#338
W
36-23
36
23
+13
H26/01
NCAA
Bradley
#76
L
26-37
26
37
-11
A30/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#312
W
34-28
34
28
+6
H02/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#29
L
19-34
19
34
-15
H06/02
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#66
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A09/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#162
W
28-16
28
16
+12
H13/02
NCAA
Illinois State
#312
L
26-43
26
43
-17
A16/02
NCAA
Drake
#138
L
22-40
22
40
-18
A20/02
NCAA
Bradley
#76
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H23/02
NCAA
Missouri State
#196
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H26/02
NCAA
64.4Avg total
30.3Scored
34.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.334.767.0-2.437%-
Last 30 at home (15)33.931.165.0+2.753%-
Last 30 away (15)30.738.268.9-7.520%-
Last 10 (10)30.334.164.4-3.840%-
Last 5 (5)30.636.066.6-5.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)31.037.568.5-6.517%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)31.834.165.9-2.436%-
vs Weaker (9)34.932.967.8+2.056%-
This opponent (Indiana State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Indiana State wins
1
Valparaiso wins
DateGameScore
19/01/20Valparaiso v Indiana State86-77
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/02/20ASouthern Illinois77-68
23/02/20AEvansville64-62
21/02/20HNorthern Iowa67-64
16/02/20HMissouri State58-71
13/02/20ABradley61-72
09/02/20AIllinois State67-74
05/02/20HLoyola Chicago68-39
01/02/20AMissouri State78-68
30/01/20HDrake58-56
25/01/20HBradley61-53
Valparaisolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/02/20HMissouri State89-74
23/02/20HBradley90-78
20/02/20ADrake75-77 OT
16/02/20AIllinois State65-62
13/02/20HSouthern Illinois55-38
09/02/20ALoyola Chicago68-70
06/02/20HNorthern Iowa51-63
02/02/20HIllinois State80-70
30/01/20ABradley69-80
26/01/20HEvansville67-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Indiana State
NCAA 2019-20
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW71%
HomeWWWLW92%
AwayWLLWW45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241311
Win %71%92%45%
Points / game69.268.570.1
Allowed / game64.558.371.8
Point differential+4.7+10.2-1.7
Avg total133.7126.8141.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%54%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %4%0%9%
Valparaiso
NCAA 2019-20
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW50%
HomeWLWWW75%
AwayLLLWL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261214
Win %50%75%29%
Points / game72.074.270.2
Allowed / game70.765.874.9
Point differential+1.3+8.3-4.7
Avg total142.8140.0145.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%50%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (10)50% (4)50% (6)
Overtime %12%0%21%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Northern Iowa2318578%76.766.0+10.6
2 Belmont2619773%79.069.2+9.9
3 Murray State2518772%74.665.1+9.5
4 Indiana State2417771%69.264.5+4.7
5 Bradley2617965%71.066.4+4.6
6 Southern Illinois24141058%62.761.0+1.7
7 Drake26151158%68.468.8-0.3
8 Illinois (Chi.)26141254%70.269.1+1.2
9 Valparaiso26131350%72.070.7+1.3
10 Illinois State2671927%65.270.3-5.1
11 Evansville2662023%67.075.8-8.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Indiana State373471
Valparaiso273158
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