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Neptunas vs BC Wolves Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 08 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 14:20
Final 66-98
22-26 11-23 17-18 16-31
Position#6
Record1-2
FormLLWLL
Points / game91.7
Allowed / game94.3
vs
Position#3
Record3-0
FormLWWWL
Points / game85.3
Allowed / game69.3
LithuaniaLKL· Svyturio arena (Klaipeda)
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Neptunas v BC Wolves
15 Apr 2025
NEP85
WOL97
15 Feb 2025
NEP87
WOL83
12 Oct 2024
NEP89
WOL74
15 May 2024
NEP95
WOL76
01 May 2024
NEP85
WOL86
08 Oct 2023
NEP66
WOL98
07 May 2023
NEP75
WOL104
05 Nov 2022
NEP100
WOL80
20 Oct 2022
NEP85
WOL81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Neptunas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
BC Wolves winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NeptunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNeptunas
Date
Competition
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
W
87-78
87
78
+9
82avg 75
A22/04
LKL
Prienai
#12
W
94-84
94
84
+10
98avg 75
A25/04
LKL
Gargzdai
#11
W
91-86
91
86
+5
86avg 75
H29/04
LKL
Juventus
#5
L
83-85
83
85
-2
71avg 75
A02/05
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
75-104
75
104
-29
69avg 75
H07/05
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
99-107 OT
99
107
-8
no box
A12/05
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
91-95
91
95
-4
81avg 75
H14/05
LKL
Lietkabelis
#5
W
91-81
91
81
+10
91avg 75
H16/09
LKL
Siauliai
#10
L
82-90
82
90
-8
71avg 75
A24/09
LKL
Juventus
#4
L
102-112 OT
102
112
-10
no box
A02/10
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-20
27-19
21-13
21-26
26-18
24-32
22-16
22-18
20-19
22-28
18-18
31-21
19-13
18-25
21-22
25-25
24-31
17-19
16-25
18-29
20-25
25-16
14-27
29-20
21-26
14-22
30-24
26-23
16-14
29-24
18-26
28-17
25-30
17-18
24-16
16-26
24-30
27-20
22-24
22-21
181.7Avg total
89.5Scored
92.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)91.794.3186.0-2.733%
Season at home (1)91.081.0172.0+10.0100%
Season away (2)92.0101.0193.0-9.00%
Last 10 (10)89.592.2181.7-2.740%
Last 5 (5)93.097.0190.0-4.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)78.790.5169.3-11.89%
vs Similar (10)83.981.3165.2+2.670%
vs Weaker (9)83.079.9162.9+3.156%
This opponent (BC Wolves) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BC WolvesLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWolves
Date
Competition
Juventus
#5
W
106-79
106
79
+27
112avg 80
H27/04
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
98-102
98
102
-4
84avg 80
A01/05
LKL
Siauliai
#9
W
83-73
83
73
+10
82avg 80
H04/05
LKL
Neptunas
#7
W
104-75
104
75
+29
101avg 80
A07/05
LKL
Jonava
#6
L
76-80
76
80
-4
no box
H12/05
LKL
Jonava
#6
L
75-80
75
80
-5
60avg 80
A14/05
LKL
Siauliai
#10
W
68-66
68
66
+2
57avg 80
A17/09
LKL
Gargzdai
#12
W
104-68
104
68
+36
107avg 80
H23/09
LKL
Mazeikiai
#7
W
84-74
84
74
+10
81avg 80
H30/09
LKL
Paris
#1
L
78-105
78
105
-27
72avg 80
A03/10
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-17
27-17
22-19
26-26
27-18
28-26
16-29
27-29
23-11
20-20
22-21
18-21
31-24
19-17
25-16
29-18
19-19
9-24
21-20
27-17
25-21
15-22
14-17
21-20
18-17
15-21
24-12
11-16
20-18
24-14
29-19
31-17
31-15
14-19
20-24
19-16
15-24
25-24
22-26
16-31
167.8Avg total
87.6Scored
80.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)85.369.3154.7+16.0100%
Season at home (2)94.071.0165.0+23.0100%
Season away (1)68.066.0134.0+2.0100%
Last 10 (10)87.680.2167.8+7.460%
Last 5 (5)81.878.6160.4+3.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)74.879.2154.0-4.440%
vs Similar (5)82.080.6162.6+1.460%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)86.674.8161.4+11.875%
This opponent (Neptunas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: +5.6+5.6Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: +1.4+1.4
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: +5.6+5.6Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: +1.4+1.4
NeptunasBC Wolves
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
W
45-39
45
39
+6
A22/04
LKL
Prienai
#12
D
50-50
50
50
+0
A25/04
LKL
Gargzdai
#11
L
42-47
42
47
-5
H29/04
LKL
Juventus
#5
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A02/05
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
41-50
41
50
-9
H07/05
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A12/05
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
35-48
35
48
-13
H14/05
LKL
Lietkabelis
#5
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H16/09
LKL
Siauliai
#10
L
42-48
42
48
-6
A24/09
LKL
Juventus
#4
W
51-50
51
50
+1
A02/10
LKL
88.2Avg total
43.3Scored
44.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.741.481.2-1.740%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.443.884.2-3.433%-
Last 30 away (15)39.139.178.1+0.047%-
Last 10 (10)43.344.988.2-1.640%-
Last 5 (5)43.645.088.6-1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)38.843.782.5-4.927%-
vs Similar (10)41.738.880.5+2.970%-
vs Weaker (9)38.741.680.2-2.922%-
This opponent (BC Wolves) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BC WolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Juventus
#5
W
58-34
58
34
+24
H27/04
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
55-44
55
44
+11
A01/05
LKL
Siauliai
#9
W
43-31
43
31
+12
H04/05
LKL
Neptunas
#7
W
50-41
50
41
+9
A07/05
LKL
Jonava
#6
L
28-43
28
43
-15
H12/05
LKL
Jonava
#6
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A14/05
LKL
Siauliai
#10
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A17/09
LKL
Gargzdai
#12
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H23/09
LKL
Mazeikiai
#7
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H30/09
LKL
Paris
#1
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A03/10
Eurocup
82.4Avg total
43.6Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.338.179.3+3.263%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.936.178.1+5.869%-
Last 30 away (14)40.540.380.8+0.257%-
Last 10 (10)43.638.882.4+4.860%-
Last 5 (5)40.439.079.4+1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)37.240.878.0-3.620%-
vs Similar (5)41.041.082.0+0.040%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)42.436.679.0+5.780%-
This opponent (Neptunas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Neptunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas: 87.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.4 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.820.3
52.3%
55.4%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.19.4
36.0%
34.7%28.2
🏀 Free throws24.818.4
74.2%
73.2%18.4
They take 64.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
BC Wolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BC Wolves: 86.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.620.1
54.9%
55.4%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.910.7
38.4%
34.7%32.1
🏀 Free throws20.914.3
68.4%
73.2%14.3
They take 64.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Neptunas
LLWLLLLWWW
BC Wolves
LWWWLLWWLW
#6
League position
#3
-0.7
Net rating
+10.4
117.6
Offensive rating
122.1
118.3
Defensive rating
111.7
53.0%
Effective FG%
56.0%
56.7%
Opp. effective FG%
53.1%
13.7%
Turnover %
14.2%
32.3%
Off. rebound %
35.4%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.32
36.0%
3-point %
38.4%
72.1%
Assist %
61.4%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence117.6 · 122.1Defence118.3 · 111.7Shooting53.0% · 56.0%3-point %36.0% · 38.4%Ball care13.7% · 14.2%Off. rebounds32.3% · 35.4%Free throws0.38 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Neptunas   ■ BC Wolves
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Neptunas wins
2
BC Wolves wins
DateGameScore
07/05/23Neptunas v BC Wolves75-104
15/02/23BC Wolves v Neptunas79-63
17/11/22BC Wolves v Neptunas84-90
05/11/22Neptunas v BC Wolves100-80
20/10/22Neptunas v BC Wolves85-81
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/10/23AJuventus102-112 OT
24/09/23ASiauliai82-90
16/09/23HLietkabelis91-81
14/05/23HRytas91-95
12/05/23ARytas99-107 OT
07/05/23HBC Wolves75-104
02/05/23AJuventus83-85
29/04/23HGargzdai91-86
25/04/23APrienai94-84
22/04/23APieno Zvaigzdes87-78
BC Wolveslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/10/23AParis78-105
30/09/23HMazeikiai84-74
23/09/23HGargzdai104-68
17/09/23ASiauliai68-66
14/05/23AJonava75-80
12/05/23HJonava76-80
07/05/23ANeptunas104-75
04/05/23HSiauliai83-73
01/05/23ARytas98-102
27/04/23HJuventus106-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Neptunas
LKL 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLL33%
HomeW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %33%100%0%
Points / game91.791.092.0
Allowed / game94.381.0101.0
Point differential-2.7+10.0-9.0
Avg total186.0172.0193.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %33%0%50%
BC Wolves
LKL 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game85.394.068.0
Allowed / game69.371.066.0
Point differential+16.0+23.0+2.0
Avg total154.7165.0134.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas330100%88.064.0+24.0
2 BC Wolves330100%85.369.3+16.0
3 Rytas440100%98.083.8+14.2
4 Jonava330100%87.080.0+7.0
5 Lietkabelis43175%90.082.0+8.0
6 Juventus32167%87.385.0+2.3
7 Neptunas31233%91.794.3-2.7
8 Siauliai41325%79.581.5-2.0
9 Mazeikiai3030%75.782.3-6.7
10 Pieno Zvaigzdes3030%83.393.0-9.7
11 Nevezis3030%80.397.0-16.7
12 Gargzdai4040%67.898.2-30.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Neptunas2211171666
BC Wolves2623183198
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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