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Italy vs Hungary Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 23 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 67-71
10-13 17-19 23-10 17-29
Position#9
Record4-1
FormWWWLW
Points / game83.8
Allowed / game72.2
vs
Hungary 🏆
Position#35
Record1-4
FormLLLLW
Points / game71.2
Allowed / game80.8
EuropeEuroBasketRound 6· PalaCalafiore
Other2023
Meetings · Italy v Hungary
23 Feb 2025
ITAL67
HUNG71
22 Feb 2019
ITAL75
HUNG41
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Italy winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Hungary winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormItaly
Date
Competition
Philippines
#44
W
90-83
90
83
+7
no box
A29/08
World Cup
Serbia
#13
W
78-76
78
76
+2
no box
A01/09
World Cup
Puerto Rico
#10
W
73-57
73
57
+16
no box
H03/09
World Cup
Latvia
#3
L
82-87
82
87
-5
no box
H07/09
World Cup
Slovenia
#24
L
85-89
85
89
-4
no box
H09/09
World Cup
Turkey
#20
W
87-80
87
80
+7
no box
H22/02
EuroBasket
Hungary
#35
W
83-62
83
62
+21
86avg 79
A25/02
EuroBasket
Iceland
#25
W
95-71
95
71
+24
90avg 79
A22/11
EuroBasket
Iceland
#25
L
74-81
74
81
-7
62avg 79
H25/11
EuroBasket
Turkey
#20
W
80-67
80
67
+13
75avg 79
A20/02
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-23
28-16
25-21
17-23
23-19
17-23
19-20
19-14
25-15
14-21
12-11
22-10
26-18
16-28
18-21
22-20
18-15
23-27
19-28
25-19
24-24
26-15
18-17
19-24
17-15
19-22
28-9
19-16
27-12
22-13
16-29
30-17
9-22
20-10
27-26
18-23
17-12
31-19
12-19
20-17
158.0Avg total
82.7Scored
75.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)83.872.2156.0+11.680%
Season at home (2)80.580.5161.0+0.050%
Season away (3)86.066.7152.7+19.3100%
Last 10 (10)82.775.3158.0+7.470%
Last 5 (5)83.872.2156.0+11.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)82.480.3162.7+2.157%
vs Similar (14)86.384.3170.6+2.057%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)86.771.1157.8+15.689%
This opponent (Hungary) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HungaryLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHungary
Date
Competition
Germany
#17
L
71-106
71
106
-35
no box
H07/09
EuroBasket
Bosnia & Herzegovina
#41
L
78-83
78
83
-5
no box
A11/11
World Cup
Czech Republic
#60
W
83-69
83
69
+14
no box
H14/11
World Cup
Lithuania
#9
L
64-89
64
89
-25
no box
A23/02
World Cup
Bosnia & Herzegovina
#41
W
87-77
87
77
+10
no box
H26/02
World Cup
Iceland
#25
L
65-70
65
70
-5
no box
A22/02
EuroBasket
Italy
#9
L
62-83
62
83
-21
54avg 66
H25/02
EuroBasket
Turkey
#20
L
66-92
66
92
-26
59avg 66
A22/11
EuroBasket
Turkey
#20
L
76-81
76
81
-5
74avg 66
H25/11
EuroBasket
Iceland
#25
W
87-78
87
78
+9
78avg 66
H20/02
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-22
20-32
19-27
13-25
18-23
20-29
26-10
14-21
18-21
18-12
31-10
16-26
16-14
15-26
14-23
19-26
19-23
27-14
17-23
24-17
19-16
18-17
14-16
14-21
15-17
22-19
9-28
16-19
20-27
17-16
12-19
17-30
14-21
17-19
23-14
22-27
20-21
28-11
24-25
15-21
156.7Avg total
73.9Scored
82.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)71.280.8152.0-9.620%
Season at home (3)75.080.7155.7-5.733%
Season away (2)65.581.0146.5-15.50%
Last 10 (10)73.982.8156.7-8.930%
Last 5 (5)71.280.8152.0-9.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)70.382.0152.3-11.632%
vs Similar (5)82.874.6157.4+8.280%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Italy) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +3.1+3.1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: -6.3-6.3
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +3.1+3.1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: -6.3-6.3
ItalyHungary
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ItalyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Philippines
#44
W
48-39
48
39
+9
A29/08
World Cup
Serbia
#13
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A01/09
World Cup
Puerto Rico
#10
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H03/09
World Cup
Latvia
#3
L
42-46
42
46
-4
H07/09
World Cup
Slovenia
#24
L
41-42
41
42
-1
H09/09
World Cup
Turkey
#20
W
50-39
50
39
+11
H22/02
EuroBasket
Hungary
#35
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A25/02
EuroBasket
Iceland
#25
W
49-25
49
25
+24
A22/11
EuroBasket
Iceland
#25
L
29-32
29
32
-3
H25/11
EuroBasket
Turkey
#20
W
48-31
48
31
+17
A20/02
EuroBasket
79.1Avg total
42.2Scored
36.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.538.981.4+3.560%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.438.782.1+4.764%-
Last 30 away (16)41.639.180.8+2.556%-
Last 10 (10)42.236.979.1+5.350%-
Last 5 (5)42.432.875.2+9.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)41.341.182.4+0.143%-
vs Similar (14)40.840.581.3+0.357%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)46.034.880.8+11.278%-
This opponent (Hungary) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HungaryLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Germany
#17
L
39-54
39
54
-15
H07/09
EuroBasket
Bosnia & Herzegovina
#41
L
38-52
38
52
-14
A11/11
World Cup
Czech Republic
#60
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H14/11
World Cup
Lithuania
#9
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A23/02
World Cup
Bosnia & Herzegovina
#41
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H26/02
World Cup
Iceland
#25
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A22/02
EuroBasket
Italy
#9
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H25/02
EuroBasket
Turkey
#20
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A22/11
EuroBasket
Turkey
#20
L
31-40
31
40
-9
H25/11
EuroBasket
Iceland
#25
W
48-32
48
32
+16
H20/02
EuroBasket
78.0Avg total
38.0Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.939.575.4-3.640%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.939.876.7-2.944%-
Last 30 away (14)34.839.274.0-4.436%-
Last 10 (10)38.040.078.0-2.050%-
Last 5 (5)38.036.874.8+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)34.539.574.0-5.032%-
vs Similar (5)43.039.882.8+3.280%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Italy) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Italytheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Italy: 82.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.8 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.8 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.020.6
54.2%
50.6%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.810.2
38.1%
32.5%30.6
🏀 Free throws16.610.8
65.1%
71.4%10.8
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Hungarytheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hungary: 70.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.2 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.8 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.220.0
53.8%
50.6%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.47.4
29.1%
32.5%22.2
🏀 Free throws13.28.2
62.1%
71.4%8.2
They take 62.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 5/5 games with a box score before 23 Feb 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Italy
WLWWWLLWWW
Hungary
WLLLLWLWLL
#9
League position
#35
+15.9
Net rating
-13.2
117.1
Offensive rating
101.2
101.2
Defensive rating
114.4
55.4%
Effective FG%
49.7%
50.0%
Opp. effective FG%
51.9%
15.9%
Turnover %
17.3%
35.6%
Off. rebound %
30.9%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.21
38.1%
3-point %
29.1%
66.9%
Assist %
66.4%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence117.1 · 101.2Defence101.2 · 114.4Shooting55.4% · 49.7%3-point %38.1% · 29.1%Ball care15.9% · 17.3%Off. rebounds35.6% · 30.9%Free throws0.26 · 0.21Form (last 10/10)70% · 30%
■ Italy   ■ Hungary
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Italy wins
0
Hungary wins
DateGameScore
25/02/24Hungary v Italy62-83
22/02/19Italy v Hungary75-41
17/09/18Hungary v Italy63-69
Italylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/02/25ATurkey80-67
25/11/24HIceland74-81
22/11/24AIceland95-71
25/02/24AHungary83-62
22/02/24HTurkey87-80
09/09/23HSlovenia85-89
07/09/23HLatvia82-87
03/09/23HPuerto Rico73-57
01/09/23ASerbia78-76
29/08/23APhilippines90-83
Hungarylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/02/25HIceland87-78
25/11/24HTurkey76-81
22/11/24ATurkey66-92
25/02/24HItaly62-83
22/02/24AIceland65-70
26/02/23HBosnia & Herzegovina87-77
23/02/23ALithuania64-89
14/11/22HCzech Republic83-69
11/11/22ABosnia & Herzegovina78-83
07/09/22HGermany71-106

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Italy
EuroBasket 2023
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW80%
HomeWL50%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %80%50%100%
Points / game83.880.586.0
Allowed / game72.280.566.7
Point differential+11.6+0.0+19.3
Avg total156.0161.0152.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%0%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Hungary
EuroBasket 2023
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW20%
HomeLLW33%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %20%33%0%
Points / game71.275.065.5
Allowed / game80.880.781.0
Point differential-9.6-5.7-15.5
Avg total152.0155.7146.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Serbia550100%85.664.4+21.2
2 France550100%78.066.8+11.2
3 Latvia660100%79.269.3+9.8
4 Lithuania54180%80.063.2+16.8
5 Italy54180%83.872.2+11.6
6 Estonia54180%78.271.8+6.4
7 Slovenia54180%83.277.4+5.8
8 Israel54180%81.876.8+5.0
9 Greece54180%77.673.0+4.6
10 Croatia1511473%84.571.3+13.2
11 Germany64267%81.370.5+10.8
12 Portugal117464%82.374.0+8.3
13 Bulgaria1610662%79.275.8+3.4
14 Bosnia & Herzegovina53260%91.476.2+15.2
15 Turkey53260%79.276.8+2.4
16 Georgia53260%73.071.6+1.4
17 Great Britain53260%78.680.4-1.8
18 Romania148657%72.072.1-0.1
19 North Macedonia116555%73.270.9+2.3
20 Poland116555%76.576.5+0.1
21 Belgium63350%72.265.8+6.3
22 Montenegro63350%81.780.7+1.0
23 Spain63350%68.869.2-0.3
24 Slovakia168850%72.072.9-0.9
25 Sweden63350%75.280.2-5.0
26 Denmark1991047%73.673.0+0.6
27 Norway146843%71.176.0-4.9
28 Czech Republic52340%81.879.6+2.2
29 Iceland52340%75.079.4-4.4
30 Ireland104640%73.984.4-10.5
31 Austria1661038%75.077.2-2.2
32 Switzerland1661038%67.871.9-4.2
33 Kosovo83538%76.081.2-5.2
34 Netherlands51420%77.282.2-5.0
35 Finland51420%78.487.6-9.2
36 Hungary51420%71.280.8-9.6
37 Luxembourg81712%75.685.2-9.6
38 Albania81712%73.285.8-12.5
39 Cyprus171166%63.582.4-18.9
40 Ukraine5050%73.884.8-11.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 40 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Italy1017231767
Hungary1319102971
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