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Indiana vs Michigan Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 16 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 18:00
Scheduled
Position#49
Record4-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game89.0
Allowed / game68.0
vs
Position#163
Record2-1
FormWWWLW
Points / game81.7
Allowed / game74.3
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Indiana v Michigan
16 Jan 2027
INDI v MICH
upcoming
08 Feb 2025
INDI67
MICH70
05 Mar 2023
INDI75
MICH73
23 Jan 2022
INDI62
MICH80
27 Feb 2021
INDI57
MICH73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Indiana win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Michigan win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

IndianaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Purdue
#31
L
64-93
64
93
-29
A21/02
NCAA
Northwestern
#251
L
68-72
68
72
-4
H25/02
NCAA
Michigan State
#29
L
64-77
64
77
-13
H01/03
NCAA
Minnesota
#235
W
77-47
77
47
+30
H04/03
NCAA
Ohio State
#104
L
78-91
78
91
-13
A07/03
NCAA
Northwestern
#251
L
61-74
61
74
-13
H11/03
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#323
W
91-57
91
57
+34
H03/11
NCAA
Bellarmine
#341
W
92-69
92
69
+23
H05/11
NCAA
Syracuse
#148
W
83-80
83
80
+3
H09/11
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#223
W
90-66
90
66
+24
H12/11
NCAA
1H
2H
29-46
35-47
42-33
26-39
37-45
27-32
43-28
34-19
33-50
45-41
37-36
24-38
44-23
47-34
50-26
42-43
34-38
49-42
41-37
49-29
149.4Avg total
76.8Scored
72.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)89.068.0157.0+21.0100%
Season at home (4)89.068.0157.0+21.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)76.872.6149.4+4.250%
Last 5 (5)83.469.2152.6+14.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)67.280.6147.9-13.412%
vs Similar (8)78.178.9157.0-0.862%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)83.466.0149.4+17.471%
This opponent (Michigan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MichiganUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Purdue
#31
L
72-80
72
80
-8
H15/03
NCAA
Howard
#55
W
101-80
101
80
+21
H19/03
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#13
W
95-72
95
72
+23
H21/03
NCAA
Alabama
#48
W
90-77
90
77
+13
H27/03
NCAA
Tennessee
#67
W
95-62
95
62
+33
H29/03
NCAA
Arizona
#7
W
91-73
91
73
+18
A05/04
NCAA
Uconn
#11
W
69-63
69
63
+6
H07/04
NCAA
Oakland
#344
W
84-68
84
68
+16
H02/11
NCAA
Uconn
#30
L
77-85
77
85
-8
H07/11
NCAA
Marquette
#146
W
84-70
84
70
+14
H12/11
NCAA
1H
2H
38-38
34-42
50-46
51-34
48-39
47-33
47-49
43-28
48-26
47-36
48-32
43-41
33-29
36-34
47-36
37-32
30-43
47-42
35-27
49-43
158.8Avg total
85.8Scored
73.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)81.774.3156.0+7.367%
Season at home (3)81.774.3156.0+7.367%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)85.873.0158.8+12.880%
Last 5 (5)81.071.8152.8+9.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)80.577.5158.0+3.050%
vs Similar (4)83.270.8154.0+12.575%
vs Weaker (24)82.870.9153.7+11.992%
This opponent (Indiana) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +2.8+2.81st half: +5.9+5.92nd half2nd half: +1.4+1.42nd half: +6.9+6.9
-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +2.8+2.81st half: +5.9+5.92nd half2nd half: +1.4+1.42nd half: +6.9+6.9
IndianaMichigan
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
IndianaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Purdue
#31
L
29-46
29
46
-17
A21/02
NCAA
Northwestern
#251
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H25/02
NCAA
Michigan State
#29
L
37-45
37
45
-8
H01/03
NCAA
Minnesota
#235
W
43-28
43
28
+15
H04/03
NCAA
Ohio State
#104
L
33-50
33
50
-17
A07/03
NCAA
Northwestern
#251
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H11/03
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#323
W
44-23
44
23
+21
H03/11
NCAA
Bellarmine
#341
W
50-26
50
26
+24
H05/11
NCAA
Syracuse
#148
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H09/11
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#223
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H12/11
NCAA
75.2Avg total
39.0Scored
36.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.733.872.5+4.960%-
Last 30 at home (18)42.631.273.7+11.483%-
Last 30 away (12)33.037.870.8-4.825%-
Last 10 (10)39.036.275.2+2.860%-
Last 5 (5)41.232.073.2+9.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)33.038.571.5-5.525%-
vs Similar (8)37.235.572.8+1.850%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)42.930.173.0+12.786%-
This opponent (Michigan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MichiganLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Purdue
#31
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H15/03
NCAA
Howard
#55
W
50-46
50
46
+4
H19/03
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#13
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H21/03
NCAA
Alabama
#48
L
47-49
47
49
-2
H27/03
NCAA
Tennessee
#67
W
48-26
48
26
+22
H29/03
NCAA
Arizona
#7
W
48-32
48
32
+16
A05/04
NCAA
Uconn
#11
W
33-29
33
29
+4
H07/04
NCAA
Oakland
#344
W
47-36
47
36
+11
H02/11
NCAA
Uconn
#30
L
30-43
30
43
-13
H07/11
NCAA
Marquette
#146
W
35-27
35
27
+8
H12/11
NCAA
78.9Avg total
42.4Scored
36.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.334.674.9+5.770%-
Last 30 at home (19)40.635.476.1+5.274%-
Last 30 away (11)39.733.373.0+6.564%-
Last 10 (10)42.436.578.9+5.970%-
Last 5 (5)38.633.472.0+5.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)32.535.067.5-2.550%-
vs Similar (4)41.834.276.0+7.575%-
vs Weaker (24)40.734.775.4+6.071%-
This opponent (Indiana) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Indiana wins
5
Michigan wins
DateGameScore
21/01/26Michigan v Indiana86-72
08/02/25Indiana v Michigan67-70
06/12/23Michigan v Indiana75-78
05/03/23Indiana v Michigan75-73 OT
11/02/23Michigan v Indiana61-62
10/03/22Michigan v Indiana69-74
23/01/22Indiana v Michigan62-80
27/02/21Indiana v Michigan57-73
16/02/20Michigan v Indiana89-65
Indianalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26HTennessee Tech90-66
09/11/26HSyracuse83-80
05/11/26HBellarmine92-69
03/11/26HEastern Illinois91-57
11/03/26HNorthwestern61-74
07/03/26AOhio State78-91
04/03/26HMinnesota77-47
01/03/26HMichigan State64-77
25/02/26HNorthwestern68-72
21/02/26APurdue64-93
Michiganlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26HMarquette84-70
07/11/26HUconn77-85
02/11/26HOakland84-68
07/04/26HUconn69-63
05/04/26AArizona91-73
29/03/26HTennessee95-62
27/03/26HAlabama90-77
21/03/26HSt. Louis Billikens95-72
19/03/26HHoward101-80
15/03/26HPurdue72-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Indiana
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeWWWW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games44-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game89.089.0-
Allowed / game68.068.0-
Point differential+21.0+21.0-
Avg total157.0157.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%75%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%-
Michigan
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLW67%
HomeWLW67%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games33-
Win %67%67%-
Points / game81.781.7-
Allowed / game74.374.3-
Point differential+7.3+7.3-
Avg total156.0156.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%67%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UCLA330100%101.358.3+43.0
2 Nebraska330100%89.060.7+28.3
3 Rutgers330100%84.756.3+28.3
4 Michigan State440100%93.066.2+26.8
5 Oregon330100%95.068.7+26.3
6 Indiana440100%89.068.0+21.0
7 Wisconsin330100%79.058.0+21.0
8 Minnesota440100%78.858.5+20.2
9 USC330100%88.371.3+17.0
10 Washington220100%83.570.0+13.5
11 Illinois43175%104.571.2+33.2
12 Purdue43175%78.569.0+9.5
13 Northwestern43175%70.861.8+9.0
14 Iowa32167%85.064.7+20.3
15 Michigan32167%81.774.3+7.3
16 Penn State53260%77.675.6+2.0
17 Ohio State42250%81.079.2+1.8
18 Maryland31233%84.380.0+4.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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